|May 2, 2008||Iron Man||$186,000,000||$102,118,668||$318,604,126||$582,443,126|
|Jun 13, 2008||The Incredible Hulk||$137,500,000||$55,414,050||$134,806,913||$263,417,913|
|May 7, 2010||Iron Man 2||$170,000,000||$128,122,480||$312,433,331||$623,561,331||Play|
|May 6, 2011||Thor||$150,000,000||$65,723,338||$181,030,624||$449,326,618||Play|
|Jul 22, 2011||Captain America: The First Avenger||$140,000,000||$65,058,524||$176,654,505||$370,569,776||Play|
|May 4, 2012||The Avengers||$225,000,000||$207,438,708||$623,279,547||$1,519,479,547||Play|
|May 3, 2013||Iron Man 3||$200,000,000||$174,144,585||$408,992,272||$1,215,392,272||Play|
|Nov 8, 2013||Thor: The Dark World||$150,000,000||$85,737,841||$206,362,140||$644,602,516||Play|
|Apr 4, 2014||Captain America: The Winter Soldier||$170,000,000||$95,023,721||$259,746,958||$714,401,889||Play|
|Aug 1, 2014||Guardians of the Galaxy||$170,000,000||$94,320,883||$333,172,112||$771,172,112||Play|
|May 1, 2015||Avengers: Age of Ultron||$250,000,000||$191,271,109||$459,005,868||$1,404,705,868||Play|
|Jul 17, 2015||Ant-Man||$130,000,000||$57,225,526||$180,202,163||$518,602,163||Play|
|May 6, 2016||Captain America: Civil War||$250,000,000||$179,139,142||$408,084,349||$1,151,684,349||Play|
|Nov 4, 2016||Doctor Strange||$0||$0||Play|
|May 5, 2017||Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2||$0||$0|
|Nov 3, 2017||Thor: Ragnarok||$0||$0|
|Feb 16, 2018||Black Panther||$0||$0|
|May 4, 2018||Avengers: Infinity War||$0||$0|
|Jul 6, 2018||Ant-Man and the Wasp||$0||$0|
|Mar 8, 2019||Captain Marvel||$0||$0|
|May 3, 2019||Untitled Avengers Movie||$0||$0|
Box Office History for Marvel Cinematic Universe Movies
|Sep 30, 2008||Iron Man||$182,066,912||$14,117,408||$196,184,320|
|Oct 21, 2008||The Incredible Hulk||$68,438,692||$5,282,396||$73,721,088|
|Sep 28, 2010||Iron Man 2||$122,727,783||$54,894,671||$177,622,454|
|Sep 13, 2011||Thor||$40,005,389||$39,988,079||$79,993,468|
|Oct 25, 2011||Captain America: The First Avenger||$46,734,809||$61,793,731||$108,528,540|
|Sep 25, 2012||The Avengers||$113,332,548||$119,511,699||$232,844,247|
|Sep 24, 2013||Iron Man 3||$25,338,875||$56,647,333||$81,986,208|
|Feb 25, 2014||Thor: The Dark World||$35,607,418||$39,375,006||$74,982,424|
|Sep 9, 2014||Captain America: The Winter Soldier||$28,213,191||$38,169,457||$66,382,648|
|Dec 9, 2014||Guardians of the Galaxy||$47,841,562||$76,552,190||$124,393,752|
|Sep 8, 2015||Avengers: Age of Ultron||$27,617,655||$49,237,130||$76,854,785|
|Nov 17, 2015||Ant-Man||$24,096,321||$35,319,444||$59,415,765|
September 27th, 2016
It is a pretty good week on the home market with a few releases worth picking up. The biggest of these is Central Intelligence, but while it is worth picking up, it isn’t a contender for Pick of the Week. There are some smaller releases that were up for that title, including The Shallows, An American Werewolf in London and The Innocents. However, in the end, I went with Captain America: Civil War. The Blu-ray screener arrived late, and I held off on naming it Pick of the Week when it came out for that very reason.
September 25th, 2016
Captain America: Civil War is the 13th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. That’s 13 films in just 8 years. The film pulled in more than $1 billion worldwide, so the market isn’t tired of these movies. However, has the brisk pace resulted in a substandard film? Or is it yet another critical smash?
September 13th, 2016
Four films opened wide or semi-wide over the weekend, but only one of them, Sully, did well at the box office. It earned more than double its nearest competition, When the Bough Breaks, at $35.03 million to $14.20 million. The other two new releases bombed. Overall, the box office was flat, up 1.1% from last weekend to $101 million. This was also flat when compared to last year, down just 1.7%. Since this weekend was so close to last weekend, it should come as no surprise that the year-over-year comparison hardly moved. This time last week, 2016 was ahead of 2016 by just over 6.7%, while this week its lead is just under 6.8% at $8.10 billion to $7.58 billion.
August 14th, 2016
A precipitous drop from last weekend won’t be enough to knock Suicide Squad off its perch at the top of the box office chart, according to studio estimates released on Friday. But a 67% fall is steep, even by modern standards. On the bright side, it is less than Batman v Superman’s 69% decline in its second weekend earlier this year, at least according to the estimates. A weak Sunday would put the two films basically neck-and-neck on that front, and it looks increasingly likely that Suicide Squad will end with less than $300 million domestically.
