The Numbers - Box Office Data, Movie Stars, Idle Speculation
Saturday, July 21, 2018

Predicted Oscar Winners - 2006

The Numbers' annual Oscar polls have proved to be remarkably accurate predictors of the final results on Oscar night. We call results based on the hundreds of Numbers readers who vote in our Predict the Oscars competition.

We've received all the votes now, and are ready to make predictions in all categories. Percentage figures are the percentage of Numbers readers who believe a movie or performance will win in a particular category. They are a rough guide to how likely a particular movie is to win in a category - for example, we're pretty certain Brokeback Mountain will win Best Picture, while George Clooney is the favorite, by a hair's breadth, to win Best Actor in a Supporting Role.

Of note this year is how widely the Oscars are likely to be spread. While Brokeback Mountain starts out a huge favorite for Best Picture (and bring with it Best Director and Adapted Screenplay), there's a good chance it won't land any acting awards, and our readers are predicting that the technical awards will be spread far and wide.

In fact, while Brokeback will most likely top the Oscar tally (we're predicting five wins), Crash and King Kong are both tipped to take three awards each, and a total of nine movies could walk away with at least one award in the major categories.

Click here to see the complete vote tallies in each category.

Best Picture Brokeback Mountain  (75.54%)
Animated Feature Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit  (63.47%)
Directing Brokeback Mountain Ang Lee (74.15%)
Actor in a Leading Role Capote Philip Seymour Hoffman (59.53%)
Actress in a Leading Role Walk the Line Reese Witherspoon (63.78%)
Actor in a Supporting Role Syriana George Clooney (38.04%)
Actress in a Supporting Role The Constant Gardener Rachel Weisz (59.94%)
Art Direction Memoirs of a Geisha  (52.33%)
Cinematography Brokeback Mountain  (49.38%)
Costume Design Memoirs of a Geisha  (60.78%)
Documentary Feature La marche de l'empereur  (76.09%)
Documentary - Short Subject God Sleeps in Rwanda (64.69%)
Film Editing Crash  (53.03%)
Foreign Language Film Paradise Now  (41.12%)
Makeup The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe  (69.41%)
Music (Score) Brokeback Mountain  (50.47%)
Music (Song) Crash In the Deep (41.59%)
Short Film (Animated) The Moon and the Son (36.73%)
Short Film (Live Action) Our Time Is Up (34.91%)
Sound Editing King Kong  (62.97%)
Sound Mixing King Kong  (33.75%)
Visual Effects King Kong  (62.83%)
Writing (Adapted Screenplay) Brokeback Mountain  (73.60%)
Writing (Original Screenplay) Crash  (57.36%)

Check back after the event to see how we did...