Incarnate (2016)

Incarnate
Theatrical Performance
Domestic Box Office $4,799,774Details
International Box Office $4,571,262Details
Worldwide Box Office $9,371,036
Home Market Performance
Est. Domestic DVD Sales $742,860 Details
Est. Domestic Blu-ray Sales $364,604 Details
Total Est. Domestic Video Sales $1,107,464
Further financial details...

Synopsis

A scientist with the ability to enter the subconscious minds of the possessed must save a young boy from the grips of a demon with powers never seen before, while facing the horrors of his past.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$2,534,884 (52.8% of total gross)
Legs:1.89 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:51.2% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$5,000,000 (worldwide box office is 1.9 times production budget)
Theater counts:1,737 opening theaters/1,737 max. theaters, 2.2 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $5,981,682

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists

RecordRankAmount
All Time Domestic Box Office (Rank 6,601-6,700) 6,625 $4,799,774
All Time International Box Office (Rank 6,601-6,700) 6,683 $4,571,262
All Time Worldwide Box Office (Rank 7,801-7,900) 7,835 $9,371,036

See the Box Office tab (Domestic) and International tab (International and Worldwide) for more Cumulative Box Office Records.


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
iTunes:iTunes
Google Play:Google Play, Google Play
Vudu:Vudu, Vudu
Netflix:Netflix

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) by High Top Releasing
International Releases: March 19th, 2024 (Wide) (Brazil)
December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) (Russia (CIS))
December 9th, 2016 (Wide) (Netherlands)
December 16th, 2016 (Wide), released as Inkarnace (Czech Republic)
December 16th, 2016 (Wide), released as Įsikūnijęs blogis (Lithuania)
... Show all releases
Video Release: February 21st, 2017 by Universal Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: PG-13 for intense sequences of horror violence, terror, disturbing images, brief strong language, sensuality and thematic elements.
(Rating bulletin 2385, 8/4/2015)
Running Time: 86 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Shut In
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Possessed, Supernatural, Demons, Exorcism, Wheelchair User, Magical Technology, Exploring a Character's Mind, Delayed Release, Supernatural Horror
Source:Original Screenplay
Genre:Horror
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Contemporary Fiction
Production/Financing Companies: BH Tilt, IM Global, Blumhouse, WWE Studios, Deep Underground Films
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Compare this performance with other movies…

Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 2, 2016 9 $2,534,884   1,737 $1,459   $2,534,884 1
Dec 9, 2016 14 $1,078,173 -57% 1,737 $621   $4,220,311 2
Dec 16, 2016 20 $184,105 -83% 318 $579   $4,723,514 3
Dec 23, 2016 47 $9,084 -95% 27 $336   $4,790,573 4

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Dec 1, 2016 P $120,000     0     $120,000  
Dec 2, 2016 9 $915,217     1,737 $527   $915,217 1
Dec 3, 2016 10 $1,091,690 +19%   1,737 $628   $2,006,907 2
Dec 4, 2016 11 $527,977 -52%   1,737 $304   $2,534,884 3
Dec 5, 2016 10 $155,887 -70%   1,737 $90   $2,690,771 4
Dec 6, 2016 11 $198,073 +27%   1,737 $114   $2,888,844 5
Dec 7, 2016 11 $138,249 -30%   1,737 $80   $3,027,093 6
Dec 8, 2016 11 $115,045 -17%   1,737 $66   $3,142,138 7
Dec 9, 2016 14 $330,799 +188% -64% 1,737 $190   $3,472,937 8
Dec 10, 2016 14 $511,489 +55% -53% 1,737 $294   $3,984,426 9
Dec 11, 2016 15 $235,885 -54% -55% 1,737 $136   $4,220,311 10
Dec 12, 2016 15 $84,263 -64% -46% 1,737 $49   $4,304,574 11
Dec 13, 2016 - $95,932 +14% -52% 1,737 $55   $4,400,506 12
Dec 14, 2016 - $80,467 -16% -42% 1,737 $46   $4,480,973 13
Dec 15, 2016 - $58,436 -27% -49% 1,737 $34   $4,539,409 14
Dec 16, 2016 - $50,725 -13% -85% 318 $160   $4,590,134 15
Dec 17, 2016 - $81,788 +61% -84% 318 $257   $4,671,922 16
Dec 18, 2016 - $51,592 -37% -78% 318 $162   $4,723,514 17
Dec 19, 2016 - $30,496 -41% -64% 318 $96   $4,754,010 18
Dec 20, 2016 - $18,727 -39% -80% 318 $59   $4,772,737 19
Dec 21, 2016 - $4,516 -76% -94% 318 $14   $4,777,253 20
Dec 22, 2016 - $4,236 -6% -93% 318 $13   $4,781,489 21
Dec 23, 2016 - $4,505 +6% -91% 27 $167   $4,785,994 22
Dec 24, 2016 - $1,643 -64% -98% 27 $61   $4,787,637 23
Dec 25, 2016 - $2,936 +79% -94% 27 $109   $4,790,573 24
Dec 26, 2016 - $2,883 -2% -91% 27 $107   $4,793,456 25
Dec 27, 2016 - $2,122 -26% -89% 27 $79   $4,795,578 26
Dec 28, 2016 - $2,120 n/c -53% 27 $79   $4,797,698 27
Dec 29, 2016 - $2,076 -2% -51% 27 $77   $4,799,774 28

