The Whale (2022)

The Whale
Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office $17,453,440Details
International Box Office $36,591,041Details
Worldwide Box Office $54,044,481
Home Market Performance
Est. Domestic DVD Sales $1,072,400 Details
Est. Domestic Blu-ray Sales $679,632 Details
Total Est. Domestic Video Sales $1,752,032
Further financial details...

Synopsis

A 600-pound man who can’t leave his apartment and is estranged from his teenage daughter, wants to reconnect.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$332,152 (1.9% of total gross)
Legs:11.51 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:32.3% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$3,000,000 (worldwide box office is 18.0 times production budget)
Theater counts:6 opening theaters/1,721 max. theaters, 5.9 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $17,592,453

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
Vudu:Vudu

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: December 9th, 2022 (Oscar Qualifying Run) by A24
December 21st, 2022 (Expands Wide) by A24
International Releases: January 19th, 2023 (Limited) (Croatia)
January 27th, 2023 (Limited), released as La Ballena (Spain)
February 2nd, 2023 (Limited) (Australia)
February 2nd, 2023 (Wide) (New Zealand)
February 3rd, 2023 (Limited) (United Kingdom)
... Show all releases
Video Release: February 21st, 2023 by Lionsgate Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: R language, some drug use and sexual content.
(Rating bulletin 2753 (cert #54087), 10/12/2022)
Running Time: 117 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Druk
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Family Drama, Dysfunctional Family, Death of a Spouse or Fiancée / Fiancé, Young Child Dealing with the Death of a Parent, Eating Disorder, Fat Suit
Source:Based on Play
Genre:Drama
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Contemporary Fiction
Production/Financing Companies: American Empirical, A24, Protozoa Pictures
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Ranking on other Records and Milestones

RecordRankAmountChart
Date
Days In
Release
Biggest 7th Weekend Limited Release 97 $1,263,513 Jan 20, 2023 45
Top 2022 Theater Average 1 $55,359 Dec 9, 2022 3
Widest Expansion Limited Release 22 1,715 Dec 21, 2022 0

Compare this performance with other movies…

Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 9, 2022 - $332,152   6 $55,359   $332,152 1
Dec 16, 2022 15 $144,755 -56% 6 $24,126   $571,064 2
Dec 23, 2022 7 $1,038,394 +617% 603 $1,722   $2,596,338 3
Dec 30, 2022 7 $1,408,213 +36% 623 $2,260   $5,855,410 4
Jan 6, 2023 7 $1,503,638 +7% 835 $1,801   $8,545,168 5
Jan 13, 2023 8 $1,515,731 +1% 1,500 $1,010   $10,808,671 6
Jan 20, 2023 10 $1,263,513 -17% 1,591 $794   $13,174,235 7
Jan 27, 2023 14 $974,155 -23% 1,721 $566   $14,876,626 8
Feb 3, 2023 - $437,910 -55% 1,015 $431   $15,779,737 9
Feb 10, 2023 - $276,196 -37% 684 $404   $16,305,557 10
Feb 17, 2023 - $151,366 -45% 363 $417   $16,607,269 11
Feb 24, 2023 - $86,801 -43% 211 $411   $16,778,993 12
Mar 3, 2023 - $86,690 n/c 165 $525   $16,919,217 13
Mar 10, 2023 - $63,764 -26% 106 $602   $17,030,096 14
Mar 17, 2023 - $171,313 +169% 509 $337   $17,259,920 15
Mar 24, 2023 - $40,427 -76% 89 $454   $17,400,384 16
Mar 31, 2023 - $18,272 -55% 49 $373   $17,442,355 17

