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Home Market Releases for April 25th, 2017

April 25th, 2017

Tanpopo

We are entering the worst time of year for the home market. The number of Oscar contenders have nearly dried up and there are more bombs than box office hits. As for the best of the new releases, The Criterion Collection release for Tampopo is the best and the only real choice for Pick of the Week. Meanwhile, the Mean Dreams DVD earns Puck of the Week, for the best Canadian release of the week. More...

Kingsman: The Golden Circle Trailer

April 25th, 2017

Action movie starring Taron Egerton, Mark Strong, Sophie Cookson, Julianne Moore, and Colin Firth, directed by Matthew Vaughn, opens September 22 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Furious Slows and New Releases Stall, Leaving Box Office short by $60 million

April 25th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

As expected, The Fate of the Furious dominated the weekend box office chart. It held up a little better than expected with $38.41 million over the weekend; however, this was still over 60% lower than its opening weekend and the overall weekend fell over $60 million or 36% from last weekend for a total of $107 million. A lot of the blame can be pushed onto the new releases, as none of them earned a spot in the top five. Born in China was the best of the new releases earning sixth place with $4.79 million. Year-over-year, 2017 was 16% lower than 2016, but fortunately, 2017 still has an impressive $200 million lead over 2016 at $3.53 billion to $3.33 billion. More...

The Lovers Trailer

April 24th, 2017

Romantic comedy starring Debra Winger and Tracy Letts opens May 5 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: La La Land

April 24th, 2017

La La Land

La La Land was one of the best-reviewed films of the year and inarguably the biggest player during Awards Season. In fact, it earning 14 Oscar Nominations, tying the record previously set by All About Eve and Titanic. However, this caused a bit of a backlash against the film. Is the film as good as its Awards Season run would indicate? Or did it only do as well as it did, because it was practically designed to sway Oscar voters? More...

Weekend Estimates: Big Decline, Big Win for Fate of the Furious

April 23rd, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

A decline of 61% compared to its opening weekend still leaves The Fate of the Furious the big winner at the box office this weekend, with the five new wide releases combined making less than half the $38.7 million it will earn on its second weekend, according to Universal’s weekend estimate. The film’s domestic gross will end the weekend at about $163.6 million. As of last night, it has reached $636.3 million internationally, and it should end the weekend with $752.4 million overseas, for a global total of $916 million as of Sunday. $327.4 million of that will have come from China, where Fate is clocking up another $67 million this weekend. More...

Friday Estimates: Furious Falls 75%, Still Dominates Friday with $11.2 million

April 22nd, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The Fate of the Furious dominated the box office chart on Friday with $11.2 million. This could be more than any other film will earn during the entire weekend. That’s the good news. The bad news is this still represents a decline of just over 75% from its opening Friday. This is not good by any stretch of the word, but it is also not unexpected. The film will rebound on Saturday, and earn about $35.5 million over the weekend, according to Universal, which is close to our prediction and will lift the film’s running tally to $160 million. This keeps The Fate of the Furious on pace for $200 million and the film should become the third film released in 2017 to get to that milestone. It might overtake Logan on the yearly chart, but Guardians of the Galaxy, Vol. 2 will probably get there first. More...

Phoenix Forgotten Trailer

April 21st, 2017

Found-footage thriller starring Florence Hartigan, Chelsea Lopez, and Justin Matthews opens today ... Full Movie Details. More...

Thursday Night Previews: New Releases are Showing Very Little Promise

April 21st, 2017

The Promise

There are five films opening wide or semi-wide this weekend and four of them have previews. (Phoenix Forgotten is the lone exception.) At the moment, we only have numbers for The Promise and they are not good. The film pulled in $200,000 in previews last night, putting it on par with The Space Between Us. That’s not good news, as that film missed the Mendoza Line by a large margin. The Promise is playing in fewer theaters and it is earning better reviews, so it might not open below the Mendoza Line, but its theater average won't be much above $2,000 in the best of circumstances. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: The Happiest Week for Limited Releases

April 21st, 2017

The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Maki

Normally we only talk about films with ten or more reviews on this list, but this week there were just two such films: The Happiest Day in the Life of Olli Maki and Slack Bay. Furthermore, only one of those is earning good reviews. There are also a couple of documentaries that are earning great reviews, but overall it is a slow week. More...

