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Weekend Estimates: Pixar’s Second-Best Not Enough to Topple Jurassic World’s Second Weekend

June 21st, 2015

Jurassic World

Getting almost perfect reviews, a prime Summer slot, and no direct competition will be enough to propel Inside Out to the second-best opening ever for a Disney-Pixar film, and their best ever for a non-sequel (Toy Story 3 is their best ever with $110.3 million in 2010). But it won’t be enough for the animation house to record its 15th consecutive opening weekend win, thanks to the continued monster performance of Jurassic World. The monster movie is projected to earn $102 million, the second-biggest second weekend of all time.

Jurassic World will end the weekend just a fraction short of the $400 million mark. Based on daily tracking, we can confidently say that it broke the record for the fastest movie to $350 million on Saturday, achieving the mark in nine days, compared to The Avengers’s ten. It will hit $400 million on Monday, reaching the mark in just 11 days—three whole days faster than The Avengers—for another record milestone. The record for the fastest to $450 million will almost certainly be broken sometime next weekend, but after that things are less certain. Jurassic World is trending slightly lower than The Avengers on a week-to-week basis, but is doing very well during the week. It seems certain to top $600 million eventually, but anything beyond that will depend on repeat visits from fans, and most likely the film will end up third or fourth on the all time list.

While Inside Out $91.06 million didn’t manage to maintain Pixar’s record of weekend wins, it did have a small consolation prize of scoring a surprise daily win on Friday. So the studio does maintain one winning streak at least: it’s films have always been top of the chart on their first day. Toy Story 3 had a ration between its opening weekend and final box office of 3.8, which suggests Inside Out should finish close to $350 million. It will certainly be the studio’s third film to cross $300 million, joining Toy Story 3 and Finding Nemo

The weekend’s other wide opener, Dope will earn a respectable $6 million or so, for an average of $3,000 per theater. The well-reviewed film was always expected to fly under the radar this weekend, and could be placed for a solid run over the next few weeks. Bollywood movie ABCD 2 is also solid with a projected $443,621 from 146 theaters, although it will almost certainly have less impressive legs.

With blockbusters sucking all the air out of the market right now, there’s not much action for limited releases this weekend, although reports are that The Overnight had a very good opening weekend, with around $50,000 in three theaters. We have not seen an official weekend estimate for that one yet.

- Weekend Estimates
- Pixar box office history
- All-time best second weekends
- Fastest films to $300 million
- Fastest films to $350 million

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Weekend Box Office, Record openings, Jurassic World, Inside Out, Dope, The Overnight, ABCD 2