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 2, 2016 10 $3,142,138   1,737 $1,809   $3,142,138 1
Dec 9, 2016 14 $1,397,271 -56% 1,737 $804   $4,539,409 2
Dec 16, 2016 27 $242,080 -83% 318 $761   $4,781,489 3
Dec 23, 2016 56 $18,285 -92% 27 $677   $4,799,774 4

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Argentina 1/13/2017 $97,355 0 0 0 $175,093 1/1/2019
Brazil 3/19/2024 $0 0 0 0 $573,162 6/26/2018
Czech Republic 12/16/2016 $26,764 62 62 91 $44,342 12/31/2018
Italy 2/9/2017 $328,004 0 0 0 $552,871 2/23/2017
Lithuania 12/16/2016 $12,599 69 69 85 $31,554 1/13/2017
Mexico 1/4/2017 $398,197 0 0 0 $686,983 1/13/2017
Netherlands 12/9/2016 $54,821 39 39 85 $198,134 1/12/2017
Portugal 12/30/2016 $38,660 33 33 83 $99,964 1/19/2017
Russia (CIS) 12/2/2016 $243,031 432 432 914 $497,799 12/31/2018
Slovakia 12/16/2016 $12,069 35 35 59 $22,800 1/12/2017
Slovenia 1/13/2017 $1,613 5 5 6 $3,139 2/6/2017
South Korea 5/17/2017 $0 0 225 233 $125,387 6/13/2017
Turkey 12/30/2016 $25,073 78 78 124 $57,172 2/26/2019
 
Rest of World $1,502,862
 
International Total$4,571,262 2/26/2019

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 12, 20171012,385 12,385$222,435$222,4353

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 12, 2017138,455 8,455$168,762$168,7623

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.

Leading Cast

Aaron Eckhart    Dr. Seth Ember
Carice van Houten    Lindsay

Supporting Cast

Catalina Sandino Moreno    Camilla
David Mazouz    Cameron
Keir O'Donnell    Oliver
Matt Nable    Dan
John Pirruccello    Henry
Emjay Anthony    Jake
Karolina Wydra    Anna
Breanne Hill    Lisa

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Brad Peyton    Director
Ronnie Christensen    Screenwriter
Jason Blum    Producer
Trevor Engelson    Producer
Michael Seitzman    Producer
Stuart Ford    Executive Producer
Charles Layton    Executive Producer
Michael J. Luisi    Executive Producer
Couper Samuelson    Executive Producer
Jeanette Volturno*    Executive Producer
Brad Peyton    Executive Producer
Josh McGuire    Executive Producer
Matt Kaplan    Executive Producer
Robyn Marshall    Co-Producer
Dana Gonzales    Director of Photography
Bill Boes    Production Designer
Todd E. Miller    Editor
Jonathan Chibnall    Editor
Andrew Lockington    Composer
Mona May    Costume Designer
Sharon Bialy    Casting Director
Sherry Thomas    Casting Director
Marty Eli Schwartz    Co-Producer
Marty Eli Schwartz    First Assistant Director
Marty Eli Schwartz    Second Unit Director

The bold credits above the line are the "above-the-line" credits, the other the "below-the-line" credits.