Contest: Circle of Prizes

April 21st, 2017

The Circle

April is finally over next week. On our April preview, we had three films opening wide this week, but two of those have been dropped to semi-wide or lower. This leaves just The Circle as the only truly wide release. As such, it is the only real choice for the target film in this week’s box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for The Circle.

Our April Fools contests conclude this week. Two of our winners will win two previously reviewed movies, while the third will win the April Fool’s prize, a movie on HD-DVD.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will be a potential winner of two previously reviewed movies or a film on HD-DVD. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also be a potential winner of two previously reviewed movies or a film on HD-DVD. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will be the final potential winner of two previously reviewed movies or a film on HD-DVD.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Bankability Index: Tom Cruise Still King of the Hill

April 20th, 2017

Tom Cruise in Jack Reacher: Never Go Back

This month we’re introducing a new Bankability Index that estimates how much someone is worth to a film based on analysis of the Hollywood Creative Graph™, a network of over 130,000 people with over 6 million connections that represent all the films they have worked on together. By using an analytical technique called graph analysis, the Bankability Index measures the influence of each person in the Hollywood Creative Graph, which we translate into an estimate of the average value added per movie by everyone. Here on The Numbers, we will now publish each month the top 50 people on a per-movie basis, and subscriptions are available for our full report, which contains information on the top 250 people in the business. More...

Theater Counts: Furious Continues to Dominate in Theaters

April 20th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

No less than five wide new releases are vying for attention this weekend, but they are all looking at fairly modest theater counts. In fact, they’re all playing in between 1,000 and 2,500 theaters, with the widest of the lot being Unforgettable, which debuts in 2,417 locations. The last time we had this many films opening at that wide a distribution was almost ten years ago—the weekend of October 3, 2008 to be precise. That weekend was quite the scramble, with a total of seven films opening or expanding wide, and another opening in over 500 theaters. This weekend isn’t quite as crazy, but no-one can complain about a lack of choice. More...

Weekend Predictions: New Releases are Very Forgettable

April 20th, 2017

Free Fire

Late April is one of the traditional dumping grounds and this week is truly living down to that reputation. There are five new releases that have at least a shot at the top ten, but none of them have a shot at becoming midlevel hits. Unforgettable is the widest new release of the week and will likely be the biggest hit, but it very likely won’t be the best. Free Fire and Born in China are in a close battle for the best reviews for the week. Meanwhile, The Promise and Phoenix Forgotten are just hoping to avoid opening below the Mendoza Line. I think earning a theater average above $2,000 is overly optimistic for either film. There’s a lot of competition, but nearly all of it is terrible, so The Fate of the Furious will have no trouble repeating in first place. Furthermore, both The Boss Baby and Beauty and the Beast will likely remain in the top five, meaning there’s not a lot of room for the other films. This weekend last year, The Jungle Book earned just over $60 million over the weekend, while The Huntsman: Winter’s War opened with close to $20 million. There’s no way 2017 will be able to match this one-two punch. More...

International Box Office: Furious Goes from Zero to $500 million in one Weekend

April 19th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The Fate of the Furious dominated in the international chart with $433.2 million in 63 markets. This is the biggest international weekend of all time, beating the previous record holder, Jurassic World, by over $100 million. Interestingly, both of these films were released by Universal. Furthermore, the film has already topped the international totals of all but the two more recent installments in the Fast and the Furious franchise. On the downside, the international opening weekend record isn’t the most prestigious record, because it depends a lot of how wide a release a film has. For instance, The Fate of the Furious opened in all but four markets this past weekend and of the remaining markets, only Japan is a significant market. The film has the number one overall international weekend, but only broke weekend records in 20 of the 63 individual markets and only one of those markets could be considered a major market. That one market was China. More...

American Assassin Trailer

April 19th, 2017

Thriller starring Dylan O’Brien, Michael Keaton, and Sanaa Lathan, directed by Michael Cuesta, opens September 15 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Contest: Leave it Up to Fate: Winning Announcement

April 19th, 2017

Sleepless

The winners of our Leave it Up to Fate contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for The Fate of the Furious’s opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: Going From A to Zed with $27,544

April 19th, 2017

The Lost City of Z

The Lost City of Z led the way on the theater average chart with an average of $27,544 in four theaters. The film is expanding into several hundred more theaters this Friday, so this is a great start. The overall number one film, The Fate of the Furious, was next with an average of $22,920. Norman: The Moderate Rise and Tragic Fall of a New York Fixer opened with nearly $100,000 in five theaters for an average of $19,842. The final film in the $10,000 club was Chasing Trane with $16,626 in its lone theater. More...

