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The Numbers News

← August 2016

Theater Averages: The Week’s Best Average Money can Buy is $9,511

September 28th, 2016

The Best Democracy Money Can Buy

Like last week, no films joined the $10,000 club this past weekend. Two came close though. Firstly, The Best Democracy Money Can Buy earned $9,511 in its lone theater. That’s excellent for a documentary and hopefully this start will help it be seen by more. The number one overall film, The Magnificent Seven, was close behind with an average of $9,446. More...

Home Market Releases for September 27th, 2016

September 27th, 2016

Captain America: Civil War

It is a pretty good week on the home market with a few releases worth picking up. The biggest of these is Central Intelligence, but while it is worth picking up, it isn’t a contender for Pick of the Week. There are some smaller releases that were up for that title, including The Shallows, An American Werewolf in London and The Innocents. However, in the end, I went with Captain America: Civil War. The Blu-ray screener arrived late, and I held off on naming it Pick of the Week when it came out for that very reason. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Magnificent Wins Weekend with $34.70 million, but Box Office Slump Continues

September 27th, 2016

The Magnificent Seven

Is it time to panic? Not yet, but we are definitely getting concerned. The overall box office was soft due to the weaker than expected openings of The Magnificent Seven and Storks. Neither bombed exactly, but they weren’t particular strong either. The overall box office rose 16% from last weekend, but was down 25% from this weekend last year. Ouch. You usually only see that large a change in the year-over-year comparison when there is a misalignment in holidays. Year-to-date, 2016’s lead over 2015 dropped to 6.3% or $490 million at $8.35 billion to $7.86 billion. More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Beauty and the Beast: 25th Anniversary

September 26th, 2016

Beauty and the Beast

Beauty and the Beast: 25th Anniversary Blu-ray is the third review of the week and the second one for a movie I previously reviewed. The previous one, Highlander was a pleasant surprise, as it had lots of new extras. Will this one be the same? Is it also worth the upgrade? More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Highlander: 30th Anniversary

September 26th, 2016

Highlander: 30th Anniversary

Highlander came out 30 years ago and was a box office flop. However, it did really well on the home market allowing it to spawn a franchise that included four sequels and two TV shows. Now it is coming out on a 30th Anniversary Blu-ray, but this isn’t the first time the film has been released on high definition. Is it worth picking up? Is it worth the upgrade? More...

Weekend Estimates: Magnificent Seven Rides to $35 Million Opening

September 25th, 2016

Sully

The Magnificent Seven will almost exactly match Sully’s debut two weeks ago by posting a $35 million opening, according to Sony’s Sunday projection. To us, it looks as though the film will fall fractionally short of that number, but it should still have the sixth-best September opening of all time (not adjusted for inflation). Those two films alone have given the box office enough of a boost that the industry will wrap up the month in fairly healthy condition. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Captain America: Civil War

September 25th, 2016

Captain America: Civil War

Captain America: Civil War is the 13th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. That’s 13 films in just 8 years. The film pulled in more than $1 billion worldwide, so the market isn’t tired of these movies. However, has the brisk pace resulted in a substandard film? Or is it yet another critical smash? More...

Friday Estimates: Magnificent was Merely Okay with $12.7 million

September 24th, 2016

Storks

The Friday box office was not particularly good, as The Magnificent Seven led the way with just $12.7 million. This isn’t terrible. In fact, it is nearly the record for biggest opening day in September for a non-sequel. (Sweet Home Alabama still holds that record.) However, this is far below the nearly $20 million a lot were expecting. There are some positive signs going forward. The film’s reviews are good and it did earn an A- from CinemaScore, so that should help its legs. Likewise, Denzel Washington’s films do tend to have long legs. A $35 million opening weekend is likely on the cards and that could be enough to get to the century mark domestically. I’m not saying $100 million is likely, but I also wouldn’t bet against it. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Dirty 30 is Apt Description

September 23rd, 2016

Queen of Katwe

Like last week, approximately 30 films open in limited release this week. That is far too many and all but ensures most will not find an audience. Furthermore, it means I have to be a little more liberal when it comes to pruning releases that don’t have enough buzz to talk about. There are lots of films that still made the cut, including a few highlights: The Age of Shadows, Audrie & Daisy, The Dressmaker, The Lovers And The Despot, My Blind Brother, and Queen of Katwe. Some of these are playing on VOD, so they will go nowhere in theaters. Several are aiming for Oscars, including Queen of Katwe, which will expand semi-wide next week. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Magnificent Can’t Live Up to Name, but still Starts well with $1.75 million - Updated with Storks' Start

