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This weekend only one movie is opening wide, but it should open huge. |
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New Releases Open 1 - 2 - 32003-04-07 he first three places at the box office this weekend, while last weekend’s releases faired poorly in their second week. Box office was down, after climbing last week, and is now just a few million above the weakest it’s been all year. So far it has been a weak year for the movies. |
Head of State the Head of the Class2003-03-31 LEFT"> | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Head of State and Bringing Down the House battled for top stop at the box office this weekend, while the two other new releases faired poorly.
Head of State came in first with $13.5 million, a good figure when you consider its relatively small budget and the small number of theatres it was playing in. With reasonable CinemaScores, this film should have reasonable legs - nothing amazing, but enough to make the studio heads happy.
Chris Rock’s first attempt at directing has done significantly better than most analysts predicted and should lead to more opportunities to direct in the future.
Bringing Down the House failed to become the first film to win the weekend for weeks in a row since The Fellowship of the Ring. However, it was able to squeak over the $100 million mark by mere thousands. It is only the second film release this year to do so, after How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days did it on Saturday. And it reached the mark in less than half the time.
The Core came in third with only $12.0 million, which is nothing short of a disaster. Its estimated $70 million production and $30 million Print and Advertising budgets means this movie will end up costing Paramount a bundle. This movie failed to live up to analysts' predictions and its chances of sticking around in the top ten for more than one more week are minimal.
Also failing to live up to expectations was Basic, which could only muster $11.5 million. While cheaper than The Core, it still won't see a profit. In fact, after factoring in the exhibitor's share, the domestic box office probably won't cover John Travolta's salary. Expect Basic to lose more than half its box office next weekend before dropping out of the top ten.
Chicago re-entered the top 5 after its big win at the Oscars last week. Its box office climbed slightly to $7.2 million due in part to the increase in theatre count. However, it only increased by about 150 theatres, not the 300 - 400 predicted after its 6 Oscar wins last Sunday. With two of the three openers this week ready for a collapse at the box office, and none of next week's opening films creating much of a buzz, Chicago could stay in the top five for another week.
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2003-03-29
mates, How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days was just $200,000 short of the $100 million mark, and will definitely cross it today. It is the first movie released in 2003 to reach that milestone, beating Daredevil in what was once a close race. Daredevil was more than $1 million short of that mark when the weekend started and it is shedding theatres fast. In fact, it lost more than half its theatre count in just one week. At this rate, it will take a couple more weeks to reach $100 million and Bringing Down the House will easily beat it to that mark. The unstoppable Steve Martin comedy is just $9 million short and should make it by Monday, twice as fast as either of the other two films.
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2003-03-29
be the closest weekend in a long time as the top four films are within $600,000 of each other according to early estimates. Leading the way with $4.2 million is Head of State, with The Core ($3.8 million) Basic ($3.7 million) and Bringing Down the House ($3.6 million) all very close behind.
Consider two additional facts. First, holdovers tend to have much better internal multiplier than opening weekends. And second, last Friday Bringing Down the House was behind the first place movie (Dreamcatcher) by half a million before taking the weekend by over a million. So there is a very real chance Bringing Down the House could finish first for the fourth weekend in a row. Something that hasn’t happened since Fellowship of the Ring did it during the winter of 2001 – 2002.
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2003-03-28
n, a modern remake of the real life adventures of the Gilbreth family, has gained another daughter. Piper Perabo of Lost and Delirious and Coyote Ugly is set to join the cast playing the eldest daughter. Already set to play some of the children are Tom Welling of Smallville fame, in his first feature movie role, and Hilary Duff, who is also in Agent Cody Banks, The Lizzie McGuire Movie and Cinderella Story.
Playing the mother and father will be Bonnie Hunt of Jumanji and Bringing Down the House funnyman Steve Martin. The director of Big Fat Liar and many, many TV series, Shawn Levy is set to direct. Filming is set to begin shortly with a 2004 release date planned.