Home Market Releases for March 7th, 2017

March 6th, 2017

Moana

There are not a lot of releases on this week’s list for two major reasons. Firstly, it is a very, very shallow week. Secondly... Dental Surgery. By the time you read this, I might still be at the dentist. There are only two contenders for Pick of the Week, Jackie on Blu-ray and Moana on Blu-ray Combo Pack. It wasn’t particularly close and Moana is easily the Pick of the Week. More...

Home Market Releases for February 21st, 2017

February 21st, 2017

Doctor Strange

Did you know Oscars are being handed out next week? If you didn’t already know that, you would be able to figure that out, as there are five major Oscar nominees on this week’s list. Two of those, Jackie and Moana, are VOD releases, so that limits the choices for Pick of the Week. In fact, only Manchester by the Sea was a contender for Pick of the Week. Unfortunately for that film, I got to the review for Doctor Strange a week early and I’m awarding it the Pick of the Week this week. It is out on VOD right now, but I would wait a week for the Blu-ray Combo Pack. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Moana Completes Threepeat with $18.53 million

December 13th, 2016

Moana

As predicted, Moana was able to grab first place on the weekend box office chart. On the downside, it slipped a little faster than expected. Additionally, Office Christmas Party missed expectations and this led to the overall box office falling 13% from last weekend to $83 million. That said, this is still 7.0% higher than the same weekend last year and that’s more important. Year-to-date, 2016 maintained its $460 million / 4.7% lead over 2015 at $10.23 billion to $9.77 billion. This lead will take a serious hit this coming weekend when Rogue One goes against The Force Awakens. That said, unless Rogue One opens with less than $100 million during its weekend, 2016 should still come out ahead at the end of the year. More...

Contest: Secret Prizes: Winning Announcement

December 6th, 2016

The Secret Live of Pets

The winners of our Secret Prizes contest contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Incarnate opening weekend were... More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Moana Sails to Victory with $28.27 million

December 6th, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana dominated the weekend box office chart with a $10 million lead over its nearest competitor earning $28.27 million. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them also did well with $18.12 million. Unfortunately, those were the only two films to earn more than $10 million over the weekend and this left the overall box office down a massive 48% from last weekend to just $95 million. Worse still, this is 2.8% lower than the same weekend last year. I’m actually surprised it’s that close, because there were four films that earned more than $10 million last year, including the biggest new release, Krampus. 2016 was able to crack $10 billion before the weekend and has a very substantial lead at $10.12 billion to $9.66 billion for 2015. More...

Weekend Estimates: Moana Stands Tall as Awards Season Hots Up

December 4th, 2016

Moana

The top of the box office chart remains a tale of two movies this weekend, with Moana maintaining an impressive lead over Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, but both movies doing very nicely heading into the Christmas season. Moana tops the chart again this weekend with $28.4 million, for a total of $119.9 million at the end of the weekend. By way of comparison, Frozen had earned $134.3 million at this point in its run, but fell a slightly larger 53% from Thanksgiving, compared to Moana’s 50% decline. The next few weeks should be very lucrative for the animated adventure, which is likely to sail past $300 million at the domestic box office. More...