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Dec 9, 2022 12 $159,150     6 $26,525   $159,150 1
Dec 10, 2022 - $111,789 -30%   6 $18,632   $270,939 2
Dec 11, 2022 - $61,213 -45%   6 $10,202   $332,152 3
Dec 12, 2022 - $30,536 -50%   6 $5,089   $362,688 4
Dec 13, 2022 - $22,421 -27%   6 $3,737   $385,109 5
Dec 14, 2022 - $24,081 +7%   6 $4,014   $409,190 6
Dec 15, 2022 - $17,119 -29%   6 $2,853   $426,309 7
Dec 16, 2022 14 $49,066 +187% -69% 6 $8,178   $475,375 8
Dec 17, 2022 - $65,276 +33% -42% 6 $10,879   $540,651 9
Dec 18, 2022 - $30,413 -53% -50% 6 $5,069   $571,064 10
Dec 19, 2022 - $17,745 -42% -42% 6 $2,958   $588,809 11
Dec 20, 2022 - $12,777 -28% -43% 6 $2,130   $601,586 12
Dec 21, 2022 5 $682,596 +5,242% +2,735% 603 $1,132   $1,284,182 13
Dec 22, 2022 5 $273,762 -60% +1,499% 603 $454   $1,557,944 14
Dec 23, 2022 7 $306,674 +12% +525% 603 $509   $1,864,618 15
Dec 24, 2022 7 $219,733 -28% +237% 603 $364   $2,084,351 16
Dec 25, 2022 7 $511,987 +133% +1,583% 603 $849   $2,596,338 17
Dec 26, 2022 7 $568,754 +11% +3,105% 603 $943   $3,165,092 18
Dec 27, 2022 7 $456,902 -20% +3,476% 603 $758   $3,621,994 19
Dec 28, 2022 7 $411,212 -10% -40% 603 $682   $4,033,206 20
Dec 29, 2022 7 $413,991 +1% +51% 603 $687   $4,447,197 21
Dec 30, 2022 7 $499,786 +21% +63% 623 $802   $4,946,983 22
Dec 31, 2022 8 $387,213 -23% +76% 623 $622   $5,334,196 23
Jan 1, 2023 7 $521,214 +35% +2% 623 $837   $5,855,410 24
Jan 2, 2023 - $462,145 -11% -19% 623 $742   $6,317,555 25
Jan 3, 2023 - $267,542 -42% -41% 623 $429   $6,585,097 26
Jan 4, 2023 6 $232,222 -13% -44% 623 $373   $6,817,319 27
Jan 5, 2023 6 $224,211 -3% -46% 623 $360   $7,041,530 28
Jan 6, 2023 7 $441,238 +97% -12% 835 $528   $7,482,768 29
Jan 7, 2023 7 $651,123 +48% +68% 835 $780   $8,133,891 30
Jan 8, 2023 7 $411,277 -37% -21% 835 $493   $8,545,168 31
Jan 9, 2023 7 $158,997 -61% -66% 835 $190   $8,704,165 32
Jan 10, 2023 8 $233,439 +47% -13% 835 $280   $8,937,604 33
Jan 11, 2023 8 $185,434 -21% -20% 835 $222   $9,123,038 34
Jan 12, 2023 8 $169,902 -8% -24% 835 $203   $9,292,940 35
Jan 13, 2023 8 $431,965 +154% -2% 1,500 $288   $9,724,905 36
Jan 14, 2023 8 $598,766 +39% -8% 1,500 $399   $10,323,671 37
Jan 15, 2023 8 $485,000 -19% +18% 1,500 $323   $10,808,671 38
Jan 16, 2023 8 $392,850 -19% +147% 1,500 $262   $11,201,521 39
Jan 17, 2023 7 $288,542 -27% +24% 1,500 $192   $11,490,063 40
Jan 18, 2023 6 $210,894 -27% +14% 1,500 $141   $11,700,957 41
Jan 19, 2023 7 $209,765 -1% +23% 1,500 $140   $11,910,722 42
Jan 20, 2023 9 $360,930 +72% -16% 1,591 $227   $12,271,652 43
Jan 21, 2023 9 $541,364 +50% -10% 1,591 $340   $12,813,016 44
Jan 22, 2023 8 $361,219 -33% -26% 1,591 $227   $13,174,235 45
Jan 23, 2023 - $151,963 -58% -61% 1,591 $96   $13,326,198 46
Jan 24, 2023 - $236,554 +56% -18% 1,591 $149   $13,562,752 47
Jan 25, 2023 - $172,055 -27% -18% 1,591 $108   $13,734,807 48
Jan 26, 2023 - $167,664 -3% -20% 1,591 $105   $13,902,471 49
Jan 27, 2023 15 $260,513 +55% -28% 1,721 $151   $14,162,984 50
Jan 28, 2023 12 $442,799 +70% -18% 1,721 $257   $14,605,783 51
Jan 29, 2023 12 $270,843 -39% -25% 1,721 $157   $14,876,626 52
Jan 30, 2023 - $108,971 -60% -28% 1,721 $63   $14,985,597 53
Jan 31, 2023 11 $155,829 +43% -34% 1,721 $91   $15,141,426 54
Feb 1, 2023 - $110,638 -29% -36% 1,721 $64   $15,252,064 55
Feb 2, 2023 - $89,763 -19% -46% 1,721 $52   $15,341,827 56
Feb 3, 2023 - $99,106 +10% -62% 1,015 $98   $15,440,933 57
Feb 4, 2023 - $189,899 +92% -57% 1,015 $187   $15,630,832 58
Feb 5, 2023 - $148,905 -22% -45% 1,015 $147   $15,779,737 59
Feb 6, 2023 - $49,565 -67% -55% 1,015 $49   $15,829,302 60
Feb 7, 2023 - $77,321 +56% -50% 1,015 $76   $15,906,623 61
Feb 8, 2023 - $57,650 -25% -48% 1,015 $57   $15,964,273 62
Feb 9, 2023 - $49,112 -15% -45% 1,015 $48   $16,013,385 63
Feb 10, 2023 - $77,765 +58% -22% 684 $114   $16,091,150 64
Feb 11, 2023 - $133,756 +72% -30% 353 $379   $16,224,906 65
Feb 12, 2023 - $64,675 -52% -57% 684 $95   $16,289,581 66
Feb 13, 2023 - $42,789 -34% -14% 684 $63   $16,332,370 67
Feb 14, 2023 - $57,998 +36% -25% 684 $85   $16,390,368 68
Feb 15, 2023 - $35,654 -39% -38% 684 $52   $16,426,022 69
Feb 16, 2023 - $29,881 -16% -39% 684 $44   $16,455,903 70
Feb 17, 2023 - $36,908 +24% -53% 363 $102   $16,492,811 71
Feb 18, 2023 - $61,245 +66% -54% 363 $169   $16,554,056 72
Feb 19, 2023 - $53,213 -13% -18% 363 $147   $16,607,269 73
Feb 20, 2023 - $34,056 -36% -20% 363 $94   $16,641,325 74
Feb 21, 2023 - $18,765 -45% -68% 363 $52   $16,660,090 75
Feb 22, 2023 - $16,890 -10% -53% 363 $47   $16,676,980 76
Feb 23, 2023 - $15,212 -10% -49% 363 $42   $16,692,192 77
Feb 24, 2023 - $20,906 +37% -43% 211 $99   $16,713,098 78
Feb 25, 2023 - $37,654 +80% -39% 211 $178   $16,750,752 79
Feb 26, 2023 - $28,241 -25% -47% 211 $134   $16,778,993 80
Feb 27, 2023 - $10,319 -63% -70% 211 $49   $16,789,312 81
Feb 28, 2023 - $14,548 +41% -22% 211 $69   $16,803,860 82
Mar 1, 2023 - $15,455 +6% -8% 211 $73   $16,819,315 83
Mar 2, 2023 - $13,212 -15% -13% 211 $63   $16,832,527 84
Mar 3, 2023 - $18,905 +43% -10% 165 $115   $16,851,432 85
Mar 4, 2023 - $36,556 +93% -3% 165 $222   $16,887,988 86
Mar 5, 2023 - $31,229 -15% +11% 165 $189   $16,919,217 87
Mar 6, 2023 - $10,912 -65% +6% 165 $66   $16,930,129 88
Mar 7, 2023 - $14,125 +29% -3% 165 $86   $16,944,254 89
Mar 8, 2023 - $11,113 -21% -28% 165 $67   $16,955,367 90
Mar 9, 2023 - $10,965 -1% -17% 165 $66   $16,966,332 91
Mar 10, 2023 - $16,965 +55% -10% 106 $160   $16,983,297 92
Mar 11, 2023 - $32,234 +90% -12% 106 $304   $17,015,531 93
Mar 12, 2023 - $14,565 -55% -53% 106 $137   $17,030,096 94
Mar 13, 2023 - $14,322 -2% +31% 106 $135   $17,044,418 95
Mar 14, 2023 - $14,387 n/c +2% 106 $136   $17,058,805 96
Mar 15, 2023 - $17,555 +22% +58% 106 $166   $17,076,360 97
Mar 16, 2023 - $12,247 -30% +12% 106 $116   $17,088,607 98
Mar 17, 2023 - $39,085 +219% +130% 509 $77   $17,127,692 99
Mar 18, 2023 - $70,243 +80% +118% 509 $138   $17,197,935 100
Mar 19, 2023 - $61,985 -12% +326% 509 $122   $17,259,920 101
Mar 20, 2023 - $25,121 -59% +75% 509 $49   $17,285,041 102
Mar 21, 2023 - $35,683 +42% +148% 509 $70   $17,320,724 103
Mar 22, 2023 - $22,129 -38% +26% 509 $43   $17,342,853 104
Mar 23, 2023 - $17,104 -23% +40% 509 $34   $17,359,957 105
Mar 24, 2023 - $11,965 -30% -69% 89 $134   $17,371,922 106
Mar 25, 2023 - $16,678 +39% -76% 89 $187   $17,388,600 107
Mar 26, 2023 - $11,784 -29% -81% 89 $132   $17,400,384 108
Mar 27, 2023 - $5,343 -55% -79% 89 $60   $17,405,727 109
Mar 28, 2023 - $6,214 +16% -83% 89 $70   $17,411,941 110
Mar 29, 2023 - $5,289 -15% -76% 89 $59   $17,417,230 111
Mar 30, 2023 - $6,853 +30% -60% 89 $77   $17,424,083 112
Mar 31, 2023 - $4,562 -33% -62% 49 $93   $17,428,645 113
Apr 1, 2023 - $8,281 +82% -50% 49 $169   $17,436,926 114
Apr 2, 2023 - $5,429 -34% -54% 49 $111   $17,442,355 115
Apr 3, 2023 - $3,421 -37% -36% 49 $70   $17,445,776 116
Apr 4, 2023 - $2,908 -15% -53% 49 $59   $17,448,684 117
Apr 5, 2023 - $2,005 -31% -62% 49 $41   $17,450,689 118
Apr 6, 2023 - $2,751 +37% -60% 49 $56   $17,453,440 119