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2003-03-28
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After 3 weeks of box office domination by an escapist comedy, an escapist adventure movie looks set to take over the box office crown. The Core contains all the elements needed for box office success - special effects, heroism, tough but beautiful women, tough but sensitive men, and a story line that bears almost no relation to reality. A popcorn-muncher's dream.
Movie theaters figured out this is the kind of entertainment people are looking for right now, and it's booked in 3,017 theaters this weekend, which should give it a strong opening. Mission to Mars earned $22 million on its opening weekend in March, 2000 in 3,054 theaters, and I'm projecting a $20 million debut for The Core (add a little for ticket inflation, take a little for the generally depressed market at the moment).
Basic is the latest war movie to hit theaters, and looks headed for modest opening numbers, and terrible numbers in the weekends to follow. I'm projecting a $13 million opening, and a rapid decline to follow.
The final wide release this weekend is the Chris Rock comedy Head of State, which will unspool in a fairly limited 2,151 theaters. That suggests an opening of no more than $6 million, although it could get a minor boost from being a comedy - a genre that people seem to be seeking out at the moment.
Among the returning movies, Bringing Down the House should manage around $11 million, and take 3rd in the chart. Dreamcatcher will drop sharply, to around $7 million, giving Chicago a shot at 4th place - it is running at around a 10% increase from last week right now, boosted by its Oscar wins, and should take close to $7 million over the weekend.
| Rank | Movie | Theaters | Change | Weeks in Release | Distributor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Core, The | 3,017 | New | 1 | Paramount |
| 2 | Dreamcatcher | 2,945 | n/c | 2 | Warner Bros. |
| 3 | Bringing Down the House | 2,910 | +39 | 4 | Buena Vista |
| 4 | Basic | 2,876 | New | 1 | Sony |
| 5 | Agent Cody Banks | 2,786 | -583 | 3 | MGM |
| 6 | Chicago | 2,701 | +136 | 14 | Miramax |
| 7 | View from the Top, A | 2,508 | n/c | 2 | Miramax |
| 8 | Hunted, The (2003) | 2,244 | -273 | 3 | Paramount |
| 9 | Head of State | 2,151 | New | 1 | Dreamworks |
| 10 | Piglet's Big Movie | 2,084 | n/c | 2 | Buena Vista |
| 44 | 1 + 1 = 11 | 18 | New | 1 | Eros |
| 52 | Assassination Tango | 7 | New | 1 | MGM/UA |
| 54 | Stevie | 4 | New | 1 | Lions Gate |
| 55 | Raising Victor Vargas | 2 | New | 1 | Gold Circle/IDP |
| 56 | Fellini: I’m a Born Liar (Fellini: Sono un Gran Bugiardo) | 1 | New | 1 | First Look |
| 57 | Unknown Pleasures (Ren Xiao Yao) | 1 | New | 1 | New Yorker |
| 58 | Good Old Naughty Days, The | 1 | New | 1 | Strand |
| Movie | Theaters | Distributor |
|---|---|---|
| What a Girl Wants | 2,600 | Warner Bros. |
| Phone Booth | 2,500 | Fox Searchlight |
| Man Apart, A | 2,400 | New Line |
| DysFunkTional Family | 600 | Miramax |
| Cowboy Bebop | 19 | Destination/Gold Circle |
| Guys, The | 15 | Focus Features |
| Good Thief, The | 6 | Fox Searchlight |
| Cet Amour-La (That Love) | 2 | New Yorker |
| Waiting for Happiness (Heremakono) | 1 | New Yorker |
| Under the Skin of the City (Zie-e Poost-e Shahr) | 1 | Magnolia |
See the full theater
2003-03-24 this year, a movie has finished first in the box office race three weekends in a row. Bringing Down the House racked up another $16.2 million to raise it’s total box office to an amazing $83 million in just three weeks. We’ll see this week if Steve Martin’s stint at hosting the Oscars will help give a bounce to the box office, but it’s hard to imagine it getting any better. 2003-03-21 ovies are opening wide but will any of them unseat Bringing Down the House as box office champ? 2003-03-17 www.the-numbers.com/people/SMART.html>Steve Martin / Queen Latifah comedy earned $22 million at the box office and its second straight first place finish. Bringing Down the House dropped less than 30% for its debut last week and has earned a total of $61.3 million. $100 million is all but assured at this point. 