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Weekend Estimates: New Year's Eve Brings No Cheer

December 11th, 2011

A dismal weekend is predicted all round this weekend, and the total box office is set to record its poorest score in three years, and its worst December weekend in over a decade. With Breaking Dawn, Part 1 continuing its rapid decline, and no hits coming out since, the top of the chart has a decidedly anemic look to it. New Year's Eve will be top with around $13.7 million, a number that is miles behind last year's $56.3 million debut for Valentine's Day. The Sitter will come second with $10 million, which is less of an embarrassment, given its edgier nature, but still well below par.

One small ray of hope comes from the fact that a couple returning films are performing fairly well on a week-to-week basis. Arthur Christmas will be down just 11% according to Sony Pictures while Paramount estimates a decline of 19% for Hugo. Both films should continue to play well through the Holiday Season, although with grosses to date of (coincidentally) $33.49 million, neither film can be considered a real success yet.

There are two more bright sparks among limited releases. Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy will earn a very impressive $300,000 or so in just four theaters and top the Per Theater Chart this weekend. Young Adult, meanwhile, will start with $320,000 in eight venues. Both films will attempt to ride early buzz into more theaters in coming weeks, with Young Adult expanding to 1,000 movie houses next weekend.

- Weekend Estimates

Bruce Nash

Filed under: Weekend Box Office, Hugo, Arthur Christmas, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 1, Young Adult, New Year’s Eve, The Sitter, Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy