The Numbers News - April 2018

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Weekend Wrap-Up: Infinity War Opened as Close to Infinity as Any Film

April 30, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Infinity War was expected to dominate the box office over the weekend. However, not a lot of people thought it would break the all-time record, but it did. Not only did it break the record, it smashed it, topping The Force Awakens by nearly $10 million at $257.70 million. The MCU now has six of the top ten openings of all-time. Remember, when Disney bought Marvel for $4 billion, a lot of people thought they overpaid. Disney’s share of just the domestic box office numbers is close to $4 billion at this point. The overall box office rose 150% from last weekend to $312 million. This is within a rounding error of the record and we might get there as smaller studios report their numbers later in the week. This is 212% higher than the same weekend last year; granted, this is because summer started a week early this year. Year-to-date, 2018 has retaken the lead by $140 million or 4.0% at $3.78 billion to $3.64 billion. However, and this is important, this is a misleading number, because summer started a week early this year. I would wait till Deadpool 2 comes out to judge the year-to-date numbers. It will take that long for Infinity War coming out a week early to fully balance out. You will probably make solid judgments before then, but I think it is wise to be a little cautious. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: Miss Kobayashi’s Dragon Maid: The Complete Series

April 30, 2018

Miss Kobayashi’s Dragon Maid

Miss Kobayashi’s Dragon Maid debuted in Manga form in 2014 and the seventh volume came out just last month. It was adapted into an Anime series for winter 2017 and was a big enough hit to get a Blu-ray release here. Is it worth checking out for fans of Anime? Is it something that has serious crossover appeal? More...

Weekend Estimates: Infinity War Smashes Opening Weekend Record

April 29, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War will smash the all-time opening weekend record this weekend with a sensational $250 million domestically and $380 million internationally, according to Disney’s Sunday morning projections. After $106 million on Friday, the studio estimates the film had the biggest Saturday of all time, with $83 million, and is projecting an all-time-best $61 million on Sunday. More...

Friday Estimates: Infinity Hits Century Mark on Opening Day

April 28, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Avengers: Infinity War easily topped the chart on Friday, earning $105.97 million. It is only the third film to crack $100 million in a single day, and is behind only The Force Awakens on the that chart. The film is on pace for $237 million during its opening weekend, which is the second-best weekend of all time, again, behind only The Force Awakens. As for its legs, the film’s reviews are 84% positive, while it earned an A from CinemaScore, which bodes well for its word-of-mouth and long term success. More...

Infinity War Starts Faster than any MCU Film to Date (Previews and International Numbers)

April 27, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Infinity War was widely expected to destroy the previous MCU record for previews. Age of Ultron held the previous record at $27.6 million and Infinity War destroyed that record with $39 million. This is not only the best previews in the MCU, it is the fourth best previews of all time. Only The Force Awakens at $57 million and The Last Jedi at $45 million and Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows, Part II at $43.5 million beat it. The film’s reviews suggest it could have long legs; however, there’s also a chance the film has an Empire Strikes Back problem. It definitely feels like the second part of a trilogy for reasons I’m still not comfortable saying. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Limited Release Demand your Obedience

April 27, 2018

Disobedience

There are not a lot of limited releases on this week’s list, but there are a few that are worth checking out. This includes Let The Sunshine In and Adventures in Public School, but the one I think will do the best is Disobedience. More...

Venom Trailer 2

April 26, 2018

Super hero action movie starring Tom Hardy opens October 5 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Avengers go to Infinity?

April 26, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Infinity War. Do I need to say more? Infinity War is easily the most anticipated movie of the year, and some argue the most anticipated film in the past few years. There’s even talk that it will have the best three-day opening of all time. This weekend last year, The Fate of the Furious earned its third first place result with just under $20 million. Infinity War could make twice that during its midnight previews. It will make more than the entire box office made last year. More...

Theater Averages: Stories Doesn’t Give Up the Ghost

April 25, 2018

Ghost Stories

Ghost Stories was the only film in the $10,000 club earning $11,972 in its lone theater over the weekend. Bharat Ane Nenu did come close with an average of $9,180 in just over 300 theaters. More...