August 7th, 2016
One of the most talked-about debuts of the year is shaping up to be one of the better ones. Suicide Squad will open with about $135 million, according to Warner Bros., easily the biggest weekend in August, beating Guardians of the Galaxy’s $94.3 million in 2014. It’s also the 3rd-best weekend in 2016, and should earn a little more than Deadpool’s $132 million debut. In spite of these awesome stats, there’s about as much negative press for the film as positive, and some of it not entirely fair.
August 5th, 2016
Suicide Squad started its domestic run last night with $20.5 million from its Thursday previews. This is the best previews since Captain America: Civil War and nearly double the previous August preview record of $11.2 million, held by Guardians of the Galaxy. This is great news for the studio. ... except for two small problems. This is 26% lower than Batman v. Superman and the two films earned identical reviews. If the two films have identical legs during their opening weekends, it will mean Suicide Squad will make $123 million over the weekend and $244 million in total. That’s not enough to revive the hopes of a DC Extended Universe that can rival the MCU.
August 4th, 2016
Before we talk about the weekend predictions... Warner Bros. owns D.C. Comics and a 30% share in Rotten Tomatoes. So accusing Rotten Tomatoes of having an anti-D.C. bias is silly. Starting a petition to shut down Rotten Tomatoes is a sign you really need a more productive hobby. I suggest Magic: The Gathering. ... Moving on... Suicide Squad is the last major release of the summer. Unfortunately, its reviews are among the worst of any $100 million movie released this summer. The counter-programming this week is Nine Lives, a talking animal / body swap movie that still has no reviews on Rotten Tomatoes. Many analysts think it will fail to reach the top five during its opening weekend. This weekend last year was the weekend Fantastic Four opened. Suicide Squad should crush that movie at the box office. In fact, it should earn more than the top ten earned last year.
July 24th, 2016
Star Trek Beyond will fall just short of $60 million at the box office this weekend, according to Sunday estimates from Paramount. The studio has the film coming in at $59.6 million over three days, which is substantially short of the $79.2 million earned on debut by Star Trek (the reboot) in 2009, and the $70.2 million made by Star Trek Into Darkness. The so-so start comes in spite of excellent reviews, which are now running at 84% on Rotten Tomatoes, and the franchise seems to have trouble reaching beyond its core audience.
July 17th, 2016
Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice came out on Video on Demand two weeks ago, but comes out on DVD, Blu-ray Combo Pack, 3D Combo Pack, or 4k Combo Pack this week. I’m reviewing the VOD, not because I got a screener, but because one of the people I game with watched it in theaters and demanded others in our group see it, so he’s not the only one to suffer. Is it really as bad as its reputation? Yes. Yes it is.
May 25th, 2016
X-Men: Apocalypse started its international run in first place with $103.2 million. At first glance, that's a good start. On the other hand, the film is playing in 75 markets, so it doesn't have a lot of markets left to open in. Back to the original hand, one of the markets it has yet to open in is China. The film's biggest single market was the U.K., where it opened in first place with $10.99 million in 598 theaters. This is nearly 30% less than Days of Future Past earned and with weaker reviews, it will likely have weaker legs. The movie-to-movie decline was even steeper in Russia, where it was down 38% to $6.41 million on 1,208 screens, and in Australia, where it was down 39% with $4.68 million on 574. On the other hand, it was down a mere 6.4% in Mexico to $8.8 million and actually rose 22% in the Philippines to $4.9 million. If it can get to $600 million worldwide, then the film will break even some time during its home market run.
May 22nd, 2016
The Angry Birds Movie is performing at the top end of expectations this weekend, and will top the box office chart with a commendable $39 million. While that’s a long way behind the $75.1 million earned by Zootopia on its opening weekend back in March, it’s a very respectable figure, and gives Sony the increasingly-rare bragging rights over Disney this weekend, with Captain America: Civil War dropping to second place with $33.1 million.
May 15th, 2016
After recording the 5th-biggest opening weekend of all time last weekend, Captain America: Civil War will decline 59% this time around to $72.56 million, according to Disney’s Sunday projection. If that number holds, it will put Civil War 8th on the list of best second weekends, almost exactly tied with Iron Man 3. That comparative slip in the rankings isn’t of huge consequence, given that the film will sail past $300 million domestically on either Monday or Tuesday, and has already racked up $645 million worldwide, putting it on the brink of $1 billion worldwide a little over two weeks after its international rollout. The Marvel juggernaut continues to roll on.
May 8th, 2016
Another weekend, another triumph at the box office for Disney. After a hattrick of wins for The Jungle Book, the studio’s Captain America: Civil War will top the chart this weekend with a year’s-best $181.8 million, according to the studio’s weekend projection, released on Sunday morning. Our model projects that it will fall just short of $180 million, but either way it will set easily a new best weekend in 2016, beating the $166 million debut of Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice, and record the fifth-best weekend of all time, landing in between The Avengers: Age of Ultron and Iron Man 3. The Marvel Cinematic Universe now claims four of the top six spots on the all-time list.
May 7th, 2016
Friday’s estimates are in and Captain America: Civil War did amazing business during its opening day. According to Disney, it earned the 8th-biggest single day of all time with $75.25 million. However, to paraphrase Uncle Ben, with great powers comes great expectations and there are some who consider this a disappointment, because the film isn’t living up to the hype. There is some very good news going forward.