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 9, 2022 14 $426,309   6 $71,052   $426,309 1
Dec 16, 2022 10 $1,131,635 +165% 603 $1,877   $1,557,944 2
Dec 23, 2022 7 $2,889,253 +155% 603 $4,791   $4,447,197 3
Dec 30, 2022 7 $2,594,333 -10% 623 $4,164   $7,041,530 4
Jan 6, 2023 7 $2,251,410 -13% 835 $2,696   $9,292,940 5
Jan 13, 2023 8 $2,617,782 +16% 1,500 $1,745   $11,910,722 6
Jan 20, 2023 9 $1,991,749 -24% 1,591 $1,252   $13,902,471 7
Jan 27, 2023 15 $1,439,356 -28% 1,721 $836   $15,341,827 8
Feb 3, 2023 14 $687,534 -52% 1,015 $677   $16,029,361 9
Feb 10, 2023 17 $426,542 -38% 684 $624   $16,455,903 10
Feb 17, 2023 22 $236,289 -45% 363 $651   $16,692,192 11
Feb 24, 2023 25 $140,335 -41% 211 $665   $16,832,527 12
Mar 3, 2023 25 $133,805 -5% 165 $811   $16,966,332 13
Mar 10, 2023 23 $122,275 -9% 106 $1,154   $17,088,607 14
Mar 17, 2023 18 $271,350 +122% 509 $533   $17,359,957 15
Mar 24, 2023 23 $64,126 -76% 89 $721   $17,424,083 16
Mar 31, 2023 29 $29,357 -54% 49 $599   $17,453,440 17

