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18th Annual Predict the Academy Awards Competition

The polls are closed in our 18th annual Predict the Academy Awards contest, and it has turned out to be the most exciting two-horse race in the history of the contest.

After weeks of intense debate among our voters, we have a virtual tie in the biggest categories of all: Best Picture and Best Director. The predicted Best Picture winner is, in fact, a statistical dead heat. Boyhood garnered 46% of the total vote, and Birdman 45%, giving the Linklater epic the tiniest of edges.

Best Director is a clearer contest, but still close, and still a bout between Boyhood and Birdman. Richard Linklater is favorite to win Best Director, perhaps in part because he's more "due" for the award than Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu. As noted, though, "favorite" is strong, given the closeness of this category, with Linklater getting 55% of the votes and Inarritu taking a 46% share.

The other big story about this year's contest is just how much of a two-horse contest it really is. With 92% of the Best Picture vote going to Birdman and Boyhood, the remaining nominees were left to split the other 8% of the vote. American Sniper, The Grand Budapest Hotel, The Imitation Game and The Theory of Everything each gathered a handful of votes from The Numbers readers, and Selma and Whiplash are given virtually no chance at all.

How to Train Your Dragon 2 is strongly favored to win Best Animated Feature, with 73% of the votes. Big Hero 6 could pull off a surprise though, according to 21% of voters.

The acting categories have three overwhelming favorites: Julianne Moore for Best Actress, Patricia Arquette for Supporting Actress, and J.K. Simmons for Supporting Actor. Best Actor looks like another two-horse race, with Eddie Redmayne favored by 60% of voters and Michael Keaton getting a 37% vote share.

Surprisingly, neither Birdman nor Boyhood are favored for best screenplay awards. Wes Anderson is widely expected to get a consolation prize with Best Original Screenplay for The Grand Budapest Hotel. Meanwhile, Graham Moore is expected to win Best Adapted Screenplay for The Imitation Game.

As far as total Oscars is concerned, that's a tough one, given the closeness of the Best Picture and Best Director races. Going straight off of totals, and ignoring statistical ties, Boyhood is predicted to win, ending up with four Oscars (Best Picture, Best Director, Best Supporting Actress and Achievement in Film Editing), while Birdman is projected to go home with only one: for Best Cinematography. Incredibly, there’s a reasonable chance Birdman could go home with the Best Picture Oscar while failing to win in a single other category.

The other films predicted to win multiple Oscars are The Grand Budapest Hotel, tying Boyhood with four wins (Best Original Screenplay, Costume Design, Make-up and Hairstyling, and Production Design), Whiplash with two (Supporting Actor, Sound Mixing), and The Theory of Everything, also with two wins (Actor and Original Score).

A measure of how competitive the awards are this year is that there are several scenarios under which a film virtually no-one thinks will win Best Picture, The Grand Budapest Hotel, ends up with the most Oscars, and the Best Picture winner, Birdman, loses in every other category.

- Predicted winners in each category
- Predicted and actual winners in each category
- Complete vote tallies in each category

See our complete set of rules for more information.

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Nominations

To help your research, here is a complete list of nominations and our Awards Season news articles.

Best Picture
American Sniper
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash

Best Animated Feature Film
Big Hero 6
The Boxtrolls
How to Train Your Dragon 2
Song of the Sea
The Tale of the Princess Kaguya

Directing
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu
Boyhood - Richard Linklater
Foxcatcher - Bennett Miller
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Wes Anderson
The Imitation Game - Morten Tyldum

Actress in a Leading Role
Two Days, One Night - Marion Cotillard
The Theory of Everything - Felicity Jones
Still Alice - Julianne Moore
Gone Girl - Rosamund Pike
Wild - Reese Witherspoon

Actor in a Leading Role
Foxcatcher - Steve Carell
American Sniper - Bradley Cooper
The Imitation Game - Benedict Cumberbatch
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Michael Keaton
The Theory of Everything - Eddie Redmayne

Actress in a Supporting Role
Boyhood - Patricia Arquette
Wild - Laura Dern
The Imitation Game - Keira Knightley
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Emma Stone
Into the Woods - Meryl Streep

Actor in a Supporting Role
The Judge - Robert Duvall
Boyhood - Ethan Hawke
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Edward Norton
Foxcatcher - Mark Ruffalo
Whiplash - J.K. Simmons