September 23rd, 2016

The Magnificent Seven

The Magnificent Seven earned $1.75 million during Thursday’s previews. This is not terrible; it is better than the $1.5 million The Equalizer made in 2014 and the $1.35 million Sully made two weeks ago. However, it is not as strong as most were expecting. Perhaps it will still match predictions, if the audience reaction is significantly better than its reviews. I wouldn’t bet on it. It will still likely earn first place, but now just under $40 million looks more likely than $50 million. More...

Contest: Dark Urges

September 23rd, 2016

The Purge: Election Year

Three wide releases are coming out next week. Of the three, Masterminds is by far the weakest and has no real shot at first place. In fact, if it opens above fifth place, I will be surprised. Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children is the widest, but the early reviews for Deepwater Horizon are excellent and I think that will give it the edge at the box office. Because of this, it is the target film in this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Deepwater Horizon.

We have copies of The Purge: The Election as prizes. While the film hit VOD this past Tuesday, we have copies on Blu-ray Combo Pack as prizes.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of The Purge: The Election on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win win a copy of The Purge: The Election on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win The Purge: The Election on Blu-ray Combo Pack.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Will the New Releases be Magnificent?

September 22nd, 2016

The Magnificent Seven

It is a perfect weekend at the box office, as there are only two wide releases and there are almost no crossover audiences between them. The Magnificent Seven is a remake of a remake and its solid, but not spectacular. Storks is a digitally animated kids movie that is earning mixed reviews, but that’s fine for a kids movie. Those two movies will likely earn more than the rest of the box office combined pulls in. This is both good news and bad news, as it is a combination of their strength and the rest of the box office’s weakness that is the cause. This weekend last year, Hotel Transylvania 2 debuted with $48 million, which is the record for a September weekend. I think The Magnificent Seven will top that, while Storks will double the second place film, The Intern. Unfortunately, last year there were three other films that earned more than $10 million, while this year there will be only one. 2016 is better on top, but 2015 had better depth. Perhaps 2016 will still come out ahead in the year-over-year comparison, but I don't think it will quite make it. More...

Theater Counts: Magnificent Seven, Storks up against Sully

September 22nd, 2016

The Magnificent Seven

The Magnificent Seven manages the improbable feat of being a remake of a remake, and with a pedigree like that, it’s perhaps no surprise that it’s the favorite to top the box office chart this weekend. It opens in an impressive-for-the-time-of-year 3,674 theaters, according to Sony’s Thursday announcement. Good though that is, two other films will be playing wider… More...

International Box Office: Bridget Jones’s Baby Bounces its way to Top Spot with $29.00 million

September 22nd, 2016

Bridget Jones’s Baby

Bridget Jones’s Baby struggled when it opened in theaters here, but it earned first place internationally with $29.00 million on 4,866 screens in 39 markets. It opened in its native U.K. with $10.53 million. This is a record opening in the U.K. for its production company, genre, and for the month of September. It is also more than it made here during its opening weekend, despite the U.K. market being five or six times smaller than the domestic market. The film also earned first place in Australia with $2.76 million on 483 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $3.68 million. This is also much better than its debut here, albeit not by as large a margin. The film cost $35 million to make and it has already made more than that worldwide. If it has legs, it will top $100 million internationally, which will be enough to cover its production budget, while it should ensure profitability, eventually. More...

Contest: Bewitching Prizes: Winning Announcement

September 22nd, 2016

Blair Witch

The winners of our Bewitching Prizes contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Blair Witch opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: Yerevan Highlight of Dark Weekend with an Average of $9,748

September 21st, 2016

3 Weeks in Yerevan

No films made it into the $10,000 club this past weekend, but 3 Weeks in Yerevan came really close with an average of $9,748 in three theaters. Another film, The Beatles: Eight Days a Week, did well with an average of $7,322 in 85 theaters. Sort of. In addition to playing in 85 theaters, there were another 80 theaters that had one-time showings over the weekend, which is why its total haul for the weekend is $771,153. I really hope having a mixed of regular showings and one-time screenings doesn’t catch on, because it makes our job of tracking box office numbers more confusing. More...

