The Numbers - Box Office Data, Movie Stars, Idle Speculation
Audio Cables
Monday, July 28, 2014

Predicted Oscar Winners

The Numbers' annual Oscar polls have proved to be remarkably accurate predictors of the final results on Oscar night. Each year we publish our most confident predictions in the days leading up to awards night, and we really stick our necks out on Oscar day by predicting the results in all categories.

We call results based on the hundreds of Numbers readers who vote in our Predict the Oscars competition.

We've received all the votes now, and are ready to make predictions in all categories. Percentage figures are the percentage of Numbers readers who believe a movie or performance will win in a particular category. They are a rough guide to how likely a particular movie is to win in a category - for example, we're pretty certain Shrek will win Best Animated Film, while we think A Beautiful Mind is, by a fraction, the most likely winner of Best Picture.

Click here to see the complete vote tallies in each category.

Animated Feature Shrek  (86.84%)
Foreign Language Film Le Fabuleux destin d'Amélie Poulain  (85.15%)
Visual Effects The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (83.90%)
Makeup The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (84.46%)
Actress in a Supporting Role A Beautiful Mind Jennifer Connelly (82.36%)
Actor in a Supporting Role The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring Ian McKellen (75.51%)
Sound Editing Pearl Harbor  (75.42%)
Music (Score) The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (73.58%)
Cinematography The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (63.86%)
Short Film - Animated For the Birds (63.31%)
Costume Design Moulin Rouge  (57.60%)
Directing A Beautiful Mind Ron Howard (54.95%)
Writing (Adapted Screenplay) A Beautiful Mind  (54.78%)
Actor in a Leading Role A Beautiful Mind Russell Crowe (53.93%)
Sound The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (53.18%)
Writing (Original Screenplay) Memento  (52.17%)
Documentary - Short Subject Artisans and Orphans: A True Drama (48.57%)
Art Direction The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (46.46%)
Best Picture A Beautiful Mind  (45.22%)
Actress in a Leading Role In the Bedroom Sissy Spacek (37.90%)
Documentary Feature Promises (35.31%)
Music (Song) Kate and Leopold Until, Sting (34.15%)
Film Editing The Lord of the Rings: The Fellowship of the Ring  (33.90%)
Short Film - Live Action The Accountant (24.24%)
Actress in a Leading Role Monster's Ball Halle Berry (32.46%)
Actress in a Leading Role In the Bedroom Sissy Spacek (37.90%)

Check back after the event to see how we did...