|As an Actor||Leading||61||$2,198,405,365||$1,876,014,222||$4,074,419,587|
|Lead Ensemble Member||5||$304,785,414||$405,406,382||$710,191,796|
|In Technical Roles||Producer||8||$776,348,422||$698,267,052||$1,474,615,474|
Robert De Niro
|Best known as a Leading Actor based on credits in that role in 61 films, with $4,074,419,587 worldwide aggregate box office (rank #30)|
|Best-Known Acting Roles: Jack Byrnes (Meet the Fockers), Jack Byrnes (Little Fockers), Pat Sr. (Silver Linings Playbook), Don Lino (Shark Tale), Jack Byrnes (Meet the Parents)|
|Best-Known Technical Roles: Meet the Fockers (Producer), Little Fockers (Producer), Meet the Parents (Producer), The Good Shepherd (Director), The Good Shepherd (Producer)|
|Most productive collaborators: Bradley Cooper, Jane Rosenthal, Nancy Meyers, Jay Roach, Ben Stiller|
January 21st, 2016
Three wide releases are coming out this week, all of which are expected to earn similar openings. None of which are expected to compete for the top five. The 5th Wave is the latest Young Adult Adaptation and as I'm writing this at about 10 am on Thursday, it is still the only new release with any reviews. Dirty Grandpa is the widest release of the week, but with no reviews, it is hard to judge how well it will do. Finally there's The Boy. If it can match The Forest, I'm sure STX Entertainment will be happy. The weakness in the new releases doesn't mean we won't have a new number one film, as The Revenant seems poised to climb to first place over the weekend. This weekend last year, American Sniper remained dominant with nearly $65 million. It's a near certainty that all three new releases won't make that much this year. There's a chance the top five combined won't make that much this year. 2016 is going to lose in the year-over-year comparison.
January 1st, 2016
2016 will begin the same way 2015 ended, with Star Wars: The Force Awakens on top. In fact, three of the five films that have the best shot at box office success in January are The Force Awakens, The Hateful Eight, and The Revenant, all of which opened in December. There are two true January releases that could also do really well, for this time of year: Ride Along 2 and Kung Fu Panda 3. The rest of the releases are just hoping to become midlevel hits. Last January, American Sniper dominated earning more than $300 million. Its success could prevent 2016 from being ahead in the year-over-year comparison by the end of the month, but this year does have better depth.
December 1st, 2015
November ended on a positive note with a strong Thanksgiving weekend. Even so, the overall numbers were mixed with a lot of misses mixed in with a few hits. It was better than October and we will call that a victory. Meanwhile, December is potentially record-breaking. Actually, given the evidence, it is almost assuredly going to be record-breaking. Star Wars: The Force Awakens has already set a record for the most money taken from ticket pre-sales and the biggest December weekend will fall. The pre-orders alone will guarantee that. On the downside, it is very likely that no film will make as much in total as The Force Awakens will make during its opening weekend. There's a chance no film makes in total as much as The Force Awakens makes during its opening day. There are a few films that have a shot at $100 million. For example, Joy should get there, if it becomes a major player during Awards Season. If not, it will at least come close. Daddy's Home, and to a lesser extent Sisters, could be surprise $100 million hits. However, like the rest of 2015, December is shaping up to be a month of a record-breaking hit and a lot of films that struggle just to get noticed. On the other hand, last December, was a lot more balanced at the top with four films earning more than $100 million, led by The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies. There's a chance The Force Awakens earns more than all four $100 million hits from last year earned combined.
September 27th, 2015
Hotel Transylvania 2 is off to an impressive start this weekend with a new record weekend for September, according to Sonyís estimate released on Sunday. The animated comedy is expected to earn $47.5 million, beating the record held by the first film in the franchise, which debuted with $42.5 million this time in 2012. Itís also on the high end of expectations, which had it coming in the high 30s or low 40s. Itís a welcome turnaround for Adam Sandler, after a string of flops, but even more so for Sony Pictures, which has had a dismal year so far, with no film earning more than Pixels $76.7 million before now.