2003-03-11 the-numbers.com/movies/2003/HOUZE.php>Bringing Down the House opened huge last weekend and it looks like Steve Martin’s movie career is going to grow just as huge. Already in production is Shopgirl, based on Steve Martin’s novel and Picasso at the Lapin Agile, based on his successful stage play. And now it’s been announced that he will star in a contemporary remake of Cheaper by the Dozen. 2003-03-10 ar since Steve Martin’s last movie was released and over three years since he last had a wide release. But it looks like that absence didn’t cause his fans to forget about him. Bringing Down the House brought in $31.1 million this weekend, a opening weekend record for both Steve Martin and his Co-Star Queen Latifah. This was much higher than almost anyone predicted and should lead to an increase in demand for everyone involved, especially Eugene Levy who has four movies being released this year.
Bringing Down the House on Top: Part Three
As predicted, in second place was the Stephen King adaptation, Dreamcatcher. It’s $15.0 million opening haul was better than predicted. However, it did have very poor reviews, low CineScores and a genre not known for its longevity at the theatres. So don’t expect too much more out of Dreamcatcher.
In third was Agent Cody Banks at $9.2 million, a drop of 34%. That’s only an average drop for a movie with Agent Cody Bank’s target audience. Better than Spy Kids, but not as good as Spy Kids 2. But with a budget much lower than either of those movies, it should still make the studios very happy.
Fourth place was snagged by the surprising View From the Top. Pulling in $7.0 million can’t be considered a success by any stretch of the imagination. But with its horrid reviews, it’s better than expected. But back to the bad news, View From the Top had awful reviews, a poor internal multiplier, weak CineScores, etc. It should drop faster than Dreamcatcher.
Deja view dominated fifth place as last week’s big military movie disappointment, The Hunted, became this week’s biggest drop-off with just $6.5 million. Just like last weekend when Tears of the Sun was the biggest drop-off after being the previous week’s big military movie disappointment. This should send the makers of Basic into full panic mode, as Basic will most likely be next week’s big military movie disappointment and the week after’s biggest drop-off.
Piglet’s Big Movie was only able to manage 7th place with $6.1 million. Stranger still is it’s lower than expected internal multiplier, especially for its target audience. This is also unusual given its great reviews and very high CineScores. We’ll have to wait till next week to see if this means Piglet’s Big Movie won’t have the legs of the other Disney reduxes.
Barely making the top ten was the fourth release of the week, Boat Trip at $3.8 million. That figure was a little less than predicted and with the audience reactions, don’t expect it to make much more during the rest of its run.
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Can Bringing Down the House Stay on Top?
The Contenders:
Dreamcatcher: Opening in nearly 3000 theatres, this Stephen King adaptation is the latest in a long line of Stephen King adaptations. And that’s a mixed blessing. For every Green Mile in Stephen King’s movie career there’s a Mangler. Dreamcatcher is not as bad as that, but its reviews are very poor so don’t look for this one to be a blockbuster. Dreamcatcher should do a little better than $11 million for its opening weekend.
Piglet’s Big Movie: Opening in just 2000 theatres, this Disney redux is the latest in a long line of Disney Reduxes. Follows in the footsteps of The Tigger Movie, Return to Neverland, The Jungle Book 2, etc. Reviews are almost immaterial (but quite good) considering how dependable these movies have been at the box office. Like those movies The Piglet Movie should make around $10 million in its opening weekend and about $50 million overall.