Friday Estimates: Winter Chill is Good for Moana

December 3rd, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana led the way at the box office on Friday. It did so thanks to a $6.45 million haul. This is just 4.2% lower than Frozen managed during the same period in its run. If Moana has the same internal multiplier over the weekend, then it will earn just over $30 million. That would be amazing. That would be $6 million better than expected. I think it is going to have trouble keeping up that pace, but a sub-50% drop-off to $29 million is still impressive, especially for this time of year. The film has $97.96 million as of Friday and by the time you read this, it may have already crossed $100 million on Saturday. If it continues to show legs like this, then the film will still be in wide release on Christmas Day, which will be a boon to its box office numbers. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Incarnate is a Ghost at Previews - Update

December 2nd, 2016

Incarnate

The numbers for Incarnate finally showed up and I can see why they were not in a rush to publish them. The film pulled in just $120,000 during midnight shows yesterday. That’s not the worst we’ve seen for a semi-wide or wider release, but it is close. In fact, it is so low that it is hard to find a good comparison. The three recent horror / thrillers we used as comparisons didn’t have previews or didn’t release preview box office numbers. Nearly ever horror / thriller released this summer was a hit, except The Darkness. That film earned $206,000 during its previews on its way to a $4.95 million opening weekend. If the two films had the same legs, then Incarnate will pull in $3 million this weekend. I think that’s on the high end of its box office potential.

Our original story can be read below. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Incarnate have a Substantial Opening?

December 1st, 2016

Incarnate

December usually starts on a really soft note, because the weekend after Thanksgiving is usually a terrible weekend. This time around, the wide release of the week is Incarnate, which is opening in 1,737 theaters and is expected to struggle to reach the top ten. That leaves Moana with an easy route to first place. This weekend last year, Krampus opened in second place with $16.29 million. Incarnate will only earn a fraction of that. On the other hand, the number one film was The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2, which earned $18.86 million during the weekend and Moana should easily beat that. I don’t think 2016 will come out ahead, but it also shouldn’t be a disaster either.

More...

2016 Preview: December

December 1st, 2016

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

November was good, but not great. Fortunately, 2016 had a large enough lead going into November that the month only needed to be good. In fact, it could have been mediocre and 2016 would have still had an excellent shot to end the year above 2015. As for December, it’s a race between Star Wars and Star Wars. Almost no one thinks Rogue One is going to match The Force Awakens, but if Rogue One earns just half of what The Force Awakens managed, then 2016 will come out on top in the year-over-year comparison. There are only two other films with a better than 50/50 chance of hitting $100 million, Passengers and Sing. Either one could earn second place for the month, but Passengers will likely start faster. Last December, the only other film to earn more than $100 million was Daddy’s Home, which earned just a hair over $150 million. There’s a chance both Passengers and Sing will earn more than $150 million, which would be a boon to the box office. However, Star Wars: The Force Awakens was just too strong last year and it would take a miracle for 2016 to have a stronger December. That said, it would take a complete collapse for 2016 not to top 2015 in raw dollars. The growth might not be enough to keep pace with ticket price inflation, on the other hand. More...

Contest: Say Thanks: Winning Announcement

November 29th, 2016

Moana

The winners of our Say Thanks contest contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Moana opening weekend were... More...

Contest: Secret Prizes

November 26th, 2016

The Secret Live of Pets

Next week is the weekend after Thanksgiving, which is one of two weekends that are historically the worst weekends of the year. (The other is the weekend after Labor Day.) Often times, there are no wide releases to talk about this week and that appears to be the case this year, as Incarnate is reportedly only opening in 1,500 theaters. It has not been a good year for releases like this, so I suspect the winning prediction will be on the low side. However, it is the only film with a shot at the top ten, so it is the only serious choice for the target film in this week’s Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Incarnate.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will the final copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...


  1. Summary
  2. News
  3. Box Office
  4. International
  5. Video Sales
  6. Full Financials
  7. Cast & Crew
  8. Trailer

Synopsis

A scientist with the ability to enter the subconscious minds of the possessed must save a young boy from the grips of a demon with powers never seen before, while facing the horrors of his past.

Metrics

Opening Weekend:$2,534,884 (52.8% of total gross)
Legs:1.89 (domestic box office/biggest weekend)
Domestic Share:51.2% (domestic box office/worldwide)
Production Budget:$5,000,000 (worldwide box office is 1.9 times production budget)
Theater counts:1,737 opening theaters/1,737 max. theaters, 2.2 weeks average run per theater
Infl. Adj. Dom. BO $5,981,682

Latest Ranking on Cumulative Box Office Lists

RecordRankAmount
All Time Domestic Box Office (Rank 6,601-6,700) 6,625 $4,799,774
All Time International Box Office (Rank 6,601-6,700) 6,683 $4,571,262
All Time Worldwide Box Office (Rank 7,801-7,900) 7,835 $9,371,036

See the Box Office tab (Domestic) and International tab (International and Worldwide) for more Cumulative Box Office Records.