September 26th, 2015
As expected, Hotel Transylvania 2 earned first place on Friday, but it did so with an unexpectedly strong result. The film pulled in $13.25 million for the day; by comparison, this is 21% higher than the first filmís debut. Sequels do tend to be a little more front loaded than the original film, but this is still a fantastic start. For instance, Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs had a 3.72 internal multiplier of (weekend box office divided by Friday box office) while its sequel had an internal multiplier of 3.68. Granted, that's a tiny drop, but the reviews of these two films dropped dramatically, which likely had some effect. On the other hand, the two Hotel Transylvania films have earned nearly identical reviews. Hotel Transylvania earned an internal multiplier of 3.88, so if that drops to about 3.7, then Hotel Transylvania 2 would pull in about $49 million over the weekend. That's seems excessive. On the other hand, even earning just over $42.5 million and breaking the September record would be disappointing after an opening day like this.
September 25th, 2015
There are two wide releases this week, a wide expansion, and a semi-wide release. That's a lot of films to talk about. Of the three new films, none of them are earning more than 50% positive reviews. This is sadly typical of this time of year. Hotel Transylvania 2 is easily the biggest new release of the week and the only film with a shot at $40 million. The second wide release, The Intern, and the wide expansion, Everest, should be in a tight race for second place with $20 million each. On the other hand, The Green Inferno, the semi-wide release, is staring down the barrel of the Mendoza Line. If you look at the top three films from last year and compare them to the top three films from this year, they look about the same. The Equalizer's opening is on low the end of Hotel Transylvania 2's range of expectations. Additionally, the depth this year looks better than last year. 2015 should end the month on a high note in the year-over-year comparison.
September 1st, 2015
As September begins, the box office is in a slump. August was terrible and only Straight Outta Compton escaped with its dignity intact. Fortunately, we expected August to be terrible, so the box office isn't any lower than anticipated. As for September, there are two wide releases expected to earn more than $100 million, which is better than most years. Those two films are Maze Runner: The Scorch Trials and Hotel Transylvania 2, both sequels. There are four other films that could become midlevel hits, so we have good depth as well. By comparison, last September there were also two $100 million hits, The Maze Runner and The Equalizer. However, there were only two midlevel hits, so it appears this year has better depth. Frankly, 2015 has such a large lead over 2014 that all it needs to do is maintain pace for the rest of the year to be considered a success. If September can help 2015 grow its lead, then the overall industry should be very happy.
December 1st, 2013
We had some good news and some bad news in November. The bad news is the overall weakness at the box office continued and 2013 lost its lead over 2012. Strong runs by The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and Frozen did help it bounce back in the end, but 2013 is still going to have a tough time topping 2012. Looking forward to December, we find about a dozen wide releases, sort of. There are several films that are opening in limited release that are expected to expand wide by the end of the month, but I'm not sure that will be the case for all of them. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug should be the easy winner this month and if it is a little lucky, it might even top its predecessor at the box office. There is a huge amount of hype surrounding Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues and it could double the first film's box office numbers. On the other hand, those two films might be the only two December wide releases to reach $100 million. There are a few that have the potential to get to the century mark, if they are big players during Awards Season. Obviously some of the films coming out this month will win awards, but there's already a lot of competition in theaters before the month begins. There were three $100 million movies last December, led by The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, so while it could be close, it looks like December will lose in the year-over-year comparison. This is really bad news, as 2013 can't afford to go out on a losing streak if it wants to top 2012.
November 1st, 2013
October ended on a winning note, but it was the only time the entire month that 2013 topped 2012 in the year-over-year comparison. This is quite shocking, as Gravity crushed expectations with more than $200 million and counting. Even with that surprise monster hit, the month still couldn't keep pace with last year. Compared to October, November looks a lot better with three films that could be monster hits: Frozen, Thor: The Dark World, and The Hunger Games: Catching Fire. On the other hand, those are the only three movies with a 50/50 chance or better to top $100 million compared, while there were seven films that reached that milestone last November. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire should make more than last year's number one film, Skyfall, but the depth last year could prove too much to deal with. 2013 might dip below last year's pace sometime during the month, but hopefully it won't stay there too long.
September 14th, 2013
Over the past two or so years, we've been working on one of the biggest projects we've ever undertaken: building out our database of acting and technical credits to include complete information on every acting role and significant technical credit for movies for which we have box office information. While work on this vast task continues (and will, of course, continue as long as films are being made), we have enough coverage of the industry now to start doing some serious analysis. Over the next month or two, I'll be looking at some of the things we've found and we'll be rolling out new features at The Numbers that take advantage of the dataset. This week, I'll look into how we are categorizing acting roles, and discuss the first charts in our new People Records section.
