|As an Actor||Supporting||20||$1,199,071,211||$1,666,370,269||$2,865,441,480|
|Lead Ensemble Member||5||$324,371,516||$443,751,998||$768,123,514|
|In Technical Roles||Executive Producer||1||$18,238,046||$4,590,545||$22,828,591|
|Best known as a Supporting Actor based on credits in that role in 20 films, with $2,865,441,480 worldwide aggregate box office (rank #319)|
|Best-Known Acting Roles: Rick Martinez (The Martian), Luis (Ant-Man), Paco Hernandez / Sheikh Abdullah (American Hustle), Trini "Gordo" Garcia (Fury), Tito (Turbo)|
|Best-Known Technical Roles: CHiPS (Executive Producer)|
|Most productive collaborators: Paul Rudd, Matt Damon, Ridley Scott, Jessica Chastain, Drew Goddard|
March 1st, 2017
February was an okay month. The films that missed expectations were mostly balanced by the films that were pleasant surprises. Unfortunately, last February was amazing as Deadpool dominated the chart, so 2017 has fallen further behind 2016 and 2016’s lead is now about $100 million. It is not so bad that a good March won’t help 2017 back into the lead. Will that happen? We have some good news and some bad news. Good news: Every week there is one movie that has at least a shot at $100 million. Two of them, Logan and Beauty and the Beast, could reach $200 million or a lot more. Bad News: last March, both Zootopia and Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice earned more than $300 million. That’s a really powerful one-two punch and I don’t think we can replicate that this time around. On the other hand, last March, the third best film of the month was 10 Cloverfield Lane, while there were four films that were expected to open wide that earned less than $10 million at the box office. 2017 likely won’t be as good at the top, but I also don’t think it will have as many bombs either. If Beauty and the Beast reaches the very high end of expectations, then 2017 could even close the gap with 2016 entirely. I’ll be happy getting halfway there.
February 3rd, 2017
A few films on this week’s list could be called the biggest limited release of the week. The Comedian is the biggest in terms of star power. Journey to the West 2 is the biggest in terms of worldwide box office. I Am Not Your Negro is the biggest in terms of Awards Season success. Journey to the West 2 should have the biggest opening, but I’m not sure if it will earn mainstream success.
January 31st, 2017
December 1st, 2016
November was good, but not great. Fortunately, 2016 had a large enough lead going into November that the month only needed to be good. In fact, it could have been mediocre and 2016 would have still had an excellent shot to end the year above 2015. As for December, it’s a race between Star Wars and Star Wars. Almost no one thinks Rogue One is going to match The Force Awakens, but if Rogue One earns just half of what The Force Awakens managed, then 2016 will come out on top in the year-over-year comparison. There are only two other films with a better than 50/50 chance of hitting $100 million, Passengers and Sing. Either one could earn second place for the month, but Passengers will likely start faster. Last December, the only other film to earn more than $100 million was Daddy’s Home, which earned just a hair over $150 million. There’s a chance both Passengers and Sing will earn more than $150 million, which would be a boon to the box office. However, Star Wars: The Force Awakens was just too strong last year and it would take a miracle for 2016 to have a stronger December. That said, it would take a complete collapse for 2016 not to top 2015 in raw dollars. The growth might not be enough to keep pace with ticket price inflation, on the other hand.
December 6th, 2015
Ant-Man had the fourth worst global box office for a film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe. It earned over $500 million and was still the fourth worst in the franchise's run. That's impressive. One of the reasons for the franchise's success is the quality. No MCU film has earned a Tomatometer Score below the overall positive level, this includes Ant-Man. Is it worthy of this? Or is this the first MCU film I didn't like?
October 18th, 2015
The Vatican Tapes is a horror film that includes elements of found footage. (It was actually originally written to be entirely found footage, but that was changed early in the production.) This genre is well off its peak in terms of popularity and even the fact that it had some connection to found footage was enough to kill its buzz. It also opened in "select cities", which is a terrible release strategy in general, and especially bad for horror films. It opened below the Mendoza Line (earning less that $2,000 per theater) before disappearing from theaters. Is it really that bad? Or did it struggle because of genre overload?
September 30th, 2014
September is over and while it got off to a bad start, a really, really, truly terrible start, it actually ended on a bit of a strong note. Granted, no film has yet to reach $100 million, but The Maze Runner and The Equalizer both could get there in the end. As for October, we might go another month without a $100 million hit. There are a couple of films that have the potential to reach the century mark, Gone Girl and Fury. Hopefully they will get there, but given the recent box office woes, it is probably best to keep expectations low. Last October, there were two films that earned more than $100 million. Bad Grandpa just made it passed that mark. On the other hand, Gravity was a monster hit earning nearly $275 million. It you compare its run to this year's batch of films, it only ranks behind Guardians of the Galaxy. ... There's no way any film opening this month is going to match that. ... There no way the top two films will match that. ... The top three films might not match that. ... 2014 is going to get crushed in the year-over-year comparison and by the end of the month, it will be safe to say its chances of ever catching up to 2013 will be over. It is going to be a depressing month.
September 5th, 2014
Awards Season starts soon. If you are a fan of limited releases, just keep repeating that. To be fair, there are two limited releases earning overwhelmingly positive reviews, No No: A Dockumentary and Wetlands, but neither are really likely to find audiences outside of the art house circuit. There are a couple films that are earning good reviews, but not great reviews. This includes God Help the Girl, which I'm rooting for, but I don't think any film here will top $10,000 on the per theater average. One last note, Forrest Gump is getting an IMAX release this weekend in 337 theaters.