Passengers Trailer

September 20th, 2016

Sci-fi thriller starring Jennifer Lawrence and Chris Pratt opens December 21 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Home Market Releases for September 20th, 2016

September 20th, 2016

Labyrinth

It is not a great week on the home market, as the biggest release is Beauty and the Beast: 25th Anniversary. I’m still waiting for the screener, but I fear there will be less extras this time around. Modern Family: Season Seven was also a contender for Pick of the Week, but the light extras prevents it from earning that title. That leaves Labyrinth: 30th Anniversary Edition as the best of the week. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Sully Saves the Weekend, Again, with $21.65 million

September 19th, 2016

Blair Witch

Sully led the way on the weekend box office chart matching predictions nearly perfectly with $21.65 million. Unfortunately for the overall box office, it wasn’t a close race as both Blair Witch and Bridget Jones’s Baby really struggled. This caused the overall box office to fall 12% from last weekend to just $89 million. Worse still, this weekend last year, the box office was rebounding and because of that, 2016 lost the year-over-year comparison by 21%. Year-to-date, 2016 is still ahead of 2015 by a substantial margin of 6.6% or $510 million. To emphasize, a lead of $8.22 billion to $7.71 billion and 2016 would really have to blow it to end up behind 2015 in the end. However, if things don’t turn around soon, this becomes more and more likely. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Modern Family: Season Seven

September 19th, 2016

Modern Family: Season 7

The seventh season of Modern Family had the lowest ratings since the first season. It was also the worst season in terms of major awards. Has the show jumped the shark? Or is it still a great sitcom, even if it is no longer the best sitcom on TV? More...

Weekend Estimates: Sully Beats Trio of New Releases

September 18th, 2016

Sully

As expected, this weekend’s three new wide releases couldn’t budge Sully from the top of the chart with the Tom Hanks/Clint Eastwood drama down a very respectable 37% in its second weekend to $22 million, for a total of $70.5 million to date. Two films, Blair Witch and Bridget Jones’s Baby both had aspirations to challenge Sully for the title, but had to settle for second and third place. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Twin Peaks

September 18th, 2016

Twin Peaks

Twin Peaks came out more than 25 years ago and it was instantly a smash hit on TV an a cultural phenomenon. A year later it was gone. There was an attempt at a prequel movie, but the less said about that film’s box office numbers, the better. Despite its short and bumpy run, the show’s never really faded out of the minds of its fans and a box set makes perfect sense. Unfortunately, this isn’t the first time such a box set has been released. I previously reviewed the Definitive Gold Edition when it came out on DVD in 2007, while a Blu-ray edition, The Entire Mystery came out in 2014. Is this one worth upgrading to if you own the previous one? Is it at least worth buying if you missed the previous one? More...

Friday Estimates: New Releases Get Snowed Under by Sully’s $6.57 million Haul

September 17th, 2016

Snowden

Friday was terrible for new releases and Sully will have no trouble repeating on top of the chart this weekend. The film earned $6.57 million on Friday, which is less than a 50% decline from its opening Friday. It might not quite get to $22 million as predicted, but even if it doesn’t, it should come close enough to be considered a victory. This is great news, because it is the only September release so far that has done well enough to call it a box office success. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Blair Witch Spooks the Box Office with $765,000

September 16th, 2016

Blair Witch

Blair Witch led the way during Thursday’s previews with $765,000. This is well short of the horror films we had during the summer, including The Shallows at $1.33 million and Lights Out at $1.8 million. Then again, it isn’t really fair to compare previews during summer when a lot of the target audience doesn’t have to go to school the next day. Unfortunately, there are not a lot of horror films that come out in September and previews like this have only been ubiquitous for the past few years. I think it is a good sign, but I’m not sure. Maybe if moviegoers like it more than critics do, the film will be a hit. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Waiting All Week for Limited Releases

September 16th, 2016

The Beatles: Eight Days a Week, The Working Years

There are almost 30 films opening in limited release this week, so obviously I won’t have time talk about all of them. I won’t have time to talk about half of them. The two films that stand out in this crowd are The Beatles: Eight Days a Week, The Working Years and Miss Stevens. Both are earning great reviews, but the former is a documentary and the latter debuts on VOD on Tuesday, so neither has a great shot at box office success. More...

