Weekend Estimates: Crazy Rich Nearly Matches Opening Weekend with $25 million

August 26, 2018

Crazy Rich Asians

Crazy Rich Asians led the way over the weekend with $25.01 million for a two-week total of $76.82 million. This is way more than expected and actually in line with our opening weekend prediction. Its sophomore stint decline was just a 6% from its opening three-day weekend; it’s just a 29% decline from its opening five-day weekend. On the downside, this is such an amazing hold that it is hard for analysts to figure out where it will go from here. We can safely say it will continue to pull in millions of dollars for weeks to come, but we don’t know if it will soar past $150 million or not. If it has a more normal decline next week, we will be able to be more sure. Regardless of what it does over the rest of its domestic run or how well it performs internationally, it will be a massively profitable movie and one of Warner Bros.’ biggest hits of the year.

Speaking of of Warner Bros., The Meg became the studio’s third $100 million domestic hit of the year. This weekend, it earned $13.03 million for a total of $105.30 million after three week’s of release. It could top Ocean’s 8 to become the biggest hit for Warner Bros. this year, but Crazy Rich Asians might get there first. Internationally, the film crossed $300 million for a global running tally of over $400 million. It still needs about $100 million more to break even sooner rather than later, but it could get there.

The Happytime Murders missed expectations with just $10.02 million during its opening weekend. Getting to $10 million is merely saving face at this point. The film’s reviews and its C minus from CinemaScore suggest it will have short legs, but maybe it will become a cult classic on the home market.

A.X.L.’s opening weekend was even worse as it earned just $2.94 million in 1,710 theaters for an average of $1,719. Missing the Mendoza Line means its reviews (22% positive) and its CinemaScore rating (B plus) are mostly meaningless, as theater owners will be looking to drop the film as soon as possible. More importantly, this is another miss for Global Road, a new studio that hasn’t had a hit in its short life so far. If their next film, The Silence, isn’t a hit in December, they might not get many more chances to score a hit.

- Weekend Box Office Chart

- The Happytime Murders Comparisons
- A.X.L. Comparisons

Filed under: Weekend Estimates, The Happytime Murders, The Meg, Ocean’s 8, Crazy Rich Asians, A.X.L.