May 6th, 2016
Summer officially started last night at 7 pm with Captain America: Civil War Thursday previews. The film pulled in $25 million, which is the second best figure for a Marvel Cinematic Universe. The only MCU film to top it was The Avengers: Age of Ultron, which earned $27.6 million last year. On the other hand, Civil War does have better reviews than Age of Ultron earned, so it should have better legs. Likewise, Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice earned $27.7 million earlier this year, but its legs were hurt by its reviews. I still think Civil War will earn $200 million, more or less, over the weekend.
May 1st, 2016
April started on a soft note and ended weak, but thanks to The Jungle Book, overall the month was actually really good. That's what happens when you get a surprise $300 million hit. This bodes well for May, which is both a slow month and a fantastic month. There are only four weekends and only eight movies coming out, but of those eight films, five have a shot at $100 million. The potential blockbusters are led by Captain America: Civil War, which is not only going to be the biggest hit of the month, but according to a Fandango survey, it is the most anticipated film of the summer. (On a side note, Finding Dory is the most anticipated family film of the summer and Ghostbusters is the most anticipated comedy of the summer. I was surprised by the last result.) Both Alice Through the Looking Glass and X-Men: Apocalypse have real shots at $200 million. One of them could get to $300 million, if they weren't opening against each other. Overall, the month looks excellent. Even better, last May there was only one monster hit, The Avengers: Age of Ultron, and most analysts think Captain America: Civil War will beat it at the box office. (There's also the issue of the misalignment in the weekends, which hurt April, but will really help May.)
April 17th, 2016
2016 is shaping up to be just about the perfect year on all fronts for Disney. They started the year with Star Wars at the top of the box office; Zootopia far out-performed expectations; Captain America: Civil War, Alice Through the Looking Glass and Finding Dory position them perfectly for the Summer; and Doctor Strange and Star Wars: Rogue One are two of the most talked about movies coming at the end of the year. (Oh, and they’re slipping a long-awaited Steven Spielberg family-friendly film in the middle of all that.)
All-in-all, this could be a year of studio dominance the likes of which we haven’t seen since, well, last year, when Universal could do no wrong. Their incredible year really took flight at the beginning of April, when Furious 7 posted a monthly record $147 million opening weekend. The Jungle Book won’t hit those heights, but it will most likely be the second film to top $100 million in April, with Disney projecting a weekend of $103.57 million as of Sunday morning.
April 4th, 2016
After ranking Star Wars: The Force Awakens for those who still haven't seen it, we can do a full featured review. The film smashed box office records here and earned 92% positive reviews. Is it as good as its box office / Tomatometer Score? Or did people just get caught up in the hype?
March 27th, 2016
Batman and Superman not only had to fight each other this weekend, but also mediocre reviews. They have come through in some style, however, posting a record for March of $170.1 million, according to Warner Bros.’ Sunday morning estimate. Our model has the film coming a little below that mark, at $165 million or so, which might mean it won’t quite top Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part II’s $169 million, which is currently the studio’s best ever weekend. But the fact that we’re comparing the movie to the Harry Potter franchise is nothing but good news for them.
March 1st, 2016
It's March 1st, which is not only the beginning of the month, but also Super Tuesday. If you are not American and don't pay attention to American politics, Super Tuesday is sort of like the Oscar night of the primary season. I was going to write about my predictions, but it looks like the race is about to be over. On the Republicans side, if Trump gets more than 50% of the delegates, then he has won. It will be too late to stop him. If he gets less than 40%, then it becomes a real race again. If the polling is correct, then he will get closer to 50% than 40%. On the Democratic side, Sanders needs at least 45% of the delegates, or it is over for him. Anything less than that and Hillary Clinton will have too big a lead to overcome. If the South Carolina result is an indicator, Hillary Clinton could get two-thirds of the delegates awarded tonight.
As for the box office, February was amazing, thanks to Deadpool's record-breaking opening and better than expected legs. The month ended with 2016 being nearly 4% higher than 2015's pace. Additionally, there are some big releases coming out this month with both Zootopia and Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice looking to get more than $200 million, while Allegiant should hit $100 million. Last March, there were also three films that earned more than $100 million, but only one $200 million hit, Cinderella. It should be a really close race between 2016 and 2015.
December 28th, 2015
It's been a few weeks since I did a review. I stopped taking screeners knowing how busy Star Wars: The Force Awakens would keep me, but I figured I should get back in the game. However, there was a question of what late review would be worth checking out? Well, there have been five $1 billion movies to come out this year and I've previously reviewed all of the ones that hit the home market. All of them, but one: The Avengers: Age of Ultron. Of the five $1 billion movies, this one is arguably the one that had the most disappointing run at the box office. Yes, a film that made $1.40 billion worldwide was seen as a box office disappointment by some. This is mostly because its predecessor, The Avengers, broke box office records. The film also earned much weaker reviews than the first movie, but still earned 75% positive reviews, which is very good for a wide release. Is it a real disappointment? Or does it hold up compared to the competition?
