|As an Actor||Leading||9||$1,465,407,274||$2,364,604,731||$3,830,012,005|
|Lead Ensemble Member||2||$359,515,710||$593,075,814||$952,591,524|
|In Technical Roles||Producer||2||$15,161,290||$9,209,637||$24,370,927|
By Sgt. Michael Connors - 302nd Mobile Public Affairs Detachment [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons
|Best known as a Leading Actor based on credits in that role in 9 films, with $3,830,012,005 worldwide aggregate box office (rank #42)|
|Best-Known Acting Roles: Clint Barton / Hawkeye (The Avengers), Clint Barton/Hawkeye (Avengers: Age of Ultron), Clint Barton/Hawkeye (Captain America: Civil War), William Brandt (Mission: Impossible—Rogue Nation), Agent William Brandt (Mission: Impossible—Ghost Protocol)|
|Best-Known Technical Roles: The Founder (Producer), Kill the Messenger (Producer)|
|Most productive collaborators: Robert Downey, Jr., Chris Evans, Joss Whedon, Mark Ruffalo, Scarlett Johansson|
November 1st, 2016
October turned out to be a mixed month. On the one hand, not one movie earned $100 million, or even came close. However, it was also a more steady month than last October and the last two weeks really helped 2016 in the year-over-year comparisons. In November, we have five films with at least a shot at $100 million, three of which should have no trouble getting to at least $200 million. A little while ago, I thought Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them would be the biggest hit of the month, but the buzz took a hit recently. More on that below. Meanwhile, Doctor Strange’s reviews are currently 90% positive and that should help it out at the box office. The third very likely $200 million hit is Moana. There is certainly precedent for an animated movie to be a monster hit at this time of year, but there is also a lot of competition. Last November was similar in strength, with five films that earned more than $100 million and two films that earned more than $200 million. None earned more than $300 million, so that’s the goal for this November. If we can get one $300 million and / or three $200 million movies over the month, then it will be seen as a victory.
July 1st, 2015
June was a much better month than expected due to two films, Jurassic World and Inside Out. Had those two films merely matched expectations, then 2015 would have likely fallen behind 2014. As for this coming month, there are five weekends in July and each week there is at least one film with the potential to reach $100 million. Most weeks there are two films that at least have a shot at getting to the century mark. The biggest hit of the month will likely be Minions, which has already opened in several international markets and it's ahead of Despicable Me 2 at the same point. That film made more than $300 million and nearly $1 billion worldwide, so any growth would be fantastic. There are also a number of potential $200 million films, led by Ant-man. Ant-man is the latest release in the Marvel Cinematic Universe, a franchise that has averaged $300 million domestically over eleven films and all of the past six films have reached at least $200 million. I'm not saying this one is guaranteed to do the same, but you can't dismiss that possibility. Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation and Pixels have smaller chances to get to $200 million, but you have to at least entertain the possibility. Additionally, last July was a lot weaker than this July looks to be, so 2015 should win in the year-over-year comparison most weeks. Or I might have let the box office success of June cloud my judgment. We will soon find out.
May 1st, 2015
April is over and there was good news and bad news. Good news: Furious 7 crushed the competition, and broke records along the way. Bad news: Furious 7 crushed the competition and no other April release will earn as much in total as Furious 7 earned during its opening day. Fortunately, Furious 7 was so strong that it carried April of 2015 to a draw when compared to April of 2014. May has a lot of similarities to April. The Avengers: Age of Ultron is expected to break records during its opening weekend and even the low end has it earning more than $1 billion worldwide. Unfortunately, no other film is going to come close to that figure. There are five other films with a potential to reach $100 million at the box office. The keyword there is "potential". There's a chance less than half of those five films will get to that milestone. And like last April, last May had much better depth with five films that reached $100 million, including four that surpassed $200 million. Age of Ultron will earn more than the combined totals of Maleficent, last month's winner, and X-Men: Days of Future Past, which placed second for the month. I am a little concerned about the lack of depth this month and this could cause May to lose in the month-over-month comparison in the end.
