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Numbers Readers Predict a Brokeback Win, But Oscars Will Be Spread Far and Wide

March 5th, 2006

Voting is now closed in our annual Predict the Oscars competition, and we're ready to announce our predictions for who will be taking home statues tonight.

By a large margin, Brokeback Mountain is expected to win the Academy Award for Best Picture, and Ang Lee is highly favored by our readers in the Directing category - both received around three quarters of the votes in our poll. Another nomination that readers are confident will win is March of the Penguins, which again scored around 75%.

The acting categories seem less certain, but our readers favor Reese Witherspoon and Philip Seymour Hoffman for the lead actor wins, and Rachel Weisz and George Clooney for supporting roles. All four score around 60% of votes, except for Clooney, who polls under 40%, and is in tight competition with Jake Gyllenhaal and Paul Giamatti. We think that's going to be the race to watch early in the evening - a win for Gyllenhaal could be the start of a sweep for Brokeback Mountain.

In other categories, the awards look likely to be spread among many films, with Crash, Memoirs of a Geisha and King Kong all getting support in various categories.

- Our predicted winners in each category
- Complete vote tallies in each category