January 1st, 2016
2016 will begin the same way 2015 ended, with Star Wars: The Force Awakens on top. In fact, three of the five films that have the best shot at box office success in January are The Force Awakens, The Hateful Eight, and The Revenant, all of which opened in December. There are two true January releases that could also do really well, for this time of year: Ride Along 2 and Kung Fu Panda 3. The rest of the releases are just hoping to become midlevel hits. Last January, American Sniper dominated earning more than $300 million. Its success could prevent 2016 from being ahead in the year-over-year comparison by the end of the month, but this year does have better depth.
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January 1st, 2014
It's the first month of the new year, but the biggest hit might be a film released in December. Last month ended on a slow note with all five Christmas day releases failing to become hits, some more than others. (It's a little too soon to tell if The Wolf of Wall Street or The Secret Life of Walter Mitty will do well enough to break even any time soon, but neither is a serious hit.) There are still some December releases that will likely remain on the charts through the opening weekends of January, while there are some films that opened in limited release last month with a scheduled wide release this month. Of the purely January releases, I would guess Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit will be the biggest hit. Even then, it won't live up to the previous films in the franchise, even if you don't take inflation into account. Most of the rest of the new releases will be happy if they can become midlevel hits. Last January was led by Mama, which earned more than $70 million. I think Shadow Recruit will top that figure at the box office, while there are a similar number of likely box office bombs opening this year as there were last year. 2014 could start out ahead of 2013's pace, but it likely won't be a huge difference either way.
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Latest Ranking on All Technical Box Office Record Lists
Record | Rank | Amount |
Top Grossing Producer at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 4,601-4,700) |
4,613 |
$1,765,062 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 201-300) |
280 |
$406,974,323 |
Top Grossing Story Creator at the Domestic Box Office (Rank 1,501-1,600) |
1,520 |
$33,618,855 |
Top Grossing Producer at the International Box Office (Rank 4,001-4,100) |
4,053 |
$4,455,263 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the International Box Office (Rank 401-500) |
437 |
$390,951,129 |
Top Grossing Story Creator at the International Box Office (Rank 1,101-1,200) |
1,200 |
$45,457,823 |
Top Grossing Producer at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 4,701-4,800) |
4,758 |
$6,220,325 |
Top Grossing Screenwriter at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 301-400) |
349 |
$797,925,452 |
Top Grossing Story Creator at the Worldwide Box Office (Rank 1,301-1,400) |
1,313 |
$79,076,678 |