December 1st, 2013
We had some good news and some bad news in November. The bad news is the overall weakness at the box office continued and 2013 lost its lead over 2012. Strong runs by The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and Frozen did help it bounce back in the end, but 2013 is still going to have a tough time topping 2012. Looking forward to December, we find about a dozen wide releases, sort of. There are several films that are opening in limited release that are expected to expand wide by the end of the month, but I'm not sure that will be the case for all of them. The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug should be the easy winner this month and if it is a little lucky, it might even top its predecessor at the box office. There is a huge amount of hype surrounding Anchorman 2: The Legend Continues and it could double the first film's box office numbers. On the other hand, those two films might be the only two December wide releases to reach $100 million. There are a few that have the potential to get to the century mark, if they are big players during Awards Season. Obviously some of the films coming out this month will win awards, but there's already a lot of competition in theaters before the month begins. There were three $100 million movies last December, led by The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey, so while it could be close, it looks like December will lose in the year-over-year comparison. This is really bad news, as 2013 can't afford to go out on a losing streak if it wants to top 2012.
June 10th, 2013
Hansel and Gretel: Witch Hunters was a high concept action film that came out in January. That suggests it was a good idea on paper, but the execution was weak. On the other hand, it did become a surprise hit earning more than $200 million worldwide. Did the studio underestimate what they had? Or did the film thrive merely by being better than the January competition?
January 1st, 2013
December ended on a positive note with 2012 topping 2011 with a week to spare. Hopefully this will translate into strong box office numbers going forward. There are several January releases that actually look very interesting, but you always have to ask, if the films are as good as they look, why are they opening in January? The biggest hit on this list will likely not be a January release, but a limited release from December that is expanding wide in January. Zero Dark Thirty opened in limited release the Wednesday before Christmas and right away it got off to an incredible start. If it can turn some of its Awards Season nominations into wins, which seems very likely at this point, it should be the biggest hit of January. If it can earn some major Oscars, then it might crack $100 million. Unfortunately, no other film on this release list is likely to come close to the $100 million mark. Last January was unseasonably strong with three films opening with $20 million or more and four films finishing with $50 million or more. It is possible that none of the new releases will reach those relatively weak standards.
|5/6/2016||Captain America: Civil War||Clint Barton/Hawkeye||$408,084,349||$743,600,000||$1,151,684,349|
|7/31/2015||Mission: Impossible—Rogue Nation||William Brandt||$195,042,377||$505,825,986||$700,868,363|
|5/1/2015||Avengers: Age of Ultron||Clint Barton/Hawkeye||$459,005,868||$945,700,000||$1,404,705,868|
|10/10/2014||Kill the Messenger||Gary Webb||$2,450,846||$4,205,859||$6,656,705|
|12/13/2013||American Hustle||Carmine Polito||$150,117,807||$107,760,487||$257,878,294|
|1/25/2013||Hansel & Gretel: Witch Hunters||Hansel||$55,703,475||$159,246,241||$214,949,716|
|8/10/2012||The Bourne Legacy||Aaron Cross||$113,203,870||$167,152,050||$280,355,920|
|5/4/2012||The Avengers||Clint Barton / Hawkeye||$623,279,547||$896,200,000||$1,519,479,547|
|12/16/2011||Mission: Impossible—Ghost Protocol||Agent William Brandt||$209,397,903||$485,315,327||$694,713,230|
|9/17/2010||The Town||James Coughlin||$92,186,262||$60,380,619||$152,566,881|
|6/26/2009||The Hurt Locker||Staff Sergeant William James||$17,017,811||$32,876,412||$49,894,223|
|9/21/2007||The Assassination of Jesse James by t…||Wood Hite||$3,909,149||$11,404,482||$15,313,631|
|5/11/2007||28 Weeks Later||Doyle||$28,638,916||$35,593,798||$64,232,714|
|3/13/2007||A Little Trip to Heaven||Fred||$0||$0||$0|
|5/19/2006||Twelve and Holding||Gus Maitland||$96,464||$217,553||$314,017|
|3/10/2006||The Heart is Deceitful Above All Things||Emerson||$29,058||$180,000||$209,058|
|10/21/2005||North Country||Bobby Sharp||$18,324,242||$5,352,529||$23,676,771|
|6/3/2005||The Lords of Dogtown||$11,273,517||$2,150,848||$13,424,365|
|8/8/2003||S.W.A.T.||Brian "Poker" Gamble||$116,877,597||$90,277,151||$207,154,748|
|9/8/1995||National Lampoon's Senior Trip||Mark 'Dags' D'Agastino||$4,686,937||$0||$4,686,937|
|10/10/2014||Kill the Messenger||Producer||$2,450,846||$4,205,859||$6,656,705|