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Australia 2/2/2023 $309,644 159 190 1,098 $1,551,354 5/15/2023
Brazil 2/23/2023 $0000$0
Croatia 1/19/2023 $2,209 54 54 110 $50,447 3/24/2023
Czech Republic 2/23/2023 $4,704 4 64 297 $268,930 4/24/2023
Finland 3/3/2023 $58,209 70 81 479 $471,176 5/5/2023
France 3/8/2023 $0000$0
Germany 4/27/2023 $0000$0
Italy 2/23/2023 $687,548 0 0 0 $3,676,405 4/17/2023
Japan 4/7/2023 $0000$0
Mexico 2/9/2023 $1,304,255 0 0 0 $9,925,558 4/11/2023
Netherlands 2/16/2023 $189,542 62 97 608 $1,278,749 5/1/2023
New Zealand 2/2/2023 $53,360 58 59 273 $191,532 5/22/2023
Portugal 3/2/2023 $100,145 54 56 309 $523,940 6/28/2023
Russia (CIS) 3/2/2023 $0000$0
Slovakia 3/16/2023 $8,890 18 18 38 $25,832 4/4/2023
South Korea 3/1/2023 $85,912 203 203 610 $413,005 5/17/2023
Spain 1/27/2023 $437,068 234 267 1,563 $2,093,572 4/13/2023
Turkey 2/10/2023 $30,266 82 82 249 $162,437 6/15/2023
United Kingdom 2/3/2023 $833,063 385 517 1,587 $2,792,279 3/22/2023
 
Rest of World $13,165,825
 
International Total$36,591,041 6/28/2023

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 19, 2023325,446 25,446$343,267$343,2674
Mar 26, 2023612,421-51% 37,867$167,559$510,8265
Apr 2, 202369,939-20% 47,806$134,077$644,9036
Apr 9, 2023910,171+2% 57,977$137,207$782,1107
Apr 16, 2023126,007-41% 63,984$81,034$863,1448

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 19, 2023419,445 19,445$252,591$252,5914
Mar 26, 2023184,394-77% 23,839$57,078$309,6695

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

DEG Watched At Home Top 20 Charts

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.

Leading Cast

Brendan Fraser    Charlie

Supporting Cast

Hong Chau    Liz
Sadie Sink    Ellie
Ty Simpkins    Thomas
Samantha Morton    Mary
Sathya Sridharan    Dan

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Darren Aronofsky    Director
Samuel D. Hunter    Screenwriter
Jeremy Dawson    Producer
Jeremy Dawson    Producer
Art Handel    Producer
Scott Franklin    Executive Producer
Tyson Bidner    Executive Producer
Andrew Weisblum    Editor
Rob Simonsen    Composer

Weekend predictions: will Avatar get an Oscar boost? Can Infinity Pool or Left Behind break through?

January 27th, 2023

Infinity Pool

The box office performance of Avatar: The Way of Water certainly won’t be harmed this weekend by its 4 Oscar nominations (including Best Picture). How much it will help is the pertinent question for our weekend predictions. It’s the only film from last weekend’s top 10 that looks likely to get a bump from the nominations. One film that wasn’t in the top 10 last weekend could be revived by its Oscar noms: The Fabelmans will add a thousand theaters and try to ride its seven nominations to the best weekend of its run so far. Other Oscar hopefuls expanding this weekend include The Banshees of Inisherin (back in 1,205 theaters), Women Talking (adding 553 locations to play in 707 theaters), Elvis (rereleased in 841 theaters), and Tár, which expands from 106 to 537 movie theaters. Going up against all that are three new releases: Infinity Pool, Left Behind: Rise of the Antichrist, and Fear. That’s a lot of competition in the lower reaches of the top 10, but Avatar is in little danger of losing its top spot. More...


