Friday Estimates: Another Day, Another Record for Joker

October 5, 2019

Joker

Joker opened with an outstanding $39.9 million on Friday, topping the previous biggest October day record of $33.08 million set last year by Halloween. This film does have weaker reviews and only a B plus from CinemaScore, which means its word-of-mouth won’t be as great. Additionally, a larger percent of its opening day came from previews, which is another sign it likely won’t have great legs. That said, it would really have to stumble to not get at least close to $100 million over the full weekend. It is not doing quite as well internationally, but close enough that it could earn enough during its opening weekend that it will cover its entire production budget. It will break even before Halloween.

Abominable was next with $2.78 million on Friday putting it on pace for $12 million over the weekend. This is within a rounding error of our prediction. It’s doing fine, but that’s as enthusiastic as I can be about its financial success.

Downton Abbey was close behind with $2.4 million and is on pace for $8 million over the weekend. This is matching predictions perfectly, so there’s not much more to add.

Hustlers fell a little faster than I would have liked to earn $1.94 million on Friday, putting it on pace for $6 million over the weekend. It will still get to $100 million domestically, but it will take maybe a week longer to get there.

It: Chapter Two also slipped a little faster, earning $1.43 million on Friday, meaning it will miss our $6 million prediction by a small amount. It will still get to $200 million domestically over the weekend.

Filed under: Friday Estimates, Abominable, It: Chapter Two, Joker, Hustlers, Downton Abbey