The Numbers News

← April 2015

Limited Releases: Limited Releases are Barely Here

May 29th, 2015

Barely Lethal

There are not a lot of films on this week's list; however, there are several that are earning overwhelmingly positive reviews. Heaven Knows What and I Believe in Unicorns are both coming of age films. Tu dors Nicole and Wet Bum are both Canadian films, the latter of which is only playing in Canada at the moment. Finally, there's Results its reviews are not as good as the other four, but its chances of earning some measure of mainstream success is likely greater. More...

We Are You Friends Trailer

May 29th, 2015

We Are Your Friends

Drama starring Zac Efron opens August 28 ... Full movie details... More...

Contest: I Spy!

May 28th, 2015

Next week is the first week of June and there are three films opening wide: Entourage, Insidious: Chapter 3, and Spy! There's a chance none of these films will finish with $100 million at the box office, but Spy! has the best shot at that milestone. As such, it is the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Spy!.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize. Because The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water is coming out on 3D Blu-ray this Tuesday (Look for our review coming out over the weekend.) our Frankenprizes will feature SpongeBob SquarePants releases, as well as other similar kids DVDs. Its a great prize to win just as school ends. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a SpongeBob Frankenprize. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a SpongeBob Frankenprize. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Will May End on a Disastrous Note?

May 28th, 2015

San Andreas

The weekend after a holiday is usually a bad weekend at the box office. This time around, San Andreas is the clear front-runner while Aloha might struggle, even as counter-programming. San Andreas will earn more than $30 million over the weekend, no other film is on track to hitting $20 million. On the other hand, there could be six other films that earn $10 million or more over the weekend. By comparison, this weekend last year, Maleficent opened with nearly $70 million, while X-Men: Days of Future Past earned more than $30 million. There's no way the top of the chart will match that. Even with better depth, it is very unlikely 2015 will win in the year-over-year comparison. More...

International Box Office: Ultron Still Ultimate Film on International Chart

May 28th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

For the fifth week in a row, The Avengers: Age of Ultron remained in first place. This week it pulled in $45.8 million in 91 markets for month-long totals of $859.8 million internationally and $1.265 billion worldwide. The film made $53.98 million in China, but that was for the full week, giving it a running tally of $209.39 million after 13 days of release. At this pace, the film should have no trouble hitting $900 million internationally and $1.3 million worldwide, likely over the weekend. Meanwhile, it has yet to open in Japan and should made $50 million, more or less, in that market alone. Will it get to $1 billion internationally? It is still too soon to tell. It should at least be close. More...

Contest: Don't Wait till Tomorrow to Enter: Winning Announcement

May 27th, 2015

The winners of our Don't Wait till Tomorrow to Enter contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Tomorrowland opening weekend were... More...

Per Theater Chart: In the Name of the Per Theater Chart

May 27th, 2015

When Marnie Was There

In the Name of my Daughter rose to the first place on the per theater chart with an average of $20,069 in four theaters. I'll See You in My Dreams saw its theater count expand to 26 while its average was mostly flat down to $14,593. The best new release was When Marnie Was There, which earned an average of $13,695 in two theaters. This is great for an animated film in limited release. More...

Home Market Numbers: Paddington Helps Home Market Recover

May 27th, 2015

Paddington

It was a busy week on the home market with a seven new releases that charted this week, including Paddington. It led the Blu-ray sales chart helping the overall market grow when compared to last week, by 9.9% in terms of units and 4.4% in terms of revenue. The market was mixed when compared to last year, as 3.3% more units were sold, but 10% less revenue was generated. This is better than the overall DVD market performed, which helped the overall Blu-ray share rise to 37%. I would like this to be 40%, but it is close enough that I'm not worried. More...

DVD Sales: Paddington Pads Its Lead

May 27th, 2015

The top of the DVD sales chart were dominated by new releases with four of the top five DVDs new to the charts. This includes Paddington, which took top spot with 216,000 units / $3.24 million. More...

