Weekend Estimates: Transylvania Triumphant, Skyscraper Sinks

July 15, 2018

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation

It was not a close race at the box office this weekend, as Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation topped expectations and Skyscraper did not. Transylvania 3 will open with a projected $44.1 million over the weekend for a total opening of $45.4 million, including June 30th’s special showings. This is average for the franchise, as is its reviews and A minus CinemaScore. The film will have no trouble earning enough to cover its $65 million production budget domestically. Meanwhile, the film opened with $46.4 million on 12,600 screens in 442 markets internationally, representing just under half of the total international marketplace. Its biggest market was Mexico, where it earned $8.6 million, while it was also impressive in Russia with $5.8 million. Its only holdover is Australia, where it added $2.4 million to its running tally, which sits at $10.2 million after three weeks of release.

Skyscraper only managed third place during its debut with $25.49 million over the weekend, which is about a third less than expected. Given Dwayne Johnson’s track record, its reviews, and its B plus from CinemaScore, it should have done a lot better. Granted, it is not a classic, but it is fine for a popcorn flick. Fortunately, while the film will struggle to earn half of its $125 million production budget here, it is already doing a lot better internationally. The film opened with $40.4 million in 57 markets, including a second place debut in South Korea, where it earned $4.67 million. The film has yet to open in China, where it is widely expected to be a major hit. More importantly, it is a Chinese co-production, so the studios involved will get 40% of the box office there, rather than the usual 25%.

Ant-Man and the Wasp slipped to second place with $28.84 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $132.83 million. The film should be able earn more than $190 million domestically, which means Disney will likely give it a boost to get over $200 million. Meanwhile, the film has $150.9 million internationally, including $35.3 million in 44 markets this weekend. The only major market opening this past weekend was India, where it earned $3.8 million, which is more than the original Ant-Man earned in total there. The film is playing in barely more than half of the international marketplace and has yet to open in France, Germany, the U.K., Italy, Japan, and China. It is one of the weaker installments in the MCU as far as its box office is concerned, but it is still a monster hit and very profitable.

Incredibles 2 overtook Rogue One: A Star Wars Story and The Dark Knight for ninth place on the all-time domestic chart. The film pulled in $16.22 million over the weekend for a total of $535.82 million after a month of release. It isn’t done with its domestic run yet, but there’s a huge gap between ninth place and eighth place, so this is where its story ends.

Eighth Grade did a little better than initial estimates with $252,000 in four theaters over the weekend. If it holds, it will top Isle of Dogs for best theater average of the year so far. Given its reviews, it clearly deserves this success.

- Weekend Box Office Chart

- Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Comparisons
- Skyscraper Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Wrap-up, Weekend Estimates, Incredibles 2, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Skyscraper, Eighth Grade, Marvel Cinematic Universe, Hotel Transylvania, Dwayne Johnson