Predicted Oscar Winners - 2011
The Numbers' annual Oscar polls have proved to be remarkably accurate predictors of
the final results on Oscar night.
We call results based on the hundreds of The Numbers readers who vote in our
Predict the Oscars competition.
We've received all the votes now, and are ready to make predictions in all categories.
The big prize of the night is predicted to go to The King's Speech, scoring
70% of the votes for Best Picture.
The film is only predicted to win two other awards, though, with no less than six movies predicted to win multiple statuettes.
Percentage figures are the percentage of The Numbers readers who believe a movie or performance
They are a rough guide to how likely a particular movie is to win in a category - for
example, Toy Story 3 looks virtually certain
to win the Best Animated Feature award.
Overall, the Oscars look as though they will be spread fairly wide this year, with The Social Network
predicted to win the most, at four, and The King's Speech and
Inception predicted at three wins each.
Given the wide distribution, the individual predictions are remarkably certain.
The King's Speech is given a nearly 70% chance of winning Best Picture,
Colin Firth got over 90% of the votes for Best Actor in a Leading Role, and several predicted winners
(including Natalie Portman and Christian Bale)
got over 80% of the votes in their category.
With the Oscars spread far and wide, we should be in for an interesting evening.
- Click here to see the complete vote tallies in each category
- Actual winners on the night
We'll have a full report on how our predictions matched up to reality on Monday morning.