International Box Office: Rampage Retains Lead on International Chart

April 25, 2018

Rampage

Rampage remained in first place on the international chart with $58.0 million on 33,140 screens in 61 markets, for totals of $217.6 million internationally and $283.3 million worldwide. The studio’s share of this is very likely above the film’s $120 million production budget, so it has an excellent shot at breaking even early in its home market run. The film’s biggest market of the weekend was China, where it earned $27.07 million on 16,900 screens over the weekend for a two-week total of $106.57 million. The film has yet to open in France, Germany, and Japan and by the time it’s done, it will be very close to breaking even. More...

Home Market Releases for April 24th, 2018

April 25, 2018

Paddington 2

Paddington 2 is the biggest release of the week and clearly at least one of the best. However, it isn’t the only film that’s a Pick of the Week contender. Bombshell: The Hedy Lamarr Story, Miss Kobayashi’s Dragon Maid, and others were all in contention for that honor. In the end, the Paddington 2 Blu-ray Combo Pack earned that title. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Quiet Retakes Top Spot, Rampage Right Behind

April 24, 2018

A Quiet Place

As expected, A Quiet Place returned to the first place with $20.94 million over the weekend. However, Rampage was much closer than expected with $20.09 million. It is on pace for $100 million domestically, assuming Infinity War doesn't reduce it to rumble this coming weekend. The new releases were led by I Feel Pretty, which came within a rounding error of expectations, while Super Troopers 2 beat expectations earning fourth place. Traffik barely made the top ten, but it could have been worse. Overall, the box office still fell 17% from last week, falling to $122 million. This is still 13% higher than the same weekend last year, which I was not expecting. I really thought The Fate of the Furious would earn more than the top two films earned this weekend, while the depth was also a lot better this week than I was anticipating. Year-to-date, 2017 is still behind 2018, by a 2.1% or $75 million margin at $3.43 billion to $3.51 billion. This should change this coming weekend. It better change. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Mary and the Witch’s Flower

April 22, 2018

Mary and the Witch’s Flower

Mary and the Witch’s Flower is the latest release from GKIDS. GKIDS is the only distributor that can routinely release animated films in limited release and have them do well at the box office. For example, this film earned over $2 million domestically. The film doesn’t come out on DVD or Blu-ray Combo Pack until May the 1st, but the screener arrived early and I was able to get to the review this weekend. Is it worth waiting for? More...

Friday Estimates: Troopers has Super Opening, I Feel has a Pretty Good One

April 21, 2018

Super Troopers

Super Troopers 2 opened in first place on Friday with $7.9 million, which is more than I predicted it would make over the entire weekend. On the other hand, this film’s reviews are wea. It managed a B plus from CinemaScore, which isn’t terrible, but it’s not particularly good either. Its legs likely won’t be great, as the target demographic is much more likely to rush out to the movie opening night, leaving the film with just over $17 million during its opening weekend. This could be more than its combined budget, especially if you disregard the money it earned from Kickstarter. (The film doesn’t have to earn a profit on those numbers.) More...

Thursday Night Previews: Comedies Conquer Midnight Previews

April 20, 2018

Super Troopers 2

Both new comedies beat expectations with Super Troopers 2 coming out on top with $1.35 million. It will easily top predictions, but all is not so rosy. Its reviews are just 33% positive and the film might not find an audience beyond its target audience. That said, it won’t take the film long to match the original’s entire domestic run. It won’t get there over the weekend, especially with the Franchise double-shot happening in nearly 1,000 theaters, but it will get there. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Ghost of a Chance

April 20, 2018

Ghost-Stories-(UK)-2-News.jpg

It is not a particularly good week for limited releases, as there are a number of them with reviews that are good, but not good enough for limited release. There are some that I’m interested in seeing, Ghost Stories, Little Pink House, and Imitation Girl among them. More...

Weekend Predictions: The Quiet Before the Storm

April 19, 2018

I Feel Pretty

There are two wide releases this week, I Feel Pretty and Super Troopers 2, as well as a semi-wide release that has a shot at the top ten, Traffik. However, most analysts think A Quiet Place will return to first place on the box office chart. Meanwhile, Infinity War opens next week and that’s all most moviegoers are talking about and this will likely really hurt this week’s box office. This weekend last year, The Fate of the Furious remained on top with $38 million, while the top three films combined earned $60 million. I don’t think 2018 will be able to match that, but it should be close. More...

Theater Averages: Box Office is Full of Grace

April 18, 2018

Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami

Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami had the best opening of the limited releases earning an average of $18,724 in three theaters. The only other film in the $10,000 Club was The Rider, which earned an average of $14,081, also in three theaters. More...

International Box Office: Rampage Runs Roughshod over Competition topping Century Mark

April 18, 2018

Rampage

Rampage dominated the international box office earning more than the rest of the top ten combined with $115.7 million on 40,200 screens in 61 markets for a worldwide opening weekend of $151.5 million. The film’s biggest opening was in China, where it managed $54.88 million on 21,500 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $55.56 million. This is a good result, compared to recent results. It’s better than Tomb Raider managed, but not as good as Ready Player One, for example. The U.K. and South Korea were in a close race for second place with the former earning $5.8 million on 883 screens and the latter earning $4.99 million on 909 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $5.60 million. More...

Home Market Releases for April 17th, 2018

April 17, 2018

MST3K

It’s a slow week on the home market, which is common for this time of year. The biggest release of the week, The Post, is also one of the best and one of only three contenders for Pick of the Week. In the end, I went with MST3K: Season 11 and awarded it the honor. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Rampage Climbs Ahead of A Quiet Place with $35.75 million

April 16, 2018

Rampage

Rampage was widely expected to earn first place over the weekend, and it did. However, A Quiet Place gave it a real run for its money and after Friday’s estimates, it looked like the horror film would repeat on top. Meanwhile, Truth or Dare was also a pleasant surprise at the box office earning close to $19 million on a $3.5 million production budget. Overall, the box office fell 9.8% from last weekend to $147 million. This is also 13% lower than the same weekend last year. That said, The Fate of the Furious opened this weekend last year and earned almost $100 million, so it could have been worse. Year-to-date, 2018 is still behind behind 2017 by $70 million or 2.0% or $3.27 billion to $3.33 billion. More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Black Eagle

April 16, 2018

Black Eagle

Black Eagle is one of Jean-Claude Van Damme earliest roles. It is so early that he’s not the good guy. He’s not even the main villain. He’s the main villain’s muscle. Is this film worth checking out for fans of the Muscles from Brussels? Will fans of 1980s actions films be entertained? More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: MST3K: Season 11

April 15, 2018

MST3K

I previously reviewed the episodes of this series when they first came out on Netflix, but this week, the full season comes out on DVD or Blu-ray. Are there any extras on the DVD / Blu-ray? Is it worth the price? More...

Weekend Estimates: Rampage Squeaks Out a Win

April 15, 2018

Rampage

Rampage isn’t exactly living up to its name this weekend, as it heads for a $34.5 million debut—just enough to keep A Quiet Place in second place, with $32.6 million in its second outing (down a very respectable 35% from its debut). As might be expected, international markets are proving friendlier to Rampage than the US and Canada, and it’s off to a healthy $114.1 million start in 61 territories, according to Warner Bros.’ Sunday morning estimate. More...

Friday Estimates: Quiet Looks to Silence Rampage

April 14, 2018

Rampage

Rampage earned first place on Friday, barely, with $11.5 million. Its reviews slipped down to exactly 50%, but that’s still the best ever for a wide release based on a video game, and it earned an impressive A minus from CinemaScore. This adds up to a $32 million opening weekend. Unfortunately, the film cost $120 million to make and even more for its global P&A. And as we will see shortly, A Quiet Place was right on its tail on Friday. Fortunately, the film is doing better in some international markets. For example, it earned $15.6 million in China alone, with an early estimate of $21.2 million for Saturday. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Who Will be the Limited Releases’ Saving Grace

April 13, 2018

Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami

There are not many limited releases that have a shot at box office success on this week’s list. The biggest ones are either opening too wide, like Beirut, or are already playing on VOD, like Borg vs. McEnroe, Wildling, and others. This leaves Grace Jones: Bloodlight and Bami as the film I think has the best shot at earning some measure of mainstream success. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Rampage Wrecks Previews with $2.4 million

April 13, 2018

Rampage

Rampage started its box office run with $2.4 million during its Thursday night previews. This is almost $2 million lower than A Quiet Place managed last weekend, but last weekend was also Easter weekend, so a lot of the target audience had Friday off. Even so, this isn’t quite where I was hoping it would land when I made my prediction yesterday. $35 million is still possible, but it would take strong legs to get there. Fortunately, its reviews have continued to improve and the film’s Tomatometer Score is now 53% positive. According to this metric, it is the best wide release based on a video game of all time. This actually makes some sense. The original video game was based on movies like King Kong or Godzilla, so it should be able to inspire at least a passable version of those films. More...

The Incredibles 2 Trailer 3

April 13, 2018

Pixar animated adventure with the voices of Holly Hunter and Craig T. Nelson opens June 15 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Predictions: Will Rampage Shake Up the Box Office?

April 12, 2018

Rampage

Rampage is the biggest new release of the week and at one time it was widely assumed it would be the biggest hit of the month. Granted, this changed the second Infinity War moved up to an April release. However, now the film likely won’t even be the second biggest hit of the month, as A Quiet Place dominated last weekend. Truth or Dare has to deal with direct competition and that’s going to kill it. Finally, Isle of Dogs is expanding semi-wide. It likely won’t reach the top five, but it is already doing well for a limited release. This weekend last year, The Fate of the Furious opened with nearly $100 million. That’s about what the top four will earn this year. I can’t imagine 2018 coming ahead in the year-over-year comparison. More...

Solo: A Star Wars Story Trailer 2

April 11, 2018

Sci-fi adventure starring Alden Ehrenreich, Donald Glover, and Emilia Clarke, opens May 25 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Theater Averages: Never Really Here Arrives on the Top

April 11, 2018

You Were Never Really Here

You Were Never Really Here was the clear winner on the theater average chart earning over $130,000 in just three theaters for an average of $44,276. This isn’t the best theater average for a film released in 2018, but it is in the top five. The overall number one film, A Quiet Place, was next with an average of $14,311. The final film in the $10,000 club is Lean on Pete, which earned an average of $11,744 in four theaters. More...

International Box Office: Ready Remains First, Nears $400 million Worldwide

April 10, 2018

Ready Player One

Ready Player One remained in first place on the international chart with $83.8 million on 33,787 screens in 65 markets for totals of $297.1 million internationally and $393.6 million worldwide. The film’s best new market was Germany, where it opened in first place with $2.88 million on 866 screens. Its best market overall was China with $43.45 million in 17,738 screens over the weekend for a two-week total of $162.26 million. More...

Home Market Releases for April 10th, 2018

April 10, 2018

Phantom Thread

The last box office hit of 2017, The Greatest Showman, hits the home market this week. There are also a couple of Awards Season contenders, but for the most part, it is another slow week. Phantom Thread on Blu-ray is the clear Pick of the Week winner. Meanwhile, Molly’s Game on Blu-ray Combo Pack is the only real competition. More...

Superfly Trailer

April 10, 2018

Action movie starring Trevor Jackson opens June 15 ... Full Movie Details. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Quiet Place Helps the Box Office Make Some Noise

April 9, 2018

A Quiet Place

A Quiet Place not only topped predictions, it nearly doubled them earning $50.20 million during its opening weekend. The rest of the new releases also beat expectations, albeit by much smaller margins. Blockers nearly matched its production budget, while Chappaquiddick and The Miracle Season didn’t embarrass themselves. Add in some strong holds and the total box office was a surprisingly robust $162 million. This is 19% higher than last weekend and 36% higher than the same weekend last year. Year-to-date, 2018 is still behind 2017 by $60 million or 1.8% at $3.07 billion to $3.12 billion. This is half as much as the gap was this time last week, which is great news going forward. More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Molly’s Game

April 9, 2018

Molly’s Game

Jessica Chastain started her acting career in Jolene, a movie that is not good. She was the best part of the movie and it was clear she had movie star potential. The next year she got an Oscar nomination for The Help and the year after that she got her second Oscar nod for Zero Dark Thirty. Nearly every year since, she’s made at least one film that has earned some Award season buzz, but hasn’t been able to climb back to Oscar contender. Molly’s Game was the latest to get some Awards Season buzz for the actress and she even got a Golden Globe Nomination, but no Oscar recognition. Is the movie good, but not Awards Season good? Or did it deserve better? More...

Weekend Estimates: A Quiet Place Opens in the Black with $50 million

April 8, 2018

A Quiet Place

If it weren’t for Black Panther, A Quiet Place would be the biggest surprise hit of the year so far. The film earned $50 million during its opening weekend, on a budget of just $17 million. Its initial ad buy was probably less than $25 million, meaning this film earned more in its opening weekend that its combined budget. However, I assume Paramount Pictures put in at least another $10 million ad buy on Saturday after Friday’s estimates showed up. As for the film’s future, its reviews are close to Award-worthy and it earned a B plus from CinemaScore, which is impressive for a horror film. Additionally, the film saw its score rise on Saturday when compared to Friday, which is not common for a new release. Previews plus the opening day rush usually result in small declines for films aimed at this target audience. It is still a horror film and next week there is big competition and direct competition, so its legs likely won’t be great, but its nearly guaranteed a profit by this time next week. More...

Friday Estimates: A Quiet Place has Deafening Opening with $19 million

April 7, 2018

A Quiet Place

There are people at Paramount Pictures walking around with confused looks on their faces. They don’t know what to do, because it has been so long since they have had an unqualified box office hit like this. A Quiet Place earned $19 million on Friday, which is well above expectations and more than it cost to make. Its reviews are 97% positive, while it earned a B plus from CinemaScore, which is amazing for a horror film. Granted, horror films still tend to be front-loaded, but an opening weekend of close to $50 million is possible. Being a little more conservative is probably a good idea, so let’s go with $47 million. We would have to go back to 2016's Arrival to find the last time Paramount had a film that was an unqualified box office hit. That film likely broke even early in its home market run. A Quiet Place will likely break even just on its domestic theatrical numbers. More...

Limited and VOD Releases: Will You Be Here for Limited Releases.

April 6, 2018

You Were Never Really Here

There are only seven limited releases on this week’s list, but all of them are earning reviews that are at least good. Several of them are earning reviews that are amazing. This includes You Were Never Really Here, which is also the biggest film with the loudest buzz. Perhaps this will give it an edge over the competition. More...

Thursday Night Previews: Quiet Makes Some Noise on Thursday Night earning $4.3 million

April 6, 2018

A Quiet Place

A Quiet Place stunned analysts with $4.3 million during Thursday night previews. This is almost 50% more than many were expecting. Add in its 96% positive reviews and the film has a real shot at opening with over $30 million. By comparison, earlier this year, Insidious: The Last Key earned nearly $2 million during its previews on its way to a nearly $30 million opening. On the other hand, it is a horror film and those tend to be front-loaded, it is wise to be a little conservative. I suspect we will have to raise our expectations when Friday’s numbers arrive tomorrow. More...

Featured Blu-ray Review: Sandlot: 25th Anniversary Edition

April 6, 2018

The Sandlot

The Sandlot is a movie about nostalgia that is old enough that people can feel nostalgic about it. Has the film aged well in the past 25 years? Or has time not been as kind to it? More...

Weekend Predictions: Will April Have a Quiet Start?

April 5, 2018

A Quiet Place

There are only two wide releases this week, A Quiet Place and Blockers, both of which are expected to be midlevel hits. There are also two films opening semi-wide, Chappaquiddick and The Miracle Season, neither of which are expected to open in the top five. This weekend last year, The Boss Baby led the way with $26.36 million during its second weekend of release. A Quiet Place could top that, but even if it does, last year’s depth will probably keep 2017 behind 2018 in the year-over-year comparison. More...

International Box Office: Ready Starts Out Number One Internationally with $127.5 million

April 4, 2018

Ready Player One

Ready Player One opened in first place on the international chart with $127.5 million on 35,600 screens in 62 markets. Its biggest single market was China with $61.61 million on 18,200 screens over the weekend for a total opening of $62.06 million. This is Warner Bros.’ biggest opening ever in this market. The film’s second biggest international market of the weekend was South Korea, where it earned second place with $6.35 million on 1,079 screens for a total opening of $8.08 million. The film also had to settle for second place behind Peter Rabbit in the U.K. with $7.3 million on 1,251 screens. The film did open in first place in several other major markets, including France ($6.15 million on 719 screens) and Russia ($5.74 million on 1,461). More...

Theater Averages: Dog Days Carry it to a Second Win

April 3, 2018

Isle of Dogs

For the second weekend in a row, Isle of Dogs led the way on the theater average chart with $17,839 in 165 theaters. The only other film to reach the $10,000 mark was Love After Love, which pulled in $11,290 in its lone theater. More...

Home Market Releases for April 3rd, 2018

April 3, 2018

My Hero Academia

It’s a short week for one reason: Star Wars: The Last Jedi, which came out last week, but it is still scaring away top-notch releases. There are only a couple of first-run releases coming out this week, Father Figures and Insidious: The Last Key. However, there are also a few films in the main section that wouldn’t even be included in the secondary releases on a normal week. There are a trio of Pick of the Week contenders, including Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle, but that’s a late review. The best of this week’s releases are Jane and My Hero Academia Season Two, Volume One. Both are absolutely worth picking up, but in the end, I went with My Hero Academia. More...

Weekend Wrap-Up: Spielberg’s Decade Best Can’t Save Overall Box Office

April 3, 2018

Ready Player One

Ready Player One not only opened in first place over the weekend, but its three-day total of $41.77 million was Steven Spielberg’s best opening weekend as a director in almost exactly a decade. Acrimony was a solid second place finisher with $17.17 million. God’s Not Dead: A Light in Darkness missed the top ten. Overall, the box office rose 4.9% from last weekend hitting $136 million, but this was still 20% lower than the same weekend last year. 2018 is now 4.9% or $150 million behind 2017’s pace at $2.84 billion to $2.99 billion. More...

Featured TV on DVD Review: My Hero Academia: Season Two, Volume One

April 2, 2018

My Hero Academia

My Hero Academia is one of the biggest new Anime TV shows from the past several years. Not only is it one of the most viewed shows, its reviews for the first season were among the best on My Anime List. Is this hype? Does the second season start on a softer note? Or does the show maintain its impressive run into the first part of season two? More...

Overboard Trailer

April 2, 2018

Romantic comedy starring Eugenio Derbez and Anna Faris opens May 4 ... Full Movie Details.

Leonardo is a selfish, spoiled, rich playboy from Mexico’s richest family and Kate is a working class single mom of three who is hired to clean Leonardo's luxury yacht. After unjustly firing Kate and refusing to pay her, Leonardo falls overboard when partying too hard and wakes up on the Oregon coast with amnesia. Kate shows up at the hospital and, to get payback, convinces Leonardo he is her husband and puts him to work—for the first time in his life. At first miserable and inept, Leonardo slowly settles in. Eventually he earns the respect of his new “family” and co-workers. But, with Leonardo’s billionaire family hot on their trail and the possibility of his memory returning at any moment, will their new family last, or will Leonardo finally put the clues together and leave them for good? More...

Featured Blu-ray and DVD Review: Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

April 2, 2018

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle

Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle is arguably the biggest surprise hit of 2017 earning over $400 million domestically and nearly $1 billion worldwide. Most people were expecting the film to be a box office hit, but almost no one thought this would happen. Did it deserve this success? Or was it a success, because it was the last big hit of 2017 and 2018 got off to such a slow start? More...

Weekend Estimates: Ready Player One Solid On Debut

April 1, 2018

Ready Player One

The gulf between blockbusters and also-rans could hardly be starker these days. Since the release of Black Panther to a whopping $202 million on February 16, three movies that could have caught the general public’s imagination have arrived on the scene, and earned somewhere between a fifth and a seventh of that on opening weekend. Ready Player One is the most successful among them, with an opening of $41.2 million predicted by Warner Bros. as of this morning. That compares favorably to the openings of A Wrinkle in Time (which started out with $33.1 million), and Pacific Rim: Uprising ($28.1 million), and is, in fact, the best weekend in 2018 for a movie not called Black Panther, but it barely starts to chip away at considerable marketing costs, let alone a reported $150 million production budget. More...

2018 Preview: April

April 1, 2018

Avengers: Infinity War

Well, March has ended and it was a very disappointing month. Black Panther made more than any of the new releases did. The only potential big hit that didn’t miss expectations was Ready Player One. Because of this, 2018 lost its lead over 2017 and is now over $100 million behind last year’s pace. April is usually a terrible month, because it is a dumping ground, especially late in the month. No studio wants to compete with the first monster hit of the Summer. This year, the first monster hit of the summer, Avengers: Infinity War, opens in April. It will make more during its opening weekend than any other April release will make in total. It might make more opening day than any other April release will make in total. The only film that has a real chance to earn more than $100 million is Rampage, a video game adaptation. Last April, The Fate of the Furious earned more than $1.2 billion worldwide, but “only” earned $225.76 million of that domestically. Infinity War should earn more than that opening weekend. The second biggest hit of last April was Smurfs: The Lost Village and Going in Style, both of which earned $45.02 million. If 2018 doesn’t retake the lead by the end of the month, then 2018 is in trouble at the box office. More...