|As an Actor||Leading||10||$224,043,557||$236,388,160||$460,431,717|
|Lead Ensemble Member||3||$166,613,863||$141,891,131||$308,504,994|
|In Technical Roles||Producer||2||$45,431||$0||$45,431|
|Best known as a Leading Actor based on credits in that role in 10 films, with $460,431,717 worldwide aggregate box office (rank #421)|
|Best-Known Acting Roles: Greg Lippmann (The Big Short), Jacob (Crazy, Stupid, Love), Alan Bosley (Remember the Titans), Young Noah Calhoun (The Notebook), Sgt. Jerry Wooters (Gangster Squad)|
|Best-Known Technical Roles: Lost River (Director), Lost River (Screenwriter), Lost River (Producer)|
|Most productive collaborators: Steve Carell, George Clooney, Brad Pitt, Glenn Ficarra, Christian Bale|
December 1st, 2016
November was good, but not great. Fortunately, 2016 had a large enough lead going into November that the month only needed to be good. In fact, it could have been mediocre and 2016 would have still had an excellent shot to end the year above 2015. As for December, it’s a race between Star Wars and Star Wars. Almost no one thinks Rogue One is going to match The Force Awakens, but if Rogue One earns just half of what The Force Awakens managed, then 2016 will come out on top in the year-over-year comparison. There are only two other films with a better than 50/50 chance of hitting $100 million, Passengers and Sing. Either one could earn second place for the month, but Passengers will likely start faster. Last December, the only other film to earn more than $100 million was Daddy’s Home, which earned just a hair over $150 million. There’s a chance both Passengers and Sing will earn more than $150 million, which would be a boon to the box office. However, Star Wars: The Force Awakens was just too strong last year and it would take a miracle for 2016 to have a stronger December. That said, it would take a complete collapse for 2016 not to top 2015 in raw dollars. The growth might not be enough to keep pace with ticket price inflation, on the other hand.
October 11th, 2016
Over the weekend was Columbus Day, or as it is known in more and more places, Indigenous People’s Day. It’s also Thanksgiving Day up here in Canada and it would make more sense for Americans to celebrate Canadian Thanksgiving than Columbus Day. Canadian Thanksgiving is where you give thanks to all the Canadians that make your life better. For example, both Ryan Gosling and Ryan Reynolds are Canadian. Anyhoo... The weekend box office numbers were not buoyed by the semi-holiday on Monday as none of the new releases matched expectations. The Girl on the Train led the way by a wide margin with $24.54 million compared to $15.14 million for Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children. Neither The Birth of a Nation nor Middle School: The Worst Years of My Life made it into the top five. The overall box office fell 9.5% from last weekend dropping to $103 million. That was 13% lower than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2016 has earned $8.64 billion, putting it 4.4% / $370 million ahead of 2015. A couple of more weeks like this and we will have reason to hit the panic button.
August 24th, 2016
There are not many major hits on this week’s list, but there are several releases that are contenders for Pick of the Week. This includes TV on DVD releases like Ash vs The Evil Dead: Season 1 (DVD or Blu-ray), as well as limited releases like Maggie’s Plan (DVD or Blu-ray). However, in the end I went with The Nice Guys on Blu-ray Combo Pack.
May 1st, 2016
April started on a soft note and ended weak, but thanks to The Jungle Book, overall the month was actually really good. That's what happens when you get a surprise $300 million hit. This bodes well for May, which is both a slow month and a fantastic month. There are only four weekends and only eight movies coming out, but of those eight films, five have a shot at $100 million. The potential blockbusters are led by Captain America: Civil War, which is not only going to be the biggest hit of the month, but according to a Fandango survey, it is the most anticipated film of the summer. (On a side note, Finding Dory is the most anticipated family film of the summer and Ghostbusters is the most anticipated comedy of the summer. I was surprised by the last result.) Both Alice Through the Looking Glass and X-Men: Apocalypse have real shots at $200 million. One of them could get to $300 million, if they weren't opening against each other. Overall, the month looks excellent. Even better, last May there was only one monster hit, The Avengers: Age of Ultron, and most analysts think Captain America: Civil War will beat it at the box office. (There's also the issue of the misalignment in the weekends, which hurt April, but will really help May.)
