|As an Actor||Supporting||11||$584,207,280||$383,353,544||$967,560,824|
|Lead Ensemble Member||2||$47,325,998||$389,940,908||$437,266,906|
|In Technical Roles||Producer||1||$969,239||$571,101||$1,540,340|
|Best known as a Supporting Actor based on credits in that role in 11 films, with $967,560,824 worldwide aggregate box office (rank #2,107)|
|Best-Known Acting Roles: Warren Worthington/Angel (X-Men: The Last Stand), Matt "Axe" Axelson (Lone Survivor), Sebastian Abney (Contraband), Medivh (Warcraft), Charlie Prince (3:10 to Yuma)|
|Best-Known Technical Roles: Rampart (Producer), Noble (Composer)|
|Most productive collaborators: Mark Wahlberg, Peter Berg, Taylor Kitsch, Baltasar Kormakur, Jason Statham|
August 1st, 2016
July did reasonably well, thanks mostly to The Secret Life of Pets, which will top $300 million shortly and could earn double its nearest competitor when all is said and done. That said, there were also a quartet of $100 million hits as well, so the month had good depth as well. August isn’t as lucky. There is one film that is expected to earn $100 million during its opening weekend, Suicide Squad, and one more that is expected to reach $100 million in total, Pete’s Dragon. There could be a surprise hit among the rest of the releases, (my long shot with a shot is Sausage Party) but for the most part, the rest of the wide releases would be happy with just $50 million at the box office. Last August was a disaster and Straight Outta Compton was the only hit of the month. Unless Suicide Squad bombs compared to expectations, 2016 will come out ahead in the year-over-year comparison.
June 1st, 2016
May was great, as long as you don't compare it to last May. Captain America: Civil War was a monster hit and is closing in on $400 million, while both X-Men: Apocalypse and The Angry Birds Movie will earn over $100 million. Looking ahead, every week in June, there is one movie that should top $100 million; however, only Finding Dory is expected to make more than $200 million. In fact, that film is expected to make close to $400 million domestically and over $1 billion worldwide. Last June, there were two monster hits, Inside Out and Jurassic World, plus one $100 million hit, Spy. I don't see how 2016 will top that. Even if every film with a shot at $100 million gets to that milestone, 2016 still might not top last year's pace. Fortunately, 2016 does have a large lead and that could be enough to keep 2016 ahead of 2015's pace in the year-over-year competition. It could be really close at the end of the month, on the other hand.
March 18th, 2016
Of the seven films on this week's list, five of them are earning excellent reviews and one of the other two is a Bollywood film with no reviews. Midnight Special was supposed to open wide, but that's not happening now. It could still find an audience in theaters. Additionally, Krisha is being released by A24 and that distributor has a very good track record.
January 1st, 2016
2016 will begin the same way 2015 ended, with Star Wars: The Force Awakens on top. In fact, three of the five films that have the best shot at box office success in January are The Force Awakens, The Hateful Eight, and The Revenant, all of which opened in December. There are two true January releases that could also do really well, for this time of year: Ride Along 2 and Kung Fu Panda 3. The rest of the releases are just hoping to become midlevel hits. Last January, American Sniper dominated earning more than $300 million. Its success could prevent 2016 from being ahead in the year-over-year comparison by the end of the month, but this year does have better depth.
June 1st, 2014
Lone Survivor came out for an Oscar-qualifying run late in December of 2013, which seemed odd, because it didn't look like the typical Oscar-bait movie. However, it actually picked up a couple of Oscar nominations (for technical categories) and more impressively earned a WGA nomination for Best Adapted Screenplay, as well as SAG Award for Best Stunts. This lifts the expectations, but is this for the best? Does the film truly rise above the action genre?
January 1st, 2014
It's the first month of the new year, but the biggest hit might be a film released in December. Last month ended on a slow note with all five Christmas day releases failing to become hits, some more than others. (It's a little too soon to tell if The Wolf of Wall Street or The Secret Life of Walter Mitty will do well enough to break even any time soon, but neither is a serious hit.) There are still some December releases that will likely remain on the charts through the opening weekends of January, while there are some films that opened in limited release last month with a scheduled wide release this month. Of the purely January releases, I would guess Jack Ryan: Shadow Recruit will be the biggest hit. Even then, it won't live up to the previous films in the franchise, even if you don't take inflation into account. Most of the rest of the new releases will be happy if they can become midlevel hits. Last January was led by Mama, which earned more than $70 million. I think Shadow Recruit will top that figure at the box office, while there are a similar number of likely box office bombs opening this year as there were last year. 2014 could start out ahead of 2013's pace, but it likely won't be a huge difference either way.
|8/12/2016||Hell or High Water||Tanner||$25,162,491||$2,920,000||$28,082,491|
|3/18/2016||The Program||Lance Armstrong||$0||$1,579,261||$1,579,261|
|1/29/2016||The Finest Hours||Richard Livesey||$27,569,558||$20,627,694||$48,197,252|
|12/31/2015||State Like Sleep||$0||$0||$0|
|12/25/2013||Lone Survivor||Matt "Axe" Axelson||$125,095,601||$24,709,031||$149,804,632|
|10/18/2013||Kill Your Darlings||William Burroughs||$1,029,949||$1,054,866||$2,084,815|
|8/16/2013||Ain't Them Bodies Saints||Patrick Wheeler||$391,611||$348,869||$740,480|
|1/28/2011||The Mechanic||Steve McKenna||$29,121,498||$47,225,895||$76,347,393|
|11/13/2009||The Messenger||Staff Sgt. Will Montgomery||$1,109,660||$635,292||$1,744,952|
|10/19/2007||30 Days of Night||The Stranger||$39,568,996||$40,707,160||$80,276,156|
|9/2/2007||3:10 to Yuma||Charlie Prince||$53,606,916||$17,564,909||$71,171,825|
|1/12/2007||Alpha Dog||Jake Mazursky||$15,309,602||$17,204,717||$32,514,319|
|5/26/2006||X-Men: The Last Stand||Warren Worthington/Angel||$234,362,462||$224,997,093||$459,359,555|
|3/10/2006||The Heart is Deceitful Above All Things||Fleshy Boy||$29,058||$180,000||$209,058|
|4/5/2002||Big Trouble||Matt Arnold||$7,262,288||$1,226,583||$8,488,871|
|3/9/2001||Get Over It||Berke Landers||$11,560,259||$8,300,000||$19,860,259|
|11/17/1999||Liberty Heights||Ben Kurtzman||$3,732,398||$0||$3,732,398|