Blu-ray Sales: Paddington Leads Parade of New Releases

May 27th, 2015

New releases took the top three spots on the Blu-ray sales chart, led by Paddington. The film sold 168,000 units and generated $3.35 million in sales. Its opening week Blu-ray share was 44%, which is amazing for a live action family film. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: The Sun didn't Shine on Tomorrow

May 27th, 2015

Tomorrowland

The Memorial Day long weekend was not as strong as anticipated, as no film in the top five really topped expectations. Tomorrowland did earn first place, but it barely earned more in four days as it was expected to earn in three. Pitch Perfect 2 crossed $100 million over the weekend and The Avengers: Age of Ultron crossed $400 million, so those milestones helped cushion the blow. Even so, the overall box office fell 18% when compared to last week, falling to $152 million over the three day weekend. It was also down 19% from last year over the three day period. Over four days, the box office pulled in $191 million, which was 17% lower than the same weekend last year. This is a disappointing loss. 2015 is still ahead of 2014, albeit by a margin of just 2.1% at $4.02 billion to $3.95 billion. More...

DVD and Blu-ray Releases for May 26th, 2015

May 25th, 2015

Welcome to Me

Wow. It is a summer week on the home market, as there are a ton of summer shows coming out on DVD. Unfortunately, none of them seem like big sellers. The best-selling new release of the week is Seventh Son, which is a terrible sign. The second best is The Nanny: The Complete Series. I don't know how to react to that. As for the best of the new releases, Magician: The Astonishing Life and Work of Orson Wells (DVD or Blu-ray) is as good as it gets. More...

Featured Blu-ray / DVD Review: Let Us Prey

May 24th, 2015

Let Us Prey is a British / Irish co-production that was first released in 2014 and was featured in a few film festivals during the year. However, it is only getting a Direct-to-DVD release in the States. There are a lot of horror movies that are released Direct-to-DVD, many of which are terrible. Can this film stand out? Or is there a reason it didn't get a theatrical release? More...

Tropes and Bad Writing

May 24th, 2015

It has been a horrendously busy week at work, so much so that I just got a chance to watch the few TV shows I bother to watch on a weekly basis. I still haven't had a chance to watch the season finale of Modern Family or this week's episode of iZombie, but I finally got a chance to see the most recent episode of Game of Thrones. I know I'm late to the party, but I would like to talk about the show's most controversial scene of the season and tropes. More...

Weekend Estimates: Tomorrowland Barely Ahead of Pitch Perfect 2

May 24th, 2015

Tomorrowland

The good news this Memorial Day weekend is that five movies will gross over $20 million. The bad news is that none of them will do any better than Tomorrowland’s soft $32 million debut. Disney’s latest will barely scrape in ahead of Pitch Perfect 2 over three days, with the singing sensation expected to generate $30.3 million. Over four days, Tomorrowland may pull into a slightly larger lead, thanks to its more family-friendly nature, but it will take a much better performance overseas for the sci-fi adventure to recoup its costs. More...

Home Market Numbers: Taken Helps Home Market Bounce Back, Sort Of

May 23rd, 2015

Taken 3

After two weeks with no prime releases, this week we have one prime new release, Taken 3. It dominated the Blu-ray sales chart with about 44% of the total overall Blu-ray market. This was enough to help the overall Blu-ray market grow 23% in terms of units and 13% in terms of revenue when compared to last week. Compared to last year, the Blu-ray market was 5.6% lower in terms of units and 18% lower in terms of revenue. Changes in the DVDs sales were nearly identical, so the overall Blu-ray share remained at 34%. More...

DVD Sales: Taken Dominates on DVD

May 23rd, 2015

There was only one big new release on the DVD sales chart. Taken 3 earned an easy first place with 435,000 units / $6.48 million. This is well below the opening week sales of the first two films in the franchise. More...

Blu-ray Sales: Taken 3 Leads Trio of New Releases

May 23rd, 2015

New releases were not terrible, which makes this week on the Blu-ray sales chart better than the past couple of weeks. Taken 3 earned first place with 253,000 units / $5.03 million over the week for an opening week Blu-ray share of 37%. Its raw numbers are significantly lower than Taken 2's opening week Blu-ray sales. Additionally, its opening week Blu-ray share was just 37%, which is lower than most action films. Then again, its reviews were awful, so even fans of the franchise might not be interested in spending extra to get the high definition version. More...