View From the Top: Opening in 2500 theatres … maybe. Miramax has just hours to delay the release of View From the Top for the seventh or eighth time; I’ve lost track. Officially it was delayed due to worries over whether the public was willing to laugh at the airline industry. Rumors were circulating that it was actually delayed cause it just wasn’t funny. And the reviews seem to support the second theory. Reviews are simply awful with Rotten Tomatoes currently showing only 8% fresh. Look for View From the Top to make a $5 million debut before disappearing quickly.
Boat Trip: Opening in just 1700 theatres, and for good reason. Reviews are on par with View From the Top, at only 9% of them positive. Oscar winner Cuba Gooding, Jr. is apparently trying to make people forget just how good of an actor he can be. Boat Trip will make about $4 million this weekend before sinking completely.
And the winner is…
Bringing Down the House: Should bring in another $15 million to become the first movie of 2003 to finish first three weeks in a row.
Agent Cody Banks should remain in the top five, and perhaps Chicago will join him there.
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Bringing Down the House Stays on Top
Battling for second place were two of the three new releases this week.
After spotting The Hunted a $300 grand lead on Friday, Agent Cody Banks came back to take second place by half a million dollars, $14 million to $13.5 million. Compared to last year’s Big Fat Liar, Agent Cody Banks pulled in a little more than 20% more in the box office with almost identical CinemaScores so look for nearly identical legs. MGM is obviously quite pleased with its performance so far since work on a sequel is already beginning.
The Hunted, on the other hand, will not impress the folks at Paramount. The Hunted had a much higher budget than Agent Cody Bank’s and a lower internal multiplier, weaker CinemaScores, etc. The studio’s share of the box office probably won’t even cover their advertising budget. This is the second weak in a row with an under-performing military movie, perhaps real-life events are affecting the box office of these movies.
In fourth place was last week’s under-performing military movie, Tears of the Sun, which became this week’s biggest drop off in the top 5. Its weekend tally of only $8.7 million is barely more than half of last week’s and brought its total box office to only $30 million so far. This one also won’t pay for the advertising budget.
In fifth place is the unstoppable Chicago. In it’s twelfth week Chicago’s box office climbed nearly 4% without any increase in its theatre count. With the Oscars only a week away a big win could keep Chicago in the top ten for many more weeks to come.
The only other movie to be released wide this week was Willard. The low budget horror was only able to pull in $4 million and should disappear quickly from the theatres. Willard had good critical reviews, but horrid CinemaScores, which usually means the fault lies with the marketing campaign.
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More Steve Martin Movie News
Based on the 1950 movie of the same name, which was based on the real-life story of the Gilbreth family, Cheaper by the Dozen also stars Bonnie Hunt. And yesterday it was reported that Tom Welling and Hilary Duff will be joining the cast. Tom Welling, best known as Superman on the TV series Smallville will make his movie debut playing the eldest son. And Hilary Duff’s role as one of the daughters was written specifically for her, a sure sign of her increasing popularity. Hilary Duff is best known as Lizzie McGuire and can also been seen in Agent Cody Banks, opening this weekend.
Filming is set to begin at the end of the month with a release date sometime in 2004.
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Bringing Down the House Fills Up the Theatres
The only other movie opening wide this week was Tears of the Sun staring Bruce Willis, which was in second place with a box office of $17 million. With a budget of $75 million (and almost 50% more for advertising) Sony has to be disappointed with this figure.
Still doing well after 3 weeks is Old
School. Just over $9 million this week raises its total past $50 million. Moving up a place to fourth was Chicago, now in its eleventh week. The multiple Oscar nominated film continues its impressive post nomination run adding almost $7 million to its total box office. How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days is still hanging in the top 5 and should reach $100 million, but probably not before Daredevil does.
Of note, last week’s winner Cradle 2 the Crave fell from first to sixth with an unbelievable 60% drop. We haven’t seen that kind of drop since Star Trek: Nemesis dropped 76%.
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