Star Wars: The Last Jedi Trailer

April 18th, 2017

Sci-fi adventure starring Daisy Ridley, Oscar Isaac, and John Boyega, directed by Rian Johnson, opens December 15 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Home Market Releases for April 18th, 2017

April 18th, 2017

MST3K

We are entering the worst time of the year on the home market. There’s only a trickle of last year’s Awards Season contenders left to deal with, while it is way too early for the major spring releases to come out on DVD / Blu-ray. There are some classic titles that are on this list, like Donnie Darko: 15th Anniversary Limited Edition or Ocean Waves Blu-ray Combo Pack. However, the Pick of the Week isn’t either of these titles, but MST3K: Season 11, which you can watch on Netflix right now. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Fate Falls to Great Expectations, Still Earns $98.79 million

April 18th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

As expected, The Fate of the Furious dominated the box office this weekend, earning nearly a 60% share of the total box office. It did miss predictions, however, with “just” $98.79 million. This is the curse of great expectations. Overall, the box office rose 40% from last weekend, reaching $167 million. However, this was 5.1% lower than the same weekend last year. Had The Fate of the Furious matched expectations, then 2017 would have had a 5% lead over last year. Year-to-date, 2017 has pulled in $3.37 billion and has a 7.2% lead over 2016. That will shrink as last year’s The Jungle Book’s legs will undoubtedly be better than The Fate of the Furious’s legs, but I don’t think 2017 will fall behind 2016 any time soon. More...

Beatriz at Dinner Trailer

April 17th, 2017

Drama starring Salma Hayek and John Lithgow opens June 9 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured VOD Review: MST3K: Season 11

April 17th, 2017

MST3K

There were rumors about MST3K being revived for a while, but it wasn’t until the Kickstarter materialized that I really thought it would make a comeback. I was one of nearly 50,000 backers who have been patiently waiting more than a year for the revival to start airing. On Friday, all 14 episodes of the show debuted on Netflix. I’m going to review the first four episodes of the show for two reasons. Firstly, the creators recommended not binging on the show. Secondly, it matches the old DVD reviews I’ve done. More...

Weekend Estimates: Fate’s $100 Million Stateside Dwarfed by Huge International Haul

April 16th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The Fate of the Furious is, as expected, posting great opening numbers domestically, with Universal projecting a $100.2 million opening weekend, but the real news this weekend is the record breaking in international markets. Helped by a gigantic $190 million in China—the biggest-ever three-day weekend in that territory—Fate is headed for an overseas debut of $432.2 million, according to the studio. That’s easily the biggest international weekend of all time, beating Jurassic World’s $316.7 million. It’s also ahead of the inflation-adjusted international opening for Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part II, which earned $314 million on its first weekend internationally, roughly equivalent to $375 million today. More...

Friday Estimates: Fate Set for All-Time Worldwide Weekend Record

April 15th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

As expected, The Fate of the Furious dominated at the domestic box office on Friday, earning $45.6 million. This is not the best opening-day record for the franchiseFurious 7 owns that with $67.41 million—and it is almost a third lower than the previous installment, but if it manages the same legs, it will earn just under $100 million over the weekend. Universal is estimating an opening weekend of $103.8 million. Granted, this film’s reviews are 15 points lower than Furious 7’s, and that should hurt its legs. On the other hand, both films earned a solid A from CinemaScore. In fact, every film in the franchise since Fast Five has earned an A from CinemaScore. Consistency. A drop like this is troubling, but it is more than made up for by the film’s international performance… More...