September 1st, 2013
August ended, and we should be very grateful for that. Lee Daniels' The Butler was a surprise hit, while We're the Millers did better than expected. However, most other films that were expected to be solid hits failed to live up to expectations. Fortunately, August of 2012 was even worse, so 2013 regained the lead on the year-to-year comparison during the month. Looking forward, there is exactly one film that will likely become more than a midlevel hit in September: Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2. That film has a chance to reach $100 million in total. Most of the rest of the new releases will be lucky if they get halfway there. Fortunately, September of 2012 was even worse. Hotel Transylvania was a surprise hit, earning nearly $150 million, and there were a few others that topped $50 million, but there were also several outright bombs. If we can avoid those types of bombs, then 2013 should continue its winning streak.
August 20th, 2013
The home market is rather slow this week with Epic the only first run release of note. (Scary Movie 5 is very unnoteworthy. Fortunately, there are some good TV on DVD releases worth checking out, like Revenge: The Complete Second Season and NCIS: Season Ten. In the end, I went with Boardwalk Empire: The Complete Third Season on Blu-ray Combo Pack for Pick of the Week.
July 12th, 2013
There are nine films on this week's list, including four that are earning overwhelmingly positive reviews. It is unlikely that all of them will find success, as the competition is high. Both Terms and Conditions May Apply and The Hunt should do well, but will have trouble expanding. On the other hand, I don't think strong reviews will translate into ticket sales for Crystal Fairy. This leaves Fruitvale Station as the best bet. Then again, predicting limited release success is even harder than predicting box office numbers for wide releases.
April 1st, 2013
March is over and while it is a little too soon to tell where a few films will end their box office runs, it is clear Oz The Great and Powerful won the month. Some films beat expectations to become midlevel hits, like The Call, but it wasn't a great month at the box office, especially compared to last year. This month, there are only seven wide releases spread over four weeks. Only one of those films, Oblivion, has a shot at being anything more than a midlevel hit. None of the other six releases look like they will come close to $100 million, but none of them look like obvious bombs either. (Although I do have my worries when it comes to Scary Movie 5.) Last April was even weaker with no film earning $100 million, although Think Like a Man did come relatively close. We might actually see growth on the year-over-year comparison. We'd better, because 2013 is behind 2012's pace by a huge margin at the moment and things will get worse when May arrives.
February 25th, 2013
Argo was the big winner at the Oscars last night, although arguably, there were no big winners, but a lot of films that shared in the glory. There were also some pretty interesting twists and a few events that stand out. Due to ongoing computer difficulties, I was unable to live-blog the Oscars this year. I will still be giving my reactions on a category by category basis, but not in the order they were handed out.
February 24th, 2013
Voting is closed in our annual Predict the Academy Awards contest, and Argo is the clear favorite to pick up the Best Picture award, based on the opinion of nearly 500 entrants. Ben Affleck's thriller took an impressive 80% of the vote, more than six times the score of Lincoln, which took second place in the poll. Coincidentally, the contest has predicted the winner of the Best Picture Oscar 80% of the time in the 15 years we've been running it. Quite a few other categories have strong favorites, but there are also some really close calls, and it looks as though the awards will be shared by several films tonight.
February 21st, 2013
With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. This week we will look at the four acting categories, continuing with Best Supporting Actor. This category is more competitive than Best Supporting Actress, but even so, it is mostly a two horse race.
January 10th, 2013
The Oscar nominations were announced this morning, and there's certainly a lot to talk about. There are some nominations that should surprise no one. For instance, Lincoln led the way with twelve nominations, and it has been seen as the major contender for a long time. However, there were also a few surprise nominations and some major snubs. Here are the list of nominations, and some reactions.
December 12th, 2012
SAG nominations were announced and there were only a few surprises to deal with. Leading the way for total nominations was The Silver Linings Playbook, Lincoln, and Les Miserables, all of which earned nominations in four of the six categories.
November 1st, 2012
October was pretty good with a few films really crushing expectations, which made up for the few duds that opened at the end. 2012 gained about $100 million over 2011 during the month of October. We really needed this success and hopefully November will continue this push forward. However, November is a bit of a weird month. There are five weekends, but only eight true wide releases, half of which open on the Thanksgiving long weekend, leaving the other four weeks with just one true wide release each. There are a couple others opening in the semi-wide level and another opening in limited release with a planned wide release, but even so, it is not a busy month. That said, it is a case of quality over quantity. There are four films that are pretty much guaranteed to reach $100 million, one of which should reach $300 million. By comparison, last November only produced one $100 million film. Granted, that film was The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 1, which made nearly $300 million, which is a huge number no matter how you look at it. But this year, The Twilight Saga: Breaking Dawn, Part 2 should top that number and with the other $100 million movies pulling in more than $400 million combined, it should be a very profitable month at the box office.
