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Weekend Estimates: Inside Out, Jurassic World Neck and Neck for July 4 Honors

July 5th, 2015

Jurassic World

Two much-anticipated sequels have fallen short of knocking the two incumbents from the top of the box office chart this weekend. Terminator: Genisys will come closest with a mediocre $28.7 million three-day weekend, and $44.1 million after five days in release. That’s a couple of million behind the two returning giants, which are essentially tied for the weekend at this point. Jurassic World has the edge according to the official studio estimates, with Universal putting its total at $30.94 million for the weekend, compared to Disney’s $30.11 million projection for Inside Out. Other tracking we’ve seen suggests that the films will both end up with a shade over $30 million. The film’s respective performance on Sunday will determine who ends up the weekend winner.

Jurassic World will rack up another clutch of records this weekend, including becoming the fastest film to reach $550 million at the domestic box office, and recording the 4th-biggest 4th weekend at the box office. The film has earned another $826.9 million internationally for a total of $1.385 billion to date worldwide. It edges past The Avengers: Age of Ultron this weekend by a fraction, to become the 5th-highest earning film in history worldwide.

Inside Out is compiling its own impressive record book. Its $30 million third weekend puts it level with Up ($30.8 million) and Toy Story 3 ($30.3 million) and among the top 30 best third weekends. It passed $100 million internationally this weekend, and it clearly has a long way to go.

The future is much less rosy for Terminator: Genisys, which was meant to reboot the franchise, and instead is looking like a costly mistake. Its $44.16 million domestic gross is offset somewhat by a more promising $85.5 million internationally, but neither figure suggests it will come close to recouping its $155 million production budget.

Magic Mike XXL is also falling far short of hopes with $12 million or so expected for the three-day weekend and $27 million after five days. Its $14.5 million price tag will significantly cushion the blow, although it seems unlikely we’ll see a Magic Mike XXXL as anything other than a direct-to-video spin-off.

In limited release, Amy is the stand-out film with a projected $222,015 for the weekend from six theaters, which follows a now-familiar pattern for distributor A24. The distributor’s previous release this year, Ex Machina, pulled in $237,264 from four theaters on its opening weekend, on the way to a $25 million total box office. A run like that seems unlikely for a musical documentary, but the stage has been set for a lucrative run over the next few months.

- Weekend Estimates
- Comparison: All-Time Top-Grossing Films
- Comparison: Pixar
- Pixar box office history
- All-time best fourth weekends
- Fastest films to $550 million

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Weekend Box Office, Jurassic World, Avengers: Age of Ultron, Inside Out, Terminator: Genisys, Magic Mike XXL, Ex Machina, Amy