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Our DVD and Blu-ray sales estimates are based on weekly retail surveys, which we use to build a weekly market share estimate for each title we are tracking. The market share is converted into a weekly sales estimate based on industry reports on the overall size of the market, including reports published in Media Play News.

For example, if our weekly retail survey estimates that a particular title sold 1% of all units that week, and the industry reports sales of 1,500,000 units in total, we will estimate 15,000 units were sold of that title. The consumer spending estimate is based on the average sales price for the title in the retailers we survey.

We refine our estimates from week to week as more data becomes available. In particular, we adjust weekly sales figures for the quarter once the total market estimates are published by the Digital Entertainment Group. Figures will therefore fluctuate each week, and totals for individual titles can go up or down as we update our estimates.

Because sales figures are estimated based on sampling, they will be more accurate for higher-selling titles.

Thursday Night Previews: Kong is a Little Short in its Debut with $3.7 million

March 10th, 2017

Kong: Skull Island is the only wide release of the week, so it is the only release that had previews last night. The results were… okay. The film earned $3.7 million, which is the third-best preview result for 2017 so far. However, it is a far cry from the $9.5 million Logan earned just last week. Granted, Logan was the latest installment of two franchises, so the Fanboy Effect was in full force, but Logan also earned better reviews and that helped its legs. Kong’s number is slightly better than than $3.6 million Pacific Rim earned during its previews, but it is low enough that I think we should adjust our prediction for the weekend down to about $42 million. We will have a better idea where it will end up tomorrow once we have Friday’s estimates. More...

Weekend Predictions: Logan is set to Skewer the Competition

March 2nd, 2017

The first weekend of March has three wide releases, but the one everyone is talking about is Logan. It should become the biggest hit of the year so far. The other two releases are The Shack, a faith-based film, and Before I Fall, which is essentially Groundhog Day set in high school. Neither film is expected to compete for top spot. In fact, it would be a surprise if both landed in the top five. As far as holdovers are concerned, only Get Out has a shot at $20 million, while only The Lego Batman Movie will earn more than $10 million. This weekend last year, Zootopia led the way with just over $75 million, while the other two new releases earned less than $30 million combined. 2017 will be bigger on top, won’t have as strong new releases overall, but should have about the same depth. More...

Note: This list contains actors who appeared in at least two movies in the franchise.

Note: This list contains people who contributed to at least two movies in the franchise.