Best Writing: Original Screenplay
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu, Nicolas Giacobone, Alexander Dinelaris, Jr. and Armando Bo
Boyhood - Richard Linklater
Foxcatcher - E. Max Frye and Dan Futterman
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Screenplay by Wes Anderson; story by Wes Anderson and Hugo Guinness
Nightcrawler - Dan Gilroy

Best Writing: Adapted Screenplay
American Sniper - Jason Hall
The Imitation Game - Graham Moore
Inherent Vice - Paul Thomas Anderson
The Theory of Everything - Anthony McCarten
Whiplash - Damien Chazelle

Foreign Language Film
Ida
Leviathan
Timbuktu
Wild Tales

Documentary Feature
CitizenFour
Finding Vivian Maier
Last Days in Vietnam
The Salt of the Earth
Virunga

Documentary Short Subject
Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Joanna
Our Curse
The Reaper (La Parka)
White Earth

Animated Short Film
The Bigger Picture
The Dam Keeper
Feast
Me and My Moulton
A Single Life

Live Action Short Film
Aya
Boogaloo and Graham
Butter Lamp (La Lampe au Beurre de Yak)
Parvaneh
The Phone Call

Achievement in Cinematography
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Emmanuel Lubezki
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Robert Yeoman
Ida - Lukasz Zal and Ryszard Lenczewski
Mr. Turner - Dick Pope
Unbroken - Roger Deakins

Achievement in Costume Design
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Milena Canonero
Inherent Vice - Mark Bridges
Into the Woods - Colleen Atwood
Maleficent - Anna B. Sheppard
Mr. Turner - Jacqueline Durran

Achievement in Film Editing
American Sniper - Joel Cox and Gary D. Roach
Boyhood - Sandra Adair
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Barney Pilling
The Imitation Game - William Goldenberg
Whiplash - Tom Cross

Achievement in Make-up and Hairstyling
Foxcatcher - Bill Corso and Dennis Liddiard
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Frances Hannon and Mark Coulier
Guardians of the Galaxy - Elizabeth Yianni-Georgiou and David White

Music: Original Score
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Alexandre Desplat
The Imitation Game - Alexandre Desplat
Interstellar - Hans Zimmer
Mr. Turner - Gary Yershon
The Theory of Everything - Johann Johannsson

Music: Original Song
The Lego Movie - Everything is Awesome, music and lyric by Shawn Patterson
Selma - Glory, music and lyric by John Stephens and Lonnie Lynn
Beyond the Lights - Grateful, music and lyric by Diane Warren
Glen Campbell: I'll Be Me - I'm Not Gonna Miss You, music and lyric by Glen Campbell and Julian Raymond
Begin Again - Lost Stars, music and lyric by Gregg Alexander and Danielle Brisebois

Achievement in Production Design
The Grand Budapest Hotel - Adam Stockhausen (Production Design); Anna Pinnock (Set Decoration)
The Imitation Game - Maria Djurkovic (Production Design); Tatiana MacDonald (Set Decoration)
Interstellar - Nathan Crowley (Production Design); Gary Fettis (Set Decoration)
Into the Woods - Dennis Gassner (Production Design); Anna Pinnock (Set Decoration)
Mr. Turner - Suzie Davies (Production Design); Charlotte Watts (Set Decoration)

Achievement in Sound Editing
American Sniper - Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Martin Hernandez and Aaron Glascock
The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies - Brent Burge and Jason Canovas
Interstellar - Richard King
Unbroken - Becky Sullivan and Andrew DeCristofaro

Achievement in Sound Mixing
American Sniper - John Reitz, Gregg Rudloff and Walt Martin
Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) - Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano and Thomas Varga
Interstellar - Gary A. Rizzo, Gregg Landaker and Mark Weingarten
Unbroken - Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montano and David Lee
Whiplash - Craig Mann, Ben Wilkins and Thomas Curley

Achievement in Visual Effects
Captain America: The Winter Soldier - Dan DeLeeuw, Russell Earl, Bryan Grill and Dan Sudick
Dawn of the Planet of the Apes - Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett and Erik Winquist
Guardians of the Galaxy - Stephane Ceretti, Nicolas Aithadi, Jonathan Fawkner and Paul Corbould
Interstellar - Paul Franklin, Andrew Lockley, Ian Hunter and Scott Fisher
X-Men: Days of Future Past - Richard Stammers, Lou Pecora, Tim Crosbie and Cameron Waldbauer



Awards News

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Original Screenplay

February 17, 2015

The Grand Budapest Hotel poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two writing categories, starting with Best Original Screenplay. This is actually a two-horse race and for once, I'd be happy with either of the two leading contenders winning. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Adapted Screenplay

February 17, 2015

The Imitation Game poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two writing categories, ending with Best Adapted Screenplay. This is also a two-horse race, but one of the horses has a significant, but not insurmountable lead. More...