  1. Summary
  2. News
  3. Box Office
  4. International
  5. Video Sales
  6. Full Financials
  7. Cast & Crew
  8. Trailer

Synopsis

A 600-pound man who can’t leave his apartment and is estranged from his teenage daughter, wants to reconnect.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$332,152 (1.9% of total gross)
Legs:11.51 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:32.3% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$3,000,000 (worldwide box office is 18.0 times production budget)
Theater counts:6 opening theaters/1,721 max. theaters, 5.9 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $17,592,453

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
Vudu:Vudu

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: December 9th, 2022 (Oscar Qualifying Run) by A24
December 21st, 2022 (Expands Wide) by A24
International Releases: January 19th, 2023 (Limited) (Croatia)
January 27th, 2023 (Limited), released as La Ballena (Spain)
February 2nd, 2023 (Limited) (Australia)
February 2nd, 2023 (Wide) (New Zealand)
February 3rd, 2023 (Limited) (United Kingdom)
... Show all releases
Video Release: February 21st, 2023 by Lionsgate Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: R language, some drug use and sexual content.
(Rating bulletin 2753 (cert #54087), 10/12/2022)
Running Time: 117 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Druk
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Family Drama, Dysfunctional Family, Death of a Spouse or Fiancée / Fiancé, Young Child Dealing with the Death of a Parent, Eating Disorder, Fat Suit
Source:Based on Play
Genre:Drama
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Contemporary Fiction
Production/Financing Companies: American Empirical, A24, Protozoa Pictures
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Ranking on other Records and Milestones

RecordRankAmountChart
Date
Days In
Release
Biggest 7th Weekend Limited Release 97 $1,263,513 Jan 20, 2023 45
Top 2022 Theater Average 1 $55,359 Dec 9, 2022 3
Widest Expansion Limited Release 22 1,715 Dec 21, 2022 0

Leading Cast

Brendan Fraser    Charlie

Supporting Cast

Hong Chau    Liz
Sadie Sink    Ellie
Ty Simpkins    Thomas
Samantha Morton    Mary
Sathya Sridharan    Dan

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Darren Aronofsky    Director
Samuel D. Hunter    Screenwriter
Jeremy Dawson    Producer
Jeremy Dawson    Producer
Art Handel    Producer
Scott Franklin    Executive Producer
Tyson Bidner    Executive Producer
Andrew Weisblum    Editor
Rob Simonsen    Composer

Weekend predictions: will Avatar get an Oscar boost? Can Infinity Pool or Left Behind break through?

January 27th, 2023

Infinity Pool

The box office performance of Avatar: The Way of Water certainly won’t be harmed this weekend by its 4 Oscar nominations (including Best Picture). How much it will help is the pertinent question for our weekend predictions. It’s the only film from last weekend’s top 10 that looks likely to get a bump from the nominations. One film that wasn’t in the top 10 last weekend could be revived by its Oscar noms: The Fabelmans will add a thousand theaters and try to ride its seven nominations to the best weekend of its run so far. Other Oscar hopefuls expanding this weekend include The Banshees of Inisherin (back in 1,205 theaters), Women Talking (adding 553 locations to play in 707 theaters), Elvis (rereleased in 841 theaters), and Tár, which expands from 106 to 537 movie theaters. Going up against all that are three new releases: Infinity Pool, Left Behind: Rise of the Antichrist, and Fear. That’s a lot of competition in the lower reaches of the top 10, but Avatar is in little danger of losing its top spot. More...

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Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 9, 2022 - $332,152   6 $55,359   $332,152 1
Dec 16, 2022 15 $144,755 -56% 6 $24,126   $571,064 2
Dec 23, 2022 7 $1,038,394 +617% 603 $1,722   $2,596,338 3
Dec 30, 2022 7 $1,408,213 +36% 623 $2,260   $5,855,410 4
Jan 6, 2023 7 $1,503,638 +7% 835 $1,801   $8,545,168 5
Jan 13, 2023 8 $1,515,731 +1% 1,500 $1,010   $10,808,671 6
Jan 20, 2023 10 $1,263,513 -17% 1,591 $794   $13,174,235 7
Jan 27, 2023 14 $974,155 -23% 1,721 $566   $14,876,626 8
Feb 3, 2023 - $437,910 -55% 1,015 $431   $15,779,737 9
Feb 10, 2023 - $276,196 -37% 684 $404   $16,305,557 10
Feb 17, 2023 - $151,366 -45% 363 $417   $16,607,269 11
Feb 24, 2023 - $86,801 -43% 211 $411   $16,778,993 12
Mar 3, 2023 - $86,690 n/c 165 $525   $16,919,217 13
Mar 10, 2023 - $63,764 -26% 106 $602   $17,030,096 14
Mar 17, 2023 - $171,313 +169% 509 $337   $17,259,920 15
Mar 24, 2023 - $40,427 -76% 89 $454   $17,400,384 16
Mar 31, 2023 - $18,272 -55% 49 $373   $17,442,355 17