Cooties Trailer

May 23rd, 2015

Cooties

Black comedy starring Elijah Wood, Rainn Wilson and Alison Pill opens September 18... Full movie details... More...

Limited Releases: When Limited Releases are Here and There

May 22nd, 2015

When Marnie Was There

There are not a lot of films on this week's list of limited releases and almost none of them look like they will expand enough to earn some measure of mainstream success. When Marnie Was There seems like the best candidate, but it is very hard for an animated film in limited release. More...

Contest: Complete Disaster

May 22nd, 2015

There are two wide releases coming out next week, Aloha and San Andreas. The former will likely earn better reviews, but the latter will likely open faster. Because of this, it is the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for San Andreas.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize. Because San Andreas is a disaster movie, I was going to find another disaster film to feature as part of the prize pack and I found Airplane! Don't Call Me Shirley Edition on DVD, which is the greatest disaster movie ever made. I also own it on Blu-ray, so the DVD is up for grabs. The winner will also get another previously reviewed DVD. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win two previously reviewed DVDs and / or Blu-rays. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win two previously reviewed DVDs and / or Blu-rays. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Tomorrow be a Better Day?

May 22nd, 2015

Tomorrowland

It's Memorial Day long weekend, which is one of the best weekends of the year at the box office. There are two new releases trying to take advantage of the holiday, Tomorrowland and Poltergeist. There are also three major holdovers that will remain potent over the weekend: Mad Max: Fury Road, Pitch Perfect 2, and The Avengers: Age of Ultron. There's a chance all five of these films will made $30 million or more over the next four days. Like we've seen most weeks this summer, this weekend last year had a much bigger hit on top. X-Men: Days of Future Past opened with more than $90 million, but only one other film, Godzilla earned more than $15 million over the three-day weekend. So again, 2015 won't match 2014 at the top, but the depth should help 2015 win in the year-over-year comparison. More...

International Box Office: Age of Billionaires

May 21st, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Avengers: Age of Ultron remained in first place with ease earning $185.0 million in 91 markets for totals of $770.5 million internationally and $1.143 billion worldwide. The film is now the eighth biggest hit of all time, while two of the films above it are also from the Marvel Cinematic Universe. We actually thought that Disney might have overpaid when they bought Marvel. We were wrong. In our defense, no one saw this coming. This past weekend, the film opened in first place in China with $84.84 million for a six-day opening of $154.63 million. China is already the biggest market for Age of Ultron's international run, and it only took four days to get there. Up next for the film is Japan, but the film doesn't open there till July. More...

Contest: Bad Prizes: Winning Announcement

May 21st, 2015

The winners of our Bad Prizes contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Mad Max: Fury Road opening weekend were... More...

Per Theater Chart: Perfect Dreams

May 20th, 2015

I'll See You In My Dreams

Pitch Perfect 2 opened in first place on the overall chart and matched that on the per theater chart earning an average of $19,930. I'll See You in My Dreams placed second with an average of $16,447 in three theaters. Its reviews suggest it has at least some potential to expand. Pather Panchali was the only holdover in the $10,000 club with $14,793 in its lone theater during its second week of release. Mad Max: Fury Road earned an average of $12,271. It is not that common that we have two wide releases in the $10,000 club. Every Secret Thing was the final film in the $10,000 with $11,083 in one theater. More...