Contest: Magnificent Prizes

September 16th, 2016

Twin Peaks

There are a pair of wide releases coming out next week, The Magnificent Seven and Storks. Both films have a shot at $100 million domestically, but because Storks is a family film, The Magnificent Seven should get off to a faster start. Therefore, The Magnificent Seven is the better choice for the target film in this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for The Magnificent Seven.


Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of Twin Peaks: The Original Series, Fire Walk With Me & The Missing Pieces on Blu-ray. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a previously reviewed TV on DVD release. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will also win a previously reviewed TV on DVD release.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Baby vs. Witch

September 15th, 2016

Bridget Jones’s Baby

There are three wide releases this week, plus another that could sneak into the top ten. Two of the three new releases, Blair Witch and Bridget Jones’s Baby, are expected to do well. On the other hand, Snowden is only going to reach the top five due to the lack of competition. Meanwhile, Hillsong: Let Hope Rise is a faith-based concert film. It could reach the top five, or it could miss the Mendoza Line. There’s no way to predict its box office potential. Despite the number of new releases, Sully is expected to remain in top spot thanks to its reviews and target demographic. This weekend last year, Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials led the way with just over $30 million. It is likely no film will make that this year, while the depth is a mixed bag, so it looks like 2016 will lose in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Moana Trailer

September 15th, 2016

Disney animated adventure opens November 23 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Counts: Blair Witch Leads Openers

September 15th, 2016

Sully

Blair Witch takes the crown as the widest new release this weekend, as it launches in 3,121 theaters. With quite a lot of competition coming up on the horror front, perhaps opening six weeks before Halloween is a smart move, but it does seem a little early for that. We’ll have to wait and see how it performs. Likewise with Bridget Jones’s Baby, which debuts in 2,927 locations. Neither film is expected to topple Sully at the box office, and that film remains in widest release, in 3,525 theaters. Two movies will open wider than that next weekend, which will make things interesting at the top. More...

Featured DVD Review: In-Lawfully Yours

September 15th, 2016

In-Lawfully Your

In-Lawfully Your just appeared on my desk one day. It’s a small film, so small that there’s no page on Rotten Tomatoes. Is it worth checking out? Or is the target audience way too small for success? More...

International Box Office: Star Trek opens just Beyond Age Of Shadows with $16.6 million

September 14th, 2016

Star Trek Beyond

There were two films that could lay claim to top spot on the international chart. Star Trek Beyond has the better claim earning $16.6 million over the weekend in 40 markets for totals of $161.5 million internationally and $318.1 million worldwide. Its biggest debut came from Mexico, where it pulled in $1.29 million over the weekend for a four-day opening of $1.43 million. This was enough for first place. The film also remained in first place in China with $11.41 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $53.66 million. More...

Contest: Don’t Sully Your Reputation: Winning Announcement

September 14th, 2016

Sully

The winners of our Don’t Sully Your Reputation contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Morgan opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: Cameraperson Finishes First, Not Last, with $12,760

September 13th, 2016

Deok-hye-ong-ju-(South-Korea)-1-News.jpg

A trio of films reached the $10,000 club on the theater average chart this week, lead by Cameraperson with $12,760 in one theater. The Last Princess was also playing in one theater and was right behind with $11,607. The final film in the $10,000 club was Kicks with an average of $10,704 in three theaters. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Sully Saves the Box Office with $35.03 million

September 13th, 2016

Sully

Four films opened wide or semi-wide over the weekend, but only one of them, Sully, did well at the box office. It earned more than double its nearest competition, When the Bough Breaks, at $35.03 million to $14.20 million. The other two new releases bombed. Overall, the box office was flat, up 1.1% from last weekend to $101 million. This was also flat when compared to last year, down just 1.7%. Since this weekend was so close to last weekend, it should come as no surprise that the year-over-year comparison hardly moved. This time last week, 2016 was ahead of 2016 by just over 6.7%, while this week its lead is just under 6.8% at $8.10 billion to $7.58 billion. More...