Analysis: Fate of the Furious Headed for $103m–$110m Opening

April 15th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

Universal just officially announced a $45.6 million estimated opening day for The Fate of the Furious. While that doesn’t put it in the top 50 days all-time, it will be the third-best day in April, behind the Friday and Saturday numbers for Furious 7, and sets the film up for a domestic opening over $100 million. Remarkably, the studio now has the film breaking Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ all-time record global weekend total of $529 million, with a projection of $534.2 million as of Saturday morning. We’ll have more on that as the weekend progresses, but for now here is how the domestic weekend might break down. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Don’t Get Lost on the Way to the Theater

April 14th, 2017

The Lost City of Z

We have a bumper crop of limited releases this week, with several that are earning outstanding reviews. Unfortunately, this means there’s way too much competition for all of them to thrive. The Lost City of Z has the loudest buzz and I think that will give it the edge at the box office. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Fate Not Quite Furious with $10.4 million in Previews

April 14th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The Fate of the Furious got off to a fast start with $10.4 million during previews last night; however, this wasn’t as fast as I was expecting. No one really thought it would match Furious 7’s $15.4 million from 2015, but it needed to come closer with $12 million if it’s going to get to our prediction of $116 million for the weekend. It is better than the $9.5 million in previews that Logan earned earlier this year. Coincidentally, both of those films has nearly identical opening weekend / previews multipliers and if The Fate of the Furious matches them, it will pull in just under $97 million over the weekend. Other tracking numbers have it still topping The Jungle Book’s $103.26 million opening weekend from last year. Splitting the difference gets us an opening weekend of almost exactly $100 million. It’s hard to complain when a film nearly gets to $100 million during its opening weekend, but this is the problem with great expectations. More...

Contest: Forget About It

April 13th, 2017

La La Land

April is a mess. When I starting writing the April preview I identified nine films that I was not 100% sure were going to open truly wide. While writing the preview, one was pulled from the schedule and since then, two were downgraded to semi-wide or lower. Next weekend, Born in China is opening semi-wide, The Promise is right on the razor’s edge between semi-wide and truly wide, while we still don’t have an estimate for Free Fire. This leaves Unforgettable as the only confirmed truly wide release of the week. Because of this, it is the only choice for the target film in this week’s box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Unforgettable.

Our April Fools contests continue this week. Two of our winners will win La La Land on Blu-ray Combo Pack, while one will be chosen at random to be the fool and receive an HD-DVD release. The Blu-ray Combo Pack doesn’t come out until the 25th, but the film is already out on Video on Demand.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will be a potential winner of La La Land on Blu-ray Combo Pack, or the winner of the Fool’s Prize. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also be a potential winner of La La Land on Blu-ray Combo Pack, or the winner of the Fool’s Prize. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will be the final potential winner of La La Land on Blu-ray Combo Pack, or the winner of the Fool’s Prize.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Theater Counts (updated): Fate of the Furious Takes Flight in 4,310 Theaters

April 13th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The Fate of the Furious will break a record on Friday before a single person sits down in a movie theater: the film will become the widest live action release in Universal’s history when doors open tomorrow. The studio announced today that it will play in a gargantuan 4,311 locations [ed note: on Friday morning, that count was revised to 4,310, which doesn’t change any of the record rankings]. That’s the 12th-widest opening in history, and overtakes Jurassic World, which debuted in 4,274 theaters in 2015, as Universal’s biggest live action release. (Their widest release of all time, by the way, is the animated The Secret Life of Pets, which started out in 4,370 theaters.) More...

Weekend Predictions: Furious is Fated to Outrace the Competition

April 13th, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

The headline isn’t 100% accurate, because let’s face it, there is no competition this week. The Fate of the Furious is the only wide release of the week (Spark was dropped to select cities.) and it will beat the nearest competition likely by over $100 million. It will likely earn more than the rest of the box office combined will earn. There could be a close race for second place between The Boss Baby and Beauty and the Beast, but for the most part, there will be no mystery at the box office this weekend. As for this weekend last year, it was also really one-sided. The Jungle Book opened with $103.26 million, while Barbershop: The Next Cut was a distant second with $20.24 million. The Fate of the Furious will need to match this one-two punch, or at least come close, for 2017 to continue building on its lead over 2016. I’m cautiously optimistic. More...

Detroit Trailer

April 13th, 2017

Historical dramatization starring John Boyega, directed by Kathryn Bigelow opens August 4 ... Full Movie Details. More...

