The Numbers - Box Office Data, Movie Stars, Idle Speculation

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Wednesday, July 9, 2008


Movie Spotlight - Flags of our Fathers

Flags of our Fathers
Flags of our Fathers
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Flags of Our Fathers is a World War II film detailing the lives of the six men made famous for the photograph of them raising the flag at Iwo Jima. It is produced by Steven Spielberg, directed by Clint Eastwood, and written by Paul Haggis... And the Oscar goes to...

In all seriousness, this film has to be considered an early favorite for a number of Oscars including Best Picture, directing, adapted screenplay, along with technical awards such as best sound, editing... and more. If we were to place money on which film will be the big winner February 25, 2007, this would be the film.

The Re-Emergence of World War II Movies

As the chart below shows, World War II movies have enjoyed two periods of popularity. They were especially popular in the 1960s and 1970s, with several huge hits and a string of movies (The Bridge on the River Kwai and The Great Escape, for example) that didn't make quite as much money, but are still considered classics. The genre almost completely disappeared in the 1980s though, and it wasn't until Schindler's List was released that World War II movies became fashionable again.

The second era of World War II movies has capitalized to some extent on the improvements in special effects in the intervening years. But, while the first era was dominated by action/adventure movies, the successful movies in the genre today tend to look for more dramatic themes. Flags of our Fathers certainly falls into that category, and that bodes well for its box office prospects.

Top Grossing World War II Movies in the United States
RankRelease DateMovieOpening WeekendUS GrossWorldwide GrossBudget
1 7/24/1998 Saving Private Ryan $30,576,104 $216,335,085 $481,635,085 $65,000,000
2 5/25/2001 Pearl Harbor $59,078,912 $198,539,855 $450,500,000 $151,500,000
3 12/15/1993 Schindler's List $656,636 $96,067,179 $321,200,000 $25,000,000
4 4/21/2000 U-571 $19,553,310 $77,086,030 $127,630,030 $62,000,000
5 10/23/1998 Life is Beautiful $118,920 $57,598,247 $229,400,000 -
6 6/15/1977 A Bridge Too Far - $50,800,000 - $26,000,000
7 6/15/1967 The Dirty Dozen - $45,300,000 - -
8 6/18/1976 Midway - $43,220,000 - -
9 10/4/1962 The Longest Day - $39,100,000 $50,100,000 $10,000,000
10 12/23/1998 The Thin Red Line $223,548 $36,400,491 - $52,000,000

- Story continues below




Steven Spielberg

Steven Spielberg's Directing Credits
Released Movie Name 1st weekend Total Gross
2008 Indiana Jones 4   n/a
2008 Lincoln   n/a
12/23/2005 Munich $4,152,260 $47,379,090
6/29/2005 The War of the Worlds $64,878,725 $234,280,354
6/18/2004 The Terminal $19,053,199 $77,073,959
12/25/2002 Catch Me if You Can $30,082,000 $164,606,800
6/21/2002 Minority Report $35,677,125 $132,014,112
6/29/2001 Artificial Intelligence: AI $29,352,630 $78,616,689
7/24/1998 Saving Private Ryan $30,576,104 $216,335,085
12/12/1997 Amistad $4,573,523 $44,212,592
5/23/1997 The Lost World: Jurassic Park $72,132,785 $229,086,679
12/15/1993 Schindler's List $656,636 $96,067,179
6/11/1993 Jurassic Park $50,159,460 $357,067,947
12/11/1991 Hook $13,522,535 $119,654,823
12/22/1989 Always $3,713,480 $41,843,630
5/24/1989 Indiana Jones and the Last Crusade $37,031,573 $197,171,806
12/9/1987 Empire of the Sun $1,314,509 $22,238,696
12/18/1985 The Color Purple $1,710,333 $93,589,701
5/23/1984 Indiana Jones and the Temple of Doom $25,337,110 $179,870,271
6/24/1983 Twilight Zone: The Movie $6,614,366 $29,500,000
6/11/1982 ET: The Extra-Terrestrial $11,911,430 $435,110,554
6/12/1981 Raiders of the Lost Ark $8,305,823 $242,374,454
12/14/1979 1941 $2,701,898 $34,175,000
11/16/1977 Close Encounters of the Third Kind $5,379,460 $166,000,000
6/20/1975 Jaws $7,790,627 $260,000,000
1/1/1974 The Sugarland Express   $7,000,000
 Total Grosses$3,505,269,421
 Average Gross$146,052,893
 Average Opening Weekend$20,288,156

While Steven Spielberg is best known for his directing, he started producing his films years ago with hits like E.T.. He has also produced films for some of the biggest directors as well, including Robert Zemeckis (Who Framed Roger Rabbit? and Back to the Future), and Richard Donner (The Goonies), and others). Add in his numerous writing credits, and the man can do it all, and do it well. He is a proven commodity when it comes to box office draw, critical acclaim and Oscar glory. Steven Spielberg has personally earned 11 Oscar nominations as well as 3 wins, not to mention the untold number of wins and nominations his films have earned in total. This means simply adding his name to a film will raise its box office potential and make it worthy of note when it comes to award season.

Clint Eastwood

Clint Eastwood's Directing Credits
Released Movie Name 1st weekend Total Gross
2006 Flags of Our Fathers   Unknown
2007 Letters from Iwo Jima   Unknown
12/15/2004 Million Dollar Baby $179,953 $100,422,786
10/8/2003 Mystic River $640,815 $90,135,191
8/9/2002 Blood Work $7,312,413 $26,199,517
8/4/2000 Space Cowboys $18,093,776 $90,454,043
3/19/1999 True Crime $5,276,109 $16,676,845
11/21/1997 Midnight in the Garden of Good and Evil $5,233,658 $25,078,937
2/14/1997 Absolute Power $16,770,220 $50,068,310
6/2/1995 The Bridges of Madison County $10,519,257 $71,516,617
11/24/1993 A Perfect World $8,075,582 $31,160,784
8/7/1992 Unforgiven $15,018,007 $101,157,447
12/7/1990 The Rookie $5,510,056 $21,633,874
1/1/1990 White Hunter, Black Heart   $2,319,124
10/1/1988 Bird   $2,181,286
12/5/1986 Heartbreak Ridge $8,100,840 $42,724,017
6/28/1985 Pale Rider $9,119,111 $41,410,568
12/9/1983 Sudden Impact $9,688,561 $67,642,693
12/15/1982 Honkytonk Man $667,727 $3,695,409
6/18/1982 Firefox $8,152,948 $45,785,720
6/11/1980 Bronco Billy $3,708,710 $24,265,659
1/1/1977 The Gauntlet   $35,400,000
1/1/1976 The Outlaw Josey Wales   $27,000,000
1/1/1975 The Eiger Sanction   $14,200,000
1/1/1972 High Plains Drifter   $15,700,000
1/1/1971 Play Misty for Me   $10,600,000
 Total Grosses$957,428,827
 Average Gross$39,892,868
 Average Opening Weekend$7,768,691

Clint Eastwood first came to prominence in the TV western, Rawhide, and from there quickly cemented his reputations as one of the best in the genre by starring in films like The Good, The Bad, and the Ugly. His box office drawing power grew throughout the 70s and 80s thanks to films like the Dirty Harry franchise. In the meantime, he was also proving himself to be a skillful director with highly rated films like The Outlaw Josey Wales and High Plains Drifter. But while he was a clearly established box office draw and starred and directed some of the best movies being made, what he never seemed to obtain was the accolades. That all changed with Unforgiven. That film not only earned Clint Eastwood his first Oscar nomination for acting, but he won for Best Director and Best Picture and the film earned a total of 9 nominations and 4 wins. Then in back-to-back years, Mystic River and Million Dollar Baby were big winners come Oscar night with a combined 6 wins and 13 nominations. Now every project he touches becomes an instant Oscar contender.

Paul Haggis

Nominations and Awards for Crash and Million Dollar Baby

Award Crash Million Dollar Baby
  NomsWins NomsWins
Academy Awards   6 3   7 4
Golden Globes   2 0   5 2
DGA   1 0   1 1
SGA   3 1   3 2
PGA   1 0   1 0
WGA   1 1   1 0
Spirit   2 2   n/a n/a
Totals   16 7   18 9

Paul Haggis started his career in TV writing episodes for such series as The Love Boat and Facts of Life. He moved on to producing and directing the critically acclaimed thirtysomething as well as returning home (sort of) to create Due South, which was the highest rated Canadian show ever on American TV.

His movie career has been really short so far with only four writing credits starting with Watchers and Red Hot, neither of which will appear on many Best of lists. (In fact, Paul Haggis had his name removed from Watcher after there was extensive re-writes during the WGA strike). However, with Million Dollar Baby and then Crash, he became the first screenwriter in history to writer two Best Picture Oscar winners in back-to-back years. Now, like the men above, any project he's attached to instantly increases its box office chances and its standing come award season.

The Cast

Principal Cast of Flags of our Fathers

  Movies Combined Gross
Adam Beach 5 $83,616,203
Jamie Bell 6 $241,834,891
Jesse Bradford 14 $290,275,854
Paul Walker 13 $626,739,612
Ryan Phillippe 14 $259,612,910
Barry Pepper 9 $602,174,495

If there is one weakness with this film, it is the cast. This is not to say they are bad actors (although some would argue that is exactly what Paul Walker is). But the six main cast members are all young, lack name recognition to one extent or another, don't have much box office drawing power, and have no experience when it comes to Oscar night.

Looking at the six main cast members, it is hard to pick one that will get people into theatres. Paul Walker has had a few hits in his career, but in his biggest, The Fast and the Furious, he was upstaged by a bunch of cars. Jamie Bell is best known for playing the titular character in Billy Elliot, but while many were expecting big things from the youngster, he has really struggled to find a project with the same critical and popular appeal. Jesse Bradford's biggest hit has been Bring it On, which is a fun film but not one that will prepare him for the challenges Flags of Our Fathers will present. Ryan Phillippe's biggest hit was the Jennifer Love Hewitt picture, I Know What You Did Last Summer, but is probably best known for being the husband of Reese Witherspoon. Barry Pepper is the actor whose career thus best fits Flags of Our Fathers as he was in both Saving Private Ryan and We Were Soldiers. However, he was also in Battlefield Earth, so his drawing power is limited. As for Adam Beach, it is way too early in his movie career to make a judgement, but he's a good Canadian kid, so he'll do alright.

The film's supporting cast is a little more seasoned, but in the end it will have to rely on the talent of the three men profiled above to draw people into theatres. This shouldn't be a problem.