DVD and Blu-ray Releases for May 19th, 2015

May 19th, 2015

Orange is the New Black: Season Two

The home market is a lot stronger than it has been in weeks, but that is almost entirely due to the release of American Sniper on DVD and Blu-ray Combo Pack. On the other hand, it is not the best release on this week's list. There were many of contenders for Pick of the Week, including Girlhood and Limelight, but in the end I went with Orange Is the New Black: Season 2. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Perfection, Times Two

May 19th, 2015

Pitch Perfect 2

The overall box office was a little stronger than expected, including the number one film. Pitch Perfect 2 did something very few sequels do. It opened with more during its first weekend than its predecessor made in total. Mad Max: Fury Road also opened with more than Mad Max: Beyond Thunderdome earned in total, but it has 30 years of inflation and population growth of roughly 33% to help it out, so it is a less impressive feat. Because both wide releases were so strong, the overall box office grew by 40% from last weekend to $184 million. This was also 3.4% higher than the same weekend last year, which allowed 2015 to maintain its lead over 2014. At the moment, 2015 is ahead of 2014 by 3.2% or $120 million at $3.78 billion to $3.66 billion. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Team Umizoomi: Meet Shark Car

May 18th, 2015

Good Kill

It has been a while since I reviewed anything from Team Umizoomi, the math-based educational series for pre-schoolers. What episodes are on this DVD? And are there any extras to help with the price-per-minute? More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Strawberry Shortcake: Berry Best in Show

May 18th, 2015

Good Kill

Strawberry Shortcake: Berry Best in Show is the latest DVD release from Strawberry Shortcake's Berry Bitty Adventures. This TV show started in 2010 and lasted 52 episodes before ending in 2013. However, recently it was announced that the show would be coming back starting in June of this year. So it makes sense to release a DVD of the previous season to get kids excited. More...

Featured DVD Review: Roommate Wanted

May 18th, 2015

Good Kill

I've reviewed lots of films over the years, including many that were small films that likely slipped below most people's radar. Roommate Wanted is one of those films. Despite having leads that certainly have more name recognition than most smaller films have, this film still doesn't have a single review on Rotten Tomatoes. Is there are reason this film is so unknown? Or is it a hidden gem? More...

Featured DVD Review: Before I Disappear

May 17th, 2015

Good Kill

Before I Disappear opened in limited release and Video on Demand last November, which is the heart of Awards Season. Despite earning a number of awards in various Film Festivals, its reviews were not Award-worthy and the competition led to its quick disappearance at the box office. Now that it is on the home market, is it worth checking out? Or would the film have struggled no matter when it was released? More...

Weekend Estimates: Mad Max Caught in Perfect Storm

May 17th, 2015

Pitch Perfect 2

Pitch Perfect 2 is coming out the clear winner of an odd couple match-up at multiplexes this weekend. The tuneful sequel will post $70 million or so at the box office this weekend, according to Universal, the third-best weekend ever for a live action comedy after The Hangover Part II ($85.9 million) and Austin Powers in Goldmember ($73.1 million). As Brent Lang notes at Variety it also shares another record with Austin Powers as a sequel that earned more in its opening weekend than the first movie did in its entire theatrical run: The Spy Who Shagged Me did the same back in 1999. Actually, this is arguably an achievement shared by Mad Max: Fury Road too: its $44.44 million beats the $36.23 million total earned by Mad Max Beyond Thunderdome. More...

Featured DVD Review: Ten

May 17th, 2015

Good Kill

Ten is an ultra-low-budget horror film. Its production budget was just $25,000. There are probably lots of people reading this who drive a car more expensive than that. ... My DVD collection cost more than that, if you include the retail price of all of the DVDs and Blu-rays I have received to review over the years. (This is why I keep giving away previously reviewed stuff with our box office prediction contest.) This isn't the first film I've reviewed with a budget this low. Some have been awful, but there have also been some horror gems made in this price range. Is this one of the better examples? Or does it fall victim to its budget? More...

Limited Releases: Good and Slow

May 15th, 2015

Good Kill

This week's list of limited releases is shorter than usual, as I needed to get the home market numbers done. On the other hand, there are only six or so films earning great reviews and / or any amount of buzz, so there's not much you are missing. Good Kill could be the biggest hit, at least for a week before it goes to Video on Demand. Others, like Slow West, are already playing on Video on Demand. More...