2014 - Awards Season: WGA - Winners

February 14, 2015

The Grand Budapest Hotel poster

The Writers Guild of America winners were just announced and there wasn't a lot of surprises to talk about, but enough interesting things happened that it wasn't boring. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Lead Actor

February 13, 2015

The Theory of Everything poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two leading actor categories, finishing with Best Lead Actor. As I previously mentioned, three of the four actor races are not even close; however, this is the one exception and there is a two-horse race to pay attention to. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Lead Actress

February 13, 2015

Still Alice poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two leading actor categories, starting with Best Lead Actress. One actress is so far ahead of the rest of the field that there isn't even a consensus on who the second place actress should be. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Supporting Actress

February 12, 2015

Boyhood poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two supporting actor categories, starting with Best Supporting Actress. Three of the four acting categories have almost no suspense to them, as there is an overwhelming favorite amongst the five nominees. This is not the exception. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Supporting Actor

February 12, 2015

Whiplash poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at the two supporting actor categories, finishing with Best Supporting Actor. Like the Best Supporting Actress category, Best Supporting Actor isn't even close and one of the five nominees is absolutely running away with things. More...

2014 - Awards Season: BAFTA - Winners

February 8, 2015

The Grand Budapest Hotel poster

The BAFTA winners were announced on Sunday and there were a few surprises, including the number one winner. The Grand Budapest Hotel took home five awards, while Boyhood, The Theory of Everything, and Whiplash earned three each. More...

2014 - Awards Season: DGA - Winners

February 7, 2015

Birdman poster

The Directors Guild of America were handed out Saturday night and the number surprises was... well, none. Birdman was expected to win and it did, while CitizenFour is rapidly becoming the Oscar-favorite. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Feature-Length Animated Film

February 4, 2015

How to Train Your Dragon 2 poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at Best Feature-Length Animated Film. For a while, it looked like The LEGO Movie would be the favorite to win the Oscar, then it wasn't even nominated. Because of that, it is a little hard to know what will happen going forward. There is one film that looks to be the favorite, but that was true before the nominations and nearly every expert got it wrong before. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Feature-Length Documentary

February 3, 2015

CitizenFour poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at Best Feature-Length Documentary. This category had a lot of surprises throughout the nomination process; however, now that we have our five Oscar nominees, it seems like one of them has really settled into first place, while one of the other four might make it a two-horse race. On a side note, there are five major awards that we track that have a Documentary category. Of those, only one has announced its winners and none of the Oscar-nominated films won. More...

2014 - Awards Season: SAG - Winners

January 26, 2015

Birdman poster

The Screen Actors Guild winners were announced Sunday and there were some surprises, mostly in the negative. Birdman picked up the biggest prize, but there were six different winners in the six categories.

More...

2014 - Awards Season: PGA - Winners

January 25, 2015

Birdman poster

The Producers Guild of America handed out their awards last night and there weren't many surprises to discuss. In fact, the favorite won all three theatrical awards, starting with... More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscars - Nominations

January 17, 2015

Birdman poster

The Oscar nominations were announced early in the morning, when all sensible people were asleep. There were some surprises, as well as some results that would have been surprises had it not been for the previous Awards Season nominations. Seventeen films earned two or more nods, led by Birdman and The Grand Budapest Hotel, both of which picked up nine nominations, while The Imitation Game was right behind with eight. More...

2014 - Awards Season: DGA - Nominations

January 15, 2015

Birdman poster

The Directors Guild of America were the last major Awards Season group to hand out their nominations and did so over two days this week. Not surprisingly, for the most part, the same group of films appear on this list as have appeared on the rest of the Awards Season nominations. Birdman, Boyhood, and The Imitation Game all make appearances, More...