International Box Office: Ghost Comes to Life with $41.3 million

April 13th, 2017

Ghost in the Shell

Ghost in the Shell rose to first place with $41.3 million in 57 markets for a two-week international total of $92.8 million. The film was aided by a first place debut in China. It earned $21.15 million over the weekend for a total opening of $21.49 million. It also opened in Japan with $3.2 million over the weekend. The film’s international running tally is nearly triple its domestic one and that spread will only grow. This will help the studio somewhat; however, it would need to make over $250 million internationally to have any real shot at breaking even.

More...

Contest: Smurf to the Smurf: Winning Announcement

April 13th, 2017

Smurfs: The Lost Village

The winners of our Smurf to the Smurf contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Smurfs: The Lost Village’s opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: Colossal Lives up to its Name with $30,057

April 12th, 2017

Colossal

Colossal led the way on the theater average chart with an average of $30,057 in four theaters. Meanwhile, Their Finest was the only other film in the $10,000 club with an average of $19,049 also in four theaters. More...

Thor: Ragnarok Trailer

April 12th, 2017

Super hero adventure starring Chris Hemsworth opens November 3 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Home Market Releases for April 11th, 2017

April 12th, 2017

Hidden Figures

It is another shallow week on the home market. There are a number of Oscar-contenders on this week’s list, but the quality quickly drops off from that point. A couple of releases are contenders for Pick of the Week, but it is mostly filler. The best of this week’s list was Hidden Figures on Blu-ray and it is the Pick of the Week. More...

Spark: A Space Tail Trailer

April 11th, 2017

Animated adventure opens on Friday... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Baby and Beast Dominate Box Office with $26.36 million and $23.65 million

April 11th, 2017

The Boss Baby

It was a good weekend at the box office, considering the time of year, but this was almost entirely due to holdovers. The Boss Baby earned $26.36 million, which was within a rounding of our prediction, while Beauty and the Beast was relatively close behind. This meant the best new release, Smurfs: The Lost Village, only managed third place. Furthermore, it wasn’t even close to second place. Overall, the box office fell 30% from last weekend. More importantly, it was 14% higher than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2017 has pulled in $3.15 billion becoming the fastest year to reach $3 billion. It is also 6.4% or $190 million ahead of last year’s pace. It is still early, but 2017 is starting to build up a lead that will act as a cushion when it inevitably hits a soft patch. More...

Featured VOD Review: Hidden Figures

April 10th, 2017

Hidden Figures

Hidden Figures is an Oscar-bait movie, there’s no getting around that. It is an inspirational movie based on real life events that opened in limited release in December. Clearly they were going for Awards Season glory. It did earn a number of nominations, but was only able to pick up one award. On the other hand, the film earned nearly $170 million and is the biggest limited release hit of 2016. Is the film just a little too mainstream for Awards Season success? Did it deserve better on Oscar-night? More...

Weekend Estimates: Baby Continues to Boss at the Box Office

April 9th, 2017

The Boss Baby

The Boss Baby will score another win at the box office this weekend, with Fox predicting a total of $26.3 million for the weekend, down 48% from its debut, and $89.4 million to date. That’s a remarkably strong second weekend, considering that Beauty and the Beast will be down virtually the same proporation—45%—in its fourth weekend. Disney’s blockbuster will do $25 million for a cume of $432 million so far domestically. With $545.1 million internationally, the film now has $977.4 million worldwide, and will pass the billion dollar mark this week. More...

Friday Estimates: Baby Bosses Around the New Releases, Maintains First with $6.86 Million

April 8th, 2017

The Boss Baby

There was quite a race at the box office on Friday. The Boss Baby led the way with $6.86 million for the day, putting it just ahead of Beauty and the Beast, which made $6.85 million. This is a 56% decline from the film’s opening Friday, which is a little high for a family film. Granted, its reviews are not good, but it did get an A minus from CinemaScore. It should bounce back on Saturday, but a nearly 50% drop-off to just under $26 million is likely at this point. More...

Theater Counts: Smurfs Open in 3,610 Theaters

April 7th, 2017

Smurfs: The Lost Village

Smurfs: The Lost Village is the widest new release this weekend, but, just as it’s struggling to get out the gate at the box office, it also struggled to win over theater owners faced with the choice of pushing Beauty and the Beast and The Boss Baby off their biggest screens, or out of the theater entirely. Beauty remains the widest release for the third straight weekend, and plays in 3,969 venues this time around. Boss Baby expands in its second weekend to 3,829. That makes for a daunting task for Smurfs to break out. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Sign Your Name. Here

April 7th, 2017

Your Name.