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Dec 9, 2022 12 $159,150     6 $26,525   $159,150 1
Dec 10, 2022 - $111,789 -30%   6 $18,632   $270,939 2
Dec 11, 2022 - $61,213 -45%   6 $10,202   $332,152 3
Dec 12, 2022 - $30,536 -50%   6 $5,089   $362,688 4
Dec 13, 2022 - $22,421 -27%   6 $3,737   $385,109 5
Dec 14, 2022 - $24,081 +7%   6 $4,014   $409,190 6
Dec 15, 2022 - $17,119 -29%   6 $2,853   $426,309 7
Dec 16, 2022 14 $49,066 +187% -69% 6 $8,178   $475,375 8
Dec 17, 2022 - $65,276 +33% -42% 6 $10,879   $540,651 9
Dec 18, 2022 - $30,413 -53% -50% 6 $5,069   $571,064 10
Dec 19, 2022 - $17,745 -42% -42% 6 $2,958   $588,809 11
Dec 20, 2022 - $12,777 -28% -43% 6 $2,130   $601,586 12
Dec 21, 2022 5 $682,596 +5,242% +2,735% 603 $1,132   $1,284,182 13
Dec 22, 2022 5 $273,762 -60% +1,499% 603 $454   $1,557,944 14
Dec 23, 2022 7 $306,674 +12% +525% 603 $509   $1,864,618 15
Dec 24, 2022 7 $219,733 -28% +237% 603 $364   $2,084,351 16
Dec 25, 2022 7 $511,987 +133% +1,583% 603 $849   $2,596,338 17
Dec 26, 2022 7 $568,754 +11% +3,105% 603 $943   $3,165,092 18
Dec 27, 2022 7 $456,902 -20% +3,476% 603 $758   $3,621,994 19
Dec 28, 2022 7 $411,212 -10% -40% 603 $682   $4,033,206 20
Dec 29, 2022 7 $413,991 +1% +51% 603 $687   $4,447,197 21
Dec 30, 2022 7 $499,786 +21% +63% 623 $802   $4,946,983 22
Dec 31, 2022 8 $387,213 -23% +76% 623 $622   $5,334,196 23
Jan 1, 2023 7 $521,214 +35% +2% 623 $837   $5,855,410 24
Jan 2, 2023 - $462,145 -11% -19% 623 $742   $6,317,555 25
Jan 3, 2023 - $267,542 -42% -41% 623 $429   $6,585,097 26
Jan 4, 2023 6 $232,222 -13% -44% 623 $373   $6,817,319 27
Jan 5, 2023 6 $224,211 -3% -46% 623 $360   $7,041,530 28
Jan 6, 2023 7 $441,238 +97% -12% 835 $528   $7,482,768 29
Jan 7, 2023 7 $651,123 +48% +68% 835 $780   $8,133,891 30
Jan 8, 2023 7 $411,277 -37% -21% 835 $493   $8,545,168 31
Jan 9, 2023 7 $158,997 -61% -66% 835 $190   $8,704,165 32
Jan 10, 2023 8 $233,439 +47% -13% 835 $280   $8,937,604 33
Jan 11, 2023 8 $185,434 -21% -20% 835 $222   $9,123,038 34
Jan 12, 2023 8 $169,902 -8% -24% 835 $203   $9,292,940 35
Jan 13, 2023 8 $431,965 +154% -2% 1,500 $288   $9,724,905 36
Jan 14, 2023 8 $598,766 +39% -8% 1,500 $399   $10,323,671 37
Jan 15, 2023 8 $485,000 -19% +18% 1,500 $323   $10,808,671 38
Jan 16, 2023 8 $392,850 -19% +147% 1,500 $262   $11,201,521 39
Jan 17, 2023 7 $288,542 -27% +24% 1,500 $192   $11,490,063 40
Jan 18, 2023 6 $210,894 -27% +14% 1,500 $141   $11,700,957 41
Jan 19, 2023 7 $209,765 -1% +23% 1,500 $140   $11,910,722 42
Jan 20, 2023 9 $360,930 +72% -16% 1,591 $227   $12,271,652 43
Jan 21, 2023 9 $541,364 +50% -10% 1,591 $340   $12,813,016 44
Jan 22, 2023 8 $361,219 -33% -26% 1,591 $227   $13,174,235 45
Jan 23, 2023 - $151,963 -58% -61% 1,591 $96   $13,326,198 46
Jan 24, 2023 - $236,554 +56% -18% 1,591 $149   $13,562,752 47
Jan 25, 2023 - $172,055 -27% -18% 1,591 $108   $13,734,807 48
Jan 26, 2023 - $167,664 -3% -20% 1,591 $105   $13,902,471 49
Jan 27, 2023 15 $260,513 +55% -28% 1,721 $151   $14,162,984 50
Jan 28, 2023 12 $442,799 +70% -18% 1,721 $257   $14,605,783 51
Jan 29, 2023 12 $270,843 -39% -25% 1,721 $157   $14,876,626 52
Jan 30, 2023 - $108,971 -60% -28% 1,721 $63   $14,985,597 53
Jan 31, 2023 11 $155,829 +43% -34% 1,721 $91   $15,141,426 54
Feb 1, 2023 - $110,638 -29% -36% 1,721 $64   $15,252,064 55
Feb 2, 2023 - $89,763 -19% -46% 1,721 $52   $15,341,827 56
Feb 3, 2023 - $99,106 +10% -62% 1,015 $98   $15,440,933 57
Feb 4, 2023 - $189,899 +92% -57% 1,015 $187   $15,630,832 58
Feb 5, 2023 - $148,905 -22% -45% 1,015 $147   $15,779,737 59
Feb 6, 2023 - $49,565 -67% -55% 1,015 $49   $15,829,302 60
Feb 7, 2023 - $77,321 +56% -50% 1,015 $76   $15,906,623 61
Feb 8, 2023 - $57,650 -25% -48% 1,015 $57   $15,964,273 62
Feb 9, 2023 - $49,112 -15% -45% 1,015 $48   $16,013,385 63
Feb 10, 2023 - $77,765 +58% -22% 684 $114   $16,091,150 64
Feb 11, 2023 - $133,756 +72% -30% 353 $379   $16,224,906 65
Feb 12, 2023 - $64,675 -52% -57% 684 $95   $16,289,581 66
Feb 13, 2023 - $42,789 -34% -14% 684 $63   $16,332,370 67
Feb 14, 2023 - $57,998 +36% -25% 684 $85   $16,390,368 68
Feb 15, 2023 - $35,654 -39% -38% 684 $52   $16,426,022 69
Feb 16, 2023 - $29,881 -16% -39% 684 $44   $16,455,903 70
Feb 17, 2023 - $36,908 +24% -53% 363 $102   $16,492,811 71
Feb 18, 2023 - $61,245 +66% -54% 363 $169   $16,554,056 72
Feb 19, 2023 - $53,213 -13% -18% 363 $147   $16,607,269 73
Feb 20, 2023 - $34,056 -36% -20% 363 $94   $16,641,325 74
Feb 21, 2023 - $18,765 -45% -68% 363 $52   $16,660,090 75
Feb 22, 2023 - $16,890 -10% -53% 363 $47   $16,676,980 76
Feb 23, 2023 - $15,212 -10% -49% 363 $42   $16,692,192 77
Feb 24, 2023 - $20,906 +37% -43% 211 $99   $16,713,098 78
Feb 25, 2023 - $37,654 +80% -39% 211 $178   $16,750,752 79
Feb 26, 2023 - $28,241 -25% -47% 211 $134   $16,778,993 80
Feb 27, 2023 - $10,319 -63% -70% 211 $49   $16,789,312 81
Feb 28, 2023 - $14,548 +41% -22% 211 $69   $16,803,860 82
Mar 1, 2023 - $15,455 +6% -8% 211 $73   $16,819,315 83
Mar 2, 2023 - $13,212 -15% -13% 211 $63   $16,832,527 84
Mar 3, 2023 - $18,905 +43% -10% 165 $115   $16,851,432 85
Mar 4, 2023 - $36,556 +93% -3% 165 $222   $16,887,988 86
Mar 5, 2023 - $31,229 -15% +11% 165 $189   $16,919,217 87
Mar 6, 2023 - $10,912 -65% +6% 165 $66   $16,930,129 88
Mar 7, 2023 - $14,125 +29% -3% 165 $86   $16,944,254 89
Mar 8, 2023 - $11,113 -21% -28% 165 $67   $16,955,367 90
Mar 9, 2023 - $10,965 -1% -17% 165 $66   $16,966,332 91
Mar 10, 2023 - $16,965 +55% -10% 106 $160   $16,983,297 92
Mar 11, 2023 - $32,234 +90% -12% 106 $304   $17,015,531 93
Mar 12, 2023 - $14,565 -55% -53% 106 $137   $17,030,096 94
Mar 13, 2023 - $14,322 -2% +31% 106 $135   $17,044,418 95
Mar 14, 2023 - $14,387 n/c +2% 106 $136   $17,058,805 96
Mar 15, 2023 - $17,555 +22% +58% 106 $166   $17,076,360 97
Mar 16, 2023 - $12,247 -30% +12% 106 $116   $17,088,607 98
Mar 17, 2023 - $39,085 +219% +130% 509 $77   $17,127,692 99
Mar 18, 2023 - $70,243 +80% +118% 509 $138   $17,197,935 100
Mar 19, 2023 - $61,985 -12% +326% 509 $122   $17,259,920 101
Mar 20, 2023 - $25,121 -59% +75% 509 $49   $17,285,041 102
Mar 21, 2023 - $35,683 +42% +148% 509 $70   $17,320,724 103
Mar 22, 2023 - $22,129 -38% +26% 509 $43   $17,342,853 104
Mar 23, 2023 - $17,104 -23% +40% 509 $34   $17,359,957 105
Mar 24, 2023 - $11,965 -30% -69% 89 $134   $17,371,922 106
Mar 25, 2023 - $16,678 +39% -76% 89 $187   $17,388,600 107
Mar 26, 2023 - $11,784 -29% -81% 89 $132   $17,400,384 108
Mar 27, 2023 - $5,343 -55% -79% 89 $60   $17,405,727 109
Mar 28, 2023 - $6,214 +16% -83% 89 $70   $17,411,941 110
Mar 29, 2023 - $5,289 -15% -76% 89 $59   $17,417,230 111
Mar 30, 2023 - $6,853 +30% -60% 89 $77   $17,424,083 112
Mar 31, 2023 - $4,562 -33% -62% 49 $93   $17,428,645 113
Apr 1, 2023 - $8,281 +82% -50% 49 $169   $17,436,926 114
Apr 2, 2023 - $5,429 -34% -54% 49 $111   $17,442,355 115
Apr 3, 2023 - $3,421 -37% -36% 49 $70   $17,445,776 116
Apr 4, 2023 - $2,908 -15% -53% 49 $59   $17,448,684 117
Apr 5, 2023 - $2,005 -31% -62% 49 $41   $17,450,689 118
Apr 6, 2023 - $2,751 +37% -60% 49 $56   $17,453,440 119