October 13th, 2012
Everybody's Fine was one of the last films released by Miramax. It came out on the home market just as Blu-ray was taking over. However, it was only released on DVD. This week, the Blu-ray comes out, so I can update my previous review for its high definition debut. Is it worth the upgrade?
October 2nd, 2012
It's the first week of the month and there is a wide variety of releases worth checking out, but not exactly a strong selection of best sellers. The biggest first-run release is Dark Shadows and while I'm looking forward to possibly reviewing the Blu-ray Combo Pack, I don't think it will be a huge hit. New Girl: Season One and The Princess Bride: 25th Anniversary Edition Blu-ray look great, but I'm waiting for the screeners to make final decisions. I won't get a chance to review Universal Classic Monsters: The Essential Collection, but it is a contender for Pick of the Week. The winner of that honor is Cinderella Blu-ray, which is a classic, even if it is a little old-fashioned.
|1/22/2016||Dirty Grandpa||Dick Kelly||$30,633,326||$19,203,717||$49,837,043|
|12/31/2015||Hands of Stone||Ray Arcel||$0||$0||$0|
|11/6/2015||Peggy Guggenheim - Art Addict||Himself||$447,087||$286,438||$733,525|
|9/18/2015||The Man Who Saved the World||Himself||$0||$0||$0|
|2/28/2014||The Bag Man||Dragna||$56,574||$80,697||$137,271|
|12/31/2013||Remembering the Artist: Robert De Nir…||Himself||$0||$0||$0|
|12/25/2013||Grudge Match||Billy "The Kid" McDonnen||$29,807,260||$40,000,000||$69,807,260|
|9/13/2013||The Family||Fred Blake||$36,918,811||$14,159,730||$51,078,541|
|7/12/2013||Killing Season||Benjamin Ford||$0||$48,922||$48,922|
|4/26/2013||The Big Wedding||Don||$21,819,348||$26,606,623||$48,425,971|
|11/16/2012||Silver Linings Playbook||Pat Sr.||$132,092,958||$104,319,495||$236,412,453|
|8/10/2012||Freelancers||Captian Joe Sarcone||$0||$367,299||$367,299|
|7/13/2012||Red Lights||Simon Silver||$49,521||$14,469,363||$14,518,884|
|3/2/2012||Being Flynn||Jonathan Flynn||$540,152||$4,519,704||$5,059,856|
|12/16/2011||Corman's World: Exploits of a Hollywo…||Himself||$3,050||$0||$3,050|
|12/9/2011||New Year's Eve||Stan Harris||$54,544,638||$89,119,261||$143,663,899|
|3/18/2011||Limitless||Carl Van Loon||$79,249,455||$76,315,464||$155,564,919|
|12/31/2010||Frankie Machine||Frankie Machine||$0||$0||$0|
|12/31/2010||Manuale D'Amore 3||$0||$7,829,947||$7,829,947|
|12/22/2010||Little Fockers||Jack Byrnes||$148,438,600||$162,211,974||$310,650,574|
|10/17/2008||What Just Happened||Ben||$1,090,947||$1,321,176||$2,412,123|
|2/19/2008||Mr. Warmth: The Don Rickles Project||Himself||$0||$0||$0|
|12/22/2006||The Good Shepherd||General Bill Sullivan||$59,908,565||$40,000,000||$99,908,565|
|12/15/2006||Arthur et les Minimoys||The King||$15,132,763||$98,192,980||$113,325,743|
|6/10/2005||The Bridge of San Luis Rey||The Archbishop||$49,981||$1,646,784||$1,696,765|
|1/28/2005||Hide and Seek||Dr. David Callaway||$51,100,486||$72,596,255||$123,696,741|
|12/22/2004||Meet the Fockers||Jack Byrnes||$279,167,575||$237,400,000||$516,567,575|
|10/1/2004||Shark Tale||Don Lino||$161,412,000||$210,505,043||$371,917,043|
|4/30/2004||Godsend||Dr. Richard Wells||$14,334,645||$2,576,063||$16,910,708|
