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The Numbers News

← April 2018

Friday Estimates: Deadpool Stumbles a Bit, but Still Earns $53.3 million

May 19th, 2018

Deadpool 2

Deadpool 2 dominated the box office chart on Friday earning $53.3 million. However this is weaker than expected after it broke the record for previews by an R-rated film. After the film crushed that record, it looked like it would earn $150 million during its opening weekend. However, after earning $53.3 million on Friday, it looks like it won’t even match the original Deadpool’s opening weekend haul of $132.43 million. Granted, it should be close with $132 million and this is still a fantastic start, but it could be a bad omen for its legs. On the other hand, the film’s reviews are more than 80% positive and it earned a solid A from CinemaScore. We won’t know if the reviews and word-of-mouth will overtake the Fanboy Effect until the weekend estimates arrive tomorrow helping the film top its predecessor, but it is usually safe to bet on the Fanboy Effect. More...

Thursday Night Previews: The R in R-Rated Stands for Record

May 18th, 2018

Deadpool 2

Deadpool 2 got off to a record-breaking start on Thursday earning $18.6 million during its previews. This is the best previews for an R-rated film, topping It’s previous record of $13.5 million by a truly massive margin. The film’s reviews are excellent for a blockbuster and the film is now on track for $150 million, which was the very high end of expectations. More...

Deadpool 2 Trailer

May 18th, 2018

Action movie starring Ryan Reynolds opens today ... Full Movie Details. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: First in Line

May 18th, 2018

First Reformed

It’s a slow week for limited releases, with only nine films here. That includes the main list and the secondary VOD releases. Of these, First Reformed is the one most likely to do well in theaters. Meanwhile, The Hollow Child and That Summer could find audiences on VOD. More...

Mission: Impossible—Fallout Trailer

May 17th, 2018

Action movie starring Tom Cruise opens July 27 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Can Deadpool Come Back to Life?

May 17th, 2018

Deadpool 2

May gets its first monster hit, as Deadpool 2 debuts in theaters this weekend. The film is earning impressive reviews and was widely expected to top the original's opening weekend. Neither of the two other new releases are expected to compete for first place, or even second place, as Avengers: Infinity War has that locked down. Book Club should open in third place with more than $10 million, but that’s not a guarantee. Meanwhile, Show Dogs’ buzz is so quiet that I’m have trouble coming up with a prediction. This weekend last year, Alien: Covenant opened in first place, but with only $36.16 million. If Deadpool 2 doesn’t top that opening night, then I will be shocked. In fact, Deadpool 2 should earn more by itself than the total box office from this weekend last year. More...

Whitney Trailer

May 16th, 2018

Documentary about Whitney Houston opens July 6 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Averages: Infinity War Soars with The Seagull

May 15th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War and The Seagull were neck-and-neck on the theater average chart with averages of $13,875 and $13,435, respectively. Boom for Real was next with an average of $11,359 in two theaters. The final film in the $10,000 club was Soller’s Point with $10,618 in one theater. More...

Bohemian Rhapsody Trailer

May 15th, 2018

Rock’n’roll biopic starring Rami Malek opens November 2 ... Full Movie Details. More...

International Box Office: Avengers Win War in China with over $200 million

May 15th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War became the second fastest film to opened in China earning $190.68 million over the weekend for a total opening of $200.02 million, including previews. This is the highest ever opening in terms of American currency. In local currency, The Fate of the Furious still holds the record at RMB1.352 billion to RMB1.266 billion. Overall, Infinity War earned $281.3 million in 55 markets for totals of $1.059 billion internationally and $1.607 billion worldwide. It became the first film in the MCU to reach $1 billion internationally and it is already the highest grossing film in the franchise worldwide. It is in fifth place on the all-time international chart and will be in third place by this time next week. Meanwhile, it is also in fifth place on the worldwide chart and is aiming for third place there as well, although it will take a little while longer to get there. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Infinity War Helps 2018 Take on Guardians

May 15th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

The weekend was better than expected, for the most part. All of the holdovers, including the number one film, Avengers: Infinity War, held on better than we predicted, while one of the two new releases also opened faster. Life of the Party was the only film in the top five that didn’t beat expectations. Overall, the box office still slipped 19% from last week, down to $137 million. However, this is 1.2% higher than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2018 maintains a strong 5.2% / $210 million lead over 2017 at $4.24 billion to $4.03 billion. More...

Home Market Releases for May 15th, 2018

May 14th, 2018

Black Panther

Black Panther comes out on DVD, Blu-ray Combo Pack, or 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack this week and it has scared away all of the competition. It’s so bad, that even though Black Panther was Pick of the Week last week and I hate giving a film Pick of the Week twice, it is still clearly the best film on this week’s list. The only real competition is Early Man, which is only coming out on Video on Demand this week, but I got to the review early. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Early Man

May 14th, 2018

Early Man

Early Man bombed in theaters, even compared to the average stop-motion animated film. The critics liked it, but audiences stayed away. Why is that? Is it too British, like many Aardman Animations movies? More...