Home Market Releases for September 13th, 2016

September 12th, 2016

The Transformers: The Movie

This week, the biggest hit of the year so far, Captain America: Civil War, comes out. It is also one of the best and the Blu-ray is a contender for Pick of the Week. Unfortunately, the screener is late and I don’t like awarding Pick of the Week to a release where I’m still waiting on the Blu-ray. The rest of the contenders are smaller films, including The Bloodstained Butterfly, which arrived late. Part of me wants to give the title to The Transformers: The Movie, but while I plan to buy the Blu-ray, I understand that Nostalgia has a lot to with that. ... Oh what the hell, doing it. The Transformers: The Movie is the Pick of the Week. More...

Weekend Estimates: Sully Executes Safe Landing with $35.5 Million

September 11th, 2016

Sully

More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: The Bloodstained Butterfly

September 10th, 2016

The Bloodstained Butterfly

The Bloodstained Butterfly is a Giallo film made by a director, Duccio Tessari, who is known mostly for westerns. Does this result in a mismatch of tones? Or is the film a prime example of the genre? More...

Friday Estimates: Sully Breaks Bough

September 10th, 2016

When the Bough Breaks

Sully is the only new release not to disappoint this weekend, as it earned $12.21 million on Friday. This is well ahead of Tom Hanks’ recent trio of real-life movies. It tops Captain Philips’ opening day by nearly 50%, and that movie went on to earn more than $100 million domestically. Additionally, the film’s reviews improved and hit 84% positive. That’s on the low end of potential Awards Season buzz, but it isn’t impossible to get there. It also earned a solid A from CinemaScore, which suggests good word-of-mouth. As for its opening weekend chances, it is on pace for about $35 million over the weekend and I’m predicting $100 million domestically. There’s no way the studio isn’t happy with that. More...

Contest: Bewitching Prizes

September 9th, 2016

Blair Witch

Like this week, there are four wide releases coming out next week, but not all are expected to open truly wide. Of these film, Blair Witch is the only one that is expected to do well during the weekend, although Bridget Jones’s Baby should have better legs. Since we care about opening weekends more than end results, Blair Witch is clearly the better choice for the target film in this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Blair Witch.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed full-season TV on DVD release, two previously reviewed movies, or three single-disc kids DVDs. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed full-season TV on DVD release, two previously reviewed movies, or three single-disc kids DVDs. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will win the final Frankenprize, as described above.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Thursday Night Previews: Sully Takes Off with $1.35 million

September 9th, 2016

Sully

Sully was the only one of the four wide releases to have previews and the lack of competition paid off, as it opened with $1.35 million. This is more than twice as much as Tom Hanks’ previous fall release, Bridge of Spies, earned last year ($600,000). That film did earn better reviews than Sully earned, but with a Tomatometer Score of 82% positive, Sully isn’t going to suffer from bad word-of-mouth. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Live Long and Prosper

September 9th, 2016

Other People

The week’s list is flooded with documentaries on all number of subjects. Of these, For the Love of Spock is the only I’m most interested in seeing and the critics are with me on that one. However, it is not the most likely film when it comes to box office success. I would have to give that to Other People, although being on Video on Demand might stop it from being seen in theaters. More...

Theater Counts: Sully Starts the Fall Season

September 8th, 2016

Sully

Fall Season starts in lively style this weekend with an impressively wide release for Sully. The Clint Eastwood/Tom Hanks drama will open in 3,525 theaters, the most for a new release since Pete’s Dragon almost a month ago. That film’s $21 million opening will be the minimum benchmark for Sully. More...

Almost Christmas Trailer

September 8th, 2016

Family comedy with an ensemble cast led by Danny Glover opens November 11 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: The Real Work Begins

September 8th, 2016

Morgan

The weekend after the Labor Day long weekend is often the worst weekend of the year. However, this year there two films opening wide that have a real shot at $20 million or more. Sully is Oscar-bait, but it is opening a little too early for that role and its reviews are a little below where they need to be. When the Bough Breaks is a thriller aimed at African-Americans and this time of year has become the perfect time to release such a film. Those two films should earn $50 million combined. Unfortunately, there are two other films coming out this week. The Wild Life is a third-tier animated film, while The Disappointments Room isn’t even opening truly wide. There’s a chance neither of them will reach the top five. The Disappointments Room likely won’t reach the top ten. This weekend last year, the top two films were The Perfect Guy and The Visit, which combined earned just over $50 million at the box office. It should be a really close race in the year-over-year competition. More...