It is a busy week for limited releases with more than a dozen titles on this week’s list. This includes a quartet of releases with good reviews and loud buzz. Gifted’s reviews are good, but likely not good enough for limited release. That said, it has a shot at becoming a sleeper hit. Their Finest is a stellar British World War II dramedy, but the cast is more famous in the U.K. than here. Your Name is arguably the best film on this week’s list and it is a monster hit worldwide. However, it is playing in over 300 theaters and that might turn out to be too many. This leaves Colossal as the film with the best shot at mainstream success. Its reviews are not the best, but the combination of reviews, cast, buzz, and commercial viability is. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Going has Stylish Start, while Smurfs is Going, Going, Gone

April 7th, 2017

Going in Style

There was an upset during Thursday’s previews, as Going in Style actually led the way with $600,000. However, demographics suggest it won’t remain in the lead for long. This is still not a great start, but it is nearly perfectly in line with expectations. The film’s reviews rose a little to 42% positive, but this still won’t help its legs. Look for an opening weekend of $10 million, more or less. More...

Contest: Leave it up to Fate

April 6th, 2017

Sleepless

It is an easy week to pick the target film for the Box Office Prediction contest, as there is only one wide release next week: The Fate of the Furious. (Spark: A Space Tail was supposed to open wide, but it is now opening in only a few hundred theaters.) Because of this, The Fate of the Furious is the only real choice for the target film in this week’s box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for The Fate of the Furious.

Our April Fools contests continue this week. Two of our winners will win Sleepless on Blu-ray Combo Pack, which comes out on April 18th, although it is available on VOD right now. Meanwhile one will be chosen at random to be the fool and receive an HD-DVD release.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a potential winner of Sleepless on Blu-ray Combo Pack, or the winner of the Fool’s Prize. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a potential winner, as described above. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will win the final potential winner.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Weekend Predictions: Will it be Smurfs and the New Releases Get Lost in the Crowd?

April 6th, 2017

Smurfs: The Lost Village

It is the first weekend of April and there are two and a half films opening wide this week. The widest of these is Smurfs: The Lost Village, but direct competition is going to hurt it at the box office. Going in Style is aiming to be a sleeper hit, but its reviews will likely get in the way of that. Meanwhile, The Case for Christ is opening in barely more than 1,000 theaters and it is aiming for the churchgoing crowd and no one else. On the positive side, it is Easter next weekend, so it should have good legs. Unfortunately for the new releases, it looks like The Boss Baby will have a relatively easy time repeating in first place, while Beauty and the Beast will be close behind in second. This weekend last year, The Boss opened in first place with $23.59 million, while Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice was right behind with $23.36 million. This week we should have at least two films top that, perhaps even three if Smurfs: The Lost Village is on the high end of expectations. 2017 should continue to add to its lead over 2016. More...

International Box Office: Beauty Nears $900 million With $66.5 million

April 5th, 2017

Beauty and the Beast

Beauty and the Beast completed the threepeat earning first place on the international chart with $66.5 million in 55 markets for totals of $480.8 million internationally and $874.1 million worldwide. The film had no major market openings this past weekend, but it did do really well in a number of mid-level markets. Malaysia was the best earning $2.4 million, which is the second best opening in that market this year. Kong: Skull Island earned $2.6 million during its debut there. The Netherlands managed $1.8 million over the weekend for a total opening of $2.3 million, which is the best opening of the year so far. Likewise, it had the best openings of 2017 in both New Zealand ($1.4 million over the weekend and $1.7 million including previews) and in Chile ($1.5 million / $1.6 million). It will soon become the first film of 2017 to reach $1 billion worldwide and the 14th film from Disney to reach that milestone. More...

Contest: Give Up the Ghost: Winning Announcement

April 5th, 2017

Ghost in the Shell

The winners of our Give Up the Ghost contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Ghost in the Shell’s opening weekend were... More...

Theater Averages: Boss Baby Gets a Raise with $13,305

April 4th, 2017

The Boss Baby

Wide releases again dominated the theater average chart taking two of the top three spots. This includes The Boss Baby, which led the way with $13,305. The only limited release in the $10,000 club was David Lynch: The Art Life with $10,823 in its lone theater. Last week’s champ, Beauty and the Beast, was right behind with an average of $10,789. More...

Everything, Everything Trailer

April 4th, 2017

Romantic drama starring Nick Robinson and Amandla Stenberg, directed by Stella Meghie, opens May 19 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Boss Blasts Off while Ghost Cracks

April 4th, 2017

The Boss Baby

The Boss Baby beat expectations and earned first place with $50.20 million over the weekend. The strong competition pushed Beauty and the Beast into second place, but it nearly hit $400 million and it is on pace for $500 million, so I wouldn’t feel too bad for the film. On the other hand, you can feel bad for Ghost in the Shell, because an opening of just $18.68 million on a $110 million production budget is a disaster. Overall, the box office rose 16% from last week reaching $169 million. Compared to last year, the box office rose 28%, which is very impressive. Year-to-date, 2017 has pulled in $2.98 billion, putting it 6.1% or $170 million ahead of 2016’s pace. We are far enough into the year that a lead this big is significant. That doesn’t mean 2017 is guaranteed to come out ahead, but this is certainly reason to be optimistic. More...

Oscar Contest Results

April 3rd, 2017

Best Picture Nominees

Thank you to everyone who entered our 20th annual Predict the Academy Awards Contest. As usual, the contest drew hundreds of high-quality entries, with the winners predicting 18 of the winners on what proved to be an crazy Oscar night.

Read on for our list of 2017 prize winners... More...

Home Market Releases for April 4th, 2017

April 3rd, 2017

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

This is a terrible week on the home market, mostly. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story comes out on DVD or Blu-ray Combo Pack and the competition has clearly scared away any other top-level releases. The only other first-run release is Office Christmas Party, which is worth a rental, if you like anti-Christmas movies. As far as Pick of the Week contenders are concerned, there’s Rogue One... and really that’s it. There are a couple of other releases I highlighted, but they wouldn't be contenders during an average week. Don’t Kill It looks good for a low-budget horror movie, while Paterson is coming out on a featureless DVD / Blu-ray. They are worth picking up if you are a fan of their respective genres. More...

Weekend Estimates: Boss Baby Beats Beauty

April 2nd, 2017

The Boss Baby

A great marketing campaign and a beautifully-timed opening will most likely combine to give The Boss Baby a win at the box office this weekend, according to studio estimates released on Sunday. Victory isn’t completely assured, because the margin is fairly slim: Boss Baby is headed for $49 million, per Fox’s Sunday morning estimate, while Disney is expecting $47.5 million for Beauty and the Beast. Both studios expect Beast to win on Sunday, so the eventual winner will depend on today’s figures, but it would be a real surprise if the order changes when final numbers come in tomorrow. More...

Friday Estimates: Baby Bosses Beast with $15.5 Million

April 1st, 2017

The Boss Baby

The Boss Baby opened in first place on Friday with $15.5 million. This is higher than our original prediction and the adjusted prediction based on Thursday previews. Some are expecting an opening weekend of over $50 million, but that seems a tad high. The reviews have continued to improve and are now 49% positive, and the film earned an A minus from CinemaScore, which is bog standard for a family film. I think the direct competition from Beauty and the Beast will prevent it from getting to $50 million, meaning there will be a virtual tie on top of the charts over the weekend. More...

2017 Preview: April

April 1st, 2017

The Fate of the Furious

March was a month of extremes, led by two strong performances: Beauty and the Beast breaking records and Logan cracking $200 million with ease. There were also two other $100 million hits and another potential $100 million hit that we don’t have significant box office numbers for yet. This is fantastic. On the opposite end, there were three films on last month’s list that didn’t even open truly wide. This month won’t be as lucrative at the top, as The Fate of the Furious is the only film expected to top $100 million. Fortunately, it is expected to open with over $100 million. On the other extreme, there are many, many films on this list that I’m not sure will open wide. Fortunately, last April wasn’t any better. The Jungle Book made nearly $1 billion worldwide, but the other nine films combined made less than half of that. To emphasize: the other nine films that opened last April averaged less than $50 million worldwide each. If The Fate of the Furious can just come close to the previous installment of the franchise, then 2017 has a solid shot at topping 2016. More...