2014 - Awards Season: Golden Globes - Winners

January 12, 2015

Boyhood poster

We are still waiting for the DGA nominations to be announced, but we had the first major awards show on Sunday. The Golden Globes winners were announced Sunday night and while there were not a lot of surprises, there are some things worth talking about. Leading the way with three wins was Boyhood, while Birdman and The Theory of Everything each picked up a pair of wins. More...

2014 - Awards Season: BAFTA - Nominations

January 11, 2015

The Grand Budapest Hotel poster

The BAFTA nominations were announced yesterday and unlike most other Awards Season voters, the BAFTA voters gave us some real surprises. For instance, Birdman didn't lead the way. In fact, it was a comedy, The Grand Budapest Hotel, that earned the most nominations at 11. Granted, Birdman and The Theory of Everything were tied for second place with ten each, but it is still strange to see a comedy leading the way. More...

2014 - Awards Season: WGA - Nominations

January 10, 2015

Boyhood poster

The Writers Guild of America nominations were latest to be announced, but were there any real surprises? Yes. Birdman didn't get a nomination, but Guardians of the Galaxy did. More on that later. Besides those two films, there are not a lot of surprises here and the usual contenders are present, including Boyhood and The Imitation Game, but there are also some other notable films missing. More...

2014 - Awards Season: PGA - Nominations

January 10, 2015

Birdman poster

The Producers Guild of America nominations were announced and there's not a lot of surprises among the three categories. Birdman, Boyhood, The Imitation Game, and others continue to get accolades, but there are also some films that are being passed over too often. More...

2014 - Awards Season: Golden Globes - Nominations

December 11, 2014

Birdman poster

The Golden Globes nominations were announced this morning, at three in the morning, because the people at Golden Globes are under the delusion that news announced at 3:00 a.m. is somehow more important if it is announced before anyone is awake. As for the actual nominations, like with the Independent Spirit Awards and the SAG nominations, Birdman led the way. It earned seven nominations, while Boyhood and The Imitation Game tied for second with five apiece. Starting to notice a pattern here? This could be a really dull Awards Season with very few surprises. On the other hand, predictable means less work for me. Plus, predictable probably means the Awards Season voters are making the right choices, as surprises usually mean someone made the wrong choice. More...

2014 - Awards Season: SAG - Nominations

December 10, 2014

Birdman poster

The Screen Actors Guild nominations were announced Wednesday morning. Are there surprises worth mentioning? Is the Oscar picture beginning to take shape? Like with the Independent Spirit Awards, Birdman led the way this time earning four nominations from six categories, while Boyhood, The Imitation Game, and The Theory of Everything had three nods each.

More...

2014 - Awards Season: Independent Spirit Awards - Nominations

December 6, 2014

Birdman poster

The Independent Spirit Awards nominations were announced last week and I'm getting to them a little late, because I needed to organize the whole Awards Season stories. Firstly, I've decided to use the year the movies were released not the year the awards are handed out, unlike what we did last year. This means both will have 2014 as the year. Not ideal, but it is better to fix the mistake now than carry on making it. Secondly, the headlines are just going to be the name of the Awards and either nominations or winners. This will make it easier for readers to find later on. As for the Independent Spirit Awards nominations, Birdman led the way with 6 nods, while Boyhood, Nightcrawler, and Selma were right behind with 5 each.

More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Ceremony Live Blog - And the Oscar goes to... 12 Years a Slave

March 2, 2014

The Oscars are being handed out this evening and as usual, we will be live-blogging the event. Here's the last look at the nominations with those chosen by our contest entrants as the likely winners in Bold. If I disagree with the consensus, they are in italics, and sharp-eyed readers will note there are no categories where that's true. Finally, if I am rooting for an underdog, they are underlined. There are only two categories where that is true. I want Chiwetel Ejiofor to win Best Lead Actor for his performance in 12 Years a Slave. I also want Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa to win for Best Hair and Make-up, because Dallas Buyers Club had a hair and make-up budget of $250. Yes it was effective, but the special effects make-up used in Bad Grandpa was just more difficult to pull off, even if the movie wasn't Oscar-bait. Regardless, I don't expect there to be many surprises at this year's awards. More...