International Box Office: Trek Makes Return Trip to International Chart with $37.0 million

September 7th, 2016

Star Trek Beyond

Star Trek Beyond climbed into first place for the first time in its run with $37.0 million in 40 markets for totals of $131.1 million internationally and $285.4 million worldwide. The film earned first place in China with a total opening of $30.92 million, including previews. It was not as strong in Brazil, where it earned $1.6 million on 479 screens. The film is doing well enough that it should break even, eventually, but it is not a truly monster hit. More...

Contest: Doing Hard Labor: Winning Announcement

September 7th, 2016

Morgan

The winners of our Doing Hard Labor contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Morgan opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: White Girl Starts in the Black with Average of $10,155

September 7th, 2016

White Girl

There were only two films to earn more than $10,000 on the theater average chart. White Girl lead the way with an average of $11,353 in three theaters. Meanwhile, No Manches Frida earned an average $10,155 in 362 theaters, which is even more impressive. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Breathe Blows Away the New Releases

September 7th, 2016

Don’t Breathe

The Labor Day long weekend wasn’t even close with Don’t Breathe earning more over three days than any other film earned over four. There were a couple of other major stories as Suicide Squad hit $300 million on Monday and Bad Moms hit $100 million on Saturday. Given the production budgets of those two films, the latter has a lot more reasons to celebrate. As for the new releases, the studios will just be hoping no one remembers them in a few weeks. The Light Between Oceans missed the top five, while Morgan missed the top ten. The overall box office fell 16% to $99 million over the three-day weekend and $127 million including Monday. This is 8.9% higher than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2016’s lead over 2015 grew to $500 million at $7.98 billion to $7.48 billion. That’s a lead of 6.7%. It would take a real collapse for 2016 to lose at this rate. More...

Home Market Releases for September 6th, 2016

September 6th, 2016

The Iron Giant

It is a big week with a ton of home market releases, including several that were contenders for Pick of the Week. There were two limited releases in that group, Love and Friendship and Tale of Tales. Love and Friendship got better reviews, but Tale of TalesBlu-ray is more interesting in my mind. Star Trek 50th Anniversary TV and Movie Collection is a great Blu-ray box set and would make an amazing gift. As for the Pick of the Week, that was an easy choice: The Iron Giant: Signature Edition on Blu-ray. Although if you are a hardcore fan, then the Ultimate Collector’s Edition might be worth the $75. More...

Arrival Trailer

September 5th, 2016

Sci-fi thriller starring Amy Adams, directed by Denis Villeneuve opens November 11 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Peanuts Double-Shot: A Boy Named Charlie Brown and Snoopy, Come Home

September 5th, 2016

Snoopy, Come Home

We have a double-shot of Peanuts movies, A Boy Named Charlie Brown and Snoopy, Come Home, making their Blu-ray debuts this week. Sort of. I think. They were previously released on Blu-ray in Australia, but this is the first time they are being released on Blu-ray here. There is also some confusion on when the Blu-rays are coming out, but I’m doing the review this week, just in case. More...

Weekend Estimates: Don’t Breathe Wins Long, Slow Weekend

September 4th, 2016

Don’t Breathe

Don’t Breathe is pulling off an easy win at the box office this weekend, and will become in the process the first horror film to win two straight weekends since Ouija did so, with some help from Halloween, in 2014. With an estimated 3-day $15.7 million, Don’t Breathe is ahead of Suicide Squad, which will stay in the top two for a fifth straight weekend with $10 million or so. Its total stands at $297 million as of Sunday, and will pass $300 million tomorrow. The relative success of those two films prompts a question… where are the new releases? More...

Friday Estimates: New Releases are a Stain on the Box Office

September 3rd, 2016

No Manches Frida

Labor Day long weekend is rarely a great time at the box office, but I wasn’t prepared for this. Neither of the new releases reached the top five on the Friday box office chart, leaving Don’t Breathe the clear winner for the day with $4.18 million. This is down just 58% from its opening Friday, so it will easily top predictions. It looks like it will earn more over three days ($14 million) than we predicted it would earn over four ($13 million). More...

