The Numbers News - June 2018

June 30, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom added $17.44 million on Friday, after hitting $200 million on Thursday. It was easily the best film on the day; however, this was still 70% lower than its opening Friday. Granted, it will bounce back tomorrow and should come close to our $60 million prediction, but it is not going to have great legs, like its predecessor had. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Some Gorgeous Limited Releases

June 29, 2018

There are not many limited releases on this week’s list and almost none of them have a real shot at mainstream success. That said, there are still several that are earning absolutely amazing reviews. The film with the best shot at mainstream success is probably Leave No Trace, with its 100% positive reviews. That said, I’m going to suggest something different, GLOW: Season Two on Netflix. It just started streaming today and I may have watched half of the season while working on this column. More...

Juliet, Naked Trailer

June 29, 2018

Romantic comedy starring Rose Byrne, Ethan Hawke, and Chris O’Dowd, based on the book by Nick Hornby opens August 17 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Thursday Night Previews: CIA Dunks on Drew

June 29, 2018

Sicario: Day of the Soldado earned $2 million during previews, which is better than expected. Granted, we’ve seen too many films open well in previews before settling down to Earth over the rest of the weekend, but I’m still optimistic after this start. It should beat our prediction and $20 million is within range. It does depend on the word-of-mouth, which if its reviews are any indication, should be good, but not great. More...

Dog Days Trailer

June 28, 2018

Family drama with an ensemble cast opens August 10 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Putting a Hit out on the Box Office

June 28, 2018

After two monster hits in a row, the weekend crashes back down to Earth. Neither Sicario: Day of the Soldado nor Uncle Drew are expected to do much at the box office, but they are expected to open with similar amounts and there’s no consensus which film will do better, so at least there’s something to talk about. This weekend last year, Despicable Me 3 opened with $72.43 million. We will be relying almost entirely on holdovers to win in the year-over-year comparison. I think we’ve got an excellent shot of doing that by a significant margin. More...

Theater Averages: Kingdom Crowned Leader of Theater Average Chart

June 27, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom led the way on the theater average chart with an average of $33,078, putting it ahead of Incredibles 2’s sophomore stint score of $18,219. The King was the best of the new limited releases, with an average of $14,525 in two theaters. Finally, 2001: A Space Odyssey returned to the $10,000 club with an average of $12,989. The 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack is coming out in October. More...

Beautiful Boy Trailer

June 27, 2018

Real-life drama starring Steve Carell and Timothée Chalamet opens October 12 ... Full Movie Details. More...

International Box Office: $100 million Threepeat for Fallen Kingdom

June 27, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom completed the hat-trick with $107.6 million in 67 markets for three-week totals of $561.5 million internationally and $709.5 million worldwide. The film’s biggest opening was in Mexico, where it earned $10.14 million over the weekend for a total opening of $12.09 million. It also did well in South America with $9.28 million during its opening in Brazil, while in neighboring Argentina, the film earned $2.51 million over the weekend for a total opening of $2.75 million. It earned $7.63 million on 734 screens during its opening in Australia. The film fell 69% in China earning $33.96 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $202.07 million. More...

Teens Titans Go! to the Movies Trailer

June 26, 2018

Animated comedy opens July 27 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Home Market Releases for June 26th, 2018

June 26, 2018

As long time readers know, summer is the worst time of the year for the home market. Summer blockbusters are taking up everyone’s attention and it is still too soon for the rush of TV on DVD releases. The biggest first-run release of the week is Acrimony, which is only for Tyler Perry fans. As for the best of the rest, there are a handful of Pick of the Week contenders, including two Anime titles. To be more accurate, only one of them came out this week, as it took a couple of weeks for my screener of My Hero Academia: Season Two, Volume Two: Limited Edition Combo Pack to arrive. It is the Pick of the Week. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Jurassic World and Incredibles Combine for Biggest June Weekend

June 26, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom beat expectations with $148.02 million over the weekend, but it wasn’t the only monster hit in theaters. Incredibles 2 added $80.35 million during its second weekend of release, which helped the overall box office become the biggest June weekend of all time. The overall box office rose just 2.3%, but that was enough to break the record with $277 million. This is also 98% higher than the same weekend last year. 2018 has had a string of hits that have dominated their 2017 counterparts, even if they missed expectations, so it is no surprise that 2018 has a lead over 2017 in the year-over-year comparison. However, that lead is surprisingly larger. It has grown to 9.1% or $490 million at $5.85 billion to $5.36 billion. No year has started as fast as 2018 has, and even its estimated ticket sales are the best in the 2010s. More...

The Hate U Give Trailer

June 25, 2018

Drama starring Amandla Stenberg opens October 19 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: My Hero Academia: Season Two, Volume Two

June 24, 2018

I previously reviewed volume one of the second season of My Hero Academia. Because of that, I don’t need to go into details about the show’s overall plot and can move right into the two arcs in this part of the season. Is the show better than the second half of season two? Or has it peaked? More...

Weekend Estimates: Fallen Starts Out on Top

June 24, 2018

Sequels usually start faster but fall quicker, when compared to their predecessor. However, no one expected Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom to follow suit. In fact, many thought it would collapse. That wasn’t the case, as Fallen Kingdom opened with $150 million over the weekend. Granted, this is nearly 30% lower than Jurassic World’s opening weekend, but it could have been much worse. On the downside, its reviews are almost exactly 50% positive, which suggests weak legs. It did earn an A minus from CinemaScore, so audiences did like the film more than critics did, so we have mixed signals about what the movie will do going forward. Internationally, the film added $106.7 million over the weekend for a three-week total of $561.5 million. This includes a $12.3 million debut in Mexico. More...

Friday Estimates: Dinosaurs Dominate, Incredibles Still Doing Good

June 23, 2018

Despite earning mixed reviews, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom’s opened on Friday with $58.68 million. It also earned an A minus from CinemaScore, so audiences liked it more than critics, and that should help it over the rest of the weekend, earning about $144 million. Granted, this is significantly lower than what Jurassic World opened with, but it didn’t fall as much as anticipated, so Universal should be happy with this result. More...

The Equalizer 2 Trailer

June 22, 2018

Thriller starring Denzel Washington, directed by Antoine Fuqua opens July 20 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Fallen Falls from World with $15.3 million

June 22, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom opened with $15.3 million in previews, which is impressive, but below the $18.5 million Jurassic World managed. There is further bad news. The film’s reviews are significantly worse than its predecessor’s reviews were. The film also has much stronger competition. That said, it is still in a good position to top our prediction. We will know more by this time tomorrow. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Never Easy for Limited Releases

June 22, 2018

It is a slow week for limited releases and none of the films have a real shot at becoming a box office hit. Marlina the Murderer in Four Acts is earning the best reviews of the week, but it is a foreign-language film, so its box office chances are weak. Never Steady, Never Still is the film I’m most interested in. Its reviews are solid and it is also a Canadian movie. More...

Welcome to Marwen Trailer

June 21, 2018

Real-life drama starring Steve Carell, directed by Robert Zemeckis opens November 21 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Can Dinosaurs Stomp the Competition?

June 21, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom is the only wide release of the week and it was expected to dominate the box office. That was until Incredibles 2 broke records last weekend. Furthermore, Fallen Kingdom’s reviews have fallen below the overall positive level. Now there might be a race at the box office, at least on the daily charts. Meanwhile, this weekend last year, Transformers: The Last Knight missed expectations with just $45 million over the weekend and $70 million in five days. Fallen Kingdom had better earn $45 million on Friday alone, or it is in serious trouble. More...

Creed II Trailer

June 20, 2018

Boxing drama starring Michael B. Jordan and Sylvester Stallone opens November 21 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Averages: Incredibles Tops Another Chart

June 20, 2018

The overall number one film, Incredibles 2, earned top spot on the theater average chart with an impressive average of $41,426. Only two other wide releases have started with bigger averages: Infinity War and Black Panther. The only new limited release in the $10,000 club was Eating Animals, which earned an average of $17,262. Finally, Won’t You Be My Neighbor earned an average of $10,445 in nearly 100 theaters, earning over $1 million in the process. This bodes well for its future. More...

International Box Office: Fallen Kingdom Falls compared to Jurassic World

June 19, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom remained in first place with $173.6 million in 51 markets for a two-week total of $370.0 million worldwide. It opened in first place in China with $111.31 million over the weekend, for a total opening of $113.42 million. This is better than the $100.10 million opening Jurassic World managed in that market. While this is good news, there are some issues. The film suffered an average of 60% decline in holdover markets. This includes a 63% decline in South Korea ($5.44 million on 1,230 screens over the weekend for a two-week total of $37.74 million.) and in Russia ($2.78 million on 1,541 screens for a running tally of $15.16 million there.) It did hold on better in the United Kingdom, down 51% to $9.38 million in 656 theaters for a total of $33.75 million so far. The film has yet to open in Australia, Brazil, and Mexico, where it opens this weekend. Meanwhile, the film doesn’t open in Japan till next month. More...

Home Market Releases for June 19th, 2018

June 19, 2018

Summer is the worst time of the year for the home market and this week is no exception. The “biggest” new release of the week is Pacific Rim: Uprising, but it is not worth picking up. There are a few contenders for Pick of the Week, including the final season of Dark Matter; a dark comedy, The Death of Stalin; and an Anime release, Re:Zero - Starting Life in Another World. In the end, I went with Dark Matter as the Pick of the Week. More...

Searching Trailer

June 19, 2018

Thriller starring John Cho and Debra Messing opens August 3 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Incredible Doesn’t Even Begin to Describe It

June 18, 2018

Incredibles 2 became the first potential monster hit since Infinity War to beat tracking numbers, opening with a mind-numbing $182.69 million. It is hard to describe how amazing this opening is. It has rewritten the record book when it comes to animated films and it gives Disney the top three openings of 2018 and four of the top five. This is twice as much as the rest of the box office earned over the entire weekend. There were other new releases this week, with Tag doing fine. Its $14.95 million opening is nothing special, but it should break even sometime on the home market. SuperFly, on the other hand, was a disappointment. The overall box office grew by 126% from last weekend, with Incredibles 2 earning about 50% more than the entire box office pulled in last weekend. The film was just shy of the same weekend last year, while the overall box office rose by 43%. Year-to-date, 2018 continues to have a lead over 2017, and it has grown to a commanding lead of 6.6% or $340 million at $5.44 billion to $5.10 billion. Granted, we are barely halfway through the year, but 2018 is in a great position to break the all-time yearly box office record. More...

Nobody's Fool Trailer

June 18, 2018

Comedy starring Tiffany Haddish opens November 2 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured DVD Review: Flower

June 18, 2018

Flower got off to an amazing start in limited release, opening in the $10,000 club. However, it collapsed as soon as it tried to expand. Is it as good as its opening weekend? Or did it collapse for a good reason? More...

Weekend Estimates: $180 million Opening is Beyond Incredible

June 17, 2018

Incredibles 2 was widely expected to dominate the box office over the weekend, but after the two previous potential monster hits missed high expectations, I thought it was wise to be a little more pessimistic. I was wrong. Incredibles 2 opened with an estimated $180 million. This is not only the best opening for a Pixar film, and an animated film in general, it is the 8th biggest opening weekend of all time. (It could slip a little in tomorrow’s final numbers, putting it in 9th place behind Captain America: Civil War.) The film is already the 50th biggest animated hit of all time and unless its legs are shorter than expected, it will quickly race to the top of that chart. Speaking of legs, Incredibles 2 has the best reviews in the top ten and earned a stunning A plus from CinemaScore. To be frank, perhaps stunning isn’t the right word. Perhaps “expected” is a better term, as Pixar has earned 7 A plus ratings out of its 20 films and has never once slipped below an A minus. Internationally, the film opened in second place with $51.5 million in 25 markets and earned a Pixar-best opening in Mexico ($12.3 million) and Argentina ($3.0 million). In fact, it was outstanding in all of Latin America. It is also the fasting opening Pixar film in Australia with $7.7 million, while it managed the studio’s second biggest opening in Russia with $5.4 million. Granted, the film is not doing as well internationally as it is domestically; however, it is still on pace for $1 billion worldwide, so there’s no way the studio isn’t celebrating this opening. More...

Friday Estimates: Incredibles Smashes Animated Records

June 16, 2018

Incredibles 2 opened with $71.55 million on Friday. To put this in perspective, it is already the biggest digital animation of 2018 and even if it doesn’t sell a single ticket on Saturday and Sunday, this would still be the fifth biggest opening weekend for a Pixar film and the 13th biggest opening for an animated film. Assuming its 93% positive reviews and its A plus from CinemaScore help its legs, it could top Solo: A Star Wars Story’s running tally by the end of the weekend. On the other hand, an opening weekend of $180 million seems like a solid goal after an opening day like this and that will put it on pace for over $500 million domestically. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Week of Spectacular Limited Releases

June 15, 2018

There are not a lot of limited releases on this week’s list, and none of them stand out as potential box office hits. The Year of Spectacular Men has some of the loudest buzz and good reviews, but it is playing on Video on Demand, so it will likely do well there and not find an audience in theaters. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Incredibles Doubles Dory’s Record with $18.5 million

June 15, 2018

Incredibles 2 earned $18.5 million on preview night, which is double the previous record for an animated film of $9.2 million held by Finding Dory. However, and this is massively important, we’ve seen a number of really impressive previews turn into disappointing opening weekends, so I think it is wise to wait until Friday’s full numbers are in before we get excited about the movie’s weekend results. Even with 93% positive reviews, it could still be front-loaded and it might not necessarily break Dory’s and Pixar’s opening weekend record of $135.06 million. Normally I would be really enthusiastic about this result, but recent events have made it clear that being more cautious is better. More...

Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation Trailer

June 15, 2018

Animated adventure from starring Adam Sandler, Andy Samberg, and Selena Gomez opens July 13 ... Full Movie Details. More...

The Grinch Trailer

June 14, 2018

Animated adventure from Illumination Entertainment, starring Benedict Cumberbatch, opens November 9 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: How Incredible can the Incredibles Open?

June 14, 2018

Incredibles 2 leads a group of three wide releases coming out in theaters this week. It should open with more than the rest of the box office combined. Tag is a film that many will find a little unbelievable, even though it is based on real-life events. Its reviews suggest a moderate opening, but nothing too special. The buzz surrounding SuperFly is really quiet, but it is being aimed at its target audience in a much more focused ad campaign, which makes judging said campaign’s effectiveness more difficult. Ocean’s 8 should have no trouble earning second place, while it could avoid falling 50%. Meanwhile, this weekend last year, Cars 3 opened with $53.69 million, while Wonder Woman added $41.27 million over the same weekend. I would be shocked if Incredibles 2 doesn’t open with more than those two films earned combined. 2018 should win in the year-over-year comparison with relative ease. More...

Dumbo Trailer

June 13, 2018

Tim Burton’s family adventure, starring Colin Farrell, Alan Arkin, and Eva Green opens March 29th, 2019 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Averages: 2001 is Louder than the Competition

June 12, 2018

2001: A Space Odyssey returned to the top of the theater average chart earning an average of $18,969 in 5 theaters. The best new release was Hearts Beat Loud, which was right behind with an average of $18,631 in four theaters. Won’t You Be My Neighbor? was next with an average of $16,394 in 29 theaters. It won’t need to expand to earn more than $1 million domestically, and it will expand over the coming weeks. The final film in the $10,000 club is the overall box office leader, Ocean’s 8, with an average of $10,038. More...

International Box Office: Fallen Kingdom Falls compared to Jurassic World

June 12, 2018

Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom opened in first place on the international chart with $150.9 million in 48 markets. The film’s biggest market was South Korea, where it set the opening day record with $9.7 million, but its overall weekend was not quite as impressive, as it earned $15.17 million for a total opening of $26.57 million. That three-day total is better than Jurassic World, but its a drop from the opening day to its weekend total. This could be a sign of weak word-of-mouth and that’s troubling as its reviews have slipped below the overall positive level. The film also cracked $10 million in both the U.K. ($19.20 million in 662 theaters) and in France ($10.91 million in 700), but this is lower than the predecessor managed in both those markets. Overall, the film will have little trouble earning $1 billion worldwide, but it very likely won’t live up to Jurassic World. More...

The First Purge Trailer

June 12, 2018

Horror movie starring Y’Lan Noel opens July 4 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Ocean’s 8 has Franchise Best Opening with $41.61 million

June 12, 2018

The weekend was very kind to Ocean’s 8, as it opened with $41.61 million. This is not only the top result this weekend, it is the best opening weekend in the franchise. Hereditary also opened on the high end of expectations, leaving just Hotel Artemis as the only disappointment of the weekend. Overall, the box office rose 13% from last weekend to $120 million. More importantly, this was 17% lower than the same weekend last year. That said, it could have been worse and 2018 still has a 5.1% / $250 million lead over 2017 at $5.11 billion to $4.86 billion. More...

Home Market Releases for June 12th, 2018

June 12, 2018

There are not many big releases on this week’s list. Tomb Raider, Sherlock Gnomes, The Strangers: Prey at Night, and Love, Simon were, at best, midlevel hits domestically. Worse still, only the last one earned good reviews. Fortunately, the film is good enough that the DVD, Blu-ray Combo Pack, or 4K Ultra HD Combo Pack is worthy as Pick of the Week. More...

First Man Trailer

June 11, 2018

Real-life drama starring Ryan Gosling and Claire Foy opens October 12 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Featured DVD Review: Sea Change

June 10, 2018

Sea Change isn’t a movie, per say. It is a busted TV pilot. There are some stark differences between what makes a good TV pilot and what makes a good movie. Does it work as the former, but not the latter? Does it work as neither? More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: The Return of the Swamp Thing

June 10, 2018

The Return of Swamp Thing came out in 1988 and didn’t win over critics, nor did it find an audience in theaters. That said, it did develop a following on the home market. Now that it is coming out on Blu-ray, is it worth checking out? Or has it aged poorly? More...

Weekend Estimates: Ocean’s 8 Tops Chart, Franchise

June 10, 2018

Ocean’s 8 matched expectations with $41.5 million over the weekend. If it can maintain this figure, then it will open in the $10,000 club, while even if its final numbers slips a little, it still would be on pace for $100 million domestically. Its reviews have settled to 67% positive, and it managed an acceptable B plus from CinemaScore, so its legs should be average. Fortunately, with a start like this, it only needs average legs to break even early in its home market run. More...

Friday Estimates: Ocean’s 8 Opens With $15 million, Fallen Kingdom Will Steal its Thunder

June 9, 2018

Two of the three new releases opened well on Friday. Ocean’s 8 open with $15.8 million, putting it on pace for an opening weekend of $42 million. This is the best opening in the franchise. It is also the cheapest installment in the franchise with a $70 million production budget, so it won’t need amazing legs to break even during its initial push into the home market. Its reviews are 69% positive, while it earned a B plus from CinemaScore. Neither of those results are particularly good, but they are no reason to panic either. Unfortunately, it won’t have the same legs as its predecessors, as the market has changed in the past decade. Furthermore, films with predominately female casts don’t do as well internationally, so the film will rely a little more on its domestic numbers to break even. That said, Warner Bros. should be happy with this result. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Won’t You See a Movie?

June 8, 2018

There is a disproportionate number of documentaries on this week’s list, including several earning amazing reviews. Of these, Won’t You Be My Neighbor? has the best shot at mainstream success. However, it isn’t the only film with good reviews and I think Hearts Beat Loud could also do well in limited release. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Ocean’s Splits $4 million Opening

June 8, 2018

Ocean’s 8 opened with $4 million during its previews. By comparison, the most recent gender-bent remake, Ghostbusters, earned $3.4 million during its previews on its way to a $46.02 million opening weekend. The two films also have very similar reviews, so they could have similar legs. However, we have seen a number of films over-perform during previews only to come back down to earth over the weekend, so I’m not willing to change our $40 million prediction, at least not yet. More...

The Girl in the Spider’s Web Trailer

June 8, 2018

Thriller starring Claire Foy opens November 9 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Ocean’s 8 Looks to Steal Top Spot

June 7, 2018

Ocean’s 8 leads a trio of new releases this week and it might be the only one to reach the top five. It is certainly the only one competing for first place. Hereditary is earning amazing reviews, but it is an art house horror movie and those tend to struggle at the box office. Finally there’s Hotel Artemis, which is earning the quietest buzz of the three releases. Solo: A Star Wars Story and Deadpool 2 should remain strong helping the overall box office. However, while this year’s new releases are better than last year’s new releases, with Wonder Woman’s sophomore stint, 2018 is going to suffer another loss. Next week will be better. More...

Spider-man: Into the Spider-Verse Trailer

June 7, 2018

Animated adventure starring Shameik Moore opens December 14 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Tag Trailer

June 6, 2018

Comedy starring Ed Helms, Jake Johnson, Hannibal Buress, Jon Hamm, and Jeremy Renner opens June 15 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Averages: Animals are All-American Limited Release

June 5, 2018

American Animals easily topped the theater average chart earning an average of $33,698 in four theaters. The only other film in the $10,000 club was 2001: A Space Odyssey, which earned an average of $14,042 in five theaters during its third weekend of release. More...

International Box Office: Deadpool Reclaims Top Spot with Solo Slipping to Second

June 5, 2018

Deadpool 2 returned to first place with $41.6 million in 79 markets for totals of $344.00 million internationally and $598.51 million worldwide. It opened in first place in Japan with $5.5 million, which is close to 30% better than the original managed in its opening there. More...

Ralph Breaks The Internet: Wreck-It Ralph 2 Trailer

June 5, 2018

Animated comedy starring John C. Reilly and Sarah Silverman opens November 21 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Box Office Is Far from Wonderful

June 4, 2018

The overall weekend went about as well as expected. Unfortunately, that’s not good news. Solo: A Star Wars Story fell about as much as the average sophomore blockbuster film falls during a post-holiday weekend, earning first place with $29.40 million, while Deadpool 2 was the only other film to earn more than $20 million, landing in second with $23.18 million. The biggest new release of the week was Adrift with $11.60 million. The overall box office fell 42% from last weekend to just $106 million. To put this into perspective, this weekend last year, Wonder Woman opened with $103 million. That one movie made almost as much as the entire box office made this year. The year-over-year decline was 43%. Fortunately, 2018 is still ahead of 2017 by a sizable amount at 6.8% or $310 million at $4.94 billion to $4.63 billion and in a couple of weeks, 2018 should start winning again in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Home Market Releases for June 5th, 2018

June 4, 2018

This is a busier week than usual on the home market, but that’s only because there are a higher than usual number of box office flops coming out the same week. The biggest box office hit of the week is A Wrinkle in Time, which did okay here, but bombed internationally. I’m still waiting for a screener to see if it is at least worth a rental. As for Pick of the Week contenders, there’s My Hero Academia: Season Two, Part Two and Thoroughbreds on Blu-ray. In the end, I went with Thoroughbreds, but both are worth owning. More...

Suspiria Trailer

June 4, 2018

Horror movie starring Dakota Johnson and Tilda Swinton opens November 2 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Estimates: Solo and Deadpool put New Releases In their Place

June 3, 2018

We predicted Solo: A Star Wars Story would earn about $30 million during its second weekend of release and it earned $29.3 million over the weekend. I’m calling that a victory. It did fall 65%, but this is a standard decline for a tentpole release after a holiday weekend. The film has $148.89 million after 10 days of release and is on pace to top $200 million domestically. Internationally it has $115.3 million, including $30.3 million this past weekend. It doesn’t open in Japan until the end of June, but once it does, it should reach $400 million worldwide. Had the film not needed extensive reshoots, this would have been enough to break even, eventually. More...

Friday Estimates: Solo Remains Tops, Adrift Floats, Action Sinks

June 2, 2018

As expected, Solo: A Star Wars Story earned top spot on Friday with $8.15 million. We predicted it would earn about $30 million and it looks like that’s the case, although it’s on track for the lower end of that range, with a $29 million sophomore stint. If it recovers next weekend, then it will remain on pace for $200 million domestically. However, getting to that milestone is more about saving face than breaking even at this point. Even if the film’s reviews help it become a hit on the home market, it’s not going to break even any time soon. Fortunately, The Last Jedi made enough profits that Disney will still be happy with the overall results of the franchise. Plus there’s always merchandising, something the Star Wars films helped perfect. More...

Night School Trailer

June 2, 2018

Comedy starring Kevin Hart, Tiffany Haddish opens September 28 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Animal Magnetism

June 1, 2018

It is a slow week, so slow that I’m bending the rules when it comes to what films appear on this list. If I used the ten review limit, there would only be a handful of films. Of these films, only American Animals and Breath are earning reviews that are good enough for limited release. That said, there are also a few that should be worth a VOD rental, like Discreet and Social Animals. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Adrift is Not Lost Yet - Update

June 1, 2018

Adrift started its box office run with $725,000, which is a little above expectations. It’s not enough to think it will climb into second place over the weekend, but if it can open above $15 million, then it will have a real shot at breaking even early in its home market run. Its reviews are 67% positive, which is nothing special, but it certainly won’t hurt its legs. If the audiences react similarly, then $15 million is a real possibility. More...

2018 Preview: June

June 1, 2018

This May was an odd month, as Avengers: Infinity War opened on the last weekend of April, rather than the first weekend of May. This meant May started out slowly, but Deadpool 2 and Solo: A Star Wars Story did well enough to give 2018 a healthy lead over 2017. Looking forward, there are two potential monster hits this month, Incredibles 2 and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, and another $100 million hit, Ocean’s 8. Last June, there were four $100 million hits, led by Wonder Woman, which pulled in over $400 million. I think 2018 and 2017 will be an even match at the top, so 2018 will have to rely on depth to improve upon its lead over 2017. More...

The Numbers News - June 2018

Quick Links