Friday Estimates: Spectre and Peanuts Overperforming

November 7, 2015

Spectre

While it doesn’t look as though records will be set, Spectre and Peanuts are both giving the box office a much-needed jolt this weekend. With studio estimates for Friday in, Spectre is the clear winner for the weekend, with $28.1 million for the day, including $5.25 million at preview screenings on Thursday. That compares to Skyfall’s $32.7 million Friday with $2.2 million at previews, and suggests an opening weekend around $78 million for the latest entry in the timeless James Bond franchise.

That opening will be the second-best all-time for Bond, and suggests that the film will power to something comfortably over $200 million domestically. With a gangbusters start internationally, including the best opening ever in the United Kingdom, Spectre should rack up a huge amount globally. Whether it can top $1 billion remains to be seen, and will depend critically (as so much does in the industry these days) on its performance in China. We’ll have more news on that in the next few days.

The Peanuts Movie is proving to be great counter-programming to James Bond, and is perfectly placed for a strong run through Thanksgiving, at least, and possibly into the Christmas season. Its $12.1 million opening day sets it on course for a $45 million–$50 million opening weekend, and its A CinemaScore suggests it will have strong legs. Big Hero 6 opened this weekend last year, and turned a $56 million opening into a final domestic total of $223 million. That suggests Charlie Brown should make it to $190 million, with $200 million not out of reach. Not bad for a franchise that’s been around in film form since 1965 (just two years younger than James Bond, in fact).

- Friday Box Office Chart
- Spectre comps
- James Bond franchise history
- Peanuts comps

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Friday Estimates, The Peanuts Movie, Spectre, James Bond