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 9, 2022 14 $426,309   6 $71,052   $426,309 1
Dec 16, 2022 10 $1,131,635 +165% 603 $1,877   $1,557,944 2
Dec 23, 2022 7 $2,889,253 +155% 603 $4,791   $4,447,197 3
Dec 30, 2022 7 $2,594,333 -10% 623 $4,164   $7,041,530 4
Jan 6, 2023 7 $2,251,410 -13% 835 $2,696   $9,292,940 5
Jan 13, 2023 8 $2,617,782 +16% 1,500 $1,745   $11,910,722 6
Jan 20, 2023 9 $1,991,749 -24% 1,591 $1,252   $13,902,471 7
Jan 27, 2023 15 $1,439,356 -28% 1,721 $836   $15,341,827 8
Feb 3, 2023 14 $687,534 -52% 1,015 $677   $16,029,361 9
Feb 10, 2023 17 $426,542 -38% 684 $624   $16,455,903 10
Feb 17, 2023 22 $236,289 -45% 363 $651   $16,692,192 11
Feb 24, 2023 25 $140,335 -41% 211 $665   $16,832,527 12
Mar 3, 2023 25 $133,805 -5% 165 $811   $16,966,332 13
Mar 10, 2023 23 $122,275 -9% 106 $1,154   $17,088,607 14
Mar 17, 2023 18 $271,350 +122% 509 $533   $17,359,957 15
Mar 24, 2023 23 $64,126 -76% 89 $721   $17,424,083 16
Mar 31, 2023 29 $29,357 -54% 49 $599   $17,453,440 17