December 7th, 2015
It is both a good week and a bad week on the home market. The top two releases are Ant-Man and Minions, which made more than $500 million and $1 billion globally, respectively. It's rare you get a one-two punch like that on top. However, the competition for those two films is much, much weaker. The third best-selling release, according to Amazon.com, is the Marvel Cinematic Universe: Phase Two Box Set. It looks amazing, which is why it led this years Holiday Gift Guide, but I'm not sure there are a lot of people who will be willing to spend $200 on a box set when they likely own all or most of the movies. Beyond that, there's mostly TV on DVD releases. The competition for Pick of the Week is also not very deep with Ant-Man coming out on top.
December 6th, 2015
Ant-Man had the fourth worst global box office for a film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. It earned over $500 million and was still the fourth worst in the franchise's run. That's impressive. One of the reasons for the franchise's success is the quality. No MCU film has earned a Tomatometer Score below the overall positive level, this includes Ant-Man. Is it worthy of this? Or is this the first MCU film I didn't like?
December 6th, 2015
The second installment of the Holiday Gift Guide focuses on TV on DVD releases. It's going to be a little short this year, because I was not impressed with last year's batch of new releases. There are five networks, but there are only four shows that debuted last season on this list. (Although I admit I don't watch The Flash (DVD or Blu-ray) or Jane the Virgin (DVD) and the WB doesn't hand out screeners.) There were a few other cable shows that started last year that I love, but this includes stuff like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver and Daredevil, neither of which are on DVD. Additionally, there weren't as many Full-Series Megasets as years past, at least not ones that I think are worthy for this list. Mad Men might be the only Megaset for a concurrent show that makes the list. This all adds up to a short list this year.
November 27th, 2015
It's Thanksgiving weekend, which means Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and of course the first installment of our Holiday Gift Guide. This week we will tackle first run releases, as well as franchise box sets. I'm going to try to keep it to a dozen or so releases, as these columns are notorious for getting out of hand. Also, while there were a record number of $1 billion box office hits, there were not as many first run releases that earned stellar reviews this year.
November 5th, 2015
Spectre opened in first place with $80.4 million during its seven-day opening weekend. That doesn't seem like a huge amount, especially considering some of the opening weekends we've seen on the international stage this year. However, there is a mitigating factor. It was only playing in six markets. This includes the U.K., where the film broke records with $62.82 million in 651 theaters. This is equivalent to a $300 million opening week here, which would be the record for a seven-day box office here. We shouldn't get too ahead of ourselves, as Bond films have a natural affinity for that market. It does mean Spectre has a real shot at a $100 million opening weekend here.
October 1st, 2015
September ended on a record note with the debut of Hotel Transylvania 2. Additionally, there was great depth and 2015's lead over 2014 grew to nearly $500 million. How do things look going forward? The month starts out with The Martian, which should have no trouble becoming the biggest hit of the month and might even top $200 million. On the other hand, no other film is expected to get to $100 million. There's only one or two that will even come close. Fortunately, last October was very similar with one $100 million hit, Gone Girl, while two other films came close, Annabelle and Fury. It looks like it will be up to the depth films from both years to determine which year comes out on top.
September 16th, 2015
This week's home market releases are insane, so I'm going to have to be a lot more judicious in pruning the list. If I were to include all releases that are big enough to include, if they were released during a slow week, there would be more than 100 releases on this week's list (including secondary Blu-rays, but not VOD releases). I have to pare that back to a more reasonable number. Why are there so many releases? Firstly, it is the beginning of the Christmas Shopping season and we have two monster hits on this week's list. Secondly, it is the last week before the fall season begins in earnest, so it is the last week for a lot of shows to come out on DVD before they are running into competition from the new season. It should come as no surprise that the best releases on this week's list are in the TV on DVD categories, including Marvel's Agent Carter: Season 1 and Marvel's Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D.: Season 2. Both of which are co-winners of the Pick of the Week.
September 10th, 2015
Terminator: Genisys remained in first place on the international chart, but with only $11.5 million in 8 markets. This lifted its international total to $346.3 million, while it now has $435.9 million worldwide. This helped the film become the second biggest hit in the franchise, assuming you don't take inflation into account. In China, the film managed $26.67 million, but that was for the full week, giving the film a total of $111.92 million after 15 days of release.
August 21st, 2015
After last week's reprieve, summer truly ends this week. There are three wide releases coming out, none of which are expected to become even midlevel hits. Also, none of them are earning overall positive reviews. The biggest movie is Sinister 2, which is expected to do well enough to earn a profit, mostly thanks to its very low production budget. American Ultra is the best in terms of Tomatometer Score—by a huge margin. However, it is still earning less than 50% positive reviews by a large margin. The biggest movie in terms of production budget is Hitman: Agent 47, which is bad news for the studio, because it is not expected to do well. In fact, there's almost no chance any of the three new releases will top Straight Outta Compton this weekend. There's a small chance that their combined openings won't top Straight Outta Compton. There is some good news. This weekend last year, there were no movies that earned more than $20 million, which is the absolute low end of Straight Outta Compton's range. On the other hand, If I Stay was the best new release with $15.68 million. That's more than any of the wide releases this year will earn and it only managed third place last year. I think 2015 will win with ease at the top of the chart, but 2014 might have better depth, keeping it ahead in the year-over-year comparison.