Friday Estimates: Infinity War Breaks up the Party

May 12th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War was on the high end of expectations on Friday with $16.00 million during its 15th day of release. This puts it on pace for $62 million during its third weekend of release for a running tally of $548 million. It became the second fastest film to reach $500 million domestically, getting there a day faster than The Last Jedi did. The film also debuted in China earning $60.73 million on Friday, $70.06 million including previews. Only Monster Hunt 2 and The Fate of the Furious had faster starts. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Serving a Fresh Dish of Revenge

May 11th, 2018

Revenge

It is a busier week than average with quite a few limited releases that are earning great reviews, some of which are also earning loud buzz. Revenge is one such film and it is playing on Video on Demand, so you don’t have to go to a theater to see it. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Party Generates some Noise, Breaking In Could find Some Loot

May 11th, 2018

Life of the Party

Life of the Party only managed $700,000 during its previews, which is well below the $985,000 The Boss managed two years ago. If this film has the same legs, it will open with just under $17 million. Granted, Life of the Party is earning better reviews, so it could perform a little better over the weekend, but matching our $21 million prediction might be asking too much. More...

Weekend Predictions: Infinity War Looks to Complete the Threepeat

May 10th, 2018

Life of the Party

Avengers: Infinity War will have no trouble earning first place for the third time at the box office chart. It’s only competition is the sophomore stint of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2, which earned $65 million this weekend last year. Hopefully Infinity War will come within $10 million of that. As for the new releases, Life of the Party should earn more than all three new releases earned last weekend, while Breaking In is on track for an opening in the low to mid teens. If all three films can meet these expectations, then 2018 will have a shot at winning in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Theater Averages: Avengers Remains Supreme

May 8th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War remained on top of the theater average chart with $25,654. The only other flm in the $10,000 club was RBG, which earned an average of $17,014 in 34 theaters. That’s amazing for a documentary. More...

International Box Office: Avengers Tops $1 billion in Record Time

May 8th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War became the fastest film to reach $1 billion, getting there is just ten days. That’s really impressive for a film that hasn’t even opened in China yet. This weekend, the film earned $162.6 million in 54 markets for totals of $713.3 million internationally and $1.166 billion worldwide. The only new major market of the weekend was Russia, where it broke the record for biggest opening with $17.6 million. To put this into perspective, Civil War made $16.49 million in that market, in total. The film is already the biggest all-time hit in Brazil ($44.3 million); Indonesia ($20.6 million); and the Philippines ($19.7 million). The two biggest markets so far are South Korea, where it has made $69.76 million, including $17.03 million on 2,224 screens this past weekend, while the U.K. is very close behind with $67.2 million. More...

Home Market Releases for May 8th, 2018

May 8th, 2018

Black Panther

It is a terrible week on the home market. Of the new releases getting full mentions, only two of them would be included in an average week, while most of the rest would be relegated to Secondary Blu-ray releases. Why is it so bad this week? Because Black Panther is coming out on Video on Demand and it is scaring away all of the competition. Fortunately, it is the Pick of the Week, but I would wait for the DVD, Blu-ray Combo Pack, or 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack to come out next week to buy it. The next best option is Gun Crazy on Blu-ray. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Infinity Tops Charts, can’t Quite Match Guardians Debut

May 8th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

It was a relatively good weekend at the box office with every film in the top five matching or beating expectations. This includes Avengers: Infinity War, which had the second best second weekend of all time, earning $114.77 million. Overall, the box office fell 46% from last weekend, but $169 million is still a good total. It is 13% lower than the same weekend last year, but it had to go up against Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 opening weekend, so being this close is actually a positive result. Year-to-date, 2018 has pulled in $4.05 billion, which is 5.6% or $220 million higher than last year’s pace. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Black Panther

May 7th, 2018

Black Panther

Black Panther was expected to be a hit; after all, it’s part of the MCU. However, almost no one was expecting it to become the biggest hit in the MCU. It is also considered the best film in the MCU by a lot of people. Am I one of them? If not, where does it fit? More...