|12/6/2002||Analyze That||Paul Vitti||$32,122,249||$22,872,508||$54,994,757|
|9/6/2002||City by the Sea||Detective Vincent LaMarca||$22,433,915||$0||$22,433,915|
|7/13/2001||The Score||Nick Wells||$71,069,884||$42,472,207||$113,542,091|
|3/9/2001||15 Minutes||Eddie Fleming||$24,375,436||$31,956,428||$56,331,864|
|11/10/2000||Men of Honor||Billy Sunday||$48,814,909||$33,524,574||$82,339,483|
|10/6/2000||Meet the Parents||Jack Byrnes||$166,225,040||$138,374,859||$304,599,899|
|6/30/2000||The Adventures of Rocky & Bullwinkle||Fearless Leader||$26,000,610||$9,129,000||$35,129,610|
|3/5/1999||Analyze This||Paul Vitti||$106,823,373||$70,000,000||$176,823,373|
|1/30/1998||Great Expectations||Prisoner - Lustig||$26,333,044||$29,073,394||$55,406,438|
|12/25/1997||Wag the Dog||Conrad Brean||$43,022,524||$21,194,568||$64,217,092|
|12/25/1997||Jackie Brown||Louis Gara||$39,647,595||$35,054,330||$74,701,925|
|8/15/1997||Cop Land||Moe Tilden||$44,810,734||$18,800,000||$63,610,734|
|12/20/1996||Marvin's Room||Dr. Wally||$12,782,508||$0||$12,782,508|
|8/16/1996||The Fan||Gil Renard||$18,406,215||$0||$18,406,215|
|11/22/1995||Casino||Sam "Ace" Rothstein||$42,388,160||$67,961,700||$110,349,860|
|9/29/1993||A Bronx Tale||Lorenzo||$17,239,789||$0||$17,239,789|
|4/9/1993||This Boy's Life||Dwight||$4,104,962||$0||$4,104,962|
|3/5/1993||Mad Dog and Glory||Wayne Dobie||$10,688,490||$0||$10,688,490|
|10/16/1992||Night and the City||Harry Fabian||$6,202,756||$0||$6,202,756|
|11/15/1991||Cape Fear||Max Cady||$79,091,969||$103,200,000||$182,291,969|
|3/15/1991||Guilty by Suspicion||David Merrill||$9,379,048||$0||$9,379,048|
|2/9/1990||Stanley & Iris||Stanley Cox||$5,820,015||$0||$5,820,015|
|12/15/1989||We're No Angels||Ned||$10,555,348||$0||$10,555,348|
|7/20/1988||Midnight Run||Jack Walsh||$38,413,606||$43,200,000||$81,613,606|
|6/3/1987||The Untouchables||Al Capone||$75,729,280||$0||$75,729,280|
|3/6/1987||Angel Heart||Louis Cyphre||$17,185,000||$0||$17,185,000|
|12/18/1985||Brazil||Archibald "Harry" Tuttle||$9,929,135||$0||$9,929,135|
|11/21/1984||Falling in Love||Frank Raftis||$10,597,500||$0||$10,597,500|
|6/1/1984||Once Upon a Time in America||Noodles||$5,321,508||$0||$5,321,508|
|2/18/1983||The King of Comedy||Rupert Pupkin||$2,536,242||$0||$2,536,242|
|9/25/1981||True Confessions||Des Spellacy||$12,200,000||$0||$12,200,000|
|11/14/1980||Raging Bull||Jake La Motta||$23,380,203||$0||$23,380,203|
|1/1/1979||The Deer Hunter||Michael||$50,000,000||$0||$50,000,000|
|6/22/1977||New York, New York||Jimmy Doyle||$13,800,000||$0||$13,800,000|
|2/8/1976||Taxi Driver||Travis Bickle||$28,262,574||$0||$28,262,574|
|12/11/1974||The Godfather: Part II||Vito Corleone||$57,300,000||$0||$57,300,000|
|10/2/1973||Mean Streets||Johnny Boy Cervello||$32,645||$0||$32,645|
|12/22/2006||The Good Shepherd||Director,|
|12/22/2004||Meet the Fockers||Producer||$279,167,575||$237,400,000||$516,567,575|
|5/17/2002||About a Boy||Producer||$40,803,000||$89,956,651||$130,759,651|
|10/6/2000||Meet the Parents||Producer||$166,225,040||$138,374,859||$304,599,899|
|6/30/2000||The Adventures of Rocky & Bullw…||Producer||$26,000,610||$9,129,000||$35,129,610|
|12/25/1997||Wag the Dog||Producer||$43,022,524||$21,194,568||$64,217,092|
|9/29/1993||A Bronx Tale||Director||$17,239,789||$0||$17,239,789|