Watch Now On

Amazon VOD:Amazon
iTunes:iTunes
Google Play:Google Play, Google Play
Vudu:Vudu, Vudu
Netflix:Netflix

Movie Details

Domestic Releases: December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) by High Top Releasing
International Releases: March 19th, 2024 (Wide) (Brazil)
December 2nd, 2016 (Wide) (Russia (CIS))
December 9th, 2016 (Wide) (Netherlands)
December 16th, 2016 (Wide), released as Inkarnace (Czech Republic)
December 16th, 2016 (Wide), released as Įsikūnijęs blogis (Lithuania)
... Show all releases
Video Release: February 21st, 2017 by Universal Home Entertainment
MPAA Rating: PG-13 for intense sequences of horror violence, terror, disturbing images, brief strong language, sensuality and thematic elements.
(Rating bulletin 2385, 8/4/2015)
Running Time: 86 minutes
Comparisons: vs. Shut In
Create your own comparison chart…
Keywords: Possessed, Supernatural, Demons, Exorcism, Wheelchair User, Magical Technology, Exploring a Character's Mind, Delayed Release, Supernatural Horror
Source:Original Screenplay
Genre:Horror
Production Method:Live Action
Creative Type:Contemporary Fiction
Production/Financing Companies: BH Tilt, IM Global, Blumhouse, WWE Studios, Deep Underground Films
Production Countries: United States
Languages: English

Leading Cast

Aaron Eckhart    Dr. Seth Ember
Carice van Houten    Lindsay

Supporting Cast

Catalina Sandino Moreno    Camilla
David Mazouz    Cameron
Keir O'Donnell    Oliver
Matt Nable    Dan
John Pirruccello    Henry
Emjay Anthony    Jake
Karolina Wydra    Anna
Breanne Hill    Lisa

For a description of the different acting role types we use to categorize acting perfomances, see our Glossary.

Production and Technical Credits

Brad Peyton    Director
Ronnie Christensen    Screenwriter
Jason Blum    Producer
Trevor Engelson    Producer
Michael Seitzman    Producer
Stuart Ford    Executive Producer
Charles Layton    Executive Producer
Michael J. Luisi    Executive Producer
Couper Samuelson    Executive Producer
Jeanette Volturno*    Executive Producer
Brad Peyton    Executive Producer
Josh McGuire    Executive Producer
Matt Kaplan    Executive Producer
Robyn Marshall    Co-Producer
Dana Gonzales    Director of Photography
Bill Boes    Production Designer
Todd E. Miller    Editor
Jonathan Chibnall    Editor
Andrew Lockington    Composer
Mona May    Costume Designer
Sharon Bialy    Casting Director
Sherry Thomas    Casting Director
Marty Eli Schwartz    Co-Producer
Marty Eli Schwartz    First Assistant Director
Marty Eli Schwartz    Second Unit Director

The bold credits above the line are the "above-the-line" credits, the other the "below-the-line" credits.

Home Market Releases for March 7th, 2017

March 6th, 2017

Moana

There are not a lot of releases on this week’s list for two major reasons. Firstly, it is a very, very shallow week. Secondly... Dental Surgery. By the time you read this, I might still be at the dentist. There are only two contenders for Pick of the Week, Jackie on Blu-ray and Moana on Blu-ray Combo Pack. It wasn’t particularly close and Moana is easily the Pick of the Week. More...