December 22nd, 2015
December 1st, 2015
November ended on a positive note with a strong Thanksgiving weekend. Even so, the overall numbers were mixed with a lot of misses mixed in with a few hits. It was better than October and we will call that a victory. Meanwhile, December is potentially record-breaking. Actually, given the evidence, it is almost assuredly going to be record-breaking. Star Wars: The Force Awakens has already set a record for the most money taken from ticket pre-sales and the biggest December weekend will fall. The pre-orders alone will guarantee that. On the downside, it is very likely that no film will make as much in total as The Force Awakens will make during its opening weekend. There's a chance no film makes in total as much as The Force Awakens makes during its opening day. There are a few films that have a shot at $100 million. For example, Joy should get there, if it becomes a major player during Awards Season. If not, it will at least come close. Daddy's Home, and to a lesser extent Sisters, could be surprise $100 million hits. However, like the rest of 2015, December is shaping up to be a month of a record-breaking hit and a lot of films that struggle just to get noticed. On the other hand, last December, was a lot more balanced at the top with four films earning more than $100 million, led by The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies. There's a chance The Force Awakens earns more than all four $100 million hits from last year earned combined.
April 15th, 2015
Ex Machina's opening weekend was surprisingly potent earning an average of $59,316 in four theaters. This is the biggest per theater average for a film that opened in 2015. I was not expecting that. On the other hand, I was expecting Clouds of Sils Maria to do well, and it did, earning an average of $20,603 in three theaters. Furious 7 remained in the $10,000 club with an average of $14,815 in more than 4,000 theaters.
April 10th, 2015
It is an excellent week for limited releases with two films earning stunning reviews and loud buzz: Clouds of Sils Maria and Ex Machina. I think the former has a better chance to expand significantly, but hopefully both will find audiences in theaters. There are also a number of other limited releases earning amazing reviews: About Elly, Black Souls, The Sisterhood of Night, etc. In fact, there are too many to think all of them will thrive.
July 19th, 2013
Every week we try and find a limited release with potential to expand significantly. This week there are two such films that appeared to be contenders: Girl Most Likely and Only God Forgives. Then the reviews came in and the chances of limited release success became a lot more limited. There are a few films earning stunning reviews: The Act of Killing, Blackfish, and Ways to Live Forever. I'm not sure any will expand significantly. Grabbers' reviews are not quite as strong, but it is the film I'm looking forward to seeing the most.
January 1st, 2013
December ended on a positive note with 2012 topping 2011 with a week to spare. Hopefully this will translate into strong box office numbers going forward. There are several January releases that actually look very interesting, but you always have to ask, if the films are as good as they look, why are they opening in January? The biggest hit on this list will likely not be a January release, but a limited release from December that is expanding wide in January. Zero Dark Thirty opened in limited release the Wednesday before Christmas and right away it got off to an incredible start. If it can turn some of its Awards Season nominations into wins, which seems very likely at this point, it should be the biggest hit of January. If it can earn some major Oscars, then it might crack $100 million. Unfortunately, no other film on this release list is likely to come close to the $100 million mark. Last January was unseasonably strong with three films opening with $20 million or more and four films finishing with $50 million or more. It is possible that none of the new releases will reach those relatively weak standards.
|12/31/2017||The Haunted Mansion||$0||$0||$0|
|10/6/2017||Blade Runner 2049||$0||$0||$0|
|12/9/2016||La La Land||Sebastian||$300,000||$1,653,412||$1,953,412|
|5/20/2016||The Nice Guys||Holland March||$36,261,763||$21,000,000||$57,261,763|
|12/11/2015||The Big Short||Greg Lippmann||$70,259,870||$63,000,000||$133,259,870|
|2/27/2015||My Life Directed by Nicolas Winding Refn||Himself||$0||$0||$0|
|7/19/2013||Only God Forgives||Julian||$775,849||$3,718,711||$4,494,560|
|3/29/2013||The Place Beyond the Pines||Luke||$21,403,519||$25,607,930||$47,011,449|
|1/11/2013||Gangster Squad||Sgt. Jerry Wooters||$46,000,903||$58,100,000||$104,100,903|
|10/7/2011||The Ides of March||Stephen Meyers||$40,962,534||$36,773,391||$77,735,925|
|7/29/2011||Crazy, Stupid, Love||Jacob||$84,351,197||$62,791,131||$147,142,328|
|12/3/2010||All Good Things||David Marks||$582,024||$291,593||$873,617|
|10/12/2007||Lars and the Real Girl||Lars||$5,956,480||$5,320,639||$11,277,119|
|6/25/2004||The Notebook||Young Noah Calhoun||$81,001,787||$35,023,236||$116,025,023|
|4/2/2004||The United States of Leland||Leland P. Fitzgerald||$343,816||$0||$343,816|
|5/17/2002||The Believer||Danny Balint||$406,035||$1,434,213||$1,840,248|
|4/19/2002||Murder by Numbers||Richard Haywood||$31,874,869||$24,768,398||$56,643,267|
|9/29/2000||Remember the Titans||Alan Bosley||$115,654,751||$21,051,932||$136,706,683|
|2/9/1997||Frankenstein and Me||Kenny||$5,000||$0||$5,000|