Weekend Estimates: Crazy Getting Richer over the Weekend
August 19, 2018
Crazy Rich Asians beat expectations and easily came out on top of the box office over the weekend. The film earned $25.24 million between Friday and Sunday, for a five-day opening of $34.00 million, which is amazing for a film that cost $30 million to make. It not only beat our original prediction, but its weekend estimates have grown since it debuted on Wednesday, which is a very good sign that the word-of-mouth is helping ticket sales. Its 92% positive reviews and its A-rating from CinemaScore back up that explanation. With this opening, the film would have to have terrible legs and completely bomb internationally to not break even. Having terrible legs seems unlikely, but we will know more about that next weekend. As for its international numbers, the film hasn’t opened in any major international markets, so it is too soon to tell. It does debut in Australia before the end of the month, so that will be the film’s first big test.
The Meg actually held on better than I was expecting, but was still pushed into second place with $21.15 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $83.76 million. At this pace, it should have no trouble getting to $100 million this time next week. On the other hand, the film cost Warner Bros. $130 million to make, so it will still need help breaking even. It is doing even better internationally with $67 million this past weekend for totals of $230 million internationally and $314 million worldwide. I’ve seen reports that the film would need $400 million worldwide to break even any time soon. This film will get there next weekend. This is great news for Warner Bros., which has not had a great year. Its biggest domestic hit so far has been Ocean’s 8, which was profitable but not a monster hit.
Mile 22 struggled with $13.62 million its opening weekend. That’s not a completely terrible opening for a film that cost $35 million to make, but with 20% positive reviews and a mere B minus from CinemaScore, it will likely have very short legs. Maybe it will play well internationally, due to its international setting and cast.
Alpha managed a fourth place tie with $10.5 million during its opening weekend. Its reviews are 84% positive, but its average score was just 6.7 out of 10 and it only managed a B plus from CinemaScore. Neither of those last two results are bad, but they are not exactly good either. Unfortunately, it cost more than $50 million to make, so it will need help breaking even any time soon.
Mission: Impossible—Fallout slipped a little faster than expected, and was down to $10.5 million over the weekend for a total of $180.7 million after four weeks of release. It will still hit $200 million domestically, but it likely won’t catch Ant-Man and the Wasp on the 2018 domestic chart.
Christopher Robin was knocked out of the top five, but did a little better than expected with $8.86 million over the weekend for a total of $66.88 million after three weeks of release. It will match its $75 million production budget, probably this time next week, but it will need close to $200 million worldwide to be a financial success. The film only has $22.8 million internationally, including $7.9 million this weekend, but it is also only playing in about a third of the international marketplace, so getting to $100 million isn’t out of the question.
It was a busy week for the $10,000 club with The Wife earning an average of $27,784 in four theaters, and We The Animals being relatively close behind with an average of $22,087 in three. Meanwhile, Juliet, Naked and Blaze had near identical averages at $15,231 and $15,114 respectively.
- Crazy Rich Asians Comparisons
- Mile 22 Comparisons
- Alpha Comparisons
Filed under: Weekend Estimates, Christopher Robin, Mile 22, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Alpha, Mission: Impossible—Fallout, The Meg, Ocean’s 8, Blaze, Crazy Rich Asians, Juliet, Naked, The Wife, We The Animals