Thursday Night Previews: Throwing Shade on Light and Morgan

September 2nd, 2016

The Light Between Oceans

This will be the shortest Thursday Night Previews column I’ve ever written, as no numbers were released. That’s a really bad sign for The Light Between Oceans and especially Morgan. Horror / thrillers tend to do well in previews, certainly better than dramas do. Assuming the numbers are not just really late because of the holiday, which is a safe assumption, then the weekend box office could be tragic. I’ll keep an eye out for numbers and I’ll update this story if any show up. More...

Keeping Up with the Joneses Trailer

September 2nd, 2016

Comedy starring Zach Galifianakis, Jon Hamm, Gal Gadot and opens October 21 ... Full Movie Details.

A suburban couple becomes embroiled in an international espionage plot when they discover that their seemingly perfect new neighbors are government spies. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Take Off, You Hoser

September 2nd, 2016

Yoga-Hosers

It’s a bad week for limited releases, as the only two films earning any real advance buzz are Skiptrace and Yoga Hosers, neither of which are earning good reviews. Of all of the films on this week’s list, Zoom is the only one I really want to see. It’s just $5 to rent on Video on Demand. More...

Contest: Don’t Sully Your Reputation

September 1st, 2016

Sully

There may be as many as four wide releases coming out next week; however, the weekend will be a two-horse race between Sully and When the Bough Breaks. Sully should have no trouble being the biggest hit overall, but When the Bough Breaks is a thriller and those films tend to open a lot faster, but collapse quickly. Because of that, it has a chance at earning first place during its opening weekend. In these cases, I flip a coin to decide which film should be the target film and Sully is the target film in this week's Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Sully.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed full-season TV on DVD release, two previously reviewed movies, or three single-disc kids DVDs. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a Frankenprize consisting of a previously reviewed full-season TV on DVD release, two previously reviewed movies, or three single-disc kids DVDs. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will win the final Frankenprize, as described above.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: With Labor Day Comes the Fall

September 1st, 2016

Morgan

Summer officially ends this week with Labor Day long weekend. For a lot of families, this is the last long weekend before school starts. (For other families, school has already started.) There are two films opening wide-ish this weekend. I thought Morgan would open in 2,500 theaters, but it is only opening in 2,020. That will hurt its box office chances. The Light Between Oceans is only opening in 1,500 theaters, which might prevent it from reaching the top five over the weekend. Don’t Breathe will likely remain in first place over the weekend, but I think Morgan will be closer than most people expected it to be. This weekend last year there was not a single film to earn more than $10 million over the three-day weekend. I think Don’t Breathe will top that, while Morgan will be relatively close. This should give 2016 the advantage in the year-over-year competition. More...

Theater Counts: Suicide Squad Still Playing Widest

September 1st, 2016

Suicide Squad

The studios have announced theater counts for the long Labor Day weekend, and somewhat surprisingly the film playing in the most theaters this weekend will still be Suicide Squad, which will be the easiest film to find a ticket for for the fifth straight weekend. Perhaps equally surprisingly, Pete’s Dragon will have the second-highest theater count this weekend as Disney expands it into 3,272, in the hopes of drawing in family audiences. Don’t Breathe will hold on to all of its 3,051 locations from last weekend, but won’t expand any further. More...

2016 Preview: September

September 1st, 2016

The Magnificent Seven

August continued to pad 2016’s lead over 2015 in the year-over-year comparison. It managed this feat almost entirely due to Suicide Squad, which is on pace to hit $300 million. The next best film was Sausage Party, which might make $100 million, if it gets a push over the top. September won’t be as strong as that. This is no surprise, as the month is one of the biggest dumping grounds on the calendar. That said, studios have been working to make the end of the month a lot more productive and there are a few potential hits. The biggest of these is The Magnificent Seven, which is expected to crack $100 million, maybe even $150 million. Meanwhile, Sully and Storks both have a limited chance at $100 million. Last September, the biggest release of the month was Hotel Transylvania 2 with pulled in $169.70 million. I don’t think The Magnificent Seven will match that, so we might need a surprise $100 million hit for 2016 to come out on top. More...