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Weekend Estimates: Daddies Sneak into Second Place; Thor Solid in Second Week

November 12th, 2017

Daddy’s Home 2

Thor: Ragnarok maintains a firm hold on top spot at the domestic and international box office this weekend, with a respectable decline of 54% at home taking it to $56.6 million for the weekend and $211.6 million to date. With another $75.9 million internationally, for a total of $438.5 million overseas, Ragnarok will pass $650 million worldwide today. That makes it the most successful Thor film already, and it seems like it should retain decent traction into the holidays, even with Justice League coming out next weekend.

The two new wide releases this weekend weren’t expected to pose much of a threat to Thor, but both have turned in good performances. Daddy’s Home 2 has overcome some troubling press and terrible reviews to land in second place for the weekend with about $30 million. This is a prime case of audiences disagreeing with critics, and the film has actually had very slightly better legs than Murder on the Orient Express over its opening frame. The Kenneth Branagh-Agatha Christie mystery will be close behind with an estimated $28.2 million. Both films look like effective counter-programming heading into the holiday season, so we can’t count them out from doing good business, at least through Thanksgiving. The second weekend for both films will be key though—a decline of more than 50% would put them on the wrong side of $4,000 per theater, and make it hard to hold on to screens.

In fourth place this weekend, A Bad Moms Christmas will be down just 31% from its opening weekend, to $11.51 million. STX Entertainment notes that this is the best decline of the year from a wide release comedy. The film has earned just shy of $40 million so far.

Two films in limited release are having outstanding weekends. Lady Bird is following its massive opening weekend with another $1.24 million this time around from 37 theaters. After landing the best theater average of the year so far last weekend, this average is in the top 20 for the year, and the film has made it into the top 10 nationwide (partly thanks to relatively few competitors). Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri may be headed on a similar path. It will earn a projected $319,828 from just four theaters, giving it the third-best average of the year to date. It seems likely to follow a similar trajectory into the top 10. These two films, along with The Florida Project (which will earn another $579,000 or so this weekend, for $3.8 million in total), seem like the indie awards favorites so far.

Also of note in international markets, Coco will end the weekend with $41.4 million in Mexico, making it the highest-grossing animated film in that market, and second highest-grossing of all time.

- Weekend estimates
- Daddy’s Home franchise history
- Marvel Cinematic Universe franchise history
- Thor franchise history
- Bad Moms franchise history

- Murder on the Orient Express Comparisons
- Daddy’s Home 2 Comparisons
- Thor: Ragnarok Comparisons
- A Bad Moms Christmas Comparisons
- Jigsaw Comparisons
- Tyler Perry’s Boo 2! A Madea Halloween Comparisons
- Geostorm Comparisons
- Blade Runner 2049 Comparisons
- Happy Death Day Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Box Office, Justice League, Thor: Ragnarok, Murder on the Orient Express, A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy’s Home 2, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, The Florida Project, Lady Bird, Marvel Cinematic Universe, Thor, Bad Moms, Daddy’s Home, Kenneth Branagh, Agatha Christie
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