The Numbers News - November 2019

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Friday Estimates: Frozen II in the Black on Black Friday

November 30, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II remains on pace to top expectations and set a couple of Thanksgiving weekend records. It should earn both the three-day and the five-day records. In fact, with a Friday haul of $34.03 million, it is on pace for about $85 million from Friday through Sunday, meaning its three-day Thanksgiving weekend won’t be too far behind the first Frozen’s five-day Thanksgiving weekend haul of $93.59 million. Even with weaker legs thanks to weaker reviews, a lower A minus CinemaScore, and being a sequel, it is still on pace to top its predecessor and hit $400 million domestically with ease. More...

Daily Box Tracking: Catching Fire Melts Frozen, but Frozen Still on Record Pace

November 29, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II slipped faster than anticipated on Thursday, pulling in $14.72 million. Family films tend to fall faster on Thanksgiving Thursday, because families spend time with each other rather than going to the theaters, but I was hoping it wouldn’t fall quite this fast. Frozen II fell fast enough that the more adult oriented The Hunger Games: Catching Fire remains the Biggest Thursday in November, albeit by a very close margin. Furthermore, the film is still well ahead of our prediction, helping it crack $200 million domestically on Thursday. Projections have the film destroying the 5-Day Thanksgiving record, with $130 million, maybe more, so there’s plenty to celebrate. As for the film’s long term chances, it doesn’t have any direct competition until Christmas Day, so it will have no trouble remaining in wide release until the New Year. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: These Limited Releases will Never Surrender

November 29, 2019

The Two Popes

Thanksgiving is one of the biggest weekends for wide releases, but it is a terrible week for limited releases. If I kept my usual rule about minimum number of reviews to be on this list, then there would be just a handful of films to talk about. Fortunately, all of them are worth checking out. The Two Popes is the biggest in terms of buzz, but its limited theatrical release window will keep it from doing particularly well in theaters. I’m most interested in Never Surrender: A Galaxy Quest Documentary, but I hope The Body Remembers When the World Broke Open does very well. More...

Daily Box Tracking: Frozen Fills Up on Wednesday, Knives Out Opens on the Up and Up

November 28, 2019

Frozen II

After breaking the record for Biggest Monday of November and the Biggest Tuesday of November, Frozen II had to settle for second place for the Biggest Wednesday of November, as it earned $23.78 million on Wednesday. This puts it just shy of The Matrix Revolutions’s record of $24.31 million; however, that was The Matrix Revolutions’ opening day, so I think it is safe to assume Frozen II will be back on top on Thursday. Furthermore, this puts the film on pace to top our prediction by a substantial margin. In fact, it looks like it will top its three-day opening weekend over the five-day Thanksgiving weekend. It’s chances of matching its predecessor have increased dramatically. More...

Theater Averages: Frozen Floats on Water

November 28, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II led the way on yet another chart, this time the theater average chart, earning an average of $29,339 during its opening weekend. Dark Waters was right behind with an average of $25,652 in four theaters, which does suggest at least some potential to expand. Jay and Silent Bob Reboot continues its impressive road show run earning an average of $16,140 in five theaters. Citizen K was the final film in the $10,000 club with an opening of $10,571 in its lone theater. More...

International Box Office: Frozen II Puts a Chill on the Competition

November 27, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II dominated the international box office the way few films manage, earning $228.2 million in 37 markets for a worldwide debut of $358.2 million. This includes a $54.38 million debut in China, which is more than the second place film earned on the worldwide chart. In fact, the movie earned more in South Korea with a total opening of $32.31 million on 2,648 screens, including $28.10 million over the weekend than the second place film on the worldwide chart earned. In the U.K., it pulled in $19.36 million in 671 theaters, while it also cracked $10 million in both Germany ($14.9 million) and France ($13.4 million). Furthermore, the film has yet to open in Italy, Russia, Australia, and Brazil, so it isn’t done yet and should remain on top of the chart for a few weeks. More...

New at The Numbers: Sortable Credit Tables (+ New Feature Recap!)

November 27, 2019

The Numbers Acting Technical Sorting

Our latest site improvement is the ability to sort the columns on the Acting Credits and Technical Credits tables. These tables now allow you to arrange in ascending or descending order an actor or crew member's filmography by release date, title, role, domestic box office, international box office, and worldwide box office.

To find a specific person's page, simply use the Search bar or go to a film's main page and click the Cast & Crew tab. Click on the person's name and then the Acting Credits tab or Technical Credits tab. There will be separate tables for each type of acting role and type of technical credit along with links to the latest acting and technical box office record lists. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Audiences be Thankful this Thanksgiving?