Contest: Don't Wait till Tomorrow to Enter

May 15th, 2015

Next weekend is Memorial Day long weekend. When two films, Poltergeist and Tomorrowland, try to take advantage of the holidays. Tomorrowland has the significant advantage at the box office and it is the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Tomorrowland.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize. It was going to feature Strawberry Shortcake: Berry Best in Show, but the PR company ran out of copies, as there were more screener requests than they anticipated. So we are going to go with Winner's Choice of either a season of TV on DVD, two movies, or three single-disc kids shows that I previously reviewed. This could include Strawberry Shortcake: Berry Best in Show, or other DVDs from that franchise. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a second Winner's Choice Frankenprize. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a Winner's Choice Frankenprize. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Home Market Numbers: Babadook vs. Bunny

May 15th, 2015

The Babadook

It was another bad week on the home market with almost no first-run releases on the Blu-ray sales chart. The Woman in Black 2: Angel of Death was the closest we had to a first-run release, while both Batman vs. Robin and The Babadook outsold it. This wasn't enough to keep pace with last week and the Blu-ray sales fell 19% in terms of units and 10% in terms of revenue. This week last year was Easter, so it should come as no surprise that the home market was much stronger last year. Blu-ray sales fell 76% in terms of units and 71% in terms of revenue. That's painful, but not unexpected. DVDs sales were down by roughly the same amount, so the overall Blu-ray share remained at 34%. More...

DVD Sales: Five Armies Completes Three Weeks on Top

May 15th, 2015

None of the new releases were able to top the DVD sales chart leaving The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies in first place with 73,000 units / $1.10 million over the week for a total of 1.13 million units / $16.92 million. More...

Blu-ray Sales: Batman vs. Holdovers

May 15th, 2015

It was a bad week on the home market and none of the new releases sold more than 100,000 units on the Blu-ray sales chart. This includes the new number one release, Batman vs. Robin, which only sold 80,000 units / $1.34 million. This is much better than it performed on DVD and its opening week Blu-ray share was 65%. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will We Have a Perfect Opening, or Will the Box Office Be Mad?

May 14th, 2015

Mad Max: Fury Road

Mad Max: Fury Road and Pitch Perfect 2 both open wide this week. It is normally not a good idea to have two films competing for limited box office dollars, but these two films have divergent enough target audiences that it is unlikely that they will cannibalize each other too much. The Avengers: Age of Ultron will also still do well this weekend and help the overall box office do well. This weekend last year, Godzilla led the way with $93 million during its opening weekend. Neither Mad Max: Fury Road nor Pitch Perfect 2 will earn that much this weekend; however, they should earn more than that combined. Additionally, Age of Ultron should earn more than last year's second place film, Neighbors, and this depth could give 2015 the win in the year-over-year comparison. More...

International Box Office: Age Completes Threepeat, Tops $500 million

May 13th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

It was a milestone weekend for The Avengers: Age of Ultron, as it remained in first place on the international chart with $68 million in 90 markets over the weekend for totals of $562 million internationally and $875 million worldwide. The film had no major market openings this past weekend, although it did open in China on Tuesday earning $33.9 million during its opening day. We will deal with that next week. Currently, the film's biggest market is South Korea, where it has pulled in $72.53 million, including $6.29 million on 1,295 screens over the weekend. I can't see that lead lasting more than a couple more days, not with the opening we saw in China. More...

Contest: In Pursuit of Prizes: Winning Announcement

May 13th, 2015

The winners of our In Pursuit of Prizes contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Hot Pursuit opening weekend were... More...

Per Theater Chart: Ultron is Still Big

May 12th, 2015

I Am Big Bird

The Avengers: Age of Ultron remained in first place on the per theater chart with an average of $18,182. It wasn't the only film in the $10,000 chart this week. Pather Panchali was close behind with $16,333 in its lone theater. I Am Big Bird: The Caroll Spinney Story earned $10,150 over the weekend for a total of $13,053 from Wednesday through Sunday. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Ultron Runs Away from Hot Pursuit

May 12th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

As expected, The Avengers: Age of Ultron earned first place and Hot Pursuit earned second place. Unfortunately, they missed expectations in terms of raw numbers. They missed expectations so much that the box office fell 44% from last weekend to $131 million. Worse still, this is down 4.1% from the same weekend last year. 2015 still has a lead over 2014 by a margin of 4.6% at $3.57 billion to $3.41 billion. Unfortunately, I think this lead will start to slip this week. More...