July 28th, 2015
Ant-Man unexpectedly repeated on top of the weekend box office, as Pixels failed to meet expectations by a sizable margin. In fact, only Southpaw beat expectations. The overall box office sunk as a result, down 22% from last weekend to $151 million. Worse still, this was 2.3% lower than the same weekend last year. Fortunately, 2015 has won a lot more weeks than it has lost and has built up an impressive 8.2% lead over 2014 at $6.45 billion to $5.96 billion. It isn't impossible for 2015 to lose a lead that large, but I'm cautiously optimistic that it can see this lead grow through to the end of the year.
July 26th, 2015
Three new wide releases and three returning movies that are still pulling in good crowds will produce a box office chart with no knock-out winner this weekend. That’s in large part thanks to a disappointing debut from Pixels. The Adam Sandler/Kevin James-comedy/adventure-Ghostbusters/wannabe will earn about $24 million this weekend, according to Sony’s Sunday estimate. That puts it in danger of not even earning back its marketing budget domestically, let alone starting to recover the $88 million production budget. It also means that Ant-Man will top the charts for a second weekend.
July 24th, 2015
Pixels leads a group of three wide releases looking to battle for limited box office dollars. It appears to be on track for first place, but with not as much as I anticipated at the beginning of the month. This is partially explained by its reviews which are lower than the 30% to 40% positive range I was anticipating. Paper Towns is earning much better reviews, but still barely above the overall positive level. Finally there's Southpaw, which is earning mixed reviews and its buzz is weak, so it will likely be outside the top five over the weekend. Both Ant-Man and Minions should continue to perform well, with the former having a shot at first place, if Pixels flops. This weekend last year, there were two wide releases that did quite well, Lucy and Hercules. I don't think any of the new releases this week will come close to earning the same as Lucy did, but I think the depth is better this year, so 2015 will still come out ahead in the year-over-year comparison.
July 20th, 2015
The top of the box office had a small surprise, as Ant-Man earned first place with $57.23 million over the weekend. This is a little lower than predicted, but Minions really collapsed, so Ant-Man easily won the race for the top of the box office race. Meanwhile, Trainwreck had a solid third place opening and could be on its way to $100 million, thanks in part to its target demographic and to its reviews. Overall, the box office pulled in $194 million. This is 9.6% lower than last weekend, but more importantly, it is 30% higher than the same weekend last year. 30%. That's a massive margin of victory. Year-to-date, 2015 has pulled in $6.20 billion, which is 8.1% more than 2014's pace. Summer is winding down, so 2015 is in a great place moving into the slower part of the year. Even if August and September are slower than average, there's almost no chance 2015 will blow through the $460 million lead it has over 2014.
July 19th, 2015
Perhaps we’re seeing the first signs of multiplex fatigue? In the midst of a buoyant Summer at the movies, Ant-Man will debut with around $58 million, according to Sunday estimates, about 10% below expectations, and well short of the $94 million earned by Guardians of the Galaxy this time last year. It’s a very good opening, to be sure, but the second slightly disappointing debut from the Marvel Cinematic Universe this year, after The Avengers: Age of Ultron’s $191 million opening weekend back in May. We’re talking disappointment of the level of seeing Babe Ruth only hit one home run in a game here, so we need to put things in perspective. It’s the twelfth straight $50 million-plus opening for the franchise in seven years—an unprecedented box office run.
July 18th, 2015
Ant-Man opened in first place with $22.64 million on Friday, which puts it well ahead of Minions on the Friday box office chart. On the other hand, it was a little disappointing compared to expectations. Figuring out where it will end up is deceptively tricky given the number of other Marvel Cinematic Universe films to compare it to. Ant-Man's reviews continued to tick up, and are now at 80% positive—in the same range as the first Captain America movie. It also had a similar opening day to that film. However, Captain America opened before The Avengers and one could argue that every film after that should be considered a sequel, which would tend them towards being even more front-loaded than original films. Factoring that in, look for Ant-Man to post around $56 million over its opening weekend, which will give it an easy first place debut. Unless its legs are as long as Guardians of the Galaxy’s, it won't reach $200 million in total, but it should top its budget (reportedly $130 million) so it will become a box office success. Analysts hoping for the first MCU bomb will have to wait.
July 17th, 2015
Ant-Man posted a reported $6.4 million on Thursday evening, a healthy number for a movie that’s not a sequel. Although it sort of is a sequel, or at least sort of a franchise film. It’s certainly considered part of the Marvel Cinematic Universe, so looking for comparable Thursday night openings presents a bit of a challenge. The bottom line, though, looks as though the film is headed into the weekend a little ahead of expectations.
July 16th, 2015
There could be an interesting race on top of the box office charts this weekend, as Ant-Man will be looking to unseat Minions. However, while I think Ant-Man will come out on top on Friday, I think Minions will repeat over the weekend. The other new release of the week is Trainwreck, which has seen its reviews fall from 100% positive to a mere 90% positive. The amazing reviews and the success of R-rated female-centric films lately suggests it has the potential to reach $100 million. Inside Out and Jurassic World will also both hit milestones, so it should be an exciting weekend. This weekend last year, none of the three wide releases were particularly strong, which left Dawn of the Planet of the Apes in first place for the second weekend in a row with $36.25 million. Both Minions and Ant-Man will top that. Trainwreck might top that as well. It should be a good weekend for 2015 in the year-over-year comparison.
July 9th, 2015
Terminator: Genisys expanded its market count to 47 over the weekend, which allowed it to rise to first place with $74.0 million for a two-week total of $85.5 million internationally. Its biggest new market was Russia, where it dominated with $11.17 million on 2,192 screens over the weekend. South Korea was close behind with $9.24 million on 1,113 screens for a total opening of $11.06 million. The film earned first place in Mexico with $4.73 million on 1,307 for a total opening of $6.18 million. It only managed second place in Brazil with $3.9 million on 1,012. In all four markets, the film set records for the franchise. It wasn't as lucky in the U.K., where it opened in second place with $5.83 million in 536 theaters. That's about on par with its opening here in the US. The goal for the film is to earn over $200 million internationally and $300 million worldwide. If it can get there, then the film will likely break even, eventually. On the other hand, "breaking even" isn't enough to justify continuing the reboot trilogy.
July 1st, 2015
June was a much better month than expected due to two films, Jurassic World and Inside Out. Had those two films merely matched expectations, then 2015 would have likely fallen behind 2014. As for this coming month, there are five weekends in July and each week there is at least one film with the potential to reach $100 million. Most weeks there are two films that at least have a shot at getting to the century mark. The biggest hit of the month will likely be Minions, which has already opened in several international markets and it's ahead of Despicable Me 2 at the same point. That film made more than $300 million and nearly $1 billion worldwide, so any growth would be fantastic. There are also a number of potential $200 million films, led by Ant-man. Ant-man is the latest release in the Marvel Cinematic Universe, a franchise that has averaged $300 million domestically over eleven films and all of the past six films have reached at least $200 million. I'm not saying this one is guaranteed to do the same, but you can't dismiss that possibility. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation and Pixels have smaller chances to get to $200 million, but you have to at least entertain the possibility. Additionally, last July was a lot weaker than this July looks to be, so 2015 should win in the year-over-year comparison most weeks. Or I might have let the box office success of June cloud my judgment. We will soon find out.
May 21st, 2015
The Avengers: Age of Ultron remained in first place with ease earning $185.0 million in 91 markets for totals of $770.5 million internationally and $1.143 billion worldwide. The film is now the eighth biggest hit of all time, while two of the films above it are also from the Marvel Cinematic Universe. We actually thought that Disney might have overpaid when they bought Marvel. We were wrong. In our defense, no one saw this coming. This past weekend, the film opened in first place in China with $84.84 million for a six-day opening of $154.63 million. China is already the biggest market for Age of Ultron's international run, and it only took four days to get there. Up next for the film is Japan, but the film doesn't open there till July.
May 10th, 2015
Hot Pursuit is utterly failing to live up to its name this weekend, with an anaemic $13.3 million opening—the worst for Reese Witherspoon since Cruel Intentions in 1999, and her worst ever for a wide-release movie, when adjusted for inflation. The Avengers: Age of Ultron wasn't really expected to be threatened in first place, and is actually doing quite well for a movie that opened with close to $200 million. It will be down about 60% this weekend to $77.2 million, per Disney, the second-best second weekend ever, just ahead of Avatar, and some way behind The Avengers.
May 7th, 2015
The Avengers: Age of Ultron will continue to lead the way at the box office this weekend, but Hot Pursuit hopes to at least put in a good showing as counter-programming. Its reviews suggest that will be an uphill battle. Additionally, Age of Ultron will probably suffer a pretty big drop when compared to last week, because it is a comic book movie, its a sequel and its reviews are lower than its predecessor's were. This weekend last year, Neighbors opened with close to $50 million. Age of Ultron will earn more than that. It could earn more than Neighbors and The Amazing Spider-Man 2 made combined, while Hot Pursuit will make twice what the two counter-programming releases made last year. 2015 should come away with an easy win.
May 3rd, 2015
The Avengers: Age of Ultron looks set to fall just short of the all-time box office record this weekend, based on Disney’s Sunday morning weekend projection. There were already signs it would struggle after Friday’s numbers were announced, and Saturday’s $57 million day leaves the film with much too much to do on Sunday to break the record. Disney is projecting $187.66 million as of this morning, and I expect the film to come in a shade below that, based on other tracking. It’s pretty hard to call $188 million a disappointing weekend, although it is short of most expectations. The film still has plenty of entries in the record books to celebrate.
Note: This list contains actors which appear in at least 2 movies of the franchise.