Home Market Releases for February 21st, 2017

February 21st, 2017

Doctor Strange

Did you know Oscars are being handed out next week? If you didn’t already know that, you would be able to figure that out, as there are five major Oscar nominees on this week’s list. Two of those, Jackie and Moana, are VOD releases, so that limits the choices for Pick of the Week. In fact, only Manchester by the Sea was a contender for Pick of the Week. Unfortunately for that film, I got to the review for Doctor Strange a week early and I’m awarding it the Pick of the Week this week. It is out on VOD right now, but I would wait a week for the Blu-ray Combo Pack. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Moana Completes Threepeat with $18.53 million

December 13th, 2016

Moana

As predicted, Moana was able to grab first place on the weekend box office chart. On the downside, it slipped a little faster than expected. Additionally, Office Christmas Party missed expectations and this led to the overall box office falling 13% from last weekend to $83 million. That said, this is still 7.0% higher than the same weekend last year and that’s more important. Year-to-date, 2016 maintained its $460 million / 4.7% lead over 2015 at $10.23 billion to $9.77 billion. This lead will take a serious hit this coming weekend when Rogue One goes against The Force Awakens. That said, unless Rogue One opens with less than $100 million during its weekend, 2016 should still come out ahead at the end of the year. More...

Contest: Secret Prizes: Winning Announcement

December 6th, 2016

The Secret Live of Pets

The winners of our Secret Prizes contest contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Incarnate opening weekend were... More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Moana Sails to Victory with $28.27 million

December 6th, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana dominated the weekend box office chart with a $10 million lead over its nearest competitor earning $28.27 million. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them also did well with $18.12 million. Unfortunately, those were the only two films to earn more than $10 million over the weekend and this left the overall box office down a massive 48% from last weekend to just $95 million. Worse still, this is 2.8% lower than the same weekend last year. I’m actually surprised it’s that close, because there were four films that earned more than $10 million last year, including the biggest new release, Krampus. 2016 was able to crack $10 billion before the weekend and has a very substantial lead at $10.12 billion to $9.66 billion for 2015. More...

Weekend Estimates: Moana Stands Tall as Awards Season Hots Up

December 4th, 2016

Moana

The top of the box office chart remains a tale of two movies this weekend, with Moana maintaining an impressive lead over Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, but both movies doing very nicely heading into the Christmas season. Moana tops the chart again this weekend with $28.4 million, for a total of $119.9 million at the end of the weekend. By way of comparison, Frozen had earned $134.3 million at this point in its run, but fell a slightly larger 53% from Thanksgiving, compared to Moana’s 50% decline. The next few weeks should be very lucrative for the animated adventure, which is likely to sail past $300 million at the domestic box office. More...

Friday Estimates: Winter Chill is Good for Moana

December 3rd, 2016

Moana

As expected, Moana led the way at the box office on Friday. It did so thanks to a $6.45 million haul. This is just 4.2% lower than Frozen managed during the same period in its run. If Moana has the same internal multiplier over the weekend, then it will earn just over $30 million. That would be amazing. That would be $6 million better than expected. I think it is going to have trouble keeping up that pace, but a sub-50% drop-off to $29 million is still impressive, especially for this time of year. The film has $97.96 million as of Friday and by the time you read this, it may have already crossed $100 million on Saturday. If it continues to show legs like this, then the film will still be in wide release on Christmas Day, which will be a boon to its box office numbers. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Incarnate is a Ghost at Previews - Update

December 2nd, 2016

Incarnate

The numbers for Incarnate finally showed up and I can see why they were not in a rush to publish them. The film pulled in just $120,000 during midnight shows yesterday. That’s not the worst we’ve seen for a semi-wide or wider release, but it is close. In fact, it is so low that it is hard to find a good comparison. The three recent horror / thrillers we used as comparisons didn’t have previews or didn’t release preview box office numbers. Nearly ever horror / thriller released this summer was a hit, except The Darkness. That film earned $206,000 during its previews on its way to a $4.95 million opening weekend. If the two films had the same legs, then Incarnate will pull in $3 million this weekend. I think that’s on the high end of its box office potential.

Our original story can be read below. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Incarnate have a Substantial Opening?