DVD and Blu-ray Releases for May 12th, 2015

May 11th, 2015

Welcome to Me

It is a typical summer week on the home market with little to no prime releases. The biggest release of the week is Still Alice, which earned $18 million in theaters. That's not bad for a limited release. It is better than some of the wide releases that came out earlier this year. Fortunately, the Blu-ray is also the best new release of the week and it is the Pick of the Week. In fact, it isn't even close as there are no other contenders for that title. More...

Weekend Estimates: Hot Pursuit No Match for Ultron

May 10th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

Hot Pursuit is utterly failing to live up to its name this weekend, with an anaemic $13.3 million opening—the worst for Reese Witherspoon since Cruel Intentions in 1999, and her worst ever for a wide-release movie, when adjusted for inflation. The Avengers: Age of Ultron wasn't really expected to be threatened in first place, and is actually doing quite well for a movie that opened with close to $200 million. It will be down about 60% this weekend to $77.2 million, per Disney, the second-best second weekend ever, just ahead of Avatar, and some way behind The Avengers. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Rawhide: The Complete Collection

May 10th, 2015

I recently reviewed the MacGyver Megaset and my opinion of Megasets remains the same. There's little point in going over the series, other than giving the basics. The real question is whether or not it is worth upgrading for those who bought the original releases? Or is it worth picking up for those who skipped them the first time around? More...

Limited Releases: Not a Big Week for Limited Releases

May 8th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

This week's list of limited releases isn't exactly short, but it is short on potential hits. Maggie and 5 Flights Up both have strong casts, but are playing in potentially too many theaters and also on Video on Demand. Noble is earning some of the best reviews, but its high theater count and lack of star power could hurt it. I Am Big Bird: The Caroll Spinney Story is also earning great reviews, but it is one of the rare documentaries that is taking the Video on Demand route. More...

International Box Office: Ultron Still the Ultimate Film at the Box Office

May 8th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Avengers: Age of Ultron remained in top spot on the international chart with $168.8 million in 88 markets over the weekend for totals of $439.8 million internationally and $631.1 million worldwide. The film opened in first place in Mexico with $18.89 million over the weekend for a total opening of $25.5 million. The first film opened with $17.44 million, but it opened on a Friday, so it is a little harder to directly compare the two debuts. Age of Ultron did break the five-day opening record, so the studio has to be happy. It also broke the all-time opening record in Ecuador with $2.08 million on 122 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $2.73 million. It was strong, but not record-breaking, in Thailand, where it earned $3.98 million on 468 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $4.43 million. The same could be said of its openings in Spain ($4.84 million on 905 screens) and Peru ($3.16 million on 407). On the other hand, it opened in second place in Slovenia with $44,000 on 21 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $60,000. It was beat by The SpongBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water's sophomore stint there. I don't know what this means about the market and their opinion of Marvel vs. Sponges, but it is certainly an interesting bit of information. More...

Contest: Bad Prizes

May 7th, 2015

There is a two-horse race next week with Mad Max: Fury Road and Pitch Perfect 2. While I think people are underestimating Pitch Perfect 2, Fury Road should have a faster start. Because of this, it is the choice for the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Mad Max: Fury Road.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize. Normally I just grab prizes at random, but in this case the first prize I grabbed was Bad Santa on Unrated DVD. At first I thought, "I can't give out Christmas DVDs in May?" But why not? So each Frankenprize includes one Christmas release. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed DVD or Blu-ray and a Christmas release. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed DVD or Blu-ray and a Christmas release. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: New Release in Hot Pursuit of Ultron

May 7th, 2015

Hot Pursuit

The Avengers: Age of Ultron will continue to lead the way at the box office this weekend, but Hot Pursuit hopes to at least put in a good showing as counter-programming. Its reviews suggest that will be an uphill battle. Additionally, Age of Ultron will probably suffer a pretty big drop when compared to last week, because it is a comic book movie, its a sequel and its reviews are lower than its predecessor's were. This weekend last year, Neighbors opened with close to $50 million. Age of Ultron will earn more than that. It could earn more than Neighbors and The Amazing Spider-Man 2 made combined, while Hot Pursuit will make twice what the two counter-programming releases made last year. 2015 should come away with an easy win. More...

