Weekend predictions: $350-million four-day Memorial Day weekend on the cards, led by Lilo & Stitch

May 23, 2025

Lilo & Stitch

Lilo & Stitch is headed to a monster Memorial Day opening, with our model predicting it will earn $148 million over three days and $188 million over four, based on its performance so far. Mission: Impossible—Final Reckoning isn’t far behind, with a three-day total somewhere close to $80 million, and about $95 million likely over four days.

Here are the model’s predictions, as of Friday lunchtime…

Here’s what the model thinks the top 10 will look like.

Our prediction for the full four-day weekend is that the top 10 will earn a shade over $350 million. We’ll have updates through the weekend.

Please help support The Numbers with a monthly or one-time donation, or by subscribing to The Numbers Business Report. We keep advertising to a minimum, and only for advertisers who we believe are directly of interest to our readers. If you’d like to advertise your movie or service with us, please email us at advertising(at)the-numbers.com.

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Weekend Preview, Mission: Impossible—The Final Reckoning, Lilo & Stitch