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Weekend Estimates: Ant-Man Shrank Over Saturday, Still Finishes Weekend with $76 million

July 8th, 2018

Ant-Man and the Wasp

Ant-Man and the Wasp did not have as good a Saturday as hoped, and this has left it with a projected $76.03 million over the weekend, according to Disney’s Sunday morning estimate. While, this is more or less in line with original predictions, it is lower than previews and Friday estimates suggested. Fortunately, with great reviews and an A minus from CinemaScore, it should have legs long enough to get to $200 million domestically, with a little help from the studio. This would be a little more than a 10% increase from the first Ant-Man. Internationally, the film opened with $85 million in 41 markets, including a monster opening in South Korea. The film managed $20.9 million debut there, including previews, which was 78% higher that the first film’s opening in that market. Overall, the film saw 45% growth internationally compared to just under 33% growth here.

Incredibles 2 remained in second place with $29.02 million over the weekend, giving it a domestic total of $504.38 million after four weeks of release. It also added $35.7 million in 39 international markets for totals of $268.4 million internationally and $772.7 million worldwide. The film had the second-best opening for a Pixar film with $10.6 million, including previews. It has a shot at $600 million internationally and possible even $1.2 billion worldwide. I wouldn’t bet on it, but it has a shot.

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom fell to third place with $28.59 million over the weekend for a three-week total of $333.34 million. The film is on pace for about $380 million domestically, which is a 42% drop from the previous film in the franchise. It has already avoided a drop-off that severe internationally, with a running tally of $725.3 million, including $27.6 million this weekend. It ends its international run in Japan next weekend.

The First Purge managed fourth place with $17.15 million over the three-day weekend for a five-day opening of $31.06 million. The rest of the films in the franchise opened on a Friday, so it is impossible to really judge this result. We will have to wait until this time next week to be confident where it will end up, but I think it is safe to say it did well. It’s not the best in the franchise in terms of box office, but about average. Likewise, it earned 52% positive reviews and a B minus from CinemaScore. That’s not the best, but around average for the franchise.

On the limited release front, Sorry to Bother You opened with $717,000 in 16 theaters for an average of $44,831. That’s the sixth-best theater average for a limited release this year, just behind The Death of Stalin and just ahead of You Were Never Really Here. Whitney just missed the top ten with $1.25 million, but it was played in 454 theaters, so its theater average is low enough ($2,765) that it likely won’t stick around in theaters too long.

- Weekend Box Office Chart

- Ant-Man and the Wasp Comparisons
- The First Purge Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Wrap-up, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Whitney, The First Purge, Sorry to Bother You, Jurassic Park, The Purge