2014 - Awards Season: Slave Top Winners at Spirit Awards

March 2, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

Independent Spirit Award handed out the hardware last night and the big winner was 12 Years a Slave, which picked up five of the seven awards it was nominated for. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Picture

February 27, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. We wrap up our look at the prestigious categories with the most prestigious of them all: Best Picture. Like last year, there were nine nominees. Unlike last year, none of them were completely out of left field. That's not to say they all have a legitimate shot at winning; there's definitely a favorite. However, politics could become an issue. I don't mean politics as in Democrat vs. Republican. I mean behind-the-scenes issues might play a bigger role than what is on the screen. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Director

February 27, 2014

Gravity poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we end this with the two most prestigious awards, starting with Best Director. You could generously call this a two-horse race, but in reality there is only one director expected to win. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Adapted Screenplay

February 25, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we will look at the two writing categories, ending with Best Adapted Screenplay. This race is about as uncompetitive as it can be with nearly all analysts agreeing on the likely winner. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Original Screenplay

February 25, 2014

Her poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we will look at the two writing categories, starting with Best Original Screenplay. This race is twice as competitive as the Best Adapted Screenplay, by that I mean it is a two-way race for the Oscar and not a runaway race. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Lead Actress

February 20, 2014

Blue Jasmine poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. This week we will look at the four acting categories, finishing with Best Lead Actress. Unlike last year, this year the race is far more competitive in nearly all of the of the four acting categories this year. The person seen as the favorite has switched, more than once, and at the moment, I'm not sure who is going to win. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Lead Actor

February 20, 2014

Dallas Buyers Club poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. This week we will look at the four acting categories, continuing with Best Lead Actor. Like last year, this category is not truly competitive with one nominee way out ahead according to experts. And also like last year, I'm supporting an underdog. (In fact, I'm cheering for two underdogs.) More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Supporting Actor

February 18, 2014

Dallas Buyers Club poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. This week we will look at the four acting categories, continuing with Best Lead Actor. This is one of the least competitive races this year. One actor has consistently pulled in win after win and I would be shocked if Oscar night wasn't the same. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Supporting Actress

February 18, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. This week we will look at the four acting categories, starting with Best Supporting Actress, which is again not a very competitive category this year. I'm not saying it is impossible for upset to happen here, but it is very, very unlikely. (On a side note, except for changing the links and using another poster, this is an exact cut and paste from last year. This category is slightly more competitive that last year, but not by enough to matter.) More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Feature-Length Documentary

February 15, 2014

The Act of Killing poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at Best Feature-Length Documentary, which is probably the hardest category to predict, because some of the previous winners of major awards were not even nominated for an Oscar. When the nominations were this unpredictable, the winner could be any of the five films. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Best Animated Feature

February 15, 2014

Frozen poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Today we look at Best Animated Feature Film, which looked like it would be competitive for most of the year, then Frozen came out and instantly became the favorite. Is it the favorite? Or is there a dark horse out there? More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscar Highlight: Schedule

February 15, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

With our annual Oscar Prediction contest underway, now is the best time to look at the nominees and try and figure out who the favorites are and which films should just feel honored to be nominated. Over the next two weeks, we will be looking at the ten most prestigious categories starting with...

More...

2014 Awards Season: WGA: A.I. and Pirates Told the Right Stories

February 1, 2014

Stories We Tell poster

WGAs handed out their awards on Saturday and depending on who you talk to, there were a couple of major upsets. There was certainly at least one upset, but the other awards are less surprising. More...

2014 Awards Season: DGA: Gravity adds Weight to its Oscar Chances

January 26, 2014

Gravity poster

The Directors Guild of America handed out the awards over the weekend, including two for theatrical releases. There were no true upsets, but it didn't go exactly as I anticipated it would go. More...

2014 Awards Season: PGA Produces a Rare Tie

January 20, 2014

Gravity poster

Producers Guild of America handed out their awards last night and while there were no real upsets, there was certainly a surprise for the top prize. More...

2014 Awards Season: SAG is a Buyer's Market

January 19, 2014

Dallas Buyers Club poster

SAG handed out their awards last night, and while there were not many surprises, there was one major upset, at least in my mind. Dallas Buyers Club led the way with two wins, making it the new Oscar favorite. More...

2014 Awards Season: PGA Buries the Lead

January 19, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

Producers Guild of America announce the winners tonight, but it seems I forgot to upload the story when they announced their nominations. In my defense, they announced them on January 2nd. You don't make an announcement on January 2nd, not unless you are trying to bury a story. As for the actual nominations, there are very few differences between this group and others, except when it comes to documentaries. Then again, that's been the norm this year. No one seems to agree on what the best documentaries were. More...

