Weekend Estimates: Maleficent Leads the way, but Box Office is a Team Effort

October 20, 2019

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil

Maleficent: Mistress of Evil did bounce back on Saturday and that is helping it earn an estimated $36.0 million during its opening weekend. It is still missing expectations, but by a more reasonable margin. Its internal multiplier is about the same as the first film managed, despite this film earning weaker reviews. Audience reactions were the same, as both films earned an A-rating from CinemaScore. As for the movies international numbers, it is pulling in $117.0 million, but it also opened everywhere, so it needed a monster start and I’m not sure this was it. The film did have a faster opening that its predecessor did in China with $22.4 million, while it cracked $10 million in Russia with an an opening of $10.7 million. The film cost $185 million to make, so this is not a fast enough start to break even in the short term, but with Disney+ starting next month, it could break even eventually.

Joker is coming within a rounding error of expectations with an estimated $29.21 million over the weekend for a three-week total of $247.23 million. Internationally, the film is already the biggest DC film in more than a dozen markets after earning an estimated $77.8 million on 19,000 screens for totals of $490.3 million internationally and $737.5 million worldwide. The U.K. remains its top individual market with a running tally of $49.9 million, including $7.1 million on 1,141 screens this past weekend.

Zombieland: Double Tap is opening just a little ahead of expectations with an estimated $26.73 million. Solid reviews and a B plus from CinemaScore suggest reasonable legs. It is too early to tell how well the film will do internationally, as it only opened in 17 markets, earning $5.3 million in the process. This is just over 40% more than the first film opened with in the same markets, so that’s a really positive sign. Granted, the first film earned a total of $26.65 million internationally, so a 40% increase would only result in an extras $10 million, but at least that’s something.

The Addams Family is falling 47% to $16.05 million during its second weekend of release for a total of $56.81 million already. There’s still no international numbers to talk about, but at this pace, the film could break even just on its domestic ticket sales. It will certainly break even early in its home market run, regardless of what it does internationally.

Gemini Man is down 59% during its sophomore stint to just $8.5 million over the weekend for a total of $36.5 million after two weeks of release. This is terrible for a film that reportedly cost $138 million to make.

Finally, we get to the limited releases of note. It looks like Parasite will enter the top ten with $1.24 million during its second weekend of release. It will be very close. Meanwhile, Jojo Rabbit is opening with $350,000 in just five theaters making it one of the best limited release debuts of the year.

- Weekend Box Office Chart

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Gemini Man, Zombieland: Double Tap, Maleficent: Mistress of Evil, The Addams Family, Jojo Rabbit, Joker, Parasite (기생충)