December 1st, 2016

Incarnate

December usually starts on a really soft note, because the weekend after Thanksgiving is usually a terrible weekend. This time around, the wide release of the week is Incarnate, which is opening in 1,737 theaters and is expected to struggle to reach the top ten. That leaves Moana with an easy route to first place. This weekend last year, Krampus opened in second place with $16.29 million. Incarnate will only earn a fraction of that. On the other hand, the number one film was The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 2, which earned $18.86 million during the weekend and Moana should easily beat that. I don’t think 2016 will come out ahead, but it also shouldn’t be a disaster either.

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2016 Preview: December

December 1st, 2016

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

November was good, but not great. Fortunately, 2016 had a large enough lead going into November that the month only needed to be good. In fact, it could have been mediocre and 2016 would have still had an excellent shot to end the year above 2015. As for December, it’s a race between Star Wars and Star Wars. Almost no one thinks Rogue One is going to match The Force Awakens, but if Rogue One earns just half of what The Force Awakens managed, then 2016 will come out on top in the year-over-year comparison. There are only two other films with a better than 50/50 chance of hitting $100 million, Passengers and Sing. Either one could earn second place for the month, but Passengers will likely start faster. Last December, the only other film to earn more than $100 million was Daddy’s Home, which earned just a hair over $150 million. There’s a chance both Passengers and Sing will earn more than $150 million, which would be a boon to the box office. However, Star Wars: The Force Awakens was just too strong last year and it would take a miracle for 2016 to have a stronger December. That said, it would take a complete collapse for 2016 not to top 2015 in raw dollars. The growth might not be enough to keep pace with ticket price inflation, on the other hand. More...

Contest: Say Thanks: Winning Announcement

November 29th, 2016

Moana

The winners of our Say Thanks contest contest were determined and the entrants with the closest predictions for Moana opening weekend were... More...

Contest: Secret Prizes

November 26th, 2016

The Secret Live of Pets

Next week is the weekend after Thanksgiving, which is one of two weekends that are historically the worst weekends of the year. (The other is the weekend after Labor Day.) Often times, there are no wide releases to talk about this week and that appears to be the case this year, as Incarnate is reportedly only opening in 1,500 theaters. It has not been a good year for releases like this, so I suspect the winning prediction will be on the low side. However, it is the only film with a shot at the top ten, so it is the only serious choice for the target film in this week’s Box Office Prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the opening weekend box office number for Incarnate.

Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will also win a copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack. Finally, we will be choosing an entrant from the group of people who haven't won, or haven't won recently, and they will the final copy of The Secret Life of Pets on Blu-ray Combo Pack.

Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay! More...

Compare this performance with other movies…

Domestic Cumulative Box Office Records

Weekend Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 2, 2016 9 $2,534,884   1,737 $1,459   $2,534,884 1
Dec 9, 2016 14 $1,078,173 -57% 1,737 $621   $4,220,311 2
Dec 16, 2016 20 $184,105 -83% 318 $579   $4,723,514 3
Dec 23, 2016 47 $9,084 -95% 27 $336   $4,790,573 4

