Bruce Nash explores the world of data modeling and information services
Download: PresidentialPrimaries.xls (spreadsheet)
It’s been a little while since I last updated the delegate counts for the Democratic Presidential Primaries, but, even though Mississippi is the only state to have voted since my last article, there’s actually been some movement in my predictions.
I was just a single delegate out on my prediction for Mississippi, with Hillary [...]
A follow up to my earlier post about the state of the Democratic race…
My prediction for the Mississippi Primary today, based on polls from Pollster.com, is that Barack Obama will gain 20 extra delegates to Hillary Clinton’s 13. That’s factored in to the overall prediction below. Based on current polling, Obama should score something like [...]
Download: PresidentialPrimaries.xls
The past week has been an interesting one for the Democratic primaries. The conventional wisdom is that Hillary Clinton kept the race alive with her performance in last Tuesday’s elections, and that now the race will head to the convention without a clear winner. In reality, everything turned out pretty much as [...]
Download: PresidentialPrimaries.xls (Excel spreadsheet)
I’ve updated my delegate prediction model with the latest poll results. (Download the spreadsheet for more details.) I’ve also made another slight change to the model to, hopefully, give a more accurate projection of how many delegates each candidate will have going in to the convention. I’m using each candidate’s average vote [...]
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