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Friday Estimates: Star Wars is Top of the Class of 2015 with $686.43 Million

January 2nd, 2016

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

It took just 15 days for Star Wars: The Force Awakens to overtake Jurassic World’s final domestic box office. On Friday, the film earned an easy first place with $34.46 million to push its running tally to $686.43 million. Not only is this the best domestic box office for a film released in 2015, it is more than enough to overtake Titanic and push it into second place All-Time. As for the film’s weekend projection, we are looking at a $95 million weekend, plus or minus $5 million. It is possible the film could crack $100 million over the weekend, but very unlikely. That said, it has already broken a couple of major records—Fastest to $650 million and Biggest Domestic Hit of 2015—and will likely break a few more over the weekend (Fastest to $700 million, Biggest third weekend, and Biggest January weekend).

The Hateful Eight bounced back on Friday and climbed into third place with $6.43 million. This is nearly double its Wednesday haul and also a bigger increase than I was expecting. Perhaps the word-of-mouth is helping more than anticipated. Or perhaps not enough people knew it was opening on Wednesday. If it is the latter, then Quentin Tarantino needs to talk to the people at Weinstein Co. for bungling the opening. (They moved the expansion date from January 8th to January 1st a few weeks ago, and then to December 30th shortly after that.) Quentin Tarantino literally saved the company with Inglourious Basterds. Additionally, Django Unchained is the company’s biggest hit of all time. Messing with your most lucrative director like this is unacceptable. Even so, the film should earn between $17 million and $18 million, which isn’t a bad first weekend in wide release for a film that cost $44 million to make. But it is below the $20 million to $25 million I thought it would open with before I saw its Wednesday number.

Daddy’s Home did better than expected with $11.48 million. It will earn roughly $30 million over the weekend and finish with very close to $100 million by the end of business on Sunday. It might become Paramount’s biggest hit of 2015. They could use the good news.

Related articles:
- Weekend Predictions: Will Hateful Experience any Love? Will Star Wars hit the Century Mark?
- The Force Awakens Destroys Fastest to $600 million Record
- International Box Office: The Force Awakens Becomes Fastest to $1 Billion
- Weekend Wrap-Up: The Force Awakens Earns $149.20 million and Daddy Hits Home Run
- Weekend Estimates: Star Wars $153 million Christmas demolishes another set of records
- The Force Awakens Doubles Previous Christmas Record with $49.34 Million
- The Force Awaken Feels Merry with Record Breaking Christmas Eve Haul of $27.59 Million
- Star Wars Daily Record Streak Ends with $38.1 million Wednesday
- Weekend Predictions: Will The New Releases Experience Any Joy?
- International Box Office: The Force Awakens Sets Global Opening Record with $529 million
- Tuesday Record Falls to The Force Awakens with $37.3 million
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens Loves Mondays to the tune of $40.1 million
- Theater Averages: Star Wars Set Another Record with $59,982
- Weekend Wrap Up Box Office Breaks $300 million Mark
- Weekend Final Numbers: Star Wars Wreaks Havoc on Record Book
- Weekend Estimates: Force Awakens with Projected All Time Best 238 Million
- International Box Office: Star Wars Adds Germany to its Record Collection
- Analysis: Preview and Friday Numbers Point to $225 Million Weekend
- Star Wars is an Unstoppable Force
- Thursday Night Previews: Star Wars is Deadly to the Competition
- Star Wars Forces Its Way to the Top in United Kingdom
- Star Wars Starts Busting Records Around the World
- Weekend Predictions: How Big of a Force Will Star Wars be at the Box Office?
- Critics go Mad for The Force Awakens
- Star Wars Path to Avatars Three Titanic Records
- Eight Records Star Wars Needs to Break
- Six Records Star Wars is Certain to Break

Related pages:
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens
- Star Wars franchise history
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens Recent Comparisons
- Star Wars: The Force Awakens All-Time Comparisons
- Theatrical Records

Filed under: Friday Estimates, Star Wars Ep. VII: The Force Awakens, The Hateful Eight, Star Wars, Quentin Tarantino