Friday Estimates: Infinity War Just a Day Away from $400 million

May 5th, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Infinity War dominated the Friday box office chart with $31.43 million for an 8-day total of $369.76 million. The only film with a faster pace than Infinity War is The Force Awakens. Granted, this is down just over 70% from the film’s opening Friday, but it is 9% ahead of Black Panther’s second Friday. If this film has the same internal multiplier, then it will pull in $122 million over the full weekend. That’s a little too bullish for my tastes, but $120 million is still fantastic for a sophomore stint. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Overboard Overtakes Latin Lover (Plus Infinity War Update)

May 4th, 2018

Overboard

Overboard opened with $675,000 during its previews last night. This is 50% higher than the $450,000 How to Be a Latin Lover managed during its previews. However, that film earned better reviews than Overboard is earning, so it likely won’t have as good legs. It should still top our $12 million prediction, barely. $13 million to $14 million is now more likely. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: The Notorious RBG

May 4th, 2018

RBG

There are not many limited releases on this week’s list and even fewer that have a real shot at box office success. Surprisingly, it is a documentary, RBG, that is earning the loudest buzz. Its reviews should also help it find an audience in theaters. More...

Weekend Predictions: How Badly will Infinity War Beat the New Releases?

May 3rd, 2018

Overboard

Last weekend, Infinity War destroyed the weekend record. This weekend, there are three new releases that are just hoping to not get embarrassed. Overboard is the biggest film in terms of buzz, but the buzz isn’t good, to be kind. Tully is the smallest film in terms of theater count, but its reviews are stellar and it has a shot at the top five. Bad Samaritan’s early reviews, are good, but its buzz is so quiet that it will likely bomb in theaters. This weekend last year, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 opened with $146.51 million. There’s almost no chance 2018 will match last year’s performance. Thanks to Infinity War’s record-breaking opening, 2018 should be relatively close. More...

Theater Averages: Avengers Goes to the Dogs

May 3rd, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War had the weekend’s best theater average at $57,599. However, this isn’t the best theater average of the year, as Isle of Dogs opened with an average of $60,011. Disobedience was close behind with an average of $47,479 in five theaters. The final film in the $10,000 club was Let the Sunshine In with an average of $19,850 in two theaters. More...

International Box Office: Infinity Tops the Charts even without China

May 3rd, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War broke the record for highest international debut and highest worldwide debut. The film was expected to do well, but breaking records like this is impressive, especially since it hasn’t opened in China yet. The film started with $380.0 million in 52 markets for a global opening of $637.7 million. It is already the second biggest worldwide hit of the year and just shy of the top 100 all-time. The film’s biggest opening was in the U.K., where it earned $40.50 million in 650 theaters, but this is only the third biggest opening of all time there. On the other hand, it had the biggest opening of all time in South Korea with $27.52 million on 2,553 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $38.79 million. The film also cracked $20 million in Mexico, with an opening of $24.80 million, while it topped $10 million in Brazil ($18.8 million); India ($18.6 million); Australia ($16.07 million on 940 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $22.65 million); and Germany ($14.7 million). The film opens in Russia this weekend and China the following weekend and by the time the film opens in China, it will likely be the biggest global hit of 2018. More...

Home Market Releases for May 1st, 2018

May 2nd, 2018

Miss Kobayashi's Dragon Maid

It is a really shallow week. There are releases that are fighting for a spot in the top five that normally would be so far down the list that we wouldn’t even cover them. That doesn’t mean there are no releases that are worth picking up. In Between was a limited release that earned near perfect reviews. The 1970s film, Legend of the Mountain, got a recent release and its reviews are even better. I reviewed Mary and the Witch’s Flower last week and it nearly won Pick of the Week then. I reviewed Miss Kobayashi's Dragon Maid: The Complete Series this week and it is one of my favorite recent Anime comedies. It was a really close race between these four films and in the end, it came down to a coin-toss with Miss Kobayashi's Dragon Maid coming out ahead. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Please Stand By

May 1st, 2018

Please Stand By

When Please Stand By opened in limited release, it missed the Mendoza Line by a large margin. However, it was also a Video on Demand, so its box office numbers were essentially immaterial. Now that it is out on DVD or Blu-ray is it worth picking up? Or is it strictly a rental? More...

Ant-Man and the Wasp Trailer

May 1st, 2018

Super hero action movie starring Paul Rudd and Evangeline Lilly opens July 6 ... Full Movie Details. More...

2018 Preview: May

May 1st, 2018

Solo: A Star Wars Story

April was all about Avengers: Infinity War, which earned about as much during its opening weekend as the next two biggest films, A Quiet Place and Rampage, will earn in total. However, moving Infinity War to April has left a big gap for the first two weeks of May. It isn’t until Deadpool 2 debuts that we have a potential $100 million movie, while the week after Solo: A Star Wars Story closes the month on a strong note. Fortunately, both of those films are expected to earn more than $100 million during their opening weekends alone and combined could earn over $700 million domestically. Last May, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 2 helped the month get off to a fast start, but it was the only monster hit of the month. Infinity War opening a week early will mean the month will start slower, in terms of new releases, but Infinity War’s record-breaking debut should help 2018 come out ahead in the end. More...

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