Contest: Age of Prizes 2: Electric Boogaloo: Winning Announcement

May 7th, 2015

The winners of our Age of Prizes 2: Electric Boogaloo contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for The Avengers: Age of Ultron opening weekend were... More...

Per Theater Chart: Welcome to the Age of Ultron

May 7th, 2015

Welcome to Me

The Avengers: Age of Ultron not only earned first place on the overall box office chart, but it also topped the per theater chart with an average of $44,731. There were a couple of limited releases in the $10,000 club, Welcome to Me with an average of $19,084 in two theaters and Far from the Madding Crowd with an average of $16,499 in ten theaters. Iris came really close with an average of $9,542 in six theaters over the weekend and an average of $11,467 from Wednesday through Sunday. More...

DVD and Blu-ray Releases for May 5th, 2015

May 6th, 2015

Selma

While summer is the worst time of year for the home market, there are actually two big first-run releases coming out this week, plus a handful of TV on DVD releases that are worth checking out. The biggest release is 50 Shades of Grey, but while it made more than $500 million worldwide, its reviews are just bad. On the other hand, Selma, the second biggest new release of the week, is clearly the best new release of the week and the DVD or Blu-ray Combo Pack is the Pick of the Week. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Ultron has Disappointing Opening?

May 5th, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron That question mark in the headline isn't a mistake, as some actually consider The Avengers: Age of Ultron's opening a disappointment, but I don't think that's fair. Sure, it opened below expectations, but it still managed more than $190 million, which is the second-biggest opening of all time. Some still consider this a disappointing opening, because the biggest opening film of all time was the original The Avengers. Second biggest opening weekend of all time and it is still considered a disappointment by some. We are living in a weird world. Overall, the box office was $233 million, which was 139% more than last weekend. It was also 51% more than the same weekend last year. Growth like this usually only happens when there is a misalignment in holidays, but it makes sense when you compare the openings of Age of Ultron and The Amazing Spider-Man 2. 2015's lead over 2014 nearly doubled over the weekend to $110 million at $3.38 billion to $3.28 billion. A 3.3% lead is not amazing, but it is enough that the industry should be more than happy. More...

Featured DVD Review: Miss Julie

May 5th, 2015

Miss Julie is the fourth adaptation of the play of the same name by August Strindberg, the most recent adaptation coming in 1999. It is also the second film starring Jessica Chastain that I've reviewed in the past few weeks. A Most Violent Year didn't live up to expectations. This film's reviews were only mixed, so my expectations are lower. I expect Jessica Chastain's performance to be great, but will the rest of the movie be the same? More...

Featured Blu-ray / DVD Review: Selma

May 4th, 2015

Selma Selma is the latest film about African-American history that I've reviewed in the past few years. Twelve Years a Slave and The Book of Negroes where both about slavery, while Selma is about the civil rights movement. The change of setting will be nice and I'm hoping the film will be just as good without being as difficult to watch. More...

Featured DVD Review: Shadow Zombie

May 3rd, 2015

Shadow Zombie is a difficult movie to described. It is not about zombies, at least not in the traditional sense of the word. The film is written and directed by Jorge Torres-Torres and stars Kim Filth, who plays a fictionalized version of himself. How fictionalized? That's hard to tell. More...

Weekend Estimates: Age of Ultron Projected to Fall Short of Record

May 3rd, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

The Avengers: Age of Ultron looks set to fall just short of the all-time box office record this weekend, based on Disney’s Sunday morning weekend projection. There were already signs it would struggle after Friday’s numbers were announced, and Saturday’s $57 million day leaves the film with much too much to do on Sunday to break the record. Disney is projecting $187.66 million as of this morning, and I expect the film to come in a shade below that, based on other tracking. It’s pretty hard to call $188 million a disappointing weekend, although it is short of most expectations. The film still has plenty of entries in the record books to celebrate. More...