November 27, 2019

Frozen II

There are two wide releases this Thanksgiving, both of which are earning stellar reviews. Unfortunately, only one of those two films, Knives Out, is expected to make any real impact at the box office. Queen and Slim is just hoping to reach the top five. That said, both films will be crushed by Frozen II, which broke records last weekend and it is expected to have a strong hold during the holidays. This weekend last year was the weekend after Thanksgiving and the biggest new release was The Possession of Hannah Grace. Queen and Slim should top that at the box office. In fact, Knives Out might top Ralph Breaks the Internet’s sophomore stint, so even without Frozen II, the weekend would be looking good. 2019 might do well enough on the year-over-year competition that it will save November and give the year a real shot at ending on a strong note. More...

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker “Fate” TV Spot

November 27, 2019

The sci-fi saga reaches its climax on December 20 ... Full Movie Details.

No one’s ever really gone… Rey’s journey continues and the Skywalker saga concludes. More...

2019 - Holiday Gift Guide - Part I - First-Run Releases and Franchise Box Sets

November 27, 2019

Avengers: Endgame

It's Thanksgiving weekend, which means Black Friday, Cyber Monday, and of course the first installment of our Holiday Gift Guide. This year, Thanksgiving is as late as it could have been, which means there’s no way to squeeze in four weeks of regular installments of the gift guide, as well as the December monthly preview, etc. So we are going to have a condensed list this year. That said, there weren’t a ton of first-run releases that would have made this list regardless. More...

Home Market Releases for November 26th, 2019

November 27, 2019

MST3K

It is an even worse week on the home market than it was last week. There are two Pick of the Week contenders, MST3K: The Gauntlet and RoboCop: Limited Edition Collector’s Set. The latter has far more extras, but it has also been released on the home market far too many times. It’s not even the first time it has come out on Blu-ray. It was still a very close competitoion, but in the end, MST3K won the title of Pick of the Week. More...

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker “Legacy” TV Spot

November 26, 2019

The sci-fi nonology reaches its climax on December 20 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Holiday Theater Counts: Two Wide Releases Make Their Debut But Frozen II Holds on as the Week’s Widest

November 26, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II retains its position as the widest release going in to Thanksgiving, despite two midweek newcomers: Knives Out, which opens in 3,391, and Queen & Slim, in 1,625 locations. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Frozen has Fantastic Opening with $130.26 million

November 26, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II beat expectations over the weekend, and earned several records along the way. In fact, its three-day opening of $130.26 million is better than the previous 5-day Thanksgiving weekend for an animated film, a record previously held by Frozen. The other two new releases, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood and 21 Bridges, missed expectations, but were close enough that the overall box office was very healthy. In fact, the box office rose 89% from last weekend to $204 million. This was 5.7% lower than the same weekend last year, but this weekend last year was Thanksgiving, so being down by 5.7% during a holiday misalignment is a fantastic result. We did lose the weekday holidays, so year-over-year, 2019 lost a lot of ground to 2018 and is now behind last year’s pace by 7.4% or $770 million at $9.71 billion to $10.48 billion. We should gain a lot next weekend, thanks to Thanksgiving, and by the first weekend of December, things will settle down. More...

Underwater Trailer

November 25, 2019

Sci-fi thriller starring Kristen Stewart opens January 10 ... Full Movie Details.

A crew of underwater researchers must scramble to safety after an earthquake devastates their subterranean laboratory. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: MST3K: Season 12: The Gauntlet

November 24, 2019

MST3K

MST3K revival hit Netflix last April and I loved it. Fortunately for me, enough other people loved it that it got another season, The Gauntlet. What is The Gauntlet? And why can’t I say that word without doing the silly hand jester Kinga does? I can’t answer the second question, but keep reading for the answer to the first one. More...

Weekend Estimates: Frozen II Sets Animation Records with $127 million

November 24, 2019

Frozen II

It didn’t look like Frozen II would match our $125 million prediction based on Friday’s estimate, but if weekend estimates hold, it will did so with $127.0 million. This is not only the highest opening weekend for an Animated film in November, but anytime outside of summer. This greater-than-anticipated internal multiplier stronger suggests better legs overall. It is a family film opening just before Thanksgiving, so it was expected to have long legs regardless, but its reviews and its A minus from CinemaScore were merely good and not great. Add in the sequel effect and the film leg’s wouldn’t be nearly as stunning as the first Frozen’s legs were. However, after this result, I’m a lot more confident the film will still be at least a truly wide release come January, if not a saturation level release, as its predecessor was. More...

Friday Estimates: Frozen II Sets Fire to the Record Book

November 23, 2019

Frozen II

As expected, Frozen II started with a record-breaking Friday, as the film pulled in $41.8 million during its opening day, the best day in November for an animated film. Combine this start with its reviews and its A minus from CinemaScore and the film should have decent legs. The audience reaction is a little disappointing, so I think our prediction of $125 million is unlikely. It will come close enough to become a huge hit domestically. In fact, it is on pace to smash the November 3-day weekend for an animated film by the middle of Saturday and the five-day Thanksgiving weekend for any film by the middle of Sunday, and it isn’t even Thanksgiving. Those records are currently held by The Incredibles ($70.5 million) and The Hunger Games: Catching Fire ($109.9 million). The Incredibles record will obviously be broken, but we’ll have to wait until next week to see what Thanksgiving looks like. Frozen II is the fastest-starting November animated release of all time, but I don’t think it will have the legs to catch Frozen’s domestic total, unless it is able to remain in saturation level wide release until the New Year. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Shine a Light on Dark Releases

November 22, 2019

Dark Waters

There are not a lot of limited releases on this week’s list, but a few are earning the buzz and reviews needed to find an audience in theaters. This includes Dark Waters, the biggest release of the week, as well as Varda by Agnès, which could become a breakout hit for a documentary. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Frozen Gets Off to a Hot Start

November 22, 2019

Frozen II

Frozen II is giving box office watchers a reason to celebrate after earning $8.5 million during its previews on Thursday, setting the record for an animated film in November. This is not as much as The Lion King ($23 million) or Toy Story 4 ($12 million) made during their previews, but those two films opened during summer holidays and family films’ performances during previews is proportional to the number of kids who are on holidays. A better comparison is Aladdin, which earned $7 million during its previews back in May before the vast majority of kids were out of school. It turned that preview into an opening weekend haul of $91 million. This film does have better reviews and I think there isn’t much difference between a sequel and a remake when it comes to legs, so that should help this film’s legs. I’m cautiously optimistic that the film will match our $125 million weekend prediction. We will know more when we get Friday’s estimates. More...

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker TV Spot

November 22, 2019

The sci-fi nonology reaches its climax on December 20 ... Full Movie Details. More...

2020 - Awards Season: Independent Spirit Awards - Nominations

November 21, 2019

Uncut Gems

The Independent Spirit Awards nominations were announced and thus the 2020 Awards Season begins. There are two changes to this year’s coverage of Awards Season. Firstly, we’re going back to using the year the awards are handed out and not the year the movie came out, even though the latter makes so much more sense. We are doing this, because every one else does this and being accurate takes a back seat to being easily understood. Secondly, since the Independent Spirit Awards are not particularly good indicators of Oscar success, we are just going to do summaries and not a full list of nominees. More...

Weekend Predictions: Can Frozen Heat Up the Box Office?

November 21, 2019

Frozen II

The winter holiday season unofficially began on the first weekend of November and so far performance at the box office has been less than acceptable. That needs to—and should—turn around this weekend. According to most industry trackers, Frozen II should break records. Its reviews are far from award-worthy, but they are great for a family film. On the other hand, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood’s reviews are award-worthy and the film should have really long legs, especially if major nominations start rolling in. Finally, 21 Bridges has the weakest reviews and the lowest box office potential of the three wide releases this week. This weekend last year was led by the one-two punch of Ralph Breaks the Internet and Creed II. Frozen II should easily earn more than those two’s combined $92 million. Unfortunately, last year there were four films that topped $20 million over the weekend, while this year there will be only one. Last year’s depth will likely result in 2019 losing yet another weekend in the year-over-year competition. At least it should be close. More...

Weekend Theater Counts: Frozen II Freezes the Competition as this Week’s Widest Release

November 21, 2019

Frozen II

Our weekly theater counts article is back by popular demand. We’ll be publishing this every Thursday, in the early afternoon, Pacific Time, and updating the article as new reports come in from the studios on Thursday and Friday.

Frozen II tops this week’s wide releases in a blockbuster 4,440 theaters, while Ford v Ferrari comes in second. More...

Call of the Wild Trailer

November 21, 2019

Adventure starring Harrison Ford February 21 ... Full Movie Details.

A sled dog struggles for survival in the Alaskan wild. More...

Theater Averages: Making Waves

November 20, 2019

Waves

Waves led the way on the theater average chart with an opening weekend average of $33,583 in four theaters. Jay and Silent Bob Reboot was in second place with an average of $16,899 in ten theaters. Its road show has been a success so far, but the film did cost $10 million to make, so it will need to continue to have strong weekend numbers for a long time to break even. Recorder: The Marion Stokes Project opened with $12,140 in its lone theater. Honey Boy fell from an average of $75,266 in four theaters to an average of just $11,957 in 17. That’s still a good average, but its odds of expanding even semi-wide have been lowered dramatically. More...

Just Mercy Trailer

November 20, 2019

Real-life drama starring Michael B. Jordan and Jamie Foxx opens December 25 ... Full Movie Details.

After graduating from Harvard, Bryan had his pick of lucrative jobs. Instead, he heads to Alabama to defend those wrongly condemned or who were not afforded proper representation, with the support of local advocate Eva Ansley. One of his first, and most incendiary, cases is that of Walter McMillian, who, in 1987, was sentenced to die for the notorious murder of an 18-year-old girl, despite a preponderance of evidence proving his innocence and the fact that the only testimony against him came from a criminal with a motive to lie. In the years that follow, Bryan becomes embroiled in a labyrinth of legal and political maneuverings and overt and unabashed racism as he fights for Walter, and others like him, with the odds—and the system—stacked against them. More...

International Box Office: Ford v Ferrari has a Closer Race Internationally

November 20, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

Ford v Ferrari opened in top spot on the international chart, just like it did domestically. However, it wasn’t nearly as dominant earning $21.4 million in 41 markets. The film wasn’t nearly as strong internationally as it was domestically in most markets, but it did do really well in Russia with an opening of $3.33 million on 1,044 screens, easily earning first place in that market. It’s wasn’t as successful in either the U.K. or France, earning $2.3 million each. On the other hand, the film wasn’t even able to crack $1 million in Spain. This is surprising, as the box office results of sports movies tend to be proportional to their popularity and this kind of auto racing is more popular internationally than it is domestically. More...

Home Market Releases for November 19th, 2019

November 19, 2019

Rock ‘n’ Roll High School

It is not a prime week on the home market with Dora and the Lost City of Gold being the biggest first run release. It is worth picking up, but not a contender for Pick of the Week. There were a lot of contenders for that title, including Cold War: The Criterion Collection, Fruits Basket: Season One, Part One, and Rock ‘n’ Roll High School: 40th Anniversary Edition. In the end, I went with Rock ‘n’ Roll High School, but all three will end up in my Blu-ray collection before long. More...

Cats Trailer 2

November 19, 2019

Musical with an ensemble cast led by Francesca Hayward, Jennifer Hudson, Taylor Swift, and Judi Dench opens December 20 ... Full Movie Details.

Over the course of a single night, a tribe of cats called the Jellicles make what is known as “the Jellicle choice” and decide which cat will ascend to the Heaviside Layer and come back to a new life. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Ford v Ferrari has no Competition at the Box Office

November 18, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

Ford v Ferrari had a good opening over the weekend, but unfortunately, it was only good and not great. Furthermore, it was the only film that had a good weekend. The other two new releases crashed and burned, while the holdovers couldn’t compensate for this weakness. The overall box office fell 11% from last weekend to just $108 million, which was 37% lower than the same weekend last year. The year-to-date numbers don’t look any better, as 2019 is now behind 2018’s pace by a margin of 6.5% or $660 million at $9.47 billion to $10.13 billion. Worse still, 2019 has fallen behind 2016’s pace. Things need to turn around and fast. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Dora and the Lost City of Gold

November 18, 2019

The Farewell

Dora and the Lost City of Gold is a live-action adaptation of a kids cartoon aimed at preschoolers. Is it going to entertain older kids who grew up on Dora the Explorer? Will it entertain adults? Or does it fall in that awkward space between those two demographics? More...

Seberg Trailer

November 18, 2019

Real-life drama starring Kristen Stewart opens December 13 ... Full Movie Details.

Seberg is a political thriller inspired by real events about the French New Wave darling and Breathless star Jean Seberg. The film focuses on Seberg in the late 1960s when she was targeted by Hoover’s FBI, because of her political and romantic involvement with civil rights activist Hakim Jamal. More...

Weekend Estimates: Ford and Ferrari v Top Five

November 17, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

If the weekend estimates hold, then Ford v Ferrari, with an estimated $31.04 million, will open with almost as much as the rest of the top five combined. A lot of time when something like this happens, it is because there’s a monster hit opening. In this case, Ford v Ferrari will need strong legs just to top its production budget and hit $100 million at the box office and it is dominating the box office due to really weak competition. Fortunately, the film should have strong legs thanks to its reviews and its A plus from CinemaScore. The film is not doing as well internationally with an opening of $21.4 million in 41 markets. This includes a $3.2 million debut in Russia and $2.3 million debuts in the U.K. and France. If the film can earn some Awards Season buzz, then it could have the legs to get to $250 million worldwide, which should be enough to break even sometime during its home market run. More...

Friday Estimates: Ford v Ferrari Laps the Competition

November 16, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

Ford v Ferrari is going to dominate the weekend chart. In fact, it earned more on Friday than the second place film is expected to earn during the full weekend. The film pulled in $10.94 million during its opening day, putting it on pace for $30 million over the full weekend, which is significantly ahead of our prediction. Its reviews and its A plus from CinemaScore should result in stellar word-of-mouth. It might even do well during Awards Season, although if it does win any Oscars, I think it will be limited to technical categories. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Getting Lost in the Crowd

November 15, 2019

I Lost My Body

It is not a terribly busy week for limited releases, not unless you are talking about documentaries. There are a few that have a real shot at opening well, including The Report and Waves, but it’s I Lost My Body that I’m the most interested in. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Ferrari gets off to a Fast Start

November 15, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

Ford v Ferrari opened with $2.1 million from its Thursday previews, which is on par with predictions. Its prospects for the weekend still depend on how well its overwhelmingly positive reviews translate into long legs. It’s still too early to revise my $24 million prediction. More...

The Song of Names Trailer

November 15, 2019

Drama starring Tim Roth and Clive Owen opens December 25 ... Full Movie Details.

Martin Simmonds has been haunted throughout his life by the mysterious disappearance of his “brother” and extraordinary best friend, a Polish Jewish virtuoso violinist, Dovidl Rapaport, who vanished shortly before the 1951 London debut concert that would have launched his brilliant career. Thirty-five years later, Martin discovers that Dovidl may still be alive, and sets out on an obsessive intercontinental search to find him and learn why he left. More...

Weekend Predictions: Can Ford get the Pole Position on the Angels?

November 14, 2019

Ford v Ferrari

There are three wide releases coming out this week and at the moment, all three of them have positive reviews. Unfortunately, that’s the end of the good news. Ford v Ferrari is the best new release of the week and should have no trouble earning first place on the box office. On the other hand, the film cost nearly $100 million to make, so it will likely struggle to break even any time soon. Charlie’s Angels cost half as much to make, but it is also on track to open with about half as much. The Good Liar is the smallest of the three new films and, with a more mature target audience, it is unlikely to have a big opening. Worse still, it is likely all three new releases this week will earn less than Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald opened with this weekend last year. 2019 is going to take another beating in the year-over-year competition and it might even be worse than last weekend was. More...

Theater Averages: Honey is in the Money

November 14, 2019

Honey Boy

Honey Boy easily led the way on the theater average chart earning just over $300,000 in four theaters for an average of $75,266. Jay and Silent Bob Reboot was way back with an average of $15,613 in 15 theaters during its fourth week of release. Granted, it is a road show with greatly inflated ticket prices, but it also has very limited showings, so this is a fantastic run. The final film in the $10,000 club was Better Days with an opening weekend of nearly $1 million in 70 theaters for an average of $14,136. More...

Weekend Theater Counts: Doctor Sleep Takes Over as this Week’s Widest Release

November 14, 2019

Doctor Sleep

Our weekly theater counts article is back by popular demand. We’ll be publishing this every Thursday, in the early afternoon, Pacific Time, and updating the article as new reports come in from the studios on Thursday and Friday.

Doctor Sleep tops this week’s wide releases, while Ford v Ferrari follows close behind. More...

International Box Office: Terminator Tops Production Budget Worldwide

November 14, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

Terminator: Dark Fate will lose money. That is almost guaranteed at this point. However, it did manage to top its production budget at the worldwide box office in just its third weekend of release, meaning it is going to save face, mostly. The film earned $29.9 million in 53 markets over the weekend for totals of $150.9 million internationally and $199.4 million worldwide. This includes a $6.0 million opening in Japan; however, the film opened on Friday and not Saturday, which is the usual opening day in that market. That was still enough for first place over the two-day weekend and more than it made here, given the relative size of the two markets. It also opened in first place in Taiwan with $1.1 million over the three-day weekend and $1.4 million including Thursday. The film’s biggest market remains China, where the film earned $7.21 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $45.85 million. More...

The Spongebob Movie: Sponge on the Run Trailer

November 14, 2019

Animated adventure opens May 22, 2020 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Home Market Releases for November 12th, 2019

November 14, 2019

Star Trek: Discovery: Season Two

There are not many new releases on this week’s list, but there are several that are contenders for Pick of the Week. The two leading contenders are The Farewell and Star Trek: Discovery: Season Two. The former is the better show, but it is close, meanwhile, the latter has much better extras, giving it the slight advantage overall. On a side note, Yesterday Was a Lie was also in the competition for Pick of the Week. It didn’t quite win, but its Blu-ray deserves to be seen by a lot more people. More...

New at The Numbers: More Box Office Chart Improvements

November 13, 2019

The Numbers New Theater Count Change

We enjoy all the ideas that have been flooding our inbox, and are pleased to announce a few more chart improvements based on user suggestions. The first update is that changes in theater count can now be seen on our weekend chart and weekly chart.

A lot of users praised our new sortable charts, and we’ve made all of them even easier to share by saving the ordering in the URL. Just sort the chart however you want—for example, the films with the best theater average for the weekend, the greatest weekly change in theater count or the top opening weekends of a franchise—and copy and paste the URL from the top of the browser window to wherever you want to post, save, or share it.

Finally, our daily chart on the home page now clearly displays the weekly change in box office for all movies. More...

Fantasy Island Trailer

November 13, 2019

Horror movie starring Michael Peña and Lucy Hale opens February 14 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: The Farewell

November 12, 2019

The Farewell

The Farewell opened in limited release this past summer and earned nearly perfect reviews and became one of the biggest limited release hits of the year. Its success does create a lot of expectations. Can it live up to these high expectations? Or is it better to have a more cautious approach to the film? More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: The Box Office is in a Deep Sleep

November 12, 2019

Midway

It was a weekend to forget with the four new releases earning significantly less than The Grinch opened with last year. Still, the four new releases took the to four spots, meaning there were no powerful holdovers to make up the difference. Midway was the best of the bunch, while Playing with Fire was the biggest positive surprise. Unfortunately, Doctor Sleep missed expectations by a larger margin than those two films beat our predictions, so the good news was drowned out by the bad. Overall, the box office was 5.9% higher than last weekend at $121 million. This is not a reason to celebrate, as last weekend was arguably Halloween weekend, which is one of the worst weekends of the year. More importantly, the weekend was behind the same weekend last year by 28%. 2019 is now behind 2018’s pace by 5.9% or $580 million at $9.32 billion to $9.90 billion. However, and this is important, as bad as 2019 has been doing, we are still ahead of 2017’s pace, both in terms of raw dollars and ticket sales, so there’s no need to panic. While we would prefer to set records every year, being the second best year at the box office is still worth celebrating. More...

Sonic the Hedgehog Trailer 2

November 12, 2019

Adventure starring Ben Schwartz, James Marsden and Jim Carrey opens February 14 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Star Trek: Discovery: Season Two

November 11, 2019

Star Trek: Discovery: Season Two

I really liked the first season of Star Trek: Discovery and thought it was the best first season of any Star Trek series since the original. Was the show able to grow and improve? Or did it peak out of the gate? More...

SCOOB! Trailer

November 11, 2019

Animated adventure with the voices of Will Forte and Frank Welker opens May 15, 2020 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Estimates: Midway Overcomes the Odds to Come out on Top

November 10, 2019

Midway

Midway wasn’t supposed to be a major hit, and it won’t be, but, sadly for all the other new films, it is opening in first place at the box office. In fact, its weekend estimate is $17.49 million, which is less than 10% above our prediction, but it was able to earn first place with relative ease. The film only managed mixed reviews, but it did earn an A-rating from CinemaScore. Additionally, there are holidays coming up, so it could have surprisingly long legs. The film also opened in China with $4.48 million. It’s hard to use this result as a guide for other markets, as there haven’t been enough American-centric war movies released in China to compare against. More...

Friday Estimates: Midway is the High Point of the Weekend

November 9, 2019

Midway

Midway made a surprisingly strong debut to earn first place on Friday with an estimated $6.34 million. Its reviews have improved and are currently 40% positive. Granted, this isn’t great, or even merely good, but it is also not so bad that it will be a major drag at the box office. Furthermore, the film scored a solid A-rating from CinemaScore, indicating its target audience loved the movie, especially compared to critics. Add in a more mature target audience and the film should have solid legs, helping it earn close to $18 million during its opening weekend. Granted, the film cost $50 million to make, so it will still need help internationally and on the home market to break even after a start like this, but this is still much better than most people were expecting. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: As Sweet as Honey

November 8, 2019

Honey Boy

It is not a good week for limited releases. There were so few films that had 10 or more reviews that I had to bend the normal rule and even then, there are only nine films on the main list. Of these, Honey Boy easily has the best chance of box office success. However, I’m also interested in Good Girls Get High, KonoSuba - God’s Blessing on the Stupidly Long Name, and The Kingmaker. Let’s hope they all find audiences. More...

Thursday Previews: Doctor Sleep Hits the Snooze Alarm

November 8, 2019

Doctor Sleep

It looks like it could be a slow weekend at the box office. Doctor Sleep only managed $1.5 million during its previews, which is lower than anticipated. There are some reasons to be optimistic. Firstly, it does have the best reviews of the four new releases and this is technically a long weekend, as Veteran's Day is on Monday. On the other hand, I was expecting closer to $2 million during its previews. More...

Can Doctor Sleep Wake Up the Box Office?

November 7, 2019

Doctor Sleep

It is not a banner week for stellar new releases. Doctor Sleep is earning good reviews, but not great reviews. Sadly, it is award-worthy compared to most of the other new releases. Last Christmas is earning mixed reviews, but that’s to be expected for a romantic comedy. The less said about Midway or Playing with Fire’s reviews, the better. This weekend last year, The Grinch opened with $67 million, which is likely more than all four new films will open with this year. In fact, last year’s number two film, Bohemian Rhapsody, will likely earn more than any one film will earn this year. 2019 is going to take a beating in the year-over-year competition. More...

Weekend Theater Counts: Terminator: Dark Fate Remains the Widest Release

November 7, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

Our weekly theater counts article is back by popular demand. We’ll be publishing this every Thursday, in the early afternoon, Pacific Time, and updating the article as new reports come in from the studios on Thursday and Friday.

This week, Terminator: Dark Fate retains its spot as the top wide release, while Doctor Sleep comes in at second in its debut. More...

The Photograph Trailer

November 7, 2019

Romantic drama starring Issa Rae and Lakeith Lee Stanfield opens February 14 ... Full Movie Details.

A love story about forgiveness, and about finding the courage to seek the truth, no matter where it may lead you. More...

Theater Averages: The Irishman Enters Witness Protection

November 7, 2019

The Irishman

It appears Netflix will not be reporting box office numbers for The Irishman. We’ve seen reports by third parties that the film earned $350,000 in eight theaters for an opening weekend average of $43,750. The only confirmed member of the $10,000 club was Jay and Silent Bob Reboot, which earned an average of $15,097 in 15 theaters. However, it is a roadshow tour and ticket prices for some shows are greatly inflated. This is still an impressive number, but don’t expect it to expand truly wide. More...

New at The Numbers: New and Improved Box Office Charts

November 6, 2019

The Numbers New Box Office Chart

Our redesigned box office charts have a new easier to read look and sortable columns. Now the chart can be sorted in many ways, like bringing the new releases to the top of the list or arranging the films by descending average theater gross. This feature can be used on our Daily charts, Weekend charts, and Weekly charts.

Links to all of our charts can be found under Quick Links on the right side of most pages or under the Box Office tab at the top of the page. More...

International Box Office: Terminator Cracks Century Mark in its Worldwide Debut

November 6, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

Terminator: Dark Fate cracked the $100 million mark worldwide during its first weekend. $101.9 million to be more precise, giving it an early total of $123.6 million so far. Sadly, this is just $72.9 million internationally in 48 markets and that’s just not enough given the film’s production budget. Its biggest market was China, where it opened in second place with $26.84 million over the weekend for a total opening of $28.58 million. The film debuted in first place in South Korea with $7.19 million on 1,315 theaters over the weekend for a total opening of $9.79 million. Had the movie merely cost $100 million, then I would be a lot more happy with this result, but the movie cost a lot more than that and needs close to $500 million worldwide to break even any time soon. I just don’t see that happening. More...

Home Market Releases for November 5th, 2019

November 6, 2019

Good Omens

Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw is easily the biggest release of the week, but it is not the best. Pick of the Week contenders include Galaxy Quest and Good Omens, as well as Alice, Sweet Alice, which arrived late. I’m going with Good Omens, but all three are must haves. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

November 5, 2019

Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw

Fast and the Furious is one of the largest franchises around with the nine installments so far earning nearly $6 billion worldwide. However, it appears to be off its peak as far as ticket sales are concerned with Hobbs & Shaw having the lowest box office haul since Fast Five exploded the franchise into the top-tier. Is the franchise off its peak in terms of quality as well? If so, is Hobbs & Shaw still worth checking out? Or is it time for fans to move on? More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Dark Fate Might have Terminated the Franchise

November 5, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

It was a bad weekend at the box office, with Terminator: Dark Fate missing expectations by a significant degree. Harriet was able to beat expectations, but it wasn’t enough to truly compensate. Furthermore, Arctic Dogs and Motherless Brooklyn were practically non-factors at the box office. The box office did grow 9.5% from last weekend reaching $115 million. More importantly, this was 21% lower than this weekend last year. 2019’s deficit grew to 5.6% or $540 million and is now behind 2018’s pace by $9.15 billion to $9.70 billion. It is important to point out that while 2019 is being crushed by 2018, it is still on pace to be the second largest box office of all time, while its ticket sales are better than 2017’s pace, so as disappointing as the year as been so far, there are still reasons to celebrate. More...

Weekend Estimates: Terminator Tops Chart, but is Far from Lethal

November 3, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

As expected, Terminator: Dark Fate is going to open in first place over the weekend. Unfortunately, it is failing to match even the low end of expectations with an estimate of $29 million during its opening weekend. Its reviews and its B plus from CinemaScore are not great, but they are better than this opening. The film is doing much better internationally with an estimated $$72.9 million debut, including an estimated $30 million opening in China. However, that’s not enough. The film needs close to $500 million worldwide to break even and since the only major market left to debut in is Japan, it’s not going to get there. More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Alice, Sweet Alice: Special Edition

November 3, 2019

Alice, Sweet Alice

Alice, Sweet Alice came out in 1976 and is considered by many to be a proto-teenage slasher, if not a full member of that genre. However, genres change a lot in 40 plus years. Is this movie still effective all these years later? And does the Blu-ray live up to the Special Edition label? More...

Friday Estimates: Holiday Season Starts Without a Lot of Cheer

November 2, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

Terminator: Dark Fate opened in first place on Friday, but it only made $10.6 million, well below expectations. Its reviews and its B plus from CinemaScore are good, but not great, meaning it won’t have the legs needed to overcome this slow start. Look for about $28 million domestically this weekend. Early reports have it performing better internationally with a likely $30 million debut in China, but again, this is below expectations and not enough given the film’s $185 million production budget. More...

New at The Numbers: The Numbers RSS Feed

November 1, 2019

The Numbers RSS Feed

Stay up to date with the latest news, theater counts, releases, trailers, and predictions by adding The Numbers RSS feed to your favorite RSS reader or personal site: https://www.the-numbers.com/news/rss.php

A link to the RSS feed can be found above "The Numbers News" on our main news page or at the top of the screen under the News tab. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Terminator Takes in $2.35 million

November 1, 2019

Terminator: Dark Fate

Terminator: Dark Fate managed $2.35 million from its previews on Thursday. Normally, this wouldn’t be enough to kick-start a strong weekend, but yesterday was Halloween, which is far from a normal day at the box office. Furthermore, its reviews are better than most of the rest of the Terminator franchise, and good enough to have decent legs. It is still too early to tell where it will finish its opening weekend. Halloween is just too big a wildcard to make an accurate guess at this point. We will know more this time tomorrow when the Friday estimates come out. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Luck of the Irish

November 1, 2019

The Irishman

There are not many limited releases on this week’s list and even fewer of them are earning overwhelmingly positive reviews. The best of these is The Irishman, which is also earning the loudest buzz. It should get off to a fantastic start, but it has less than a month before it hits Netflix, so it won’t have great legs in theaters. More...

The Warrior Queen of Jhansi Trailer

November 1, 2019

Real-life historical drama starring Devika Bhise opens November 15 ... Full Movie Details.

The true historical story of the Rani of Jhansi, a feminist icon in India and a fearless, freedom fighter—a real-life Wonder Woman who earned a reputation as the Joan of Arc of the East when in 1857 India, as a 24-year old General, she led her people into battle against the British Empire. Her insurrection shifted the balance of power in the region and set in motion the demise of the notorious British East India Company and the beginning of the British Raj under Queen Victoria. More...

2019 Preview: November

November 1, 2019

Frozen II

Joker single-handedly saved October. Had the film merely matched expectations, then the month would had suffered a major loss in the year-over-year competition. We sill lost a little ground, but not so much that we will look to October as the reason 2019 missed last year’s pace. As for November, we have some potential monster hits with Frozen II leading the way. If that film doesn’t earn at least $1 billion worldwide, I will be shocked. Additionally, every week has at least one movie coming out that has a somewhat realistic shot at $100 million, although not all of them will get there. Unfortunately, last November was much better, with five films that topped $100 million, including three that earned more than $200 million. I think 2019 will be better at the top, but it just won’t have the depth to keep pace with last year. More...