|Robert Downey, Jr.||7||Tony Stark/Iron Man||$6,760,684,406||$9,384,144,245||72.0%|
|Samuel L. Jackson||7||Nick Fury||$5,664,488,155||$16,444,256,212||34.4%|
|Chris Evans||5||Steve Rogers / Captain America||$5,160,841,429||$6,497,158,464||79.4%|
|Scarlett Johansson||5||Natasha Romanoff/Black Widow||$5,413,832,984||$8,792,669,984||61.6%|
|Paul Rudd||4||Scott Lang / Ant-Man||$1,670,286,512||$4,597,433,909||36.3%|
|Don Cheadle||4||Lt. Col. James "Rhodey" Rhodes||$4,395,343,820||$7,407,692,399||59.3%|
|Gwyneth Paltrow||4||Pepper Potts||$3,940,876,276||$6,137,485,237||64.2%|
|Clark Gregg||4||Agent Coulson||$3,174,810,622||$3,899,080,919||81.4%|
|Hayley Atwell||4||Peggy Carter||$3,008,279,696||$3,635,423,709||82.7%|
|Sebastian Stan||3||Bucky Barnes/Winter Soldier||$2,236,656,014||$3,002,291,243||74.5%|
|Jeremy Renner||3||Clint Barton/Hawkeye||$4,075,869,764||$6,766,487,209||60.2%|
|Stellan Skarsgård||3||Erik Selvig||$2,613,408,681||$7,606,677,032||34.4%|
|Anthony Mackie||3||Sam Wilson/Falcon||$3,270,792,106||$5,225,456,142||62.6%|
|Cobie Smulders||3||Agent Maria Hill||$3,638,587,304||$4,308,445,040||84.5%|
|Jon Favreau||3||Happy Hogan||$2,421,396,729||$6,868,976,020||35.3%|
|John Slattery||3||Howard Stark||$2,293,847,843||$3,533,433,255||64.9%|
|Maximiliano Hernández||3||Agent Jasper Sitwell||$2,683,208,054||$2,785,995,176||96.3%|
|Chris Pratt||2||Peter Quill||$771,172,112||$3,837,621,915||20.1%|
|Natalie Portman||2||Jane Foster||$1,093,929,134||$5,352,352,683||20.4%|
|Evangeline Lilly||2||Hope Van Dyne||$518,602,163||$2,862,441,059||18.1%|
|Mark Ruffalo||2||Bruce Banner / The Hulk||$2,924,185,415||$5,266,692,015||55.5%|
|Kat Dennings||2||Darcy Lewis||$1,093,929,134||$1,564,662,678||69.9%|
|Leslie Bibb||2||Christine Everhart||$1,206,004,457||$1,985,960,983||60.7%|
|Toby Jones||2||Armin Zola||$1,084,971,665||$6,267,800,403||17.3%|
|Elizabeth Olsen||2||Wanda Maximoff/Scarlet Witch||$2,556,390,217||$3,131,614,125||81.6%|
|William Hurt||2||Gen. Thaddeus 'Thunderbolt' Ross||$1,415,102,262||$3,614,795,310||39.1%|
|Emily VanCamp||2||Agent 13||$1,866,086,238||$2,028,467,617||92.0%|
|Frank Grillo||2||Brock Rumlow||$1,866,086,238||$2,572,838,164||72.5%|
|Jenny Agutter||2||World Security Council||$2,233,881,436||$2,330,034,781||95.9%|
|Garry Shandling||2||Senator Stern||$1,337,963,220||$3,048,888,286||43.9%|
|Gozie Agbo||2||Theo Broussard||$1,866,086,238||$1,866,086,238||100.0%|
|Alexis Denisof||2||The Other||$2,290,651,659||$2,294,980,509||99.8%|
|Zack Duhame||2||Engine Pirate||$1,233,004,052||$1,780,330,424||69.3%|
|Brian Schaeffer||2||Strucker Mercenary||$2,028,267,199||$2,028,267,199||100.0%|
|Jamie McShane||2||Agent Jackson||$1,968,806,165||$2,614,848,529||75.3%|
Note: This list contains people who contributed to at least 2 movies of the franchise.
|Kevin Feige||14||Producer (14)||$10,229,359,480||$15,125,683,442||67.6%|
Executive Producer (12)
Story Creator (6)
|Dave Jordan||13||Music Supervisor (13)||$10,229,359,480||$13,366,180,518||76.5%|
|Louis D'Esposito||12||Executive Producer (12)||$9,965,941,567||$10,744,194,387||92.8%|
Executive Producer (8)
|Sarah Halley Finn||11||Casting Director (11)||$9,595,371,791||$14,389,567,844||66.7%|
|Alan Fine||9||Executive Producer (9)||$6,712,334,545||$6,712,334,545||100.0%|
Story Creator (7)
Captain America Created by (1)
|Christopher Markus||6||Screenwriter (6)||$2,881,258,530||$4,518,601,631||63.8%|
|Stephen McFeely||6||Screenwriter (6)||$2,881,258,530||$4,518,601,631||63.8%|
|Jeffrey Ford||6||Editor (6)||$6,376,233,701||$6,817,354,713||93.5%|
|David Maisel||5||Executive Producer (5)||$2,289,318,764||$2,636,437,531||86.8%|
Supervising Sound Editor (4)
Sound Designer (2)
|Lars P. Winther||5||
Assistant Director (5)
Associate Producer (3)
|Anthony Russo||4||Director (4)||$1,866,086,238||$1,996,488,248||93.5%|
|Joe Russo||4||Director (4)||$1,866,086,238||$1,996,488,248||93.5%|
Executive Producer (4)
Executive Producer (3)
Executive Producer (4)
Unit Production Manager (1)
Sound Designer (4)
Supervising Sound Editor (3)
