Weekend estimates: with no new competition Spider-Man makes it six out of seven domestically, passes $1 billion internationally

January 30, 2022

Spider-Man: No Way Home

Spider-Man: No Way Home will top the domestic box office chart for the sixth time this weekend, earning about $11 million, according to Sony’s Sunday-morning prediction. That will take it to $735.9 million in total, less than $25 million behind Avatar’s $760.5-million final domestic cume. That’s a landmark Spidey still has a good chance of hitting before its run is complete. One landmark it has hit this weekend is $1 billion internationally, becoming the 10th film to hit that mark all time, and the first ever for Sony.

Here’s how the domestic numbers look this morning…




This weekend will see the exact same top seven as last weekend, which I thought might be a record. It’s a very rare occurrence, but happened at the beginning of last year too, over the weekend of January 8. The last time before that was the weekend of January 1, 2010, when no-one dared try to challenge Avatar. It’s happened a couple of other times in the first weekend of January, specifically in 2009, 1999, but not this late in the month since 1983, when Tootsie was the biggest film in America. That weekend saw the same top eight as the previous weekend, which is the all-time record, at least since box office tracking started in earnest in 1980. (The weekend of January 8, 2021 was the last time the top eight was unchanged.)

All of which is a very roundabout way of saying that there’s not much new to see in theaters right now. That’s helping the legs of films like The King’s Man, which will be down just 2% in its sixth weekend in theaters, and American Underdog, which will be up 4% from last weekend. But it’s obviously bad news for movie theaters, which will earn something around $35 million from all movies combined this weekend, the lowest figure since May 21 last year.

Moonfall and Jackass Forever will give things a bit of a kick start next weekend, and both seem well suited to the current market. Hopefully we’ll have good, non-Spider-Man, news to report next weekend.

- Weekend studio estimates
- All-time top-grossing movies in North America
- All-time top-grossing movies worldwide

Bruce Nash,

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, The King’s Man, Moonfall, American Underdog: The Kurt Warner Story, jackass forever, Spider-Man: No Way Home