July 1st, 2013
For the most part, June was a really strong month at the box office with nearly every film either matching expectations, or at least coming close enough to call it a victory. Looking forward, there are a dozen films opening wide in July, more or less. One of them, The Smurfs 2, is opening on a Wednesday, so I'm going to hold off talking about that movie till the August preview. Kevin Hart: Let Me Explain is opening in less than 1000 theaters, but it has a shot at reaching the top ten during its opening weekend. If we include both of them, there are twelve films, but I think it is better to stick with the ten truly wide, truly July openings. Of these, Despicable Me 2 is clearly going to be the biggest hit at the box office. It could become the second biggest hit of the year so far. It is not the only film that could be a $100 million hit. In fact, there are six films opening in July that I think have a better than 50% chance of reaching that level. There is currently only one film that I think won't at least become a midlevel hit. By comparison in 2012, there were three $100 million movies, led by The Dark Knight Rises, but the rest of the new releases struggled. There's no chance any movie opening this month will top $400 million, in fact, it is quite possible no film will get to $300 million. That said, 2013 has a lot better depth, so it might come out on top in the end.
January 21st, 2013
End of Watch was released in September, which is usually a terrible sign. It didn't seem like a bad movie from the trailer, and there was a lot of buzz going in, but still, that release date is usually a death sentence. Its reviews turned out to be better than expected, award-worthy, in fact. But it was only able to become a midlevel hit. Granted, it was profitable thanks to its low budget and it is one of the best runs for the studio. Will it be able to find an audience on the home market?
January 1st, 2013
December ended on a positive note with 2012 topping 2011 with a week to spare. Hopefully this will translate into strong box office numbers going forward. There are several January releases that actually look very interesting, but you always have to ask, if the films are as good as they look, why are they opening in January? The biggest hit on this list will likely not be a January release, but a limited release from December that is expanding wide in January. Zero Dark Thirty opened in limited release the Wednesday before Christmas and right away it got off to an incredible start. If it can turn some of its Awards Season nominations into wins, which seems very likely at this point, it should be the biggest hit of January. If it can earn some major Oscars, then it might crack $100 million. Unfortunately, no other film on this release list is likely to come close to the $100 million mark. Last January was unseasonably strong with three films opening with $20 million or more and four films finishing with $50 million or more. It is possible that none of the new releases will reach those relatively weak standards.
November 28th, 2012
The Independent Spirit Awards has a special place in the Awards Season. The nominations are the unoffficial start of Awards Season, but the actual awards aren't given out until Oscar weekend, so they are the beginning at the end of Awards Season. They also help out a lot of limited releases that would otherwise not get enough buzz, although they are not so good at predicting Oscar wins. This year, two films tied for most nominations, Moonrise Kingdom and The Silver Linings Playbook, both of which earned five nominations. They weren't the only films to earn multiple nominations though.
|10/6/2017||My Little Pony: The Movie||Grubber||$0||$0||$0|
|9/22/2017||The Lego Ninjago Movie||Kai||$0||$0||$0|
|10/2/2015||Hell & Back||Abigor the Demon||$157,768||$0||$157,768|
|10/2/2015||The Martian||Rick Martinez||$228,433,663||$435,418,242||$663,851,905|
|7/29/2015||Vacation||New Mexico Cop||$58,884,188||$41,771,704||$100,655,892|
|7/24/2015||The Vatican Tapes||Father Lozano||$1,784,763||$11,201,426||$12,986,189|
|10/17/2014||Fury||Trini "Gordo" Garcia||$85,755,593||$126,000,000||$211,755,593|
|3/28/2014||Cesar Chavez||Cesar Chavez||$5,571,497||$0||$5,571,497|
|12/13/2013||American Hustle||Paco Hernandez / Sheikh Abdullah||$150,117,807||$107,760,487||$257,878,294|
|1/11/2013||Gangster Squad||Officer Navidad Ramirez||$46,000,903||$58,100,000||$104,100,903|
|9/21/2012||End of Watch||Mike Zavala||$41,003,371||$16,583,235||$57,586,606|
|8/31/2012||The Good Doctor||Jimmy||$5,206||$11,242||$16,448|
|11/4/2011||Tower Heist||Enrique Dev'Reaux||$78,046,570||$75,441,402||$153,487,972|
|8/12/2011||30 Minutes or Less||Chongo||$37,053,924||$3,912,792||$40,966,716|
|5/13/2011||Everything Must Go||Detective Frank Garcia||$2,712,131||$108,879||$2,821,010|
|3/18/2011||The Lincoln Lawyer||Jesus Martinez||$58,009,200||$29,135,886||$87,145,086|
|3/11/2011||Battle: Los Angeles||Joe Rincon||$83,552,429||$129,911,547||$213,463,976|
|12/31/2009||My Son, My Son, What Have Ye Done?||$0||$0||$0|
|4/10/2009||Observe and Report||Dennis||$24,007,324||$3,141,574||$27,148,898|
|9/26/2008||The Lucky Ones||T.K.||$266,967||$0||$266,967|
|11/9/2007||Lions for Lambs||Ernest Rodriguez||$14,998,070||$48,213,018||$63,211,088|
|10/27/2006||Babel||John - Border Patrol||$34,302,837||$97,818,375||$132,121,212|
|8/9/2006||World Trade Center||Will Jimeno||$70,278,893||$93,016,761||$163,295,654|
|12/15/2004||Million Dollar Baby||Omar||$100,492,203||$131,436,024||$231,928,227|
|4/2/2004||The United States of Leland||Guillermo||$343,816||$0||$343,816|
|6/9/2000||Gone in 60 Seconds||Ignacio||$101,643,008||$131,000,000||$232,643,008|
|12/20/1996||My Fellow Americans||Ernesto||$22,331,846||$0||$22,331,846|