Re-recording Mixer (2)
|Lora Hirschberg||4||Re-recording Mixer (4)||$3,517,697,301||$12,229,729,472||28.8%|
Re-recording Mixer (4)
Sound Mixer (1)
|John Mahaffie||4||Second Unit Director (4)||$4,087,390,094||$6,983,067,690||58.5%|
|Randi Hiller||4||Casting Director (4)||$3,174,810,622||$5,167,129,639||61.4%|
Special Effects Supervisor (2)
Special Effects Coordinator (1)
Visual Effects Supervisor (1)
|Ben Davis||3||Director of Photography (3)||$2,175,877,980||$3,075,767,753||70.7%|
|Charles Wood||3||Production Designer (3)||$2,820,480,496||$3,859,852,952||73.1%|
|Larry Lieber||3||Story Creator (3)||$1,655,331,075||$1,655,331,075||100.0%|
Associate Producer (1)
Executive Producer (1)
|Dan Lebental||3||Editor (3)||$1,724,606,620||$2,647,283,954||65.1%|
|Alexandra Byrne||3||Costume Designer (3)||$2,625,204,598||$3,225,626,625||81.4%|
|David J. Grant||3||
Associate Producer (1)
Associate Producer (1)
|Christopher Townsend||3||Visual Effects Supervisor (3)||$2,990,667,916||$3,296,058,745||90.7%|
|Lauri Gaffin||3||Set Decorator (3)||$1,655,331,075||$3,525,577,298||47.0%|
First Assistant Director (3)
Associate Producer (3)
|Janek Sirrs||3||Visual Effects Supervisor (3)||$3,547,746,746||$4,932,583,108||71.9%|
|Frank Eulner||3||Supervising Sound Editor (3)||$2,725,484,004||$7,834,270,821||34.8%|
|Daniel Laurie||3||Supervising Sound Editor (3)||$2,384,688,401||$2,430,396,325||98.1%|
Re-recording Mixer (3)
Sound Mixer (1)
|Diana Giorgiutti||3||Visual Effects Producer (3)||$1,612,531,297||$1,827,612,107||88.2%|
Stunt Coordinator (2)
Second Unit Director (1)
Utility Stunts (1)
|Jonathan Taylor||3||Second Unit Director (3)||$1,765,303,219||$7,731,088,346||22.8%|
Special Effects Supervisor (2)
SFX Supervisor (1)
|Thomas Robinson Harper||3||Stunt Coordinator (3)||$2,109,135,332||$3,544,672,452||59.5%|
|Peyton Reed||2||Director (2)||$518,602,163||$1,076,230,945||48.2%|
|Nicole Perlman||2||Screenwriter (2)||$771,172,112||$771,172,112||100.0%|
Story Creator (1)
Executive Producer (1)
|Nigel Gostelow||2||Executive Producer (2)||$1,015,172,292||$1,253,838,214||81.0%|
Story Creator (1)
Executive Producer (1)
Based on the Marvel Comic by (1)
Captain America Created by (1)
Executive Producer (1)
|Michael Grillo||2||Executive Producer (2)||$1,233,004,052||$2,283,017,190||54.0%|
|Trent Opaloch||2||Director of Photography (2)||$1,866,086,238||$2,469,733,816||75.6%|
|Don Heck||2||Story Creator (2)||$1,206,004,457||$1,206,004,457||100.0%|
|Lisa Lassek||2||Editor (2)||$2,924,185,415||$3,647,081,387||80.2%|
|Judianna Makovsky||2||Costume Designer (2)||$1,866,086,238||$5,256,944,356||35.5%|
|Dan DeLeeuw||2||Visual Effects Supervisor (2)||$1,866,086,238||$2,162,111,466||86.3%|
|Alan Silvestri||2||Composer (2)||$1,890,049,323||$13,311,097,277||14.2%|
|Matthew Libatique||2||Cinematographer (2)||$1,206,004,457||$2,786,627,347||43.3%|
|Henry Jackman||2||Composer (2)||$1,866,086,238||$6,932,530,752||26.9%|
|J. Michael Riva||2||Production Designer (2)||$1,206,004,457||$5,028,531,315||24.0%|
Visual Effects Supervisor (2)
Special Effects Supervisor (1)
|Greg Hooper||2||Art Director (2)||$2,671,163,896||$6,359,102,694||42.0%|
|David Klassen||2||Supervising Art Director (2)||$1,206,004,457||$2,035,179,482||59.3%|
|Jose Antonio Garcia||2||Sound Mixer (2)||$2,734,871,819||$6,648,405,788||41.1%|
Score Producer (1)
|Peter Devlin||2||Sound Mixer (2)||$1,664,718,890||$2,299,317,657||72.4%|
|David Stephenson||2||Sound Mixer (2)||$1,015,172,292||$2,219,990,839||45.7%|
Second Unit Director (2)
Stunt Coordinator (1)
|Ben Snow||2||Visual Effects Supervisor (2)||$1,206,004,457||$3,561,345,558||33.9%|
|Steve Dent||2||Stunt Coordinator (2)||$1,015,172,292||$3,552,587,335||28.6%|
Art Director (1)
Set Designer (1)
Associate Producer (2)
Assistant Director (2)
|Jojo Villanueva||2||Music Coordinator (2)||$845,861,039||$5,763,052,662||14.7%|
|Jeanette Surga||2||Music Editor (2)||$2,620,098,140||$7,973,000,694||32.9%|
|Richard Roberts||2||Set Decorator (2)||$2,175,877,980||$9,620,156,402||22.6%|