2014 Awards Season: Oscars Understand the Gravity of the Situation

January 16, 2014

Gravity poster

The Oscar nominations were announced this morning and there are some surprises mixed in with the predictable results. Gravity and American Hustle led the way with ten nominations each while 12 Years a Slave was right behind with nine. The fact that 12 Years a Slave wasn't the leader is the first of the surprises. More...

2014 Awards Season: DGA: Telling Stories about Documentaries

January 14, 2014

Stories We Tell poster

The Directors Guild of America finished its theatrical nominations yesterday with the Documentary category. I'm of two minds with the list of nominees. On the one hand, I feel like I should be surprised, because a number of documentaries thought to be Oscar favorites were left off the list. On the other hand, they've been left off the list a number of times. I think it is time to rethink who is and is not an Oscar favorite. More...

2014 Awards Season: Golden Globes: All American Night

January 13, 2014

American Hustle poster

Hollywood Foreign Press Association handed out the Golden Globe awards last night, and there were a few surprises in the mix. American Hustle led the way with three wins, which isn't a real surprise, but I think many thought another film would lead with three or more wins. The only other film to earn more than one award was Dallas Buyers Club at just two. That might give you a hint at what the big surprise was. More...

2014 Awards Season: DGA Dips into Nominations

January 7, 2014

12 Years a Slave poster

The Directors Guild of America handed out their nominations for Feature Films today and will do the same for Documentaries next week. I have no idea why they do this, but it makes my job harder. Usually, I just wait till the Documentary nominations are announced, but this year I will do two stories. Next week will be mostly cut and paste job. More...

2014 Awards Season: WGA: Nominees Have Stories to Tell

January 5, 2014

Stories We Tell poster

WGAs announced their nominations this weekend and there were a couple of surprises to talk about. The top of that list is 12 Years a Slave, which was deemed ineligible because it wasn't written under WGA jurisdiction. This makes using the WGAs as an Oscar guide less reliable. On the other hand, several Oscar favorites showed up as well, including American Hustle, Nebraska, and others that have picked up major nominations this year. More...

2014 Awards Season: Slave Hustles to the Top

December 14, 2013

12 Years a Slave poster

Hollywood Foreign Press Association announced their Golden Globe nominations this week, and a clear picture is forming. 12 Years a Slave was again the recipient of the most nominations, but this time it was a tie, as it and American Hustle both grabbed seven nominations. If you look down the list of other multi-nominated films, you will find a number of familiar faces. More...

2014 Awards Season: SAG a Slave to Slave

December 14, 2013

12 Years a Slave poster

SAG handed out nominations over the week, and like with the Independent Spirit Awards, 12 Years a Slave led the way and earned four nominations. It wasn't the only film that was singled out. More...

2014 - Awards Season: Slave Earns Independence

November 28, 2013

12 Years a Slave poster

Independent Spirit Award started the Awards Season this week, handing out its nominations. 12 Years a Slave led the way with seven nominations, but it wasn't the only film to pick up multiple nominations. More...

Previous Results

Results from 2014:

- Full List of Top 200 Players in 2014
- All-Time Top 200 Players
- Our full list of predicted winners in 2014
- Our predictions compared to the actual winners in 2014
- Complete vote tallies in each category

Results from 2013:

- Top 200 Players in 2013
- Analysis: Argo Predicted as Best Picture, Awards to Be Spread Far and Wide
- Votes in Each Category
- Predicted Winners in Each Category

Results from 2012:

- Complete vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Top 50 Players in 2012
- Top Players of All Time

Results from 2011:

- Complete vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Top 50 Players in 2011

Results from 2010:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete vote tallies from The Numbers readers in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Top 50 Players in 2010

Results from 2009:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete vote tallies from The Numbers readers in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Top 50 Players in 2009

Results from 2007:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete Numbers vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Top 50 Players in 2007

Results from 2006:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete Numbers vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Our announcement of the winner

Results from 2005:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete Numbers vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.
- Our announcement of the winner

Results from 2004:

- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete Numbers vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.

Results from 2003:
- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.

Results from 2002:
- The actual Oscar winners.
- Complete vote tallies in each category.
- Our list of predicted winners.