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Australia 2/2/2023 $309,644 159 190 1,098 $1,551,354 5/15/2023
Brazil 2/23/2023 $0000$0
Croatia 1/19/2023 $2,209 54 54 110 $50,447 3/24/2023
Czech Republic 2/23/2023 $4,704 4 64 297 $268,930 4/24/2023
Finland 3/3/2023 $58,209 70 81 479 $471,176 5/5/2023
France 3/8/2023 $0000$0
Germany 4/27/2023 $0000$0
Italy 2/23/2023 $687,548 0 0 0 $3,676,405 4/17/2023
Japan 4/7/2023 $0000$0
Mexico 2/9/2023 $1,304,255 0 0 0 $9,925,558 4/11/2023
Netherlands 2/16/2023 $189,542 62 97 608 $1,278,749 5/1/2023
New Zealand 2/2/2023 $53,360 58 59 273 $191,532 5/22/2023
Portugal 3/2/2023 $100,145 54 56 309 $523,940 6/28/2023
Russia (CIS) 3/2/2023 $0000$0
Slovakia 3/16/2023 $8,890 18 18 38 $25,832 4/4/2023
South Korea 3/1/2023 $85,912 203 203 610 $413,005 5/17/2023
Spain 1/27/2023 $437,068 234 267 1,563 $2,093,572 4/13/2023
Turkey 2/10/2023 $30,266 82 82 249 $162,437 6/15/2023
United Kingdom 2/3/2023 $833,063 385 517 1,587 $2,792,279 3/22/2023
 
Rest of World $13,165,825
 
International Total$36,591,041 6/28/2023

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 19, 2023325,446 25,446$343,267$343,2674
Mar 26, 2023612,421-51% 37,867$167,559$510,8265
Apr 2, 202369,939-20% 47,806$134,077$644,9036
Apr 9, 2023910,171+2% 57,977$137,207$782,1107
Apr 16, 2023126,007-41% 63,984$81,034$863,1448

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 19, 2023419,445 19,445$252,591$252,5914
Mar 26, 2023184,394-77% 23,839$57,078$309,6695

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

DEG Watched At Home Top 20 Charts

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.