Friday Estimates: Age of Ultron’s $84.5 Million is Second-Best Ever

May 2nd, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

Sources are reporting a $84.5 million opening day for The Avengers: Age of Ultron, the second-best day at the domestic box office in history, behind the $91 million earned by Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part II back in 2011. Given that Deathly Hallows made $43.5 million on Thursday night/midnight shows, to Ultron’s $27.6 million, this weekend’s release would have a legitimate claim to the biggest actual day (as opposed to the biggest “studio day”) if it wasn’t for the fact that The Avengers made $62 million on Friday, after $18.7 million at midnight shows. Ultron’s $56.9 million on Friday is a little bit shy of that number.

Continue below the fold for what that might mean for the weekend as a whole... More...

Featured Blu-ray / DVD Review: The Barber

May 2nd, 2015

The Barber came out at the end of March and failed to find an audience in theaters. It was the wrong genre for limited release, but the reviews didn't help. Now that it is out on the home market, is it worth checking out? Were the critics unjustly harsh? More...

Limited Releases: Looking Stylish

May 1st, 2015

Far From the Madding Crowd

Two points before we get to the films on this week's list. One, the column is late. Sorry. Two, anyone else noticing a decrease is stability with Firefox? It has been crashing a lot the past few days, hence the delay with this column. This week’s list is filled with many films that are earning good reviews, but not great reviews, and are playing on Video on Demand. Iris is the best film coming out this week, but Far from the Madding Crowd is probably going to be the biggest hit. More...

Ultron Posts Sixth-Best Midnight Total

May 1st, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

Age of Ultron launched domestically on Thursday night with $27.6 million in preview screenings, the sixth-best start of all-time. Perhaps more importantly for gauging the film’s likely performance this weekend, that’s up 48% from the $18.7 million earned by The Avengers three years ago. That early $9 million lead bodes well for an all-time opening weekend record when the dust settles on Monday morning. More...

Contest: In Pursuit of Prizes

May 1st, 2015

Next week Hot Pursuit is the only film opening wide, so it is the only choice for the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Hot Pursuit.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of The Barber on Blu-ray. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed DVD or Blu-ray. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed DVD or Blu-ray. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Ultron vs. Loki

May 1st, 2015

The Avengers: Age of Ultron

The summer blockbuster season starts in earnest this weekend with the release of The Avengers: Age of Ultron. The film will open in first place, obviously, but the real question is whether or not it will top its predecessor. The first film opened with just over $207 million, which remains the record for an opening weekend. There is a better than 50/50 chance that the record will fall this weekend. If it doesn’t, you can expect a lot of film journalists writing stories about the end of the “Age of Marvel” / “Age of Super Heroes.” I have a funny feeling many of them are already written in anticipation of this possibility. The rest of the top five will be mostly an afterthought. This weekend last year, The Amazing Spider-Man 2 opened with $91.61 million over the weekend. Age of Ultron should make more than that opening day. 2015 is going to win the year-over-year comparison with ease. More...

2015 Preview: May

May 1st, 2015

Mad Max: Fury Road

April is over and there was good news and bad news. Good news: Furious 7 crushed the competition, and broke records along the way. Bad news: Furious 7 crushed the competition and no other April release will earn as much in total as Furious 7 earned during its opening day. Fortunately, Furious 7 was so strong that it carried April of 2015 to a draw when compared to April of 2014. May has a lot of similarities to April. The Avengers: Age of Ultron is expected to break records during its opening weekend and even the low end has it earning more than $1 billion worldwide. Unfortunately, no other film is going to come close to that figure. There are five other films with a potential to reach $100 million at the box office. The keyword there is "potential". There's a chance less than half of those five films will get to that milestone. And like last April, last May had much better depth with five films that reached $100 million, including four that surpassed $200 million. Age of Ultron will earn more than the combined totals of Maleficent, last month's winner, and X-Men: Days of Future Past, which placed second for the month. I am a little concerned about the lack of depth this month and this could cause May to lose in the month-over-month comparison in the end. More...