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Weekend Predictions: Will New Releases Keep 2012's Winning Streak Safe?

2012 has beaten 2011 every single weekend so far and we could see that streak survive at least one more weekend thanks to three wide releases: Journey 2: The Mysterious Island, Safe House, and The Vow, plus a re-release, Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace. That's a crowded slate and normally I would assume one or more of the films would be squeezed out at the box office, but now I'm not so sure, as even the weakest amongst them is tracking for close to $20 million. By comparison, this weekend last year three films earned more than $25 million and only one new release failed to connect with audiences. So it could be a tough race, but I'm cautiously optimistic. More...

Full weekend coverage:
- Will New Releases Keep 2012's Winning Streak Safe?
- Weekend theater counts
- New contest: Mystery Abounds

Trailers for this weekend's openers:
- Star Wars Episode 1: The Phantom Menace
- Journey 2: Mysterious Island
- The Vow
- Safe House
- Rampart
- In Darkness

Most popular trailers this week:
- The Amazing Spider-Man
- Chronicle
- Red Tails
- The Avengers
- The Woman in Black

The Numbers 15th Annual Predict the Oscars Contest

Our annual Predict the Academy Awards competition is back again for its 15th year, and once more we're giving you the chance to win all of the Best Picture nominees. As an added bonus, this year the winner will get to choose between the DVD and the Blu-ray versions of each film.

To win, all you need to do is predict the winners in each category. Whoever gets the most predictions correct, and enters their predictions the first will win. As regular contestants will know, we have a couple of special rules to make things more interesting. First, once you have entered your predictions, you can see running vote totals for all the films. And second, if you change your mind once you've seen how everyone else has voted, you can go back and change your entry! In fact, you can change your votes as many times as you like, up to the deadline of noon on Oscar day, February 26.

Once the contest is closed, we will publish predicted winners in each category based on the vote totals. Over the years, The Numbers readers have been remarkably accurate in predicting the winners in all categories, with our current score running 11 out of 14 for Best Picture winners, and 9 out of 10 for Best Animated feature. A list of the top 50 players of all time in the contest is available here.

See our complete set of rules for more information.

Click Here to Enter!

International Box Office: More Milestones were not Impossible for Mission

Mission: Impossible: Ghost Protocol has reached two milestones since last week, reaching $400 million internationally and $600 million worldwide. It added $24.31 million on 6,259 screens in 51 markets over the weekend and now has $420.83 million internationally and $626.03 million worldwide. Of its weekend haul, $20 million came from China, which was $7 million more than last week's opening. More...

- The Numbers Weekly World Chart

Blu-ray Sales: Steel Grabs the Loot

There was no competition on the Blu-ray sales chart, as Real Steel topped all new releases and holdovers by a healthy margin. It sold 799,000 units and generated $22.36 million in sales giving it an opening week Blu-ray share of 54%. Hopefully we will see a lot more films crack 50% as the winter blockbusters start to come out. More...

- The Numbers' Weekly DVD Sales Chart
- New: The Numbers' Weekly Blu-ray Sales Chart
- Top-Selling DVDs of 2011

2012 Preview: February

2012 got off to a great start, with January earning four wins in a row in the year-over-year comparison and finishing the month with a double-digit lead over 2011's pace. This has made me very hopeful going forward. That said, there are fourteen films opening wide or being re-released wide in February, and I don't think there's a $100 million hit in the group. In fact, I don't think any will get all that close to the century mark. There are several that should be solid mid-level hits and with a little luck, half of them could reached $50 million and there are five that could reach $75 million. Last February, Just Go With It topped $100 million while Gnomeo and Juliet came within $33,000 of doing the same. We won't replicate that this year, so we have to hope for a lot more depth. If films like Safe House, Journey 2, Ghost Rider 2, The Phantom Menace: 3D and The Vow all meet expectations, then perhaps 2012 will continue its hot start. More...

DVD and Blu-ray Releases for January 31st, 2012

It's kind of an unusual week on the home market with five first run releases coming out on DVD and Blu-ray. However, all five films missed expectations in one degree or another. Some were outright bombs by anyone's definition, while others were expected to struggle to find a large audience, just not by as much as they did. That is not to say they were all bad movies. In fact one of them, Drive, has done quite well during Awards Season and the Blu-ray Combo Pack is a contender for Pick of the Week. Its main competition is To Kill A Mockingbird: 50th Anniversary Edition, which is also coming out on a Blu-ray Combo Pack. It's a coin toss, but I'm going with the latter over the former. More...

- Home Market Release Schedule

This Week's Video Reviews:
- Up the Creek
- Inside Out
- Love Story
- Lady and the Tramp
- Project Nim
- Fred 2: Night of the Living Fred
- Father Dowling Mysteries: Season One
- Geek Charming / Shake It Up!
- Alfred Hitchcock Triple-Shot: Rebecca, Spellbound, and Notorious

Latest News

February 10	Featured DVD Review: Up the Creek
February 10	Limited Releases run Rampart
February 10	Contest: Mystery Abounds
February 9	Featured DVD Review: Inside Out
February 9	Weekend Predictions: Will New Releases Keep 2012's Winning Streak Safe?
February 9	2012 Awards Season: Oscar Contest: Category Highlight: Best Feature-Length Documentary
February 9	2012 Awards Season: Oscar Contest: Category Highlight: Best Animated Feature
February 8	International Box Office: More Milestones were not Impossible for Mission

See all recent news stories -  - News via RSS - Add to My Yahoo!

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Weekend Predictions: Will New Releases Keep 2012's Winning Streak Safe?

2012 has beaten 2011 every single weekend so far and we could see that streak survive at least one more weekend thanks to three wide releases: Journey 2: The Mysterious Island, Safe House, and The Vow, plus a re-release, Star Wars Ep. I: The Phantom Menace. That's a crowded slate and normally I would assume one or more of the films would be squeezed out at the box office, but now I'm not so sure, as even the weakest amongst them is tracking for close to $20 million. By comparison, this weekend last year three films earned more than $25 million and only one new release failed to connect with audiences. So it could be a tough race, but I'm cautiously optimistic. More...

Weekend Top 3

		Movie	Gross	% Change	Theaters	Total Gross	Days
1	(new)	Chronicle	$22,004,098		2,907	$22,004,098	3
2	(new)	The Woman in Black	$20,874,072		2,855	$20,874,072	3
3	(1)	The Grey	$9,300,999	-52.70%	3,207	$34,557,532	10

Per Theater Chart: Truth Stalls but Squeaks Out Win

An Inconsistent Truth repeated on top of the per theater chart with $12,176 in one theater. However, while it won, it fell more than 40%, which is closer to a wide release than a limited release. W.E. was very close behind with an average of $11,769 in four theaters. More...

Weekend Top 10 By Theater Gross

	Movie	Gross	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
1	An Inconsistent Truth	$12,176	1	$12,176	$36,439	10
2	W.E.	$47,074	4	$11,769	$47,074	3
3	Chronicle	$22,004,098	2,907	$7,569	$22,004,098	3
4	The Woman in Black	$20,874,072	2,855	$7,311	$20,874,072	3
5	Jodaeiye Nader az Simin	$280,258	40	$7,006	$1,258,706	38
6	Being Elmo: A Puppeteer's Journey	$12,202	2	$6,101	$284,321	108
7	The Pruitt-Igoe Myth	$5,069	1	$5,069	$26,806	17
8	We need to Talk About Kevin	$65,529	13	$5,041	$382,587	59
9	Kill List	$9,838	2	$4,919	$9,838	3
10	Pina	$190,976	39	$4,897	$1,349,091	45

IMAX: Deathly Rises, But Not Quite Over the Moon

There were two films making noise on IMAX this weekend: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part II and Transformers: Dark of the Moon. The former added $9 million over the weekend for a total of $41.6 million worldwide, and it has yet to open in China. Speaking of China, Dark of the Moon debuted there over the weekend and earned $3.7 million on just 31 screens. The film already has $45.5 million worldwide, and it has yet to open in Japan.

Weekend Top 5 IMAX Movies

	Movie	Gross	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days
1	Born to be Wild 3D	$94,333	45	$2,096	$15,996,217	304
2	Sea Rex 3D: Journey to a Prehistoric World	$28,452	11	$2,587	$4,740,624	402

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