Daily Box Office Performance

DateRankGross%YD%LWTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossDays
Dec 1, 2016 P $120,000     0     $120,000  
Dec 2, 2016 9 $915,217     1,737 $527   $915,217 1
Dec 3, 2016 10 $1,091,690 +19%   1,737 $628   $2,006,907 2
Dec 4, 2016 11 $527,977 -52%   1,737 $304   $2,534,884 3
Dec 5, 2016 10 $155,887 -70%   1,737 $90   $2,690,771 4
Dec 6, 2016 11 $198,073 +27%   1,737 $114   $2,888,844 5
Dec 7, 2016 11 $138,249 -30%   1,737 $80   $3,027,093 6
Dec 8, 2016 11 $115,045 -17%   1,737 $66   $3,142,138 7
Dec 9, 2016 14 $330,799 +188% -64% 1,737 $190   $3,472,937 8
Dec 10, 2016 14 $511,489 +55% -53% 1,737 $294   $3,984,426 9
Dec 11, 2016 15 $235,885 -54% -55% 1,737 $136   $4,220,311 10
Dec 12, 2016 15 $84,263 -64% -46% 1,737 $49   $4,304,574 11
Dec 13, 2016 - $95,932 +14% -52% 1,737 $55   $4,400,506 12
Dec 14, 2016 - $80,467 -16% -42% 1,737 $46   $4,480,973 13
Dec 15, 2016 - $58,436 -27% -49% 1,737 $34   $4,539,409 14
Dec 16, 2016 - $50,725 -13% -85% 318 $160   $4,590,134 15
Dec 17, 2016 - $81,788 +61% -84% 318 $257   $4,671,922 16
Dec 18, 2016 - $51,592 -37% -78% 318 $162   $4,723,514 17
Dec 19, 2016 - $30,496 -41% -64% 318 $96   $4,754,010 18
Dec 20, 2016 - $18,727 -39% -80% 318 $59   $4,772,737 19
Dec 21, 2016 - $4,516 -76% -94% 318 $14   $4,777,253 20
Dec 22, 2016 - $4,236 -6% -93% 318 $13   $4,781,489 21
Dec 23, 2016 - $4,505 +6% -91% 27 $167   $4,785,994 22
Dec 24, 2016 - $1,643 -64% -98% 27 $61   $4,787,637 23
Dec 25, 2016 - $2,936 +79% -94% 27 $109   $4,790,573 24
Dec 26, 2016 - $2,883 -2% -91% 27 $107   $4,793,456 25
Dec 27, 2016 - $2,122 -26% -89% 27 $79   $4,795,578 26
Dec 28, 2016 - $2,120 n/c -53% 27 $79   $4,797,698 27
Dec 29, 2016 - $2,076 -2% -51% 27 $77   $4,799,774 28

Weekly Box Office Performance

DateRankGross% ChangeTheatersPer TheaterTotal GrossWeek
Dec 2, 2016 10 $3,142,138   1,737 $1,809   $3,142,138 1
Dec 9, 2016 14 $1,397,271 -56% 1,737 $804   $4,539,409 2
Dec 16, 2016 27 $242,080 -83% 318 $761   $4,781,489 3
Dec 23, 2016 56 $18,285 -92% 27 $677   $4,799,774 4

Box Office Summary Per Territory

Territory Release
Date
Opening
Weekend
Opening
Weekend
Screens
Maximum
Screens
Theatrical
Engagements
Total
Box Office
Report
Date
Argentina 1/13/2017 $97,355 0 0 0 $175,093 1/1/2019
Brazil 3/19/2024 $0 0 0 0 $573,162 6/26/2018
Czech Republic 12/16/2016 $26,764 62 62 91 $44,342 12/31/2018
Italy 2/9/2017 $328,004 0 0 0 $552,871 2/23/2017
Lithuania 12/16/2016 $12,599 69 69 85 $31,554 1/13/2017
Mexico 1/4/2017 $398,197 0 0 0 $686,983 1/13/2017
Netherlands 12/9/2016 $54,821 39 39 85 $198,134 1/12/2017
Portugal 12/30/2016 $38,660 33 33 83 $99,964 1/19/2017
Russia (CIS) 12/2/2016 $243,031 432 432 914 $497,799 12/31/2018
Slovakia 12/16/2016 $12,069 35 35 59 $22,800 1/12/2017
Slovenia 1/13/2017 $1,613 5 5 6 $3,139 2/6/2017
South Korea 5/17/2017 $0 0 225 233 $125,387 6/13/2017
Turkey 12/30/2016 $25,073 78 78 124 $57,172 2/26/2019
 
Rest of World $1,502,862
 
International Total$4,571,262 2/26/2019

International Cumulative Box Office Records


Worldwide Cumulative Box Office Records


Weekly US DVD Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 12, 20171012,385 12,385$222,435$222,4353

Weekly US Blu-ray Sales

DateRankUnits
this
Week
% ChangeTotal
Units
Spending
this
Week
Total
Spending
Weeks
in
Release
Mar 12, 2017138,455 8,455$168,762$168,7623

Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

Full financial estimates for this film, including domestic and international box office, video sales, video rentals, TV and ancillary revenue are available